THE READ
Match details. Australian Championship, Group Stage - 5. Kick-off is Thu 12 Nov, 09:30 Lagos time. It is played at Lambert Park, Sydney.
What's at stake. APIA Leichhardt are 1st on 10 points after 4 games. Adelaide City FC are 4th on 1 point after 4 games.
Form. APIA Leichhardt have won six, drawn three and lost one of their last ten, 2.1 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W W W D L. Adelaide City FC have won five, drawn two and lost three of their last ten, 1.7 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L L L D D.
The numbers. APIA Leichhardt score 2.6 and concede 1.3 a game in their last seven at home, with two clean sheets. APIA Leichhardt average 15.0 shots (6.8 on target), 5.6 corners and 1.2 cards a game. Adelaide City FC score 2.4 and concede 1.2 a game in their last five away, with two clean sheets. Adelaide City FC average 13.1 shots (5.8 on target), 4.4 corners and 2.3 cards a game.
Head to head. The last time they met, on 23 Oct 2026, it finished APIA Leichhardt 3-1 Adelaide City FC.
Where it pulls both ways. The prices and the records disagree: the odds board makes it 79% against the records' 52%.
The read. No firm call: APIA Leichhardt are the better side, but not at this price. An open game. Their goals for and against make APIA Leichhardt the likelier winners; APIA Leichhardt are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour APIA Leichhardt. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 1.5 goals at 89%, over 2.5 at 89%, under 4.5 at 77%.
The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Predicted score: APIA Leichhardt 2-1 Adelaide City FC (10% chance).
The agreed story. No side to back (APIA Leichhardt the favourite), an open game.
So. A close match: the safest pick that fits.
PICKSONE LIST
RESULT
APIA Leichhardt or Over 2.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
API 6 of 7 (86%) · ADE 5 of 5 (100%)70.6%
APIA Leichhardt: the bet landed in 6 of 7 at home · Adelaide City FC: the bet landed in 5 of 5 away · both last 10: 80%
Adelaide City FC (0:2 handicap)LEANPAGE ONLY
1.92
ADE 5 of 5 (100%) · API 3 of 7 (43%)69%
Adelaide City FC: the bet landed in 5 of 5 away · APIA Leichhardt: the bet landed in 3 of 7 at home · both last 10: 70%
Double Chance: APIA Leichhardt or Adelaide City FCHELD · the odds board 89%
1.12
API 6 of 7 (86%) · ADE 5 of 5 (100%)58.5%
APIA Leichhardt: the bet landed in 6 of 7 at home · Adelaide City FC: the bet landed in 5 of 5 away · both last 10: 75%
APIA Leichhardt or Both Teams ScorePAGE ONLY
no price yet
API 6 of 7 (86%) · ADE 3 of 5 (60%)52.2%
APIA Leichhardt: the bet landed in 6 of 7 at home · Adelaide City FC: the bet landed in 3 of 5 away · both last 10: 65%
APIA Leichhardt or Draw (1UP)LEANPAGE ONLY
no price yet
API 4 of 5 (80%) · ADE 6 of 7 (86%)50.6%
APIA Leichhardt scored first 4 of last 5, led or was unbeaten in 4 · led or was unbeaten in 6 of 7 at home · Adelaide City FC trailed or failed to win in 2 of 5 away
2nd Half - Double Chance: APIA Leichhardt or DrawLEANHELD · the odds board 90%
1.11
API 6 of 7 (86%) · ADE 4 of 5 (80%)48%
APIA Leichhardt: the bet landed in 6 of 7 at home · Adelaide City FC: the bet landed in 4 of 5 away · both last 10: 75% · on half-time scores
GOALS
no price yet
API 6 of 7 (86%) · ADE 5 of 5 (100%)94%
APIA Leichhardt: over 0.5 goals in 6 of 7 at home · Adelaide City FC: over 0.5 goals in 5 of 5 away · both last 10: 85%
no price yet
API 6 of 7 (86%) · ADE 5 of 5 (100%)80.2%
APIA Leichhardt: over 1.5 goals in 6 of 7 at home · Adelaide City FC: over 1.5 goals in 5 of 5 away · both last 10: 80%
Over 2.5 GoalsLEANPAGE ONLY
1.39
API 6 of 7 (86%) · ADE 5 of 5 (100%)56.6%
APIA Leichhardt: over 2.5 goals in 6 of 7 at home · Adelaide City FC: over 2.5 goals in 5 of 5 away · both last 10: 80%
BOTH TEAMS SCORE
Both Teams to Score - YesLEANPAGE ONLY
1.68
API 5 of 7 (71%) · ADE 3 of 5 (60%)56.1%
APIA Leichhardt: both scored in 5 of 7 at home · Adelaide City FC: both scored in 3 of 5 away · both last 10: 60%
APIA LEICHHARDT GOALS
APIA Leichhardt Over 0.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
API 6 of 7 (86%) · ADE 3 of 5 (60%)84.7%
APIA Leichhardt scored in 6 of 7 at home · Adelaide City FC conceded in 3 of 5 away · both last 10: 65%
APIA Leichhardt Over 1.5 GoalsLEANPAGE ONLY
no price yet
API 5 of 7 (71%) · ADE 2 of 5 (40%)37.9%
APIA Leichhardt scored over 1.5 in 5 of 7 at home · Adelaide City FC conceded over 1.5 in 2 of 5 away · both last 10: 55%
ADELAIDE CITY FC GOALS
Adelaide City FC Over 0.5 goalsLEANPAGE ONLY
1.57
ADE 5 of 5 (100%) · API 5 of 7 (71%)64.4%
Adelaide City FC scored in 5 of 5 away · APIA Leichhardt conceded in 5 of 7 at home · both last 10: 80%
HALVES
1st Half - GG/NG: NoPAGE ONLY
1.22
API 6 of 7 (86%) · ADE 4 of 5 (80%)78.4%
APIA Leichhardt: the bet landed in 6 of 7 at home · Adelaide City FC: the bet landed in 4 of 5 away · both last 10: 90% · on half-time scores
Both Halves Under 1.5: NoPAGE ONLY
1.24
API 6 of 7 (86%) · ADE 5 of 5 (100%)76.3%
APIA Leichhardt: the bet landed in 6 of 7 at home · Adelaide City FC: the bet landed in 5 of 5 away · both last 10: 80% · on half-time scores
1st Half Over 0.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
API 5 of 7 (71%) · ADE 4 of 5 (80%)71.3%
APIA Leichhardt: the bet landed in 5 of 7 at home · Adelaide City FC: the bet landed in 4 of 5 away · both last 10: 65% · on half-time scores
Adelaide City FC to Score In Both Halves: NoLEANHELD · the odds board 91%
1.10
API 6 of 7 (86%) · ADE 4 of 5 (80%)68.9%
APIA Leichhardt: the bet landed in 6 of 7 at home · Adelaide City FC: the bet landed in 4 of 5 away · both last 10: 85% · on half-time scores
Excluded Number of Goals - First Half: 2PAGE ONLY
1.28
API 6 of 7 (86%) · ADE 5 of 5 (100%)59.6%
APIA Leichhardt: the bet landed in 6 of 7 at home · Adelaide City FC: the bet landed in 5 of 5 away · both last 10: 85% · on half-time scores
Both Halves Over 1.5: NoPAGE ONLY
1.30
API 5 of 7 (71%) · ADE 5 of 5 (100%)59.5%
APIA Leichhardt: the bet landed in 5 of 7 at home · Adelaide City FC: the bet landed in 5 of 5 away · both last 10: 80% · on half-time scores
CORNERS
Over 7.5 CornersPAGE ONLY
no price yet
API 6 of 7 (86%) · ADE 3 of 5 (60%)70.2%
APIA Leichhardt's games: over 7.5 corners in 6 of 7 at home · Adelaide City FC's games: over 7.5 corners in 3 of 5 away · both last 10: 65%
CARDS
no price yet
API 4 of 7 (57%) · ADE 5 of 5 (100%)74%
APIA Leichhardt's games: over 2.5 cards in 4 of 7 at home · Adelaide City FC's games: over 2.5 cards in 5 of 5 away · both last 10: 65%
Left off the list: Adelaide City FC or Over 2.5 Goals (the numbers (64%) and the records (90%) are 27 points apart, and nothing settles it); Draw or Over 2.5 Goals (the numbers (73%) and the records (98%) are 25 points apart, and nothing settles it); Adelaide City FC or Draw (1UP) (the numbers (52%) and the records (72%) are 20 points apart, and nothing settles it); Adelaide City FC 1UP (the numbers (38%) and the records (68%) are on opposite sides, and nothing settles it)
TRENDS
APIA Leichhardt have scored in 70% of their games.
Adelaide City FC have scored in 100% of their games.
APIA Leichhardt kept a clean sheet in 40% of their games.
Adelaide City FC kept a clean sheet in 40% of their games.