Haras El Hodood vs El Dakhleya Sc
Match details. 2. Division A, Regular Season - 12. Kick-off is Fri 13 Nov, 13:30 Lagos time. It is played at Harras El Hodood Stadium, Alexandria.
What's at stake. Haras El Hodood are 5th on 20 points after 11 games, 1 point behind Maleyet Kafr El Zayiat, level on points with AL Nasr SC. A win would take them above Maleyet Kafr El Zayiat. El Dakhleya Sc are 15th on 11 points after 11 games, 1 point behind Team, level on points with Proxy. A win would take them above Team.
Form. Haras El Hodood have won four, drawn five and lost one of their last ten league games, 1.7 points a game. Their last five in the league, newest first: L D D D W. In this competition Haras El Hodood have gone L D D D W D. El Dakhleya Sc have won two, drawn four and lost four of their last ten league games, 1.0 points a game. Their last five in the league, newest first: D D L L W. In this competition El Dakhleya Sc have gone D D L L W W.
The numbers. Haras El Hodood score 1.2 and concede 0.7 a game over their last ten, with five clean sheets and three games without a goal. Haras El Hodood average 5.5 corners and 3.3 cards a game. El Dakhleya Sc score one and concede 1.8 a game in their last five away, with one clean sheet and two games without a goal. El Dakhleya Sc average 3.0 corners and 1.7 cards a game.
Head to head. In the last eight meetings Haras El Hodood have won three, drawn one and lost four. Two of the eight went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in three. In the last four, Haras El Hodood won one, one was drawn and El Dakhleya Sc won two. The last time they met, on 6 Jun 2023, it finished Haras El Hodood 1-1 El Dakhleya Sc: Haras El Hodood had 11 shots to 13, 52% of the ball, four yellow cards.
Where it pulls both ways. Haras El Hodood are the form side, but the meetings favour El Dakhleya Sc: in the last eight meetings, Haras El Hodood won three, El Dakhleya Sc won four and one was drawn.
The read. A draw. A tight game. Little separates them, and both sides draw often. Their goals for and against point to a tight game. Their records put over 1.5 goals at 68%, over 2.5 at 48%, under 4.5 at 100%. Six of the last eight meetings went under 2.5.
The bets. Best bet: Under 3.5 Goals at 1.19, rated 76% (Haras El Hodood: under 3.5 goals in 9 of 10; El Dakhleya Sc: under 3.5 goals in 3 of 5 away). Full cover: Over 1.5 Goals at 1.41. Whenever the best bet loses, this one wins. Predicted score: Haras El Hodood 1-1 El Dakhleya Sc (13% chance).
The agreed story. No side to back (Haras El Hodood the favourite), a tight game.
The league run. Haras El Hodood: no win in their last three league games (L D D D W). El Dakhleya Sc: no win in their last three league games (D D L W D).
So. A close match: the safest pick that fits.
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and a tight game).