THE READ
Match details. UEFA Champions League Women, League Stage - 4. Kick-off is Wed 11 Nov, 18:45 Lagos time. It is played at Gemeentelijk Sportstadion, Leuven. The referee is Miriama Bockova.
What's at stake. Oud-Heverlee Leuven W are 18th on 1 point after 3 games, level on points with Austria Wien W. A win would take them above Austria Wien W. HB KOEGE W are 12th on 3 points after 3 games, 1 point behind Inter Milano W, level on points with SL Benfica W. A win would take them above Inter Milano W.
Form. Oud-Heverlee Leuven W have won three, drawn one and lost two of their last six, 1.7 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L L D W W. HB KOEGE W have won four, drawn one and lost two of their last seven, 1.9 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L W L D W. In this competition HB KOEGE W have gone L W L D W W.
The numbers. Oud-Heverlee Leuven W score 1.8 and concede two a game over their last six, with two clean sheets and two games without a goal. Oud-Heverlee Leuven W average 9.3 shots (4.8 on target), 2.0 corners and 1.2 cards a game, with 45% of the ball. HB KOEGE W score 1.9 and concede 1.9 a game over their last seven, with one clean sheet and two games without a goal. HB KOEGE W average 7.3 shots (3.5 on target), 3.8 corners and 0.8 cards a game, with 42% of the ball.
The case against. Oud-Heverlee Leuven W's record still gives them 36% to win.
The read. HB KOEGE W to win. A mixed game. Their goals for and against make HB KOEGE W the likelier winners; HB KOEGE W are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour HB KOEGE W.
The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Predicted score: Oud-Heverlee Leuven W 1-2 HB KOEGE W (8% chance).
The agreed story. HB KOEGE W or the draw, a mixed game.
Cup and European games. The Champions League: the best against the best, and the two league tables cannot be compared. Too few European games on either side to read.
So. A close match: the safest pick that fits.
PICKSONE LIST
RESULT
1st Half - Double Chance: Draw or HB KOEGE WPAGE ONLY
1.18
HBK 5 of 7 (71%) · OUD 5 of 6 (83%)82.6%
HB KOEGE W: the bet landed in 5 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · Oud-Heverlee Leuven W: the bet landed in 5 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 79% · on half-time scores · each game weighed by who it was against
HB KOEGE W win or both teams scoreIN CODES
1.10
HBK 5 of 7 (71%) · OUD 4 of 6 (67%)72.4%
HB KOEGE W: the bet landed in 5 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · Oud-Heverlee Leuven W: the bet landed in 4 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 71% · each game weighed by who it was against
Double Chance: Oud-Heverlee Leuven W or HB KOEGE WIN CODES
1.21
OUD 5 of 6 (83%) · HBK 6 of 7 (86%)67.7%
Oud-Heverlee Leuven W: the bet landed in 5 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · HB KOEGE W: the bet landed in 6 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 86% · each game weighed by who it was against
Draw or Over 2.5 GoalsIN CODES
1.25
OUD 6 of 6 (100%) · HBK 5 of 7 (71%)67.5%
Oud-Heverlee Leuven W: the bet landed in 6 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · HB KOEGE W: the bet landed in 5 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 86% · each game weighed by who it was against
HB KOEGE W or Under 2.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
1.19
HBK 6 of 7 (86%) · OUD 3 of 6 (50%)65.4%
HB KOEGE W: the bet landed in 6 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · Oud-Heverlee Leuven W: the bet landed in 3 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 71% · each game weighed by who it was against
HB KOEGE W to Win to Nil: NoIN CODES
1.32
HBK 6 of 7 (86%) · OUD 5 of 6 (83%)63.3%
HB KOEGE W: the bet landed in 6 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · Oud-Heverlee Leuven W: the bet landed in 5 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 81% · each game weighed by who it was against
HB KOEGE W or Over 2.5 GoalsHELD · the odds board 82%
1.22
HBK 5 of 7 (71%) · OUD 5 of 6 (83%)60.8%
HB KOEGE W: the bet landed in 5 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · Oud-Heverlee Leuven W: the bet landed in 5 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 79% · each game weighed by who it was against
GOALS
Over 1.5 GoalsHELD · the odds board 85%
1.17
OUD 5 of 6 (83%) · HBK 5 of 7 (71%)60.8%
Oud-Heverlee Leuven W: over 1.5 goals in 5 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · HB KOEGE W: over 1.5 goals in 5 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 79% · each game weighed by who it was against
1.56
OUD 5 of 6 (83%) · HBK 4 of 7 (57%)53.8%
Oud-Heverlee Leuven W: over 2.5 goals in 5 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · HB KOEGE W: over 2.5 goals in 4 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 72% · each game weighed by who it was against
OUD-HEVERLEE LEUVEN W GOALS
Oud-Heverlee Leuven W Over 0.5 goalsIN CODES
1.41
OUD 4 of 6 (67%) · HBK 6 of 7 (86%)55.9%
Oud-Heverlee Leuven W scored in 4 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · HB KOEGE W conceded in 6 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 74% · each game weighed by who it was against
HB KOEGE W GOALS
HB KOEGE W Over 0.5 goalsHELD · the odds board 90%
1.11
HBK 5 of 7 (71%) · OUD 4 of 6 (67%)65%
HB KOEGE W scored in 5 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · Oud-Heverlee Leuven W conceded in 4 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 71% · each game weighed by who it was against
HALVES
2nd Half - Over/Under: Over 0.5PAGE ONLY
1.16
OUD 5 of 6 (83%) · HBK 6 of 7 (86%)91.5%
Oud-Heverlee Leuven W: the bet landed in 5 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · HB KOEGE W: the bet landed in 6 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 86% · on half-time scores · each game weighed by who it was against
Under 2.5 first-half goalsPAGE ONLY
1.15
OUD 5 of 6 (83%) · HBK 6 of 7 (86%)85.5%
Oud-Heverlee Leuven W: the bet landed in 5 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · HB KOEGE W: the bet landed in 6 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 83% · on half-time scores · each game weighed by who it was against
Excluded Number of Goals - First Half: 3+PAGE ONLY
1.15
OUD 5 of 6 (83%) · HBK 6 of 7 (86%)85.5%
Oud-Heverlee Leuven W: the bet landed in 5 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · HB KOEGE W: the bet landed in 6 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 83% · on half-time scores · each game weighed by who it was against
Both Halves Under 1.5: NoPAGE ONLY
1.32
OUD 5 of 6 (83%) · HBK 5 of 7 (71%)81.6%
Oud-Heverlee Leuven W: the bet landed in 5 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · HB KOEGE W: the bet landed in 5 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 79% · on half-time scores · each game weighed by who it was against
1st Half - GG/NG: NoPAGE ONLY
1.24
OUD 5 of 6 (83%) · HBK 6 of 7 (86%)79.1%
Oud-Heverlee Leuven W: the bet landed in 5 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · HB KOEGE W: the bet landed in 6 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 86% · on half-time scores · each game weighed by who it was against
Over 0.5 first-half goalsPAGE ONLY
1.26
OUD 5 of 6 (83%) · HBK 5 of 7 (71%)73%
Oud-Heverlee Leuven W: the bet landed in 5 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · HB KOEGE W: the bet landed in 5 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 79% · on half-time scores · each game weighed by who it was against
Left off the list: Oud-Heverlee Leuven W Under 1.5 goals (the numbers (49%) and the records (71%) are on opposite sides, and nothing settles it); GG/NG 2+: No (the numbers (68%) and the records (100%) are 32 points apart, and nothing settles it)