FK Babrungas Plunge vs FK Minija 2017
Match details. 1 Lyga, Final. Kick-off is Wed 11 Nov, 17:30 Lagos time. It is played at Gargzdu arena, Gargzdai.
What's at stake. FK Babrungas Plunge are 2nd on 74 points after 30 games, level on points with Minija, 15 points clear of Be1 NFA. A win would take them above Minija. FK Minija 2017 are 1st on 74 points after 30 games, level on points with Babrungas. It is one game, with penalties if it is level.
Form. FK Babrungas Plunge have won seven, drawn two and lost one of their last ten league games, 2.3 points a game. Their last five in the league, newest first: W D W W W. In this competition FK Babrungas Plunge have gone W D W W W W. FK Minija 2017 have won seven, drawn one and lost two of their last ten league games, 2.2 points a game. Their last five in the league, newest first: W D W L L. In this competition FK Minija 2017 have gone W D W L L W.
The numbers. FK Babrungas Plunge score 2.8 and concede 0.8 a game in their last five at home, with two clean sheets. FK Babrungas Plunge average 5.3 corners and 1.6 cards a game. FK Minija 2017 score 2.6 and concede 1.1 a game over their last ten, with four clean sheets. FK Minija 2017 average 8.0 corners and 1.6 cards a game.
Head to head. In the last ten meetings FK Babrungas Plunge have won seven, drawn three and lost none. Four of the ten went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in four. In the last four, FK Babrungas Plunge won four. The last time they met, on 17 Oct 2026, it finished FK Babrungas Plunge 3-2 FK Minija 2017.
Where it pulls both ways. The prices and the records disagree: the odds board makes it 34% against the records' 57%.
The read. No firm call: FK Babrungas Plunge are the better side, but not at this price. An open game. Their goals for and against make FK Babrungas Plunge the likelier winners; both teams' records favour FK Babrungas Plunge; the meetings favour FK Babrungas Plunge.
The bets. No best bet on this one: too close to call. Predicted score: FK Babrungas Plunge 1-1 FK Minija 2017 (12% chance).
The agreed story. FK Babrungas Plunge or the draw, an open game.
The league run. FK Minija 2017: up and down in the league (W D W L L).
So. A close match: the safest pick that fits.
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the Model's table).