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SPAIN - COPA DE SM LA REINA
CA Osasuna crestCOCAO
19:00Thu 12 Nov
LOGLogrono United crestLU

CA Osasuna vs Logrono United

CLASS A
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THE READ

Match details. Copa de SM La Reina. Kick-off is Thu 12 Nov, 19:00 Lagos time.

Form. CA Osasuna have won four, drawn three and lost three of their last ten, 1.5 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L D W W W. Logrono United have won three, drawn one and lost six of their last ten, 1.0 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D L W L L.

The numbers. CA Osasuna score 1.9 and concede 1.3 a game over their last ten, with four clean sheets and two games without a goal. CA Osasuna average 17.9 shots (6.7 on target), 3.0 corners and 1.4 cards a game. Logrono United score 1.1 and concede 1.4 a game over their last ten, with two clean sheets and three games without a goal. Logrono United average 11.8 shots (5.1 on target), 3.9 corners and 2.0 cards a game.

The case against. Likely cup rotation: a domestic cup tie against a side from a division below. Logrono United's record still gives them 30% to win.

The read. CA Osasuna or the draw. A mixed game. Their goals for and against make CA Osasuna the likelier winners; CA Osasuna are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour CA Osasuna.

The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Predicted score: CA Osasuna 1-1 Logrono United (12% chance).

The agreed story. No side to back (CA Osasuna the favourite), a mixed game.

Cup and European games. A domestic cup: sides rotate, and the two can come from different divisions. Too few cup games on either side to read.

So. A close match: the safest pick that fits.

PICKSONE LIST
RESULT
Logrono United (0:2 handicap)PAGE ONLY
no price yet
LOG 9 of 10 (90%) · CAO 8 of 10 (80%)85%
Logrono United: the bet landed in 9 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · CA Osasuna: the bet landed in 8 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 85%
CA Osasuna or Over 2.5 GoalsTAKEN DOWNPAGE ONLY
no price yet
CAO 8 of 10 (80%) · LOG 8 of 10 (80%)62%
CA Osasuna: the bet landed in 8 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Logrono United: the bet landed in 8 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 80% · the call is CA Osasuna or the draw: likely cup rotation: a domestic cup tie against a side from a division below (rule 4)
CA Osasuna or Both Teams ScoreTAKEN DOWNPAGE ONLY
no price yet
CAO 8 of 10 (80%) · LOG 8 of 10 (80%)62%
CA Osasuna: the bet landed in 8 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Logrono United: the bet landed in 8 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 80% · the call is CA Osasuna or the draw: likely cup rotation: a domestic cup tie against a side from a division below (rule 4)
Double Chance: CA Osasuna or Logrono UnitedIN CODES
1.28
CAO 7 of 10 (70%) · LOG 9 of 10 (90%)62%
CA Osasuna: the bet landed in 7 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Logrono United: the bet landed in 9 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 80%
CA Osasuna or Draw (1UP)PAGE ONLY
no price yet
CAO 4 of 5 (80%) · LOG 5 of 7 (71%)55.8%
CA Osasuna scored first 2 of last 5, led or was unbeaten in 4 · led or was unbeaten in 5 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · Logrono United trailed or failed to win in 7 of 10 (last 10, all venues)
Logrono United or Over 2.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
LOG 7 of 10 (70%) · CAO 7 of 10 (70%)52%
Logrono United: the bet landed in 7 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · CA Osasuna: the bet landed in 7 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 70%
CA Osasuna or Under 2.5 GoalsTAKEN DOWNPAGE ONLY
no price yet
CAO 6 of 10 (60%) · LOG 8 of 10 (80%)52%
CA Osasuna: the bet landed in 6 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Logrono United: the bet landed in 8 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 70% · the call is CA Osasuna or the draw: likely cup rotation: a domestic cup tie against a side from a division below (rule 4)
Logrono United or Under 2.5 GoalsLEANPAGE ONLY
no price yet
LOG 6 of 10 (60%) · CAO 6 of 10 (60%)42%
Logrono United: the bet landed in 6 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · CA Osasuna: the bet landed in 6 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 60%
Logrono United or Draw (1UP)LEANPAGE ONLY
no price yet
LOG 3 of 5 (60%) · CAO 5 of 10 (50%)37.7%
Logrono United scored first 3 of last 5, led or was unbeaten in 3 · led or was unbeaten in 5 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · CA Osasuna trailed or failed to win in 4 of 7 (last 10, all venues)
GOALS
Over 0.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
CAO 9 of 10 (90%) · LOG 10 of 10 (100%)95%
CA Osasuna: over 0.5 goals in 9 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Logrono United: over 0.5 goals in 10 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 95%
Under 4.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
CAO 7 of 10 (70%) · LOG 9 of 10 (90%)80%
CA Osasuna: under 4.5 goals in 7 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Logrono United: under 4.5 goals in 9 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 80%
Under 3.5 GoalsLEANPAGE ONLY
1.37
CAO 5 of 10 (50%) · LOG 8 of 10 (80%)65%
CA Osasuna: under 3.5 goals in 5 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Logrono United: under 3.5 goals in 8 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 65%
Over 1.5 GoalsLEANHELD · the odds board 81%
1.23
CAO 6 of 10 (60%) · LOG 7 of 10 (70%)47%
CA Osasuna: over 1.5 goals in 6 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Logrono United: over 1.5 goals in 7 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 65%
CA OSASUNA GOALS
CA Osasuna Over 0.5 GoalsIN CODES
1.37
CAO 8 of 10 (80%) · LOG 8 of 10 (80%)62%
CA Osasuna scored in 8 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Logrono United conceded in 8 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 80%
LOGRONO UNITED GOALS
Logrono United Over 0.5 GoalsLEANPAGE ONLY
no price yet
LOG 7 of 10 (70%) · CAO 6 of 10 (60%)47%
Logrono United scored in 7 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · CA Osasuna conceded in 6 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 65%
HALVES
1st Half Under 2.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
CAO 6 of 8 (75%) · LOG 10 of 10 (100%)91.5%
CA Osasuna: the bet landed in 6 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · Logrono United: the bet landed in 10 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 88% · on half-time scores
1st Half Logrono United to Win to Nil: NoPAGE ONLY
1.30
CAO 6 of 8 (75%) · LOG 9 of 10 (90%)82.4%
CA Osasuna: the bet landed in 6 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · Logrono United: the bet landed in 9 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 82% · on half-time scores
2nd Half Logrono United to Win to Nil: NoPAGE ONLY
1.31
CAO 7 of 8 (88%) · LOG 8 of 10 (80%)78.1%
CA Osasuna: the bet landed in 7 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · Logrono United: the bet landed in 8 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 84% · on half-time scores
1st Half Under 1.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
CAO 5 of 8 (62%) · LOG 8 of 10 (80%)72.7%
CA Osasuna: the bet landed in 5 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · Logrono United: the bet landed in 8 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 71% · on half-time scores
CARDS
Over 2.5 CardsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
CAO 6 of 7 (86%) · LOG 8 of 10 (80%)82.9%
CA Osasuna's games: over 2.5 cards in 6 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · Logrono United's games: over 2.5 cards in 8 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 83%
Left off the list: CA Osasuna Under 1.5 goals (the numbers (50%) and the records (55%) are on opposite sides, and nothing settles it); Logrono United 1UP (the numbers (45%) and the records (51%) are on opposite sides, and nothing settles it); Over 5.5 Corners (the numbers (23%) and the records (74%) are on opposite sides, and nothing settles it)
SCORELINES
Predicted score
Predicted score 1–1 12%
CA Osasuna goals →
Logrono United goals ↓
0-06%
1-09%
2-08%
3-05%
4-02%
5-00.6%
0-16%
1-112%
2-110%
3-15%
4-12%
5-10.8%
0-24%
1-27%
2-26%
3-23%
4-21%
5-20.5%
0-32%
1-33%
2-32%
3-31%
4-30.5%
5-30.2%
0-40.5%
1-40.8%
2-40.7%
3-40.4%
4-40.2%
5-40.1%
0-50.1%
1-50.2%
2-50.2%
3-50.1%
4-50.0%
5-50.0%

Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call).

FORM · LAST 10
CA OSASUNALDWWWDDWLL1.50 PPG
LOGRONO UNITEDDLWLLLLWLW1.00 PPG
THE NUMBERS
CA OSASUNA HOMExLOGRONO UNITED AWAY
1.90SCORED A GAME1.101.30CONCEDED A GAME1.4040%CLEAN SHEETS20%3.00CORNERS A GAME3.901.43CARDS A GAME2.00
THE BANK
THE BANKER MENU
DRAW OR LOGRONO UNITED (1UP)
–
137 OF 146
PRICE NOT KEPT
The tips call a clear winner and every tip has the favourite winning by 2+.
Other bets the bookie sells that won 9 times in 10 or more on games like this one, in each of three spells: 20-24 Oct, 25-29 Oct and 30 Oct-2 Nov. The price is low because the bookie expects it too. A bet with no price yet, or one under 1.09, is not in any code.
TRENDS
CA Osasuna have scored in 80% of their games.
Logrono United have scored in 70% of their games.
CA Osasuna kept a clean sheet in 40% of their games.
Logrono United kept a clean sheet in 20% of their games.
BUILT FROM
form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againstclean sheetscornerscards
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