Mega Sport Belqas vs El Sekka El Hadid
Match details. 2. Division A, Regular Season - 12. Kick-off is Thu 12 Nov, 13:30 Lagos time.
What's at stake. Mega Sport Belqas are 20th on 4 points after 11 games, 3 points behind Dayrout. A win would take them level on points with Dayrout. El Sekka El Hadid are 8th on 18 points after 11 games, 1 point behind Itesalat, 1 point clear of AL Nasr SC. A win would take them above Itesalat.
Form. Mega Sport Belqas have won none, drawn three and lost seven of their last ten league games, 0.3 points a game. Their last five in the league, newest first: D D L L L. In this competition Mega Sport Belqas have gone D D L L L L. El Sekka El Hadid have won five, drawn three and lost two of their last ten league games, 1.8 points a game. Their last five in the league, newest first: W W D D W. In this competition El Sekka El Hadid have gone W W D D W L.
The numbers. Mega Sport Belqas score 1.2 and concede 1.8 a game in their last five at home, with no clean sheets. El Sekka El Hadid score two and concede 1.8 a game in their last five away, with no clean sheets.
The read. El Sekka El Hadid to win. An open game. El Sekka El Hadid are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour El Sekka El Hadid. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 1.5 goals at 87%, over 2.5 at 63%, under 4.5 at 82%.
The bets. Best bet: Over 1.5 Goals at 1.39, rated 76% (Mega Sport Belqas: over 1.5 goals in 4 of 5 at home; El Sekka El Hadid: over 1.5 goals in 5 of 5 away). Backup: Mega Sport Belqas or El Sekka El Hadid at 1.33. It often rescues the bet, but it is no guarantee. Predicted score: Mega Sport Belqas 1-2 El Sekka El Hadid (9% chance).
The agreed story. El Sekka El Hadid or the draw, an open game.
The league run. Mega Sport Belqas: no win in their last three league games (D D L L L). El Sekka El Hadid: unbeaten in their last five league games (W W D D W).
So. A close match: the safest pick that fits.
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and an open game).