SPAIN - SEGUNDA FEDERACION
19:30Wed 11 Nov
ELC
EI
CD Alcoyano vs Elche Ilicitano CF
CLASS E
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Match details. Segunda Federacion. Kick-off is Wed 11 Nov, 19:30 Lagos time.
Form. CD Alcoyano have won four, drawn three and lost three of their last ten, 1.5 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W D L L W. Elche Ilicitano CF have won two, drawn two and lost six of their last ten, 0.8 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D L L W L.
The numbers. CD Alcoyano score 1.2 and concede 1.3 a game over their last ten, with three clean sheets and three games without a goal. CD Alcoyano average 10.4 shots (4.0 on target), 5.8 corners and 3.2 cards a game. Elche Ilicitano CF score 0.6 and concede 1.8 a game in their last five away, with no clean sheets and three games without a goal. Elche Ilicitano CF average 9.9 shots (4.2 on target), 3.8 corners and 3.7 cards a game.
Where it pulls both ways. It pulls both ways: their goals for and against make Elche Ilicitano CF the likelier winners, but CD Alcoyano are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour CD Alcoyano. On goals, their goals for and against point to an open game; their records put over 1.5 goals at 71%, over 2.5 at 44%, under 4.5 at 84%.
The read. No side to back. Nothing separates them clearly enough to back a side.
The bets. No best bet on this one: too close to call. Predicted score: CD Alcoyano 1-1 Elche Ilicitano CF (12% chance).
The agreed story. CD Alcoyano or the draw, goals in between.
The league run. CD Alcoyano: up and down in the league (W D L L W). Elche Ilicitano CF: no win in their last three league games (D L L L L).
So. A close match: the safest pick that fits.
PICKSONE LIST
RESULT
CD Alcoyano or Under 2.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
CDA 4 of 5 (80%) · ELC 4 of 5 (80%)60%
CD Alcoyano: the bet landed in 4 of 5 (last 10, all venues) · Elche Ilicitano CF: the bet landed in 4 of 5 away · both last 10: 73% · CD Alcoyano: only games against sides at Elche Ilicitano CF's level · Elche Ilicitano CF: only games in CD Alcoyano's division
Draw or Over 2.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
CDA 4 of 5 (80%) · ELC 3 of 5 (60%)51.5%
CD Alcoyano: the bet landed in 4 of 5 (last 10, all venues) · Elche Ilicitano CF: the bet landed in 3 of 5 away · both last 10: 73% · CD Alcoyano: only games against sides at Elche Ilicitano CF's level · Elche Ilicitano CF: only games in CD Alcoyano's division
Draw or Under 2.5 GoalsLEANPAGE ONLY
no price yet
CDA 3 of 5 (60%) · ELC 4 of 5 (80%)47%
CD Alcoyano: the bet landed in 3 of 5 (last 10, all venues) · Elche Ilicitano CF: the bet landed in 4 of 5 away · both last 10: 55% · CD Alcoyano: only games against sides at Elche Ilicitano CF's level · Elche Ilicitano CF: only games in CD Alcoyano's division
CD Alcoyano or Over 2.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
CDA 3 of 5 (60%) · ELC 4 of 5 (80%)45%
CD Alcoyano: the bet landed in 3 of 5 (last 10, all venues) · Elche Ilicitano CF: the bet landed in 4 of 5 away · both last 10: 72% · CD Alcoyano: only games against sides at Elche Ilicitano CF's level · Elche Ilicitano CF: only games in CD Alcoyano's division
GOALS
Over 0.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
CDA 5 of 5 (100%) · ELC 5 of 5 (100%)93.6%
CD Alcoyano: over 0.5 goals in 5 of 5 (last 10, all venues) · Elche Ilicitano CF: over 0.5 goals in 5 of 5 away · both last 10: 100% · CD Alcoyano: only games against sides at Elche Ilicitano CF's level · Elche Ilicitano CF: only games in CD Alcoyano's division
Under 4.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
CDA 4 of 5 (80%) · ELC 5 of 5 (100%)83.2%
CD Alcoyano: under 4.5 goals in 4 of 5 (last 10, all venues) · Elche Ilicitano CF: under 4.5 goals in 5 of 5 away · both last 10: 73% · CD Alcoyano: only games against sides at Elche Ilicitano CF's level · Elche Ilicitano CF: only games in CD Alcoyano's division
Under 3.5 GoalsLEANPAGE ONLY
no price yet
CDA 4 of 5 (80%) · ELC 3 of 5 (60%)69%
CD Alcoyano: under 3.5 goals in 4 of 5 (last 10, all venues) · Elche Ilicitano CF: under 3.5 goals in 3 of 5 away · both last 10: 57% · CD Alcoyano: only games against sides at Elche Ilicitano CF's level · Elche Ilicitano CF: only games in CD Alcoyano's division
Over 1.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
CDA 4 of 5 (80%) · ELC 3 of 5 (60%)60.6%
CD Alcoyano: over 1.5 goals in 4 of 5 (last 10, all venues) · Elche Ilicitano CF: over 1.5 goals in 3 of 5 away · both last 10: 73% · CD Alcoyano: only games against sides at Elche Ilicitano CF's level · Elche Ilicitano CF: only games in CD Alcoyano's division
CD ALCOYANO GOALS
CD Alcoyano Over 0.5 GoalsLEANPAGE ONLY
no price yet
CDA 4 of 5 (80%) · ELC 5 of 5 (100%)65.3%
CD Alcoyano scored in 4 of 5 (last 10, all venues) · Elche Ilicitano CF conceded in 5 of 5 away · both last 10: 82% · CD Alcoyano: only games against sides at Elche Ilicitano CF's level · Elche Ilicitano CF: only games in CD Alcoyano's division
HALVES
1st Half Under 2.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
CDA 4 of 5 (80%) · ELC 5 of 5 (100%)90.4%
CD Alcoyano: the bet landed in 4 of 5 (last 10, all venues) · Elche Ilicitano CF: the bet landed in 5 of 5 away · both last 10: 82% · on half-time scores · CD Alcoyano: only games against sides at Elche Ilicitano CF's level · Elche Ilicitano CF: only games in CD Alcoyano's division
1st Half Elche Ilicitano CF to Win to Nil: NoPAGE ONLY
1.11
CDA 4 of 5 (80%) · ELC 4 of 5 (80%)86.8%
CD Alcoyano: the bet landed in 4 of 5 (last 10, all venues) · Elche Ilicitano CF: the bet landed in 4 of 5 away · both last 10: 82% · on half-time scores · CD Alcoyano: only games against sides at Elche Ilicitano CF's level · Elche Ilicitano CF: only games in CD Alcoyano's division
1st Half Under 1.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
CDA 4 of 5 (80%) · ELC 5 of 5 (100%)70.5%
CD Alcoyano: the bet landed in 4 of 5 (last 10, all venues) · Elche Ilicitano CF: the bet landed in 5 of 5 away · both last 10: 73% · on half-time scores · CD Alcoyano: only games against sides at Elche Ilicitano CF's level · Elche Ilicitano CF: only games in CD Alcoyano's division
CORNERS
Over 7.5 CornersPAGE ONLY
no price yet
CDA 6 of 9 (67%) · ELC 5 of 5 (100%)88.3%
CD Alcoyano's games: over 7.5 corners in 6 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · Elche Ilicitano CF's games: over 7.5 corners in 5 of 5 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 83% · CD Alcoyano: only games in Elche Ilicitano CF's division · Elche Ilicitano CF: only games against sides at CD Alcoyano's level
CARDS
Over 3.5 CardsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
CDA 9 of 9 (100%) · ELC 5 of 5 (100%)97%
CD Alcoyano's games: over 3.5 cards in 9 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · Elche Ilicitano CF's games: over 3.5 cards in 5 of 5 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 100% · CD Alcoyano: only games in Elche Ilicitano CF's division · Elche Ilicitano CF: only games against sides at CD Alcoyano's level
Left off the list: CD Alcoyano or Both Teams Score (the numbers (65%) and the records (87%) are 22 points apart, and nothing settles it)
SCORELINES
Predicted score
Predicted score 1–1 11.7%
CD Alcoyano goals →
Elche Ilicitano CF goals ↓
0-07%
1-06%
2-03%
3-01%
4-00.3%
5-00.1%
0-110%
1-112%
2-16%
3-12%
4-10.5%
5-10.1%
0-29%
1-210%
2-25%
3-22%
4-20.5%
5-20.1%
0-35%
1-36%
2-33%
3-31%
4-30.3%
5-30.1%
0-42%
1-43%
2-41%
3-40.5%
4-40.1%
5-40.0%
0-50.9%
1-50.9%
2-50.5%
3-50.2%
4-50.0%
5-50.0%
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the Model's table).
FORM · LAST 10
CD ALCOYANOWDLLWWWLDD1.50 PPG
ELCHE ILICITANO CFDLLWLLWLDL0.80 PPG
THE NUMBERS
CD ALCOYANO HOMExELCHE ILICITANO CF AWAY
1.22SCORED A GAME1.111.33CONCEDED A GAME2.2230%CLEAN SHEETS10%5.75CORNERS A GAME3.753.22CARDS A GAME3.67
THE BANK
THE BANKER MENU
OVER 1.5 CARDS
–
649 OF 684
PRICE NOT KEPT
The league averages 5.0+ cards a game.
CD ALCOYANO OR DRAW (1UP)
–
137 OF 146
PRICE NOT KEPT
The tips call a clear winner and every tip has the favourite winning by 2+.
OVER 2.5 CARDS
–
258 OF 280
PRICE NOT KEPT
The league averages 5.0+ cards a game and the Bank expects 4.5+ cards.
Other bets the bookie sells that won 9 times in 10 or more on games like this one, in each of three spells: 20-24 Oct, 25-29 Oct and 30 Oct-2 Nov. The price is low because the bookie expects it too. A bet with no price yet, or one under 1.09, is not in any code.
THE QUALITY READ
1.56POINTS A GAME0.62-0.11GOAL DIFFERENCE A GAME-1.62+2.9SHOTS FOR MINUS AGAINST-7.01.4LAST 5: POINTS A GAME0.29LEAGUE GAMES8
CD Alcoyano: the quality side - more points a game, a better goal difference, more shots than it allows, better form (last 5).
CD ALCOYANO 2:0 HANDICAP
–
389 OF 413
PRICE NOT KEPT
Each club's own league games in the Bank: points, goal difference, shots for and against, the last 5. A side ahead on most of them is the quality side; its bets show what they won on games like this from 6 Oct to 2 Nov.
THE BANK'S READ
OVER 1.5 GOALS
79%
NO · 80/83
OVER 2.5 GOALS
30%
NO · 65/78
UNDER 4.5 GOALS
82%
NO · 85/90
CD ALCOYANO OR DRAW
95%
VERY GOOD · 80/85
ELCHE ILICITANO CF OR DRAW
44%
NO · 80/85
Each line from both sides' own league games this season, set against their league (9 and 8 games). The two numbers after each read are the line's okay and very good marks.
CD ALCOYANOxELCHE ILICITANO CF
5GAMES51.20SCORED A GAME0.801.60CONCEDED A GAME3.402.8GOALS IN THEIR GAMES4.280%OVER 1.5 GOALS80%20%OVER 2.5 GOALS80%40%BOTH SCORE60%–CARDS IN THEIR GAMES––CORNERS IN THEIR GAMES–
Each side's own league games in our bank before this game; "Home v Away" is the home side's home games and the away side's away games.
TRENDS
CD Alcoyano have scored in 70% of their games.
Elche Ilicitano CF have scored in 70% of their games.
CD Alcoyano kept a clean sheet in 30% of their games.
Elche Ilicitano CF kept a clean sheet in 10% of their games.
BUILT FROM
form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againstclean sheetsleague tablecornerscards