INTERNATIONAL - INT. FRIENDLY GAMES
18:00Thu 12 Nov
SUR
SUR
Lithuania vs Suriname
CLASS A
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90
TEAM GOALS
Class A
Suriname Under 2.5 goals
Lithuania v Suriname
1.09odds
92%book
-2edge
2/2angles
EDGE PICKDraw or Over 2.5 Goals · 58.5% · @1.48
Book 68% · Us 58% -10 price too short
Backed by
· main loses on: 0-3, 1-3, 0-4, 2-3, 1-4, 0-5, 3-3, 2-4, 1-5, 0-6, 4-3, 3-4 and 76 more up to 10-10 | hedge wins on all of themLithuania: the bet landed in 6 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Suriname: the bet landed in 5 of 6 away · both last 10: 79% · each game weighed by who it was against
THE READ
Match details. An international friendly. Kick-off is Thu 12 Nov, 18:00 Lagos time.
What's at stake. It is a friendly, so no points ride on it.
Form. Lithuania have won one, drawn three and lost six of their last ten, 0.6 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L D W L L. Suriname have won four, drawn three and lost three of their last ten, 1.5 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L D W W L.
The numbers. Lithuania score 0.7 and concede 1.5 a game over their last ten, with two clean sheets and five games without a goal. Lithuania average 9.4 shots (3.0 on target), 3.1 corners and 2.0 cards a game, with 49% of the ball. Suriname score 1.3 and concede 1.7 a game in their last six away, with no clean sheets. Suriname average 10.9 shots (4.4 on target), 3.3 corners and 1.4 cards a game, with 49% of the ball.
The case against. Lithuania's record still gives them 23% to win.
The read. Suriname to win. A draw is live. A tight game. Suriname are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour Suriname.
The bets. Best bet: Suriname Under 2.5 Goals at 1.09, rated 89% (Suriname scored under 2.5 in 5 of 6 away; Lithuania conceded under 2.5 in 8 of 10). Full cover: Lithuania to Win to Nil: No at 1.19. Whenever the best bet loses, this one wins. Predicted score: Lithuania 0-1 Suriname (13% chance).
The agreed story. No side to back (Suriname the favourite), a tight game.
PICKSONE LIST
RESULT
Lithuania (2:0 handicap)IN CODES
1.13
LTU 8 of 10 (80%) · SUR 6 of 6 (100%)81%
Lithuania: the bet landed in 8 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Suriname: the bet landed in 6 of 6 away · both last 10: 78% · each game weighed by who it was against
Lithuania to Win to Nil: NoFULL COVERIN CODES
1.19
LTU 9 of 10 (90%) · SUR 5 of 6 (83%)74.2%
Lithuania: the bet landed in 9 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Suriname: the bet landed in 5 of 6 away · both last 10: 94% · each game weighed by who it was against
Suriname win or both teams scoreIN CODES
1.37
SUR 5 of 6 (83%) · LTU 8 of 10 (80%)68.2%
Suriname: the bet landed in 5 of 6 away · Lithuania: the bet landed in 8 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 86% · each game weighed by who it was against
1st Half - Double Chance: Draw or SurinamePAGE ONLY
1.26
SUR 6 of 6 (100%) · LTU 9 of 10 (90%)66.6%
Suriname: the bet landed in 6 of 6 away · Lithuania: the bet landed in 9 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 94% · on half-time scores · each game weighed by who it was against
Suriname or Under 2.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
1.19
SUR 4 of 6 (67%) · LTU 10 of 10 (100%)66.5%
Suriname: the bet landed in 4 of 6 away · Lithuania: the bet landed in 10 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 89% · each game weighed by who it was against
Suriname or Draw (1UP)IN CODES
1.31
SUR 4 of 5 (80%) · LTU 4 of 5 (80%)63.1%
Suriname scored first 3 of last 5, led or was unbeaten in 4 · led or was unbeaten in 4 of 5 (last 10, all venues) · Lithuania trailed or failed to win in 5 of 6 (last 10, all venues)
Draw or Over 2.5 GoalsIN CODES
1.48
LTU 6 of 10 (60%) · SUR 5 of 6 (83%)58.5%
Lithuania: the bet landed in 6 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Suriname: the bet landed in 5 of 6 away · both last 10: 79% · each game weighed by who it was against
Suriname or Over 2.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
1.61
SUR 4 of 6 (67%) · LTU 6 of 10 (60%)54%
Suriname: the bet landed in 4 of 6 away · Lithuania: the bet landed in 6 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 69% · each game weighed by who it was against
Double Chance: Draw or SurinameLEANHELD · the odds board 72%
1.39
SUR 3 of 6 (50%) · LTU 9 of 10 (90%)51.6%
Suriname unbeaten in 3 of 6 away · Lithuania failed to win 9 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 83% · each game weighed by who it was against
Lithuania or Both Teams ScoreLEANPAGE ONLY
1.43
LTU 5 of 10 (50%) · SUR 6 of 6 (100%)51%
Lithuania: the bet landed in 5 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Suriname: the bet landed in 6 of 6 away · both last 10: 63% · each game weighed by who it was against
Suriname 1UPLEANPAGE ONLY
1.81
SUR 3 of 5 (60%) · LTU 3 of 5 (60%)38.7%
Suriname scored first 3 of last 5, led in 3 · led in 3 of 5 (last 10, all venues) · Lithuania trailed in 3 of 6 (last 10, all venues)
Suriname (Draw No Bet)LEANPAGE ONLY
1.76
SUR 2 of 5 (40%) · LTU 6 of 7 (86%)37.9%
Suriname won 2 of 5 away (draws left out) · Lithuania lost 6 of 7 (last 10, all venues) (draws left out) · both last 10: 75% · each game weighed by who it was against · won 4, refunded 3, lost 3
GOALS
Under 3.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
1.19
LTU 8 of 10 (80%) · SUR 4 of 6 (67%)84.3%
Lithuania: under 3.5 goals in 8 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Suriname: under 3.5 goals in 4 of 6 away · both last 10: 66% · each game weighed by who it was against
Over 0.5 GoalsHELD · the odds board 92%
1.09
LTU 9 of 10 (90%) · SUR 6 of 6 (100%)69.4%
Lithuania: over 0.5 goals in 9 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Suriname: over 0.5 goals in 6 of 6 away · both last 10: 92% · each game weighed by who it was against
Under 2.5 GoalsLEANPAGE ONLY
1.55
LTU 7 of 10 (70%) · SUR 2 of 6 (33%)46.1%
Lithuania: under 2.5 goals in 7 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Suriname: under 2.5 goals in 2 of 6 away · both last 10: 47% · each game weighed by who it was against
Over 1.5 GoalsLEANHELD · the odds board 68%
1.47
LTU 7 of 10 (70%) · SUR 5 of 6 (83%)45.5%
Lithuania: over 1.5 goals in 7 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Suriname: over 1.5 goals in 5 of 6 away · both last 10: 79% · each game weighed by who it was against
LITHUANIA GOALS
Lithuania Under 1.5 goalsIN CODES
1.34
LTU 8 of 10 (80%) · SUR 3 of 6 (50%)56.1%
Lithuania scored under 1.5 in 8 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Suriname conceded under 1.5 in 3 of 6 away · both last 10: 73% · each game weighed by who it was against
Lithuania Over 0.5 goalsLEANHELD · the odds board 69%
1.45
LTU 5 of 10 (50%) · SUR 6 of 6 (100%)44.6%
Lithuania scored in 5 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Suriname conceded in 6 of 6 away · both last 10: 63% · each game weighed by who it was against
SURINAME GOALS
Suriname Under 2.5 goalsMAININ CODES
1.09
SUR 5 of 6 (83%) · LTU 8 of 10 (80%)90.1%
Suriname scored under 2.5 in 5 of 6 away · Lithuania conceded under 2.5 in 8 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 71% · each game weighed by who it was against
Suriname Over 0.5 goalsLEANHELD · the odds board 72%
1.39
SUR 5 of 6 (83%) · LTU 8 of 10 (80%)50.2%
Suriname scored in 5 of 6 away · Lithuania conceded in 8 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 86% · each game weighed by who it was against
HALVES
Lithuania to Score In Both Halves: NoPAGE ONLY
1.14
LTU 10 of 10 (100%) · SUR 6 of 6 (100%)90.5%
Lithuania: the bet landed in 10 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Suriname: the bet landed in 6 of 6 away · both last 10: 100% · on half-time scores · each game weighed by who it was against
2nd Half - Lithuania Over/Under: Under 1.5PAGE ONLY
1.09
LTU 9 of 10 (90%) · SUR 4 of 6 (67%)89.3%
Lithuania: the bet landed in 9 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Suriname: the bet landed in 4 of 6 away · both last 10: 88% · on half-time scores · each game weighed by who it was against
Excluded Number of Goals - First Half: 2PAGE ONLY
1.17
LTU 9 of 10 (90%) · SUR 6 of 6 (100%)87.4%
Lithuania: the bet landed in 9 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Suriname: the bet landed in 6 of 6 away · both last 10: 97% · on half-time scores · each game weighed by who it was against
1st Half Lithuania to Win to Nil: NoPAGE ONLY
1.23
LTU 9 of 10 (90%) · SUR 6 of 6 (100%)85.6%
Lithuania: the bet landed in 9 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Suriname: the bet landed in 6 of 6 away · both last 10: 94% · on half-time scores · each game weighed by who it was against
Under 1.5 first-half goalsPAGE ONLY
1.29
LTU 8 of 10 (80%) · SUR 5 of 6 (83%)83.1%
Lithuania: the bet landed in 8 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Suriname: the bet landed in 5 of 6 away · both last 10: 82% · on half-time scores · each game weighed by who it was against
2nd Half - Over/Under: Over 0.5PAGE ONLY
1.33
LTU 7 of 10 (70%) · SUR 6 of 6 (100%)76.3%
Lithuania: the bet landed in 7 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Suriname: the bet landed in 6 of 6 away · both last 10: 86% · on half-time scores · each game weighed by who it was against
Over 0.5 first-half goalsLEANPAGE ONLY
1.54
LTU 6 of 10 (60%) · SUR 3 of 6 (50%)53.5%
Lithuania: the bet landed in 6 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Suriname: the bet landed in 3 of 6 away · both last 10: 59% · on half-time scores · each game weighed by who it was against
CARDS
Over 1.5 CardsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
LTU 7 of 7 (100%) · SUR 5 of 7 (71%)86.2%
Lithuania's games: over 1.5 cards in 7 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · Suriname's games: over 1.5 cards in 5 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 86% · each game weighed by who it was against
OTHER
Any Team To Score 3 or More Goals in a Row: NoIN CODES
1.12
LTU 5 of 5 (100%) · SUR 5 of 6 (83%)95.4%
Lithuania scored first 3 of last 5, no side scored 3 in a row in 5 · no side scored 3 in a row in 5 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · Suriname no side scored 3 in a row in 5 of 5 (last 10, all venues)
Any Team to lead by 3 Goals at any time: NoIN CODES
1.09
LTU 5 of 5 (100%) · SUR 5 of 6 (83%)95.4%
Lithuania scored first 3 of last 5, no side led by 3 in 5 · no side led by 3 in 5 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · Suriname no side led by 3 in 5 of 5 (last 10, all venues)
Lithuania to lead by 2 Goals at any time: NoIN CODES
1.16
LTU 4 of 5 (80%) · SUR 5 of 6 (83%)87.8%
Lithuania scored first 3 of last 5, never led by 2 in 4 · never led by 2 in 5 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · Suriname never trailed by 2 in 5 of 5 (last 10, all venues)
Lithuania To Score 2 or More Goals in a Row: NoIN CODES
1.26
LTU 4 of 5 (80%) · SUR 5 of 6 (83%)75.4%
Lithuania scored first 3 of last 5, never scored 2 in a row in 4 · never scored 2 in a row in 5 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · Suriname never conceded 2 in a row in 3 of 5 (last 10, all venues)
Suriname to lead by 1 Goal at any time: YesLEANPAGE ONLY
1.81
SUR 3 of 5 (60%) · LTU 3 of 5 (60%)38.7%
Suriname scored first 3 of last 5, led by 1 in 3 · led by 1 in 3 of 5 (last 10, all venues) · Lithuania trailed by 1 in 3 of 6 (last 10, all venues)
Left off the list: Over 5.5 Corners (the numbers (59%) and the records (83%) are 24 points apart, and nothing settles it)
SCORELINES
Predicted score
Predicted score 0–1 12.8%
Lithuania goals →
Suriname goals ↓
0-013%
1-011%
2-06%
3-02%
4-00.5%
5-00.1%
0-113%
1-114%
2-17%
3-12%
4-10.5%
5-10.1%
0-28%
1-28%
2-24%
3-21%
4-20.3%
5-20.1%
0-33%
1-33%
2-31%
3-30.5%
4-30.1%
5-30.0%
0-40.9%
1-40.8%
2-40.4%
3-40.1%
4-40.0%
5-40.0%
0-50.2%
1-50.2%
2-50.1%
3-50.0%
4-50.0%
5-50.0%
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call).
FORM · LAST 10
LITHUANIADDLLLLLWDL0.60 PPG
SURINAMEWDDWLLWWDL1.50 PPG
THE NUMBERS
LITHUANIA HOMExSURINAME AWAY
0.70SCORED A GAME1.501.50CONCEDED A GAME1.2010%CLEAN SHEETS20%3.14CORNERS A GAME3.292.00CARDS A GAME1.43
TRENDS
Lithuania have scored in 60% of their games.
Suriname have scored in 80% of their games.
Lithuania kept a clean sheet in 10% of their games.
Suriname kept a clean sheet in 20% of their games.
BUILT FROM
form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againstxG & xGAclean sheetscornerscards