THE READ
Match details. FA Womens League Cup. Kick-off is Wed 11 Nov, 20:00 Lagos time.
Form. Tottenham Hotspur FC have won six, drawn one and lost three of their last ten, 1.9 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W W W L L. Crystal Palace have won three, drawn two and lost five of their last ten, 1.1 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W L L L L.
The numbers. Tottenham Hotspur FC score 1.6 and concede 1.8 a game in their last five at home, with two clean sheets. Tottenham Hotspur FC average 14.3 shots (5.3 on target), 5.7 corners and 1.7 cards a game. Crystal Palace score 1.8 and concede 2.6 a game in their last five away, with no clean sheets. Crystal Palace average 9.8 shots (3.9 on target), 4.9 corners and 1.4 cards a game.
Where it pulls both ways. The prices and the records disagree: the odds board makes it 86% against the records' 54%.
The read. No firm call: Tottenham Hotspur FC are the better side, but not at this price. An open game. Tottenham Hotspur FC are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour Tottenham Hotspur FC. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 83%.
The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Predicted score: Tottenham Hotspur FC 2-1 Crystal Palace (8% chance).
The agreed story. No side to back (Tottenham Hotspur FC the favourite), an open game.
Cup and European games. A domestic cup: sides rotate, and the two can come from different divisions. Crystal Palace in their last cup games: won 1-0 at Fulham, won 3-0 v Middlesbrough FC (a division below). Too few cup games to judge the side from.
So. A close match: the safest pick that fits.
PICKSONE LIST
RESULT
Draw or Over 2.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
TOT 7 of 7 (100%) · CRY 5 of 6 (83%)92.7%
Tottenham Hotspur FC: the bet landed in 7 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · Crystal Palace: the bet landed in 5 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 92% · Tottenham Hotspur FC: only games against sides at Crystal Palace's level · Crystal Palace: only games against sides at Tottenham Hotspur FC's level
Tottenham Hotspur FC or Both Teams ScorePAGE ONLY
no price yet
TOT 7 of 7 (100%) · CRY 6 of 6 (100%)82%
Tottenham Hotspur FC: the bet landed in 7 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · Crystal Palace: the bet landed in 6 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 100% · Tottenham Hotspur FC: only games against sides at Crystal Palace's level · Crystal Palace: only games against sides at Tottenham Hotspur FC's level
Tottenham Hotspur FC or Over 2.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
TOT 7 of 7 (100%) · CRY 5 of 6 (83%)73.7%
Tottenham Hotspur FC: the bet landed in 7 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · Crystal Palace: the bet landed in 5 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 92% · Tottenham Hotspur FC: only games against sides at Crystal Palace's level · Crystal Palace: only games against sides at Tottenham Hotspur FC's level
Crystal Palace (0:2 handicap)HELD · the odds board 45%
2.20
CRY 5 of 6 (83%) · TOT 4 of 7 (57%)70.2%
Crystal Palace: the bet landed in 5 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · Tottenham Hotspur FC: the bet landed in 4 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 70% · Crystal Palace: only games against sides at Tottenham Hotspur FC's level · Tottenham Hotspur FC: only games against sides at Crystal Palace's level
Crystal Palace or Over 2.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
CRY 4 of 6 (67%) · TOT 7 of 7 (100%)65.3%
Crystal Palace: the bet landed in 4 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · Tottenham Hotspur FC: the bet landed in 7 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 83% · Crystal Palace: only games against sides at Tottenham Hotspur FC's level · Tottenham Hotspur FC: only games against sides at Crystal Palace's level
Tottenham Hotspur FC or Draw (1UP)PAGE ONLY
no price yet
TOT 3 of 5 (60%) · CRY 5 of 7 (71%)59.1%
Tottenham Hotspur FC scored first 2 of last 5, led or was unbeaten in 3 · led or was unbeaten in 5 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · Crystal Palace trailed or failed to win in 6 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · Tottenham Hotspur FC: only games against sides at Crystal Palace's level · Crystal Palace: only games against sides at Tottenham Hotspur FC's level
Tottenham Hotspur FC 1UPPAGE ONLY
no price yet
TOT 3 of 5 (60%) · CRY 5 of 7 (71%)59.1%
Tottenham Hotspur FC scored first 2 of last 5, led in 3 · led in 5 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · Crystal Palace trailed in 6 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · Tottenham Hotspur FC: only games against sides at Crystal Palace's level · Crystal Palace: only games against sides at Tottenham Hotspur FC's level
Crystal Palace or Draw (1UP)PAGE ONLY
no price yet
CRY 4 of 5 (80%) · TOT 5 of 6 (83%)55.5%
Crystal Palace scored first 3 of last 5, led or was unbeaten in 4 · led or was unbeaten in 5 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · Tottenham Hotspur FC trailed or failed to win in 4 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · Crystal Palace: only games against sides at Tottenham Hotspur FC's level · Tottenham Hotspur FC: only games against sides at Crystal Palace's level
GOALS
no price yet
TOT 7 of 7 (100%) · CRY 6 of 6 (100%)97%
Tottenham Hotspur FC: over 0.5 goals in 7 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · Crystal Palace: over 0.5 goals in 6 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 100% · Tottenham Hotspur FC: only games against sides at Crystal Palace's level · Crystal Palace: only games against sides at Tottenham Hotspur FC's level
no price yet
TOT 7 of 7 (100%) · CRY 5 of 6 (83%)92.7%
Tottenham Hotspur FC: over 1.5 goals in 7 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · Crystal Palace: over 1.5 goals in 5 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 92% · Tottenham Hotspur FC: only games against sides at Crystal Palace's level · Crystal Palace: only games against sides at Tottenham Hotspur FC's level
1.36
TOT 7 of 7 (100%) · CRY 4 of 6 (67%)84.3%
Tottenham Hotspur FC: over 2.5 goals in 7 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · Crystal Palace: over 2.5 goals in 4 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 83% · Tottenham Hotspur FC: only games against sides at Crystal Palace's level · Crystal Palace: only games against sides at Tottenham Hotspur FC's level
BOTH TEAMS SCORE
Both Teams to Score - YesHELD · the odds board 56%
1.80
TOT 5 of 7 (71%) · CRY 5 of 6 (83%)78.4%
Tottenham Hotspur FC: both scored in 5 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · Crystal Palace: both scored in 5 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 77% · Tottenham Hotspur FC: only games against sides at Crystal Palace's level · Crystal Palace: only games against sides at Tottenham Hotspur FC's level
TOTTENHAM HOTSPUR FC GOALS
Tottenham Hotspur FC Over 0.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
TOT 7 of 7 (100%) · CRY 6 of 6 (100%)97%
Tottenham Hotspur FC scored in 7 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · Crystal Palace conceded in 6 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 100% · Tottenham Hotspur FC: only games against sides at Crystal Palace's level · Crystal Palace: only games against sides at Tottenham Hotspur FC's level
Tottenham Hotspur FC Over 1.5 GoalsLEANPAGE ONLY
no price yet
TOT 5 of 7 (71%) · CRY 4 of 6 (67%)51%
Tottenham Hotspur FC scored over 1.5 in 5 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · Crystal Palace conceded over 1.5 in 4 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 69% · Tottenham Hotspur FC: only games against sides at Crystal Palace's level · Crystal Palace: only games against sides at Tottenham Hotspur FC's level
CRYSTAL PALACE GOALS
Crystal Palace Over 0.5 GoalsIN CODES
1.67
CRY 5 of 6 (83%) · TOT 5 of 7 (71%)77.4%
Crystal Palace scored in 5 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · Tottenham Hotspur FC conceded in 5 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 77% · Crystal Palace: only games against sides at Tottenham Hotspur FC's level · Tottenham Hotspur FC: only games against sides at Crystal Palace's level
HALVES
1st Half Over 0.5 GoalsLEANPAGE ONLY
no price yet
TOT 5 of 7 (71%) · CRY 4 of 6 (67%)68.1%
Tottenham Hotspur FC: the bet landed in 5 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · Crystal Palace: the bet landed in 4 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 69% · on half-time scores · Tottenham Hotspur FC: only games against sides at Crystal Palace's level · Crystal Palace: only games against sides at Tottenham Hotspur FC's level
CARDS
no price yet
TOT 5 of 7 (71%) · CRY 5 of 6 (83%)77.4%
Tottenham Hotspur FC's games: over 1.5 cards in 5 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · Crystal Palace's games: over 1.5 cards in 5 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 77% · Tottenham Hotspur FC: only games against sides at Crystal Palace's level · Crystal Palace: only games against sides at Tottenham Hotspur FC's level
Left off the list: Over 8.5 Corners (the numbers (55%) and the records (84%) are 30 points apart, and nothing settles it)