Match details. J.League Cup, Quarter-finals. Kick-off is Wed 11 Nov, 11:30 Lagos time. It is played at Saitama Stadium.
What's at stake. It is one game, with penalties if it is level.
Form. Urawa Red Diamonds have won seven, drawn one and lost two of their last ten, 2.2 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D L W W W. In this competition Urawa Red Diamonds have gone W W. Cerezo Osaka have won five, drawn three and lost two of their last ten, 1.8 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W L W D D.
The numbers. Urawa Red Diamonds score two and concede 1.6 a game over their last ten, with three clean sheets and two games without a goal. Urawa Red Diamonds average 18.3 shots (4.5 on target), 6.7 corners and 0.8 cards a game, with 59% of the ball. Cerezo Osaka score 2.2 and concede 1.8 a game in their last six away, with no clean sheets. Cerezo Osaka average 11.6 shots (4.8 on target), 3.9 corners and 2.5 cards a game.
Head to head. In the last ten meetings Urawa Red Diamonds have won one, drawn three and lost six. Three of the ten went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in four. In the last four, two were drawn and Cerezo Osaka won two. The last time they met, on 28 May 2025, it finished Urawa Red Diamonds 0-0 Cerezo Osaka: Urawa Red Diamonds had 11 shots to 19, 40% of the ball, two yellow cards.
Where it pulls both ways. Urawa Red Diamonds are the form side, but the meetings favour Cerezo Osaka: in the last ten meetings, Urawa Red Diamonds won one, Cerezo Osaka won six and three were drawn.
The read. No side to back. An open game. Form and the meetings point different ways, so I back neither side.
The bets. Best bet: Urawa Red Diamonds Under 3.5 Goals at 1.10, rated 90%. Full cover: Draw or Over 2.5 Goals at 1.24. Whenever the best bet loses, this one wins. Predicted score: Urawa Red Diamonds 1-1 Cerezo Osaka (8% chance).
The agreed story. No side to back (Urawa Red Diamonds the favourite), an open game.
Cup and European games. A domestic cup: sides rotate, and the two can come from different divisions. Urawa Red Diamonds in their last cup games: won 2-1 at Nagoya Grampus, won 4-0 at Yokohama FC (a division below), won 3-2 v RB Omiya Ardija (a division below). Cerezo Osaka in their last cup games: won 3-1 at Mito Hollyhock, won 3-2 at Gainare Tottori (2 divisions below), won 2-0 v Kagoshima United (2 divisions below).
So. A close match: the safest pick that fits.
PICKSONE LIST
RESULT
Urawa Red Diamonds to Win to Nil: NoIN CODES
1.23
URA 7 of 10 (70%) · CER 6 of 6 (100%)88.8%
Urawa Red Diamonds: the bet landed in 7 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Cerezo Osaka: the bet landed in 6 of 6 away · both last 10: 85% · H2H 6 of 6
Urawa Red Diamonds to Win Both Halves: NoPAGE ONLY
1.13
URA 9 of 10 (90%) · CER 5 of 6 (83%)87%
Urawa Red Diamonds: the bet landed in 9 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Cerezo Osaka: the bet landed in 5 of 6 away · both last 10: 85% · H2H 6 of 6 · on half-time scores
Draw or Over 2.5 GoalsFULL COVERIN CODES
1.24
URA 8 of 10 (80%) · CER 6 of 6 (100%)83.9%
Urawa Red Diamonds: the bet landed in 8 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Cerezo Osaka: the bet landed in 6 of 6 away · both last 10: 85% · H2H 4 of 6
Cerezo Osaka win or both teams scoreIN CODES
1.30
CER 6 of 6 (100%) · URA 7 of 10 (70%)65.3%
Cerezo Osaka: the bet landed in 6 of 6 away · Urawa Red Diamonds: the bet landed in 7 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 80% · H2H 5 of 6
Cerezo Osaka or Over 2.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
1.36
CER 5 of 6 (83%) · URA 8 of 10 (80%)64%
Cerezo Osaka: the bet landed in 5 of 6 away · Urawa Red Diamonds: the bet landed in 8 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 80% · H2H 4 of 6
Urawa Red Diamonds or Over 2.5 GoalsLEANPAGE ONLY
1.26
URA 10 of 10 (100%) · CER 5 of 6 (83%)59.8%
Urawa Red Diamonds: the bet landed in 10 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Cerezo Osaka: the bet landed in 5 of 6 away · both last 10: 85% · H2H 2 of 6
Urawa Red Diamonds or Both Teams ScoreHELD · the odds board 88%
1.13
URA 8 of 10 (80%) · CER 6 of 6 (100%)59.5%
Urawa Red Diamonds: the bet landed in 8 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Cerezo Osaka: the bet landed in 6 of 6 away · both last 10: 80% · H2H 3 of 6
Cerezo Osaka or Draw (1UP)IN CODES
1.51
CER 4 of 5 (80%) · URA 5 of 6 (83%)53.1%
Cerezo Osaka scored first 3 of last 5, led or was unbeaten in 4 · led or was unbeaten in 5 of 6 away · Urawa Red Diamonds trailed or failed to win in 5 of 10 (last 10, all venues)
GOALS
Over 1.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
1.18
URA 8 of 10 (80%) · CER 6 of 6 (100%)90.4%
Urawa Red Diamonds: over 1.5 goals in 8 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Cerezo Osaka: over 1.5 goals in 6 of 6 away · both last 10: 85% · H2H 4 of 6
Over 2.5 GoalsLEANPAGE ONLY
1.58
URA 8 of 10 (80%) · CER 5 of 6 (83%)78.2%
Urawa Red Diamonds: over 2.5 goals in 8 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Cerezo Osaka: over 2.5 goals in 5 of 6 away · both last 10: 75% · H2H 2 of 6
BOTH TEAMS SCORE
Both Teams to Score - YesLEANPAGE ONLY
1.53
URA 5 of 10 (50%) · CER 6 of 6 (100%)67.3%
Urawa Red Diamonds: both scored in 5 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Cerezo Osaka: both scored in 6 of 6 away · both last 10: 65% · H2H 3 of 6
URAWA RED DIAMONDS GOALS
Urawa Red Diamonds Over 0.5 goalsPAGE ONLY
1.14
URA 8 of 10 (80%) · CER 6 of 6 (100%)77.5%
Urawa Red Diamonds scored in 8 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Cerezo Osaka conceded in 6 of 6 away · both last 10: 80% · H2H 3 of 6
CEREZO OSAKA GOALS
Cerezo Osaka Over 0.5 goalsIN CODES
1.32
CER 6 of 6 (100%) · URA 7 of 10 (70%)83.3%
Cerezo Osaka scored in 6 of 6 away · Urawa Red Diamonds conceded in 7 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 80% · H2H 5 of 6
HALVES
2nd Half - Over/Under: Over 0.5PAGE ONLY
1.17
URA 10 of 10 (100%) · CER 6 of 6 (100%)91.6%
Urawa Red Diamonds: the bet landed in 10 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Cerezo Osaka: the bet landed in 6 of 6 away · both last 10: 95% · H2H 3 of 6 · on half-time scores
Over 0.5 first-half goalsPAGE ONLY
1.28
URA 6 of 10 (60%) · CER 6 of 6 (100%)77.3%
Urawa Red Diamonds: the bet landed in 6 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Cerezo Osaka: the bet landed in 6 of 6 away · both last 10: 75% · H2H 5 of 6 · on half-time scores
1st Half - GG/NG: NoPAGE ONLY
1.27
URA 9 of 10 (90%) · CER 4 of 6 (67%)73.4%
Urawa Red Diamonds: the bet landed in 9 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Cerezo Osaka: the bet landed in 4 of 6 away · both last 10: 80% · H2H 6 of 6 · on half-time scores
Excluded Number of Goals - First Half: 2HELD · the odds board 80%
1.25
URA 9 of 10 (90%) · CER 6 of 6 (100%)57%
Urawa Red Diamonds: the bet landed in 9 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Cerezo Osaka: the bet landed in 6 of 6 away · both last 10: 95% · H2H 5 of 6 · on half-time scores
Both Halves Over 1.5: NoLEANHELD · the odds board 82%
1.22
URA 9 of 10 (90%) · CER 5 of 6 (83%)51.1%
Urawa Red Diamonds: the bet landed in 9 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Cerezo Osaka: the bet landed in 5 of 6 away · both last 10: 85% · H2H 6 of 6 · on half-time scores
CORNERS
Over 5.5 CornersPAGE ONLY
no price yet
URA 6 of 6 (100%) · CER 3 of 6 (50%)58.7%
Urawa Red Diamonds's games: over 5.5 corners in 6 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · Cerezo Osaka's games: over 5.5 corners in 3 of 6 away · both last 10: 80%
CARDS
Over 1.5 CardsLEANPAGE ONLY
no price yet
URA 3 of 6 (50%) · CER 5 of 6 (83%)67.8%
Urawa Red Diamonds's games: over 1.5 cards in 3 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · Cerezo Osaka's games: over 1.5 cards in 5 of 6 away · both last 10: 70%
OTHER
Urawa Red Diamonds To Score 3 or More Goals in a Row: NoIN CODES
1.19
URA 5 of 5 (100%) · CER 9 of 10 (90%)96.7%
Urawa Red Diamonds scored first 3 of last 5, never scored 3 in a row in 5 · never scored 3 in a row in 9 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Cerezo Osaka never conceded 3 in a row in 6 of 6 away
Urawa Red Diamonds to lead by 3 Goals at any time: NoIN CODES
1.15
URA 5 of 5 (100%) · CER 9 of 10 (90%)91.1%
Urawa Red Diamonds scored first 3 of last 5, never led by 3 in 5 · never led by 3 in 9 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Cerezo Osaka never trailed by 3 in 5 of 6 away
Urawa Red Diamonds to lead by 2 Goals at any time: NoIN CODES
1.49
URA 4 of 5 (80%) · CER 7 of 10 (70%)77.8%
Urawa Red Diamonds scored first 3 of last 5, never led by 2 in 4 · never led by 2 in 7 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Cerezo Osaka never trailed by 2 in 5 of 6 away
Cerezo Osaka to lead by 2 Goals at any time: NoLEANPAGE ONLY
1.17
CER 3 of 5 (60%) · URA 4 of 6 (67%)68.9%
Cerezo Osaka scored first 3 of last 5, never led by 2 in 3 · never led by 2 in 4 of 6 away · Urawa Red Diamonds never trailed by 2 in 8 of 10 (last 10, all venues)
Cerezo Osaka To Score 2 or More Goals in a Row: NoLEANPAGE ONLY
1.31
CER 3 of 5 (60%) · URA 4 of 6 (67%)65.6%
Cerezo Osaka scored first 3 of last 5, never scored 2 in a row in 3 · never scored 2 in a row in 4 of 6 away · Urawa Red Diamonds never conceded 2 in a row in 7 of 10 (last 10, all venues)
Urawa Red Diamonds To Score 2 or More Goals in a Row: NoLEANPAGE ONLY
1.76
URA 3 of 5 (60%) · CER 5 of 10 (50%)64.4%
Urawa Red Diamonds scored first 3 of last 5, never scored 2 in a row in 3 · never scored 2 in a row in 5 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Cerezo Osaka never conceded 2 in a row in 5 of 6 away
Any Team To Score 2 or More Goals in a Row: YesLEANPAGE ONLY
1.52
URA 3 of 5 (60%) · CER 7 of 10 (70%)61%
Urawa Red Diamonds scored first 3 of last 5, a side scored 2 in a row in 3 · a side scored 2 in a row in 7 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Cerezo Osaka a side scored 2 in a row in 3 of 6 away
SCORELINES
Predicted score
Predicted score 1–18.4%
Urawa Red Diamonds goals →
Cerezo Osaka goals ↓
0-03%
1-04%
2-04%
3-03%
4-01%
5-00.5%
0-14%
1-18%
2-18%
3-15%
4-13%
5-11.0%
0-24%
1-27%
2-27%
3-25%
4-22%
5-20.9%
0-32%
1-35%
2-35%
3-33%
4-31%
5-30.6%
0-41%
1-42%
2-42%
3-41%
4-40.7%
5-40.3%
0-50.4%
1-50.8%
2-50.8%
3-50.5%
4-50.3%
5-50.1%
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (a tight game).
FORM · LAST 10
URAWA RED DIAMONDSWWWLWWWWLD2.20 PPG
CEREZO OSAKAWWDWLDDWLW1.80 PPG
THE NUMBERS
URAWA RED DIAMONDS HOMExCEREZO OSAKA AWAY
2.00SCORED A GAME1.901.60CONCEDED A GAME1.7030%CLEAN SHEETS20%0%FAILED TO SCORE0%6.67CORNERS A GAME3.900.83CARDS A GAME2.50
THE BANK
THE QUALITY READ
1.57POINTS A GAME1.21-0.43GOAL DIFFERENCE A GAME-0.64+1.5SHOTS FOR MINUS AGAINST+0.92.0LAST 5: POINTS A GAME1.014LEAGUE GAMES14
Urawa Red Diamonds: the quality side - better form (last 5).
Each club's own league games in the Bank: points, goal difference, shots for and against, the last 5. A side ahead on most of them is the quality side; its bets show what they won on games like this from 6 Oct to 2 Nov.
THE BANK'S READ
OVER 1.5 GOALS
96%
VERY GOOD · 80/83
OVER 2.5 GOALS
86%
VERY GOOD · 65/78
UNDER 4.5 GOALS
64%
NO · 85/90
URAWA RED DIAMONDS OR DRAW
79%
NO · 80/85
CEREZO OSAKA OR DRAW
35%
NO · 80/85
Each line from both sides' own league games this season, set against their league (14 and 14 games). The two numbers after each read are the line's okay and very good marks.
URAWA RED DIAMONDSxCEREZO OSAKA
6GAMES72.00SCORED A GAME1.001.83CONCEDED A GAME2.573.8GOALS IN THEIR GAMES3.683%OVER 1.5 GOALS86%83%OVER 2.5 GOALS57%83%BOTH SCORE71%3.2CARDS IN THEIR GAMES5.010.0CORNERS IN THEIR GAMES9.8
Each side's own league games in our bank before this game; "Home v Away" is the home side's home games and the away side's away games.