CD Tarancon vs Levante

Match details. Copa del Rey, Round of 128. Kick-off is Thu 12 Nov, 19:00 Lagos time. It is played at Polideportivo Estadio Municipal Tarancón.

What's at stake. It is one game, with penalties if it is level.

Form. CD Tarancon have won four, drawn three and lost three of their last ten, 1.5 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L D D W W. Levante have won two, drawn four and lost four of their last ten, 1.0 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D L L W D.

The numbers. CD Tarancon score 0.8 and concede one a game in their last five at home, with one clean sheet and two games without a goal. Levante score 0.6 and concede 1.2 a game in their last five away, with two clean sheets and two games without a goal. Levante average 11.8 shots (4.1 on target), 3.2 corners and 1.8 cards a game, with 42% of the ball.

The read. No side to back. A tight game. Nothing separates them clearly enough to back a side. Their goals for and against point to a tight game. Their records put over 1.5 goals at 65%, over 2.5 at 39%, under 4.5 at 93%.

The bets. Best bet: Levante Over/Under: Under 4.5 at 1.23, rated 98% (Levante scored under 4.5 in 5 of 5 away; CD Tarancon conceded under 4.5 in 5 of 5 at home). Backup: 1st half - Levante Over/Under: Under 2.5 at 1.17. It often rescues the bet, but it is no guarantee. Predicted score: CD Tarancon 1-1 Levante (14% chance).

The agreed story. Levante or the draw, a tight game.

Cup and European games. A domestic cup: sides rotate, and the two can come from different divisions. Levante play in a division above CD Tarancon. Too few cup games on either side to read.

So. A close match: the safest pick that fits.