MALMLT

18:30Thu 12 Nov

SWZ

ESW

Malta vs Eswatini

CLASS A

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THE READ

Match details. This is an international friendly. Kick-off is Thu 12 Nov, 18:30 Lagos time.

What's at stake. It is a friendly, so no points ride on it.

Form. Malta have won three, drawn two and lost five of their last ten, 1.1 points a game. Their last five show W D W L L. Eswatini have won none, drawn four and lost six of their last ten, 0.4 points a game. Their last five show L L L D L.

The numbers. Malta score 0.8 and concede two a game in their last five at home, with one clean sheet and two games without a goal. They average 10.8 shots (4.5 on target), 3.6 corners and 2.5 cards a game, with 47% of the ball. Eswatini score 0.2 and concede 2.2 a game in their last five away, with no clean sheets and four games without a goal. Eswatini average 6.4 shots (2.7 on target), 2.4 corners and 1.7 cards.

The case against. Eswatini's record still gives them 37% to win.

The read. Malta to win. A mixed game. Their goals for and against make Malta the likelier winners; Malta are the stronger side on form and the table.

The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Predicted score: Malta 1-0 Eswatini (14% chance).

The agreed story. Malta or the draw, a mixed game.

PICKSONE LIST

RESULT

1st Half - Double Chance: Malta or DrawPAGE ONLY

1.13

MLT 4 of 5 (80%) · SWZ 5 of 5 (100%)73.2%

Malta: the bet landed in 4 of 5 at home · Eswatini: the bet landed in 5 of 5 away · both last 10: 79% · on half-time scores · each game weighed by who it was against

Malta or Both Teams ScoreLEANPAGE ONLY

1.17

MLT 3 of 5 (60%) · SWZ 5 of 5 (100%)70%

Malta: the bet landed in 3 of 5 at home · Eswatini: the bet landed in 5 of 5 away · both last 10: 68% · each game weighed by who it was against

No Draw Both Teams To Score Yes/No: NoIN CODES

1.29

MLT 4 of 5 (80%) · SWZ 5 of 5 (100%)67.3%

Malta: the bet landed in 4 of 5 at home · Eswatini: the bet landed in 5 of 5 away · both last 10: 83% · each game weighed by who it was against

Draw or Any Clean Sheet: YesIN CODES

1.29

MLT 4 of 5 (80%) · SWZ 5 of 5 (100%)67.3%

Malta: the bet landed in 4 of 5 at home · Eswatini: the bet landed in 5 of 5 away · both last 10: 83% · each game weighed by who it was against

Eswatini (0:2 handicap)LEANPAGE ONLY

1.44

SWZ 1 of 5 (20%) · MLT 5 of 5 (100%)65.5%

Eswatini: the bet landed in 1 of 5 away · Malta: the bet landed in 5 of 5 at home · both last 10: 78% · each game weighed by who it was against

Malta or Over 2.5 GoalsIN CODES

1.32

MLT 3 of 5 (60%) · SWZ 4 of 5 (80%)56.6%

Malta: the bet landed in 3 of 5 at home · Eswatini: the bet landed in 4 of 5 away · both last 10: 75% · each game weighed by who it was against

Draw or Over 2.5 GoalsIN CODES

1.49

MLT 3 of 5 (60%) · SWZ 3 of 5 (60%)52.6%

Malta: the bet landed in 3 of 5 at home · Eswatini: the bet landed in 3 of 5 away · both last 10: 77% · each game weighed by who it was against

GOALS

Under 3.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

1.24

MLT 3 of 5 (60%) · SWZ 5 of 5 (100%)77%

Malta: under 3.5 goals in 3 of 5 at home · Eswatini: under 3.5 goals in 5 of 5 away · both last 10: 71% · each game weighed by who it was against

Over 1.5 GoalsIN CODES

1.39

MLT 4 of 5 (80%) · SWZ 5 of 5 (100%)52.7%

Malta: over 1.5 goals in 4 of 5 at home · Eswatini: over 1.5 goals in 5 of 5 away · both last 10: 84% · each game weighed by who it was against

BOTH TEAMS SCORE

Both Teams to Score - NoLEANHELD · the odds board 63%

1.59

MLT 3 of 5 (60%) · SWZ 4 of 5 (80%)37.3%

Malta: not both scored in 3 of 5 at home · Eswatini: not both scored in 4 of 5 away · both last 10: 63% · each game weighed by who it was against

MALTA GOALS

Malta Over 0.5 goalsPAGE ONLY

1.18

MLT 3 of 5 (60%) · SWZ 5 of 5 (100%)65%

Malta scored in 3 of 5 at home · Eswatini conceded in 5 of 5 away · both last 10: 68% · each game weighed by who it was against

Malta Under 2.5 goalsHELD · the odds board 79%

1.26

MLT 5 of 5 (100%) · SWZ 3 of 5 (60%)59%

Malta scored under 2.5 in 5 of 5 at home · Eswatini conceded under 2.5 in 3 of 5 away · both last 10: 85% · each game weighed by who it was against

HALVES

1st Half - GG/NG: NoPAGE ONLY

1.13

MLT 4 of 5 (80%) · SWZ 5 of 5 (100%)85.7%

Malta: the bet landed in 4 of 5 at home · Eswatini: the bet landed in 5 of 5 away · both last 10: 87% · on half-time scores · each game weighed by who it was against

Both Halves Over 1.5: NoPAGE ONLY

1.09

MLT 4 of 5 (80%) · SWZ 5 of 5 (100%)85.4%

Malta: the bet landed in 4 of 5 at home · Eswatini: the bet landed in 5 of 5 away · both last 10: 85% · on half-time scores · each game weighed by who it was against

Malta to Score In Both Halves: NoPAGE ONLY

1.38

MLT 4 of 5 (80%) · SWZ 5 of 5 (100%)77.8%

Malta: the bet landed in 4 of 5 at home · Eswatini: the bet landed in 5 of 5 away · both last 10: 87% · on half-time scores · each game weighed by who it was against

SCORELINES

Predicted score

Predicted score 1–0 13.7%

Malta goals →

Eswatini goals ↓

0-09%

1-014%

2-012%

3-07%

4-03%

5-00.9%

0-16%

1-112%

2-19%

3-15%

4-12%

5-10.7%

0-23%

1-24%

2-24%

3-22%

4-20.8%

5-20.3%

0-30.7%

1-31%

2-31.0%

3-30.5%

4-30.2%

5-30.1%

0-40.1%

1-40.2%

2-40.2%

3-40.1%

4-40.0%

5-40.0%

0-50.0%

1-50.0%

2-50.0%

3-50.0%

4-50.0%

5-50.0%

Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call).

FORM · LAST 10

MALTALDLWLLLWDW1.10 PPG

ESWATINIDDDLLLDLLL0.40 PPG

THE NUMBERS

MALTA HOMExESWATINI AWAY

0.80SCORED A GAME0.802.30CONCEDED A GAME2.0020%CLEAN SHEETS10%3.62CORNERS A GAME2.382.50CARDS A GAME1.67

TRENDS

Malta have scored in 60% of their games.

Eswatini have scored in 50% of their games.

Malta kept a clean sheet in 20% of their games.

Eswatini kept a clean sheet in 10% of their games.

BUILT FROM

form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againstxG & xGAclean sheetscornerscards