Malmo FF vs Ajax Amsterdam

Match details. UEFA Europa Cup, Women. Kick-off is Wed 11 Nov, 19:00 Lagos time.

Form. Malmo FF have won seven, drawn two and lost one of their last ten, 2.3 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D D W W W. Ajax Amsterdam have won six, drawn none and lost four of their last ten, 1.8 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W L L W L.

The numbers. Malmo FF score 2.2 and concede 0.6 a game in their last five at home, with three clean sheets. Malmo FF average 12.0 shots (5.1 on target), 4.8 corners and 1.2 cards a game. Ajax Amsterdam score three and concede 1.3 a game over their last ten, with three clean sheets. Ajax Amsterdam average 16.2 shots (6.8 on target), 6.0 corners and 0.8 cards a game.

The read. No side to back. An open game. Nothing separates them clearly enough to back a side. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 65%.

The bets. Best bet: Over 1.5 Goals at 1.18, rated 82% (Malmo FF: over 1.5 goals in 4 of 5 at home; Ajax Amsterdam: over 1.5 goals in 8 of 10). Full cover: GG/NG 2+: No at 1.19. Whenever the best bet loses, this one wins. Predicted score: Malmo FF 1-2 Ajax Amsterdam (8% chance).

The agreed story. No side to back (Ajax Amsterdam the favourite), an open game.

Cup and European games. A European night: sides from different leagues, and the two league tables cannot be compared. Too few European games on either side to read.

So. A close match: the safest pick that fits.