THE READ
Match details. Pernambucano, Semi-finals. Kick-off is Thu 12 Nov, 00:00 Lagos time.
What's at stake. Facilnet FC PE are 2nd on 13 points after 5 games, -2 points behind América PE. A win would take them above América PE. Belo Jardim are 3rd on 6 points after 5 games. It is one game, with penalties if it is level.
Form. Facilnet FC PE have won four, drawn one and lost none of their last five league games, 2.6 points a game. Their last five in the league, newest first: D W W W W. Belo Jardim have won one, drawn three and lost one of their last five league games, 1.2 points a game. Their last five in the league, newest first: L D D D W.
The numbers. Facilnet FC PE score 2.4 and concede 0.6 a game over their last five, with three clean sheets. Belo Jardim score 1.2 and concede 0.8 a game over their last five, with two clean sheets and two games without a goal.
The case against. A knockout game (Semi-finals) with penalties if level, and Facilnet FC PE are not clearly stronger.
The read. Facilnet FC PE or the draw. A mixed game. Their goals for and against make Facilnet FC PE the likelier winners; Facilnet FC PE are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour Facilnet FC PE.
The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Predicted score: Facilnet FC PE 1-1 Belo Jardim (13% chance).
The agreed story. Facilnet FC PE or the draw, a mixed game.
So. A close match: the safest pick that fits.
PICKSONE LIST
RESULT
Double Chance: Facilnet FC PE or DrawIN CODES
1.11
FAC 5 of 5 (100%) · BEL 4 of 5 (80%)91%
Facilnet FC PE unbeaten in 5 of 5 (last 10, all venues) · Belo Jardim failed to win 4 of 5 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 90% · Facilnet FC PE: only games against sides at Belo Jardim's level · Belo Jardim: only games against sides at Facilnet FC PE's level
Facilnet FC PE or Under 2.5 GoalsTAKEN DOWNPAGE ONLY
no price yet
FAC 5 of 5 (100%) · BEL 4 of 5 (80%)82.1%
Facilnet FC PE: the bet landed in 5 of 5 (last 10, all venues) · Belo Jardim: the bet landed in 4 of 5 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 90% · Facilnet FC PE: only games against sides at Belo Jardim's level · Belo Jardim: only games against sides at Facilnet FC PE's level · the call is Facilnet FC PE or the draw: a knockout game (Semi-finals) with penalties if level, and Facilnet FC PE are not
Belo Jardim (0:2 handicap)PAGE ONLY
no price yet
BEL 5 of 5 (100%) · FAC 3 of 5 (60%)80%
Belo Jardim: the bet landed in 5 of 5 (last 10, all venues) · Facilnet FC PE: the bet landed in 3 of 5 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 80% · Belo Jardim: only games against sides at Facilnet FC PE's level · Facilnet FC PE: only games against sides at Belo Jardim's level
1st Half - Double Chance: Facilnet FC PE or DrawPAGE ONLY
1.11
FAC 4 of 5 (80%) · BEL 4 of 5 (80%)79.5%
Facilnet FC PE: the bet landed in 4 of 5 (last 10, all venues) · Belo Jardim: the bet landed in 4 of 5 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 80% · on half-time scores · Facilnet FC PE: only games against sides at Belo Jardim's level · Belo Jardim: only games against sides at Facilnet FC PE's level
Facilnet FC PE or Both Teams ScoreTAKEN DOWNPAGE ONLY
no price yet
FAC 4 of 5 (80%) · BEL 3 of 5 (60%)71%
Facilnet FC PE: the bet landed in 4 of 5 (last 10, all venues) · Belo Jardim: the bet landed in 3 of 5 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 70% · Facilnet FC PE: only games against sides at Belo Jardim's level · Belo Jardim: only games against sides at Facilnet FC PE's level · the call is Facilnet FC PE or the draw: a knockout game (Semi-finals) with penalties if level, and Facilnet FC PE are not
Facilnet FC PE or Over 2.5 GoalsTAKEN DOWNPAGE ONLY
no price yet
FAC 4 of 5 (80%) · BEL 2 of 5 (40%)42%
Facilnet FC PE: the bet landed in 4 of 5 (last 10, all venues) · Belo Jardim: the bet landed in 2 of 5 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 60% · Facilnet FC PE: only games against sides at Belo Jardim's level · Belo Jardim: only games against sides at Facilnet FC PE's level · the call is Facilnet FC PE or the draw: a knockout game (Semi-finals) with penalties if level, and Facilnet FC PE are not
GOALS
no price yet
FAC 4 of 5 (80%) · BEL 4 of 5 (80%)80%
Facilnet FC PE: under 4.5 goals in 4 of 5 (last 10, all venues) · Belo Jardim: under 4.5 goals in 4 of 5 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 80% · Facilnet FC PE: only games against sides at Belo Jardim's level · Belo Jardim: only games against sides at Facilnet FC PE's level
1.30
FAC 3 of 5 (60%) · BEL 4 of 5 (80%)70%
Facilnet FC PE: under 3.5 goals in 3 of 5 (last 10, all venues) · Belo Jardim: under 3.5 goals in 4 of 5 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 70% · Facilnet FC PE: only games against sides at Belo Jardim's level · Belo Jardim: only games against sides at Facilnet FC PE's level
Over 1.5 GoalsHELD · the odds board 78%
1.28
FAC 4 of 5 (80%) · BEL 3 of 5 (60%)52%
Facilnet FC PE: over 1.5 goals in 4 of 5 (last 10, all venues) · Belo Jardim: over 1.5 goals in 3 of 5 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 70% · Facilnet FC PE: only games against sides at Belo Jardim's level · Belo Jardim: only games against sides at Facilnet FC PE's level
FACILNET FC PE GOALS
Facilnet FC PE Over 0.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
FAC 4 of 5 (80%) · BEL 3 of 5 (60%)65%
Facilnet FC PE scored in 4 of 5 (last 10, all venues) · Belo Jardim conceded in 3 of 5 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 70% · Facilnet FC PE: only games against sides at Belo Jardim's level · Belo Jardim: only games against sides at Facilnet FC PE's level
HALVES
1st Half Over 0.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
FAC 4 of 5 (80%) · BEL 3 of 5 (60%)79.8%
Facilnet FC PE: the bet landed in 4 of 5 (last 10, all venues) · Belo Jardim: the bet landed in 3 of 5 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 70% · on half-time scores · Facilnet FC PE: only games against sides at Belo Jardim's level · Belo Jardim: only games against sides at Facilnet FC PE's level
1st Half Under 2.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
FAC 4 of 5 (80%) · BEL 4 of 5 (80%)78.3%
Facilnet FC PE: the bet landed in 4 of 5 (last 10, all venues) · Belo Jardim: the bet landed in 4 of 5 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 80% · on half-time scores · Facilnet FC PE: only games against sides at Belo Jardim's level · Belo Jardim: only games against sides at Facilnet FC PE's level
1st Half - GG/NG: NoPAGE ONLY
1.14
FAC 4 of 5 (80%) · BEL 3 of 5 (60%)71.5%
Facilnet FC PE: the bet landed in 4 of 5 (last 10, all venues) · Belo Jardim: the bet landed in 3 of 5 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 70% · on half-time scores · Facilnet FC PE: only games against sides at Belo Jardim's level · Belo Jardim: only games against sides at Facilnet FC PE's level
Facilnet FC PE to Score In Both Halves: NoPAGE ONLY
1.49
FAC 3 of 5 (60%) · BEL 5 of 5 (100%)71.5%
Facilnet FC PE: the bet landed in 3 of 5 (last 10, all venues) · Belo Jardim: the bet landed in 5 of 5 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 80% · on half-time scores · Facilnet FC PE: only games against sides at Belo Jardim's level · Belo Jardim: only games against sides at Facilnet FC PE's level
Left off the list: Over 0.5 Goals (the numbers (91%) and the records (70%) are 21 points apart, and nothing settles it); Draw or Over 2.5 Goals (the numbers (68%) and the records (100%) are 32 points apart, and nothing settles it)