INTERNATIONAL - CONCACAF NATIONS LEAGUE
01:30Fri 13 Nov
PAN
PAN
Curacao vs Panama
CLASS A
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81
TOTAL GOALS
Class A
Under 3.5 Goals
Curacao v Panama
1.26odds
79%book
+2edge
2/2angles
EDGE PICKDraw or Over 2.5 Goals · 64.2% · @1.42
Book 70% · Us 64% -6 price too short
Backed by
· main loses on: 2-2, 3-1, 1-3, 4-0, 0-4, 3-2, 2-3, 4-1, 1-4, 5-0, 0-5, 3-3 and 99 more up to 10-10 | hedge wins on all of themCuracao: the bet landed in 7 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Panama: the bet landed in 4 of 5 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 79% · H2H 3 of 3 · Panama: only games against sides at Curacao's level · each game weighed by who it was against
THE READ
Match details. CONCACAF Nations League, Quarter-finals. Kick-off is Fri 13 Nov, 01:30 Lagos time.
What's at stake. It is one game, with penalties if it is level.
Form. Curacao have won three, drawn three and lost four of their last ten, 1.2 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D W W W L. Panama have won three, drawn four and lost three of their last ten, 1.3 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D L L L W.
The numbers. Curacao score 1.4 and concede 2.1 a game over their last ten, with three clean sheets and four games without a goal. Curacao average 11.6 shots (5.2 on target), 3.7 corners and 1.8 cards a game, with 56% of the ball. Panama score one and concede 0.8 a game in their last five away, with two clean sheets and two games without a goal. Panama average 13.1 shots (4.5 on target), 4.0 corners and 1.6 cards a game, with 52% of the ball.
Head to head. In the last three meetings Curacao have won none, drawn one and lost two. Two of the three went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in two. The last time they met, on 13 Oct 2023, it finished Curacao 1-2 Panama: Curacao had 8 shots to 14, 45% of the ball, three yellow cards.
The case against. A knockout game (Quarter-finals) with penalties if level, and Panama are not clearly stronger.
The read. Panama or the draw. A draw is live. A tight game. Panama are the stronger side on form and the table; the meetings favour Panama.
The bets. Best bet: Under 3.5 Goals at 1.26, rated 80% (Curacao: under 3.5 goals in 6 of 10; Panama: under 3.5 goals in 4 of 5). The safer one: Panama Under 2.5 Goals at 1.18 (86%). Full cover: Draw or Over 2.5 Goals at 1.42. Whenever the best bet loses, this one wins. Predicted score: Curacao 1-1 Panama (14% chance).
The agreed story. No side to back (Panama the favourite), a tight game.
Their internationals. National teams: read from their own internationals. Curacao in their last internationals: won 6-1 v Nicaragua, won 4-3 at Costa Rica. Panama in their last internationals: drew 1-1 at Ecuador (rated above them), drew 1-1 v New Zealand, drew 1-1 at India. Too few internationals to judge the side from.
So. A close match: the safest pick that fits.
PICKSONE LIST
RESULT
Panama to Win to Nil: NoTAKEN DOWNPAGE ONLY
1.31
PAN 5 of 5 (100%) · CUW 8 of 10 (80%)74.2%
Panama: the bet landed in 5 of 5 (last 10, all venues) · Curacao: the bet landed in 8 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 91% · H2H 3 of 3 · Panama: only games against sides at Curacao's level · each game weighed by who it was against · the call is Panama or the draw: a knockout game (Quarter-finals) with penalties if level, and Panama are not clearly stronger (rule 8)
Curacao to Win to Nil: NoIN CODES
1.11
CUW 9 of 10 (90%) · PAN 4 of 5 (80%)72%
Curacao: the bet landed in 9 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Panama: the bet landed in 4 of 5 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 88% · H2H 3 of 3 · Panama: only games against sides at Curacao's level · each game weighed by who it was against
Panama or Under 2.5 GoalsTAKEN DOWNPAGE ONLY
1.18
PAN 5 of 5 (100%) · CUW 8 of 10 (80%)69.1%
Panama: the bet landed in 5 of 5 (last 10, all venues) · Curacao: the bet landed in 8 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 94% · H2H 3 of 3 · Panama: only games against sides at Curacao's level · each game weighed by who it was against · the call is Panama or the draw: a knockout game (Quarter-finals) with penalties if level, and Panama are not clearly stronger (rule 8)
Curacao (2:0 handicap)LEANPAGE ONLY
1.24
CUW 6 of 10 (60%) · PAN 5 of 5 (100%)69%
Curacao: the bet landed in 6 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Panama: the bet landed in 5 of 5 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 73% · H2H 3 of 3 · Panama: only games against sides at Curacao's level · each game weighed by who it was against
Draw or Over 2.5 GoalsFULL COVERIN CODES
1.42
CUW 7 of 10 (70%) · PAN 4 of 5 (80%)64.2%
Curacao: the bet landed in 7 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Panama: the bet landed in 4 of 5 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 79% · H2H 3 of 3 · Panama: only games against sides at Curacao's level · each game weighed by who it was against
1st Half - Double Chance: Draw or PanamaHELD · the odds board 83%
1.21
PAN 4 of 5 (80%) · CUW 9 of 10 (90%)60.9%
Panama: the bet landed in 4 of 5 (last 10, all venues) · Curacao: the bet landed in 9 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 89% · H2H 3 of 3 · on half-time scores · Panama: only games against sides at Curacao's level · each game weighed by who it was against
Double Chance: Draw or PanamaHELD · the odds board 79%
1.27
PAN 4 of 5 (80%) · CUW 7 of 10 (70%)53.3%
Panama unbeaten in 4 of 5 (last 10, all venues) · Curacao failed to win 7 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 82% · H2H 3 of 3 · Panama: only games against sides at Curacao's level · each game weighed by who it was against
Curacao or Both Teams ScoreLEANPAGE ONLY
1.50
CUW 6 of 10 (60%) · PAN 4 of 5 (80%)49.4%
Curacao: the bet landed in 6 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Panama: the bet landed in 4 of 5 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 68% · H2H 2 of 3 · Panama: only games against sides at Curacao's level · each game weighed by who it was against
Curacao or Under 2.5 GoalsLEANHELD · the odds board 71%
1.40
CUW 8 of 10 (80%) · PAN 4 of 5 (80%)48.4%
Curacao: the bet landed in 8 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Panama: the bet landed in 4 of 5 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 72% · H2H 1 of 3 · Panama: only games against sides at Curacao's level · each game weighed by who it was against
Panama win or both teams scoreTAKEN DOWNHELD · the odds board 80%
1.25
PAN 3 of 5 (60%) · CUW 7 of 10 (70%)47.1%
Panama: the bet landed in 3 of 5 (last 10, all venues) · Curacao: the bet landed in 7 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 65% · H2H 2 of 3 · Panama: only games against sides at Curacao's level · each game weighed by who it was against · the call is Panama or the draw: a knockout game (Quarter-finals) with penalties if level, and Panama are not clearly stronger (rule 8)
Panama or draw and under 3.5 goalsLEANPAGE ONLY
1.61
CUW 5 of 10 (50%) · PAN 3 of 5 (60%)42.5%
Curacao: the bet landed in 5 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Panama: the bet landed in 3 of 5 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 54% · H2H 3 of 3 · Panama: only games against sides at Curacao's level · each game weighed by who it was against
Panama or draw and under 2.5 goalsSETTLEDHELD · the odds board 48%
2.10
CUW 5 of 10 (50%) · PAN 3 of 5 (60%)23.4%
Curacao: the bet landed in 5 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Panama: the bet landed in 3 of 5 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 54% · H2H 1 of 3 · Panama: only games against sides at Curacao's level · each game weighed by who it was against · rule 2: the meetings back Panama: in the last 3 meetings, Panama won 2 and 1 was drawn; in the last 3, Panama won 2 and 1 was drawn
GOALS
Under 3.5 GoalsMAININ CODES
1.26
CUW 6 of 10 (60%) · PAN 4 of 5 (80%)80.9%
Curacao: under 3.5 goals in 6 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Panama: under 3.5 goals in 4 of 5 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 66% · H2H 3 of 3 · Panama: only games against sides at Curacao's level · each game weighed by who it was against
Over 1.5 GoalsLEANHELD · the odds board 74%
1.36
CUW 7 of 10 (70%) · PAN 3 of 5 (60%)49.7%
Curacao: over 1.5 goals in 7 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Panama: over 1.5 goals in 3 of 5 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 65% · H2H 2 of 3 · Panama: only games against sides at Curacao's level · each game weighed by who it was against
Under 2.5 GoalsLEANPAGE ONLY
1.70
CUW 6 of 10 (60%) · PAN 4 of 5 (80%)41.5%
Curacao: under 2.5 goals in 6 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Panama: under 2.5 goals in 4 of 5 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 66% · H2H 1 of 3 · Panama: only games against sides at Curacao's level · each game weighed by who it was against
CURACAO GOALS
Curacao Under 1.5 goalsHELD · the odds board 78%
1.29
CUW 8 of 10 (80%) · PAN 4 of 5 (80%)54.9%
Curacao scored under 1.5 in 8 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Panama conceded under 1.5 in 4 of 5 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 84% · H2H 3 of 3 · Panama: only games against sides at Curacao's level · each game weighed by who it was against
Curacao Over 0.5 goalsLEANHELD · the odds board 67%
1.50
CUW 6 of 10 (60%) · PAN 4 of 5 (80%)45.9%
Curacao scored in 6 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Panama conceded in 4 of 5 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 68% · H2H 2 of 3 · Panama: only games against sides at Curacao's level · each game weighed by who it was against
PANAMA GOALS
Panama Under 2.5 goalsSAFERIN CODES
1.18
PAN 4 of 5 (80%) · CUW 7 of 10 (70%)87.1%
Panama scored under 2.5 in 4 of 5 (last 10, all venues) · Curacao conceded under 2.5 in 7 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 67% · H2H 3 of 3 · Panama: only games against sides at Curacao's level · each game weighed by who it was against
Panama Over 0.5 goalsHELD · the odds board 80%
1.25
PAN 3 of 5 (60%) · CUW 7 of 10 (70%)54.3%
Panama scored in 3 of 5 (last 10, all venues) · Curacao conceded in 7 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 65% · H2H 2 of 3 · Panama: only games against sides at Curacao's level · each game weighed by who it was against
HALVES
1st Half Curacao to Win to Nil: NoPAGE ONLY
1.18
CUW 9 of 10 (90%) · PAN 4 of 5 (80%)82.3%
Curacao: the bet landed in 9 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Panama: the bet landed in 4 of 5 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 89% · H2H 3 of 3 · on half-time scores · Panama: only games against sides at Curacao's level · each game weighed by who it was against
Curacao to Score In Both Halves: NoPAGE ONLY
1.12
CUW 9 of 10 (90%) · PAN 5 of 5 (100%)81.2%
Curacao: the bet landed in 9 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Panama: the bet landed in 5 of 5 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 99% · H2H 3 of 3 · on half-time scores · Panama: only games against sides at Curacao's level · each game weighed by who it was against
Over 0.5 first-half goalsPAGE ONLY
1.46
CUW 7 of 10 (70%) · PAN 3 of 5 (60%)72.7%
Curacao: the bet landed in 7 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Panama: the bet landed in 3 of 5 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 65% · H2H 1 of 3 · on half-time scores · Panama: only games against sides at Curacao's level · each game weighed by who it was against
Under 1.5 first-half goalsLEANPAGE ONLY
1.37
CUW 7 of 10 (70%) · PAN 3 of 5 (60%)63.7%
Curacao: the bet landed in 7 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Panama: the bet landed in 3 of 5 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 64% · H2H 3 of 3 · on half-time scores · Panama: only games against sides at Curacao's level · each game weighed by who it was against
CARDS
Over 1.5 CardsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
CUW 7 of 9 (78%) · PAN 7 of 8 (88%)76.6%
Curacao's games: over 1.5 cards in 7 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · Panama's games: over 1.5 cards in 7 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 77% · each game weighed by who it was against
OTHER
GG/NG 2+: NoIN CODES
1.09
CUW 9 of 10 (90%) · PAN 4 of 5 (80%)88.2%
Curacao: the bet landed in 9 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Panama: the bet landed in 4 of 5 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 85% · H2H 3 of 3 · Panama: only games against sides at Curacao's level · each game weighed by who it was against
Left off the list: Over 7.5 Corners (the numbers (29%) and the records (72%) are on opposite sides, and nothing settles it)
SCORELINES
Predicted score
Predicted score 1–1 13.9%
Curacao goals →
Panama goals ↓
0-011%
1-09%
2-05%
3-02%
4-00.4%
5-00.1%
0-112%
1-114%
2-17%
3-12%
4-10.6%
5-10.1%
0-28%
1-28%
2-24%
3-21%
4-20.4%
5-20.1%
0-34%
1-34%
2-32%
3-30.6%
4-30.2%
5-30.0%
0-41%
1-41%
2-40.6%
3-40.2%
4-40.1%
5-40.0%
0-50.3%
1-50.3%
2-50.2%
3-50.1%
4-50.0%
5-50.0%
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call).
FORM · LAST 10
CURACAODLLLDLWWWD1.20 PPG
PANAMADDWDWWLLLD1.30 PPG
THE NUMBERS
CURACAO HOMExPANAMA AWAY
1.40SCORED A GAME1.002.10CONCEDED A GAME0.9030%CLEAN SHEETS30%3.67CORNERS A GAME4.001.78CARDS A GAME1.62
HEAD TO HEAD · LAST 3
CURACAO 0 · 0%DRAW 1PANAMA 2 · 67%
2 of 3BOTH TEAMS SCORED
2 of 3OVER 1.5 GOALS
2 of 3OVER 2.5 GOALS
0 of 3OVER 3.5 GOALS
2021-06-12Curacao 1 – 2 Panama
2021-06-16Curacao 0 – 0 Panama
2023-10-13Curacao 1 – 2 Panama
TRENDS
Curacao have scored in 60% of their games.
Panama have scored in 60% of their games.
Curacao kept a clean sheet in 30% of their games.
Panama kept a clean sheet in 30% of their games.
BUILT FROM
form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againstclean sheetshead to headleague tableteam newscornerscards