Fluminense FC RJ vs Heips RJ

Match details. Carioca, Women. Kick-off is Wed 11 Nov, 14:00 Lagos time.

Form. Fluminense FC RJ have won six, drawn two and lost two of their last ten, 2.0 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W W D L W. Heips RJ have won four, drawn none and lost six of their last ten, 1.2 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L L L W L.

The numbers. Fluminense FC RJ score 3.6 and concede 1.2 a game in their last five at home, with one clean sheet. Fluminense FC RJ average 13.1 shots (5.3 on target), 5.4 corners and 2.0 cards a game. Heips RJ score two and concede 2.4 a game in their last seven away, with one clean sheet and three games without a goal. Heips RJ average 9.8 shots (4.8 on target), 3.3 corners and 2.0 cards a game.

Where it pulls both ways. The prices and the records disagree: the odds board makes it 98% against the records' 67%.

The read. No firm call: Fluminense FC RJ are the better side, but not at this price. An open game. Their goals for and against make Fluminense FC RJ the likelier winners; Fluminense FC RJ are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour Fluminense FC RJ. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 1.5 goals at 98%, over 2.5 at 87%, under 4.5 at 50%.

The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Predicted score: Fluminense FC RJ 3-1 Heips RJ (7% chance).

The agreed story. No side to back (Fluminense FC RJ the favourite), an open game.

Cup and European games. A domestic cup: sides rotate, and the two can come from different divisions. Too few cup games on either side to read.

So. A close match: the safest pick that fits.