CNCDA

19:00Thu 12 Nov

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CDA Navalcarnero vs Betis

CLASS A

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THE READ

Match details. It is Copa del Rey action in the Round of 128. Kick-off is set for Thu 12 Nov, 19:00 Lagos time. The match is played at Campo de San Francisco, Reinosa.

What's at stake. It is one game, with penalties if it is level.

Form. CDA Navalcarnero have won five, drawn four and lost one of their last ten, averaging 1.9 points a game. Their last five, newest first, reads D W W D D. Betis have won six, drawn two and lost two of their last ten, taking 2.0 points a game, with a recent run of W L W D W.

The numbers. CDA Navalcarnero score 2.3 and concede 1.4 a game over their last ten, with one clean sheet. Betis score 1.8 and concede 1.3 a game over their last ten, keeping four clean sheets. Betis average 16.8 shots, 6.2 on target, 5.8 corners and 2.4 cards a game, with 50% of the ball.

Where it pulls both ways. It pulls both ways. Their goals for and against make Betis the likelier winners, but CDA Navalcarnero are the stronger side on form and the table.

The read. No side to back. An open game. Nothing separates them clearly enough to back a side. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 1.5 goals at 85%, over 2.5 at 65%, and under 4.5 at 80%.

The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Predicted score: CDA Navalcarnero 0-3 Betis (10% chance).

The agreed story. Betis or the draw, an open game.

Cup and European games. A domestic cup: sides rotate, and the two can come from different divisions. Betis play 3 divisions above CDA Navalcarnero. Too few cup games on either side to read.

So. A close match: the safest pick that fits.

PICKSONE LIST

RESULT

Draw or Over 2.5 GoalsIN CODES

1.22

CDA 10 of 10 (100%) · BET 7 of 10 (70%)75.7%

CDA Navalcarnero: the bet landed in 10 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Betis: the bet landed in 7 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 85%

GOALS

Over 0.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

CDA 10 of 10 (100%) · BET 9 of 10 (90%)95.8%

CDA Navalcarnero: over 0.5 goals in 10 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Betis: over 0.5 goals in 9 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 95%

Over 1.5 GoalsIN CODES

1.09

CDA 10 of 10 (100%) · BET 7 of 10 (70%)82.4%

CDA Navalcarnero: over 1.5 goals in 10 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Betis: over 1.5 goals in 7 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 85%

Over 2.5 GoalsLEANPAGE ONLY

1.32

CDA 8 of 10 (80%) · BET 5 of 10 (50%)64.6%

CDA Navalcarnero: over 2.5 goals in 8 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Betis: over 2.5 goals in 5 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 65%

CDA NAVALCARNERO GOALS

CDA Navalcarnero Over 0.5 goalsLEANPAGE ONLY

2.25

CDA 10 of 10 (100%) · BET 6 of 10 (60%)34.6%

CDA Navalcarnero scored in 10 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Betis conceded in 6 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 80%

BETIS GOALS

Betis Over 0.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

BET 9 of 10 (90%) · CDA 9 of 10 (90%)92%

Betis scored in 9 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · CDA Navalcarnero conceded in 9 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 90%

HALVES

2nd Half - Over/Under: Over 0.5PAGE ONLY

1.12

CDA 10 of 10 (100%) · BET 8 of 10 (80%)92%

CDA Navalcarnero: the bet landed in 10 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Betis: the bet landed in 8 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 90% · on half-time scores

1st Half - GG/NG: NoPAGE ONLY

1.16

CDA 8 of 10 (80%) · BET 9 of 10 (90%)79.6%

CDA Navalcarnero: the bet landed in 8 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Betis: the bet landed in 9 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 85% · on half-time scores

2nd Half - Over/Under: Over 1.5PAGE ONLY

1.57

CDA 9 of 10 (90%) · BET 5 of 10 (50%)73.9%

CDA Navalcarnero: the bet landed in 9 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Betis: the bet landed in 5 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 70% · on half-time scores

Excluded Number of Goals - First Half: 3+PAGE ONLY

1.26

CDA 9 of 10 (90%) · BET 9 of 10 (90%)69.7%

CDA Navalcarnero: the bet landed in 9 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Betis: the bet landed in 9 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 90% · on half-time scores

Excluded Number of Goals - First Half: 1LEANPAGE ONLY

1.38

CDA 8 of 10 (80%) · BET 8 of 10 (80%)63.9%

CDA Navalcarnero: the bet landed in 8 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Betis: the bet landed in 8 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 80% · on half-time scores

OTHER

Any Team To Score 2 or More Goals in a Row: YesLEANHELD · the odds board 84%

1.19

CDA 3 of 5 (60%) · BET 5 of 7 (71%)62.5%

CDA Navalcarnero scored first 3 of last 5, a side scored 2 in a row in 3 · a side scored 2 in a row in 5 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · Betis a side scored 2 in a row in 5 of 10 (last 10, all venues)

Any Team to lead by 2 Goals at any time: YesLEANHELD · the odds board 81%

1.23

CDA 3 of 5 (60%) · BET 5 of 7 (71%)59.1%

CDA Navalcarnero scored first 3 of last 5, a side led by 2 in 3 · a side led by 2 in 5 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · Betis a side led by 2 in 4 of 10 (last 10, all venues)

Any Team to lead by 3 Goals at any time: NoIN CODES

2.03

CDA 4 of 5 (80%) · BET 5 of 7 (71%)59.1%

CDA Navalcarnero scored first 3 of last 5, no side led by 3 in 4 · no side led by 3 in 5 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · Betis no side led by 3 in 8 of 10 (last 10, all venues)

Left off the list: Betis to lead by 2 Goals at any time: No (the numbers (40%) and the records (72%) are on opposite sides, and nothing settles it); Betis To Score 2 or More Goals in a Row: No (the numbers (34%) and the records (64%) are on opposite sides, and nothing settles it); Betis To Score 3 or More Goals in a Row: No (the numbers (62%) and the records (92%) are 29 points apart, and nothing settles it); Betis to lead by 3 Goals at any time: No (the numbers (64%) and the records (97%) are 32 points apart, and nothing settles it); CDA Navalcarnero or Under 2.5 Goals (the numbers (42%) and the records (70%) are on opposite sides, and nothing settles it); CDA Navalcarnero or Both Teams Score (the numbers (53%) and the records (80%) are 27 points apart, and nothing settles it); Betis or Draw (1UP) (the numbers (93%) and the records (72%) are 21 points apart, and nothing settles it); CDA Navalcarnero or Draw (1UP) (the numbers (34%) and the records (83%) are on opposite sides, and nothing settles it)

SCORELINES

Predicted score

Predicted score 0–3 10.2%

CDA Navalcarnero goals →

Betis goals ↓

0-04%

1-02%

2-01%

3-00.3%

4-00.0%

5-00.0%

0-19%

1-18%

2-13%

3-10.7%

4-10.1%

5-10.0%

0-212%

1-29%

2-23%

3-20.8%

4-20.2%

5-20.0%

0-310%

1-38%

2-33%

3-30.7%

4-30.1%

5-30.0%

0-46%

1-45%

2-42%

3-40.4%

4-40.1%

5-40.0%

0-53%

1-52%

2-50.9%

3-50.2%

4-50.0%

5-50.0%

Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (an open game).

FORM · LAST 10

CDA NAVALCARNERODWLWWDDWWD1.90 PPG

BETISWDWWLWDWLW2.00 PPG

THE NUMBERS

CDA NAVALCARNERO HOMExBETIS AWAY

2.30SCORED A GAME1.801.40CONCEDED A GAME1.3010%CLEAN SHEETS40%10%FAILED TO SCORE8%

THE BANK

THE BANKER MENU

DRAW OR BETIS (1UP)

–

137 OF 146

PRICE NOT KEPT

The tips call a clear winner and every tip has the favourite winning by 2+.

Other bets the bookie sells that won 9 times in 10 or more on games like this one, in each of three spells: 20-24 Oct, 25-29 Oct and 30 Oct-2 Nov. The price is low because the bookie expects it too. A bet with no price yet, or one under 1.09, is not in any code.

THE QUALITY READ

1.75POINTS A GAME2.09+0.38GOAL DIFFERENCE A GAME+0.36-2.2SHOTS FOR MINUS AGAINST+0.82.2LAST 5: POINTS A GAME2.08LEAGUE GAMES11

Betis: the quality side - a top-five league club v a smaller league.

Each club's own league games in the Bank: points, goal difference, shots for and against, the last 5. A side ahead on most of them is the quality side; its bets show what they won on games like this from 6 Oct to 2 Nov.

THE BANK'S READ

OVER 1.5 GOALS

77%

NO · 80/83

OVER 2.5 GOALS

62%

NO · 65/78

UNDER 4.5 GOALS

80%

NO · 85/90

CDA NAVALCARNERO OR DRAW

61%

NO · 80/85

BETIS OR DRAW

70%

NO · 80/85

Each line from both sides' own league games this season, set against their league (8 and 11 games). The two numbers after each read are the line's okay and very good marks.

CDA NAVALCARNEROxBETIS

5GAMES52.40SCORED A GAME2.201.40CONCEDED A GAME1.603.8GOALS IN THEIR GAMES3.8100%OVER 1.5 GOALS80%80%OVER 2.5 GOALS60%100%BOTH SCORE60%–CARDS IN THEIR GAMES4.8–CORNERS IN THEIR GAMES11.2

Each side's own league games in our bank before this game; "Home v Away" is the home side's home games and the away side's away games.

TRENDS

CDA Navalcarnero have scored in 100% of their games.

Betis have scored in 90% of their games.

CDA Navalcarnero kept a clean sheet in 10% of their games.

Betis kept a clean sheet in 40% of their games.

BUILT FROM

form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againstclean sheetsteam news