VENEZUELA - SEGUNDA DIVISION
20:00Wed 11 Nov
DEP
DL
Zamora FC Barinas II vs Deportivo Lara
CLASS E
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88
TOTAL GOALS
Class E
Over 1.5 Goals
Zamora FC Barinas II v Deportivo Lara
1.26odds
79%book
+9edge
2/2angles
EDGE PICKZamora FC Barinas II Under 1.5 goals · 35.6% · @1.37
Book 73% · Us 36% -37 price too short
Backed by
· main loses on: 0-0, 1-0, 0-1 | hedge wins on all of themZamora FC Barinas II scored under 1.5 in 2 of 6 at home · Deportivo Lara conceded under 1.5 in 6 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 52% · Zamora FC Barinas II: only games against sides at Deportivo Lara's level · Deportivo Lara: only games against sides at Zamora FC Barinas II's level
THE READ
Match details. Segunda Division. Kick-off is Wed 11 Nov, 20:00 Lagos time.
Form. Zamora FC Barinas II have won six, drawn none and lost four of their last ten, 1.8 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W W W L L. Deportivo Lara have won seven, drawn one and lost two of their last ten, 2.2 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D W W W L.
The numbers. Zamora FC Barinas II score two and concede 1.7 a game in their last six at home, with one clean sheet. Zamora FC Barinas II average 4.7 corners and 2.7 cards a game. Deportivo Lara score 1.2 and concede one a game in their last five away, with three clean sheets. Deportivo Lara average 4.8 corners and 3.5 cards a game.
The case against. Zamora FC Barinas II's record still gives them 38% to win.
The read. Deportivo Lara to win. An open game. Deportivo Lara are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour Deportivo Lara. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 1.5 goals at 81%, over 2.5 at 66%, under 4.5 at 82%.
The bets. Best bet: Over 1.5 Goals at 1.27, rated 81% (Zamora FC Barinas II: over 1.5 goals in 6 of 6 at home; Deportivo Lara: over 1.5 goals in 5 of 8). Full cover: GG/NG 2+: No at 1.12. Whenever the best bet loses, this one wins. Predicted score: Zamora FC Barinas II 1-2 Deportivo Lara (8% chance).
The agreed story. Deportivo Lara or the draw, an open game.
The league run. Zamora FC Barinas II: coming out of a defeat with two wins (W W L L W). Deportivo Lara: one defeat in their last five league games (D W L W W).
So. A close match: the safest pick that fits.
PICKSONE LIST
RESULT
Deportivo Lara or Draw (1UP)LEANPAGE ONLY
no price yet
DEP 5 of 5 (100%) · ZAM 8 of 8 (100%)70%
Deportivo Lara scored first 4 of last 5, led or was unbeaten in 5 · led or was unbeaten in 8 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · Zamora FC Barinas II trailed or failed to win in 2 of 6 at home · Deportivo Lara: only games against sides at Zamora FC Barinas II's level · Zamora FC Barinas II: only games against sides at Deportivo Lara's level
Draw or Over 2.5 GoalsLEANPAGE ONLY
no price yet
ZAM 5 of 6 (83%) · DEP 4 of 8 (50%)68.1%
Zamora FC Barinas II: the bet landed in 5 of 6 at home · Deportivo Lara: the bet landed in 4 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 65% · Zamora FC Barinas II: only games against sides at Deportivo Lara's level · Deportivo Lara: only games against sides at Zamora FC Barinas II's level
Zamora FC Barinas II (2:0 handicap)LEANPAGE ONLY
no price yet
ZAM 4 of 6 (67%) · DEP 5 of 8 (62%)65.1%
Zamora FC Barinas II: the bet landed in 4 of 6 at home · Deportivo Lara: the bet landed in 5 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 66% · Zamora FC Barinas II: only games against sides at Deportivo Lara's level · Deportivo Lara: only games against sides at Zamora FC Barinas II's level
Deportivo Lara 1UPLEANPAGE ONLY
no price yet
DEP 5 of 5 (100%) · ZAM 8 of 8 (100%)51%
Deportivo Lara scored first 4 of last 5, led in 5 · led in 8 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · Zamora FC Barinas II trailed in 2 of 6 at home · Deportivo Lara: only games against sides at Zamora FC Barinas II's level · Zamora FC Barinas II: only games against sides at Deportivo Lara's level
GOALS
Over 0.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
ZAM 6 of 6 (100%) · DEP 8 of 8 (100%)97%
Zamora FC Barinas II: over 0.5 goals in 6 of 6 at home · Deportivo Lara: over 0.5 goals in 8 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 100% · Zamora FC Barinas II: only games against sides at Deportivo Lara's level · Deportivo Lara: only games against sides at Zamora FC Barinas II's level
Over 1.5 GoalsMAININ CODES
1.26
ZAM 6 of 6 (100%) · DEP 5 of 8 (62%)88.2%
Zamora FC Barinas II: over 1.5 goals in 6 of 6 at home · Deportivo Lara: over 1.5 goals in 5 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 81% · Zamora FC Barinas II: only games against sides at Deportivo Lara's level · Deportivo Lara: only games against sides at Zamora FC Barinas II's level
Over 2.5 GoalsLEANPAGE ONLY
1.84
ZAM 5 of 6 (83%) · DEP 4 of 8 (50%)70.9%
Zamora FC Barinas II: over 2.5 goals in 5 of 6 at home · Deportivo Lara: over 2.5 goals in 4 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 65% · Zamora FC Barinas II: only games against sides at Deportivo Lara's level · Deportivo Lara: only games against sides at Zamora FC Barinas II's level
ZAMORA FC BARINAS II GOALS
Zamora FC Barinas II Under 1.5 goalsLEANHELD · the odds board 73%
1.37
ZAM 2 of 6 (33%) · DEP 6 of 8 (75%)35.6%
Zamora FC Barinas II scored under 1.5 in 2 of 6 at home · Deportivo Lara conceded under 1.5 in 6 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 52% · Zamora FC Barinas II: only games against sides at Deportivo Lara's level · Deportivo Lara: only games against sides at Zamora FC Barinas II's level
DEPORTIVO LARA GOALS
Deportivo Lara Over 0.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
DEP 8 of 8 (100%) · ZAM 5 of 6 (83%)91.1%
Deportivo Lara scored in 8 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · Zamora FC Barinas II conceded in 5 of 6 at home · both last 10: 90% · Deportivo Lara: only games against sides at Zamora FC Barinas II's level · Zamora FC Barinas II: only games against sides at Deportivo Lara's level
HALVES
Excluded Number of Goals - First Half: 3+HELD · the odds board 92%
1.09
ZAM 5 of 6 (83%) · DEP 8 of 8 (100%)70.6%
Zamora FC Barinas II: the bet landed in 5 of 6 at home · Deportivo Lara: the bet landed in 8 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 90% · on half-time scores · Zamora FC Barinas II: only games against sides at Deportivo Lara's level · Deportivo Lara: only games against sides at Zamora FC Barinas II's level
1st Half Over 0.5 GoalsLEANPAGE ONLY
1.39
ZAM 5 of 6 (83%) · DEP 5 of 8 (62%)68.9%
Zamora FC Barinas II: the bet landed in 5 of 6 at home · Deportivo Lara: the bet landed in 5 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 71% · on half-time scores · Zamora FC Barinas II: only games against sides at Deportivo Lara's level · Deportivo Lara: only games against sides at Zamora FC Barinas II's level
Excluded Number of Goals - First Half: 2HELD · the odds board 83%
1.21
ZAM 4 of 6 (67%) · DEP 8 of 8 (100%)60.8%
Zamora FC Barinas II: the bet landed in 4 of 6 at home · Deportivo Lara: the bet landed in 8 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 85% · on half-time scores · Zamora FC Barinas II: only games against sides at Deportivo Lara's level · Deportivo Lara: only games against sides at Zamora FC Barinas II's level
OTHER
Zamora FC Barinas II Clean Sheet: NoIN CODES
1.19
ZAM 5 of 6 (83%) · DEP 8 of 8 (100%)91.1%
Zamora FC Barinas II: the bet landed in 5 of 6 at home · Deportivo Lara: the bet landed in 8 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 90% · Zamora FC Barinas II: only games against sides at Deportivo Lara's level · Deportivo Lara: only games against sides at Zamora FC Barinas II's level
GG/NG 2+: NoFULL COVERHELD · the odds board 89%
1.12
ZAM 5 of 6 (83%) · DEP 7 of 8 (88%)66.9%
Zamora FC Barinas II: the bet landed in 5 of 6 at home · Deportivo Lara: the bet landed in 7 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 84% · Zamora FC Barinas II: only games against sides at Deportivo Lara's level · Deportivo Lara: only games against sides at Zamora FC Barinas II's level
Left off the list: Deportivo Lara or Over 2.5 Goals (the numbers (68%) and the records (100%) are 32 points apart, and nothing settles it); Deportivo Lara (Draw No Bet) (the numbers (49%) and the records (61%) are on opposite sides, and nothing settles it); Deportivo Lara to Win (the numbers (36%) and the records (55%) are on opposite sides, and nothing settles it); Double Chance: Zamora FC Barinas II or Deportivo Lara (the numbers (74%) and the records (94%) are 20 points apart, and nothing settles it)
SCORELINES
Predicted score
Predicted score 1–2 8.3%
Zamora FC Barinas II goals →
Deportivo Lara goals ↓
0-06%
1-07%
2-06%
3-03%
4-01%
5-00.3%
0-17%
1-112%
2-19%
3-14%
4-12%
5-10.4%
0-26%
1-28%
2-26%
3-23%
4-21%
5-20.3%
0-33%
1-34%
2-33%
3-31%
4-30.5%
5-30.2%
0-40.9%
1-41%
2-41%
3-40.5%
4-40.2%
5-40.1%
0-50.3%
1-50.4%
2-50.3%
3-50.1%
4-50.1%
5-50.0%
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and an open game).
FORM · LAST 10
ZAMORA FC BARINAS IIWWWLLLWWLW1.80 PPG
DEPORTIVO LARADWWWLLWWWW2.20 PPG
THE NUMBERS
ZAMORA FC BARINAS II HOMExDEPORTIVO LARA AWAY
1.72SCORED A GAME1.751.53CONCEDED A GAME0.7560%BOTH SCORED40%20%CLEAN SHEETS60%4.70CORNERS A GAME4.812.67CARDS A GAME3.50
THE BANK
THE BANKER MENU
OVER 1.5 CARDS
–
718 OF 767
PRICE NOT KEPT
The Bank expects 4.5+ cards.
Other bets the bookie sells that won 9 times in 10 or more on games like this one, in each of three spells: 20-24 Oct, 25-29 Oct and 30 Oct-2 Nov. The price is low because the bookie expects it too. A bet with no price yet, or one under 1.09, is not in any code.
THE QUALITY READ
2.00POINTS A GAME2.29+0.89GOAL DIFFERENCE A GAME+1.36+1.4SHOTS FOR MINUS AGAINST+0.81.8LAST 5: POINTS A GAME2.09LEAGUE GAMES14
No quality side: neither club is ahead on more of these.
Each club's own league games in the Bank: points, goal difference, shots for and against, the last 5. A side ahead on most of them is the quality side; its bets show what they won on games like this from 6 Oct to 2 Nov.
THE BANK'S READ
OVER 1.5 GOALS
91%
VERY GOOD · 80/83
OVER 2.5 GOALS
72%
OKAY · 65/78
UNDER 4.5 GOALS
83%
NO · 85/90
ZAMORA FC BARINAS II OR DRAW
34%
NO · 80/85
DEPORTIVO LARA OR DRAW
61%
NO · 80/85
Each line from both sides' own league games this season, set against their league (9 and 14 games). The two numbers after each read are the line's okay and very good marks.
ZAMORA FC BARINAS IIxDEPORTIVO LARA
5GAMES81.60SCORED A GAME1.251.60CONCEDED A GAME0.503.2GOALS IN THEIR GAMES1.8100%OVER 1.5 GOALS50%80%OVER 2.5 GOALS25%60%BOTH SCORE25%3.2CARDS IN THEIR GAMES6.59.4CORNERS IN THEIR GAMES8.2
Each side's own league games in our bank before this game; "Home v Away" is the home side's home games and the away side's away games.
TRENDS
Zamora FC Barinas II have scored in 80% of their games.
Deportivo Lara have scored in 100% of their games.
Zamora FC Barinas II kept a clean sheet in 20% of their games.
Deportivo Lara kept a clean sheet in 60% of their games.
BUILT FROM
form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againstclean sheetsleague tablecornerscards