FC Orsha vs Bate Borisov

Match details. Belarus Cup, Round of 16. Kick-off is Wed 11 Nov, 12:30 Lagos time. It is played at Central City Stadium, Orsha.

What's at stake. It is one game, with penalties if it is level.

Form. FC Orsha have won three, drawn two and lost five of their last ten, 1.1 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W W W L L. Bate Borisov have won two, drawn one and lost seven of their last ten, 0.7 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W L L L L.

The numbers. FC Orsha score 1.4 and concede 2.2 a game in their last five at home, with one clean sheet and two games without a goal. FC Orsha average 8.7 shots (3.2 on target), 3.3 corners and 2.2 cards a game. Bate Borisov score 0.2 and concede 1.6 a game in their last five away, with no clean sheets and four games without a goal. Bate Borisov average 10.0 shots (3.4 on target), 5.1 corners and 1.5 cards a game, with 51% of the ball.

Where it pulls both ways. The prices and the records disagree: the odds board makes it 6% against the records' 57%.

The read. No firm call: FC Orsha are the better side, but not at this price. A mixed game. FC Orsha are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour FC Orsha.

The bets. No best bet on this one: too close to call. Predicted score: FC Orsha 1-1 Bate Borisov (13% chance).

The agreed story. No side to back (FC Orsha the favourite), a mixed game.

Cup and European games. A domestic cup: sides rotate, and the two can come from different divisions. Too few cup games on either side to read.

So. A close match: the safest pick that fits.