NSNS

18:30Wed 11 Nov

NK Sampion Celje vs NK Smartno 1928

CLASS E

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THE READ

Match details. 3. SNL, East - 12. Kick-off is Wed 11 Nov, 18:30 Lagos time.

What's at stake. NK Sampion Celje are 14th on 5 points after 12 games, 4 points behind Limbuš Pekre. NK Smartno 1928 are 5th on 22 points after 12 games, 1 point behind Podvinci, 2 points clear of Videm. A win would take them above Podvinci.

Form. NK Sampion Celje have won one, drawn one and lost eight of their last ten league games, 0.4 points a game. Their last five in the league, newest first: D L L L L. In this competition NK Sampion Celje have gone D L L L L L. NK Smartno 1928 have won seven, drawn none and lost three of their last ten league games, 2.1 points a game. Their last five in the league, newest first: W L W L W. In this competition NK Smartno 1928 have gone W L W L W W.

The numbers. NK Sampion Celje score 0.8 and concede 2.2 a game over their last ten, with two clean sheets and seven games without a goal. NK Sampion Celje average 5.4 corners and 1.6 cards a game. NK Smartno 1928 score two and concede 3.7 a game in their last six away, with one clean sheet. NK Smartno 1928 average 2.8 corners and 3.0 cards a game.

The case against. NK Sampion Celje's record still gives them 27% to win.

The read. NK Smartno 1928 to win. An open game. NK Smartno 1928 are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour NK Smartno 1928. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 1.5 goals at 90%, over 2.5 at 75%, under 4.5 at 59%.

The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Predicted score: NK Sampion Celje 1-2 NK Smartno 1928 (8% chance).

The agreed story. NK Smartno 1928 or the draw, an open game.

So. A close match: the safest pick that fits.

PICKSONE LIST

RESULT

Draw or Over 2.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

NS 6 of 10 (60%) · NS 6 of 6 (100%)73.1%

NK Sampion Celje: the bet landed in 6 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · NK Smartno 1928: the bet landed in 6 of 6 away · both last 10: 80% · NK Sampion Celje: only games against sides at NK Smartno 1928's level · NK Smartno 1928: only games against sides at NK Sampion Celje's level

Double Chance: Draw or NK Smartno 1928LEANHELD · the odds board 88%

1.13

NS 3 of 6 (50%) · NS 9 of 10 (90%)66%

NK Smartno 1928 unbeaten in 3 of 6 away · NK Sampion Celje failed to win 9 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 80% · NK Smartno 1928: only games against sides at NK Sampion Celje's level · NK Sampion Celje: only games against sides at NK Smartno 1928's level

Double Chance: NK Sampion Celje or NK Smartno 1928HELD · the odds board 85%

1.17

NS 9 of 10 (90%) · NS 6 of 6 (100%)55.3%

NK Sampion Celje: the bet landed in 9 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · NK Smartno 1928: the bet landed in 6 of 6 away · both last 10: 95% · NK Sampion Celje: only games against sides at NK Smartno 1928's level · NK Smartno 1928: only games against sides at NK Sampion Celje's level

NK Smartno 1928 (Draw No Bet)LEANHELD · the odds board 84%

1.19

NS 3 of 6 (50%) · NS 8 of 9 (89%)53.3%

NK Smartno 1928 won 3 of 6 away (draws left out) · NK Sampion Celje lost 8 of 9 (last 10, all venues) (draws left out) · both last 10: 79% · NK Smartno 1928: only games against sides at NK Sampion Celje's level · NK Sampion Celje: only games against sides at NK Smartno 1928's level · won 5, refunded 0, lost 4

GOALS

Over 0.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

NS 9 of 10 (90%) · NS 6 of 6 (100%)93.1%

NK Sampion Celje: over 0.5 goals in 9 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · NK Smartno 1928: over 0.5 goals in 6 of 6 away · both last 10: 95% · NK Sampion Celje: only games against sides at NK Smartno 1928's level · NK Smartno 1928: only games against sides at NK Sampion Celje's level

Over 1.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

NS 8 of 10 (80%) · NS 6 of 6 (100%)78%

NK Sampion Celje: over 1.5 goals in 8 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · NK Smartno 1928: over 1.5 goals in 6 of 6 away · both last 10: 90% · NK Sampion Celje: only games against sides at NK Smartno 1928's level · NK Smartno 1928: only games against sides at NK Sampion Celje's level

Over 2.5 GoalsLEANHELD · the odds board 75%

1.33

NS 5 of 10 (50%) · NS 6 of 6 (100%)53.4%

NK Sampion Celje: over 2.5 goals in 5 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · NK Smartno 1928: over 2.5 goals in 6 of 6 away · both last 10: 75% · NK Sampion Celje: only games against sides at NK Smartno 1928's level · NK Smartno 1928: only games against sides at NK Sampion Celje's level

NK SMARTNO 1928 GOALS

NK Smartno 1928 Over 0.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

NS 5 of 6 (83%) · NS 8 of 10 (80%)75.9%

NK Smartno 1928 scored in 5 of 6 away · NK Sampion Celje conceded in 8 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 85% · NK Smartno 1928: only games against sides at NK Sampion Celje's level · NK Sampion Celje: only games against sides at NK Smartno 1928's level

HALVES

1st Half Over 0.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

NS 9 of 10 (90%) · NS 6 of 6 (100%)84.5%

NK Sampion Celje: the bet landed in 9 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · NK Smartno 1928: the bet landed in 6 of 6 away · both last 10: 95% · on half-time scores · NK Sampion Celje: only games against sides at NK Smartno 1928's level · NK Smartno 1928: only games against sides at NK Sampion Celje's level

Left off the list: NK Smartno 1928 or Over 2.5 Goals (the numbers (67%) and the records (95%) are 28 points apart, and nothing settles it)

SCORELINES

Predicted score

Predicted score 1–2 8.5%

NK Sampion Celje goals →

NK Smartno 1928 goals ↓

0-07%

1-08%

2-06%

3-03%

4-00.9%

5-00.2%

0-18%

1-113%

2-18%

3-14%

4-11%

5-10.3%

0-26%

1-29%

2-26%

3-23%

4-20.9%

5-20.2%

0-33%

1-34%

2-33%

3-31%

4-30.4%

5-30.1%

0-41%

1-41%

2-41.0%

3-40.4%

4-40.1%

5-40.0%

0-50.3%

1-50.4%

2-50.3%

3-50.1%

4-50.0%

5-50.0%

Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and an open game).

FORM · LAST 10

NK SAMPION CELJELWLLLLLLLD0.40 PPG

NK SMARTNO 1928WWLWWWLWLW2.10 PPG

THE NUMBERS

NK SAMPION CELJE HOMExNK SMARTNO 1928 AWAY

0.80SCORED A GAME2.902.20CONCEDED A GAME2.4020%CLEAN SHEETS30%58%FAILED TO SCORE17%5.38CORNERS A GAME2.751.63CARDS A GAME3.00

THE BANK

THE BANKER MENU

OVER 1.5 CARDS

–

543 OF 573

PRICE NOT KEPT

Both sides' last 5 games point to 5.2+ cards.

Other bets the bookie sells that won 9 times in 10 or more on games like this one, in each of three spells: 20-24 Oct, 25-29 Oct and 30 Oct-2 Nov. The price is low because the bookie expects it too. A bet with no price yet, or one under 1.09, is not in any code.

TRENDS

NK Sampion Celje have scored in 30% of their games.

NK Smartno 1928 have scored in 90% of their games.

NK Sampion Celje kept a clean sheet in 20% of their games.

NK Smartno 1928 kept a clean sheet in 30% of their games.

BUILT FROM

form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againstclean sheetsleague tablecornerscards