THE READ
Match details. Premiere Ligue, Women. Kick-off is Wed 11 Nov, 17:00 Lagos time.
Form. FC Fleury have won three, drawn four and lost three of their last ten league games, 1.3 points a game. Their last five in the league, newest first: W D D L W. Toulouse FC have won one, drawn two and lost four of their last seven league games, 0.7 points a game. Their last five in the league, newest first: D W L L D.
The numbers. FC Fleury score 1.4 and concede 2.8 a game in their last five at home, with no clean sheets. FC Fleury average 1.1 shots (0.4 on target), 0.8 corners and 1.2 cards a game. Toulouse FC score 1.1 and concede 2.9 a game over their last seven, with no clean sheets and two games without a goal. Toulouse FC average 1.8 shots (0.6 on target), 0.5 corners and 1.8 cards a game.
Where it pulls both ways. The prices and the records disagree: the odds board makes it 67% against the records' 47%.
The read. No firm call: FC Fleury are the better side, but not at this price. An open game. FC Fleury are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour FC Fleury. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 78%.
The bets. Best bet: Over 1.5 Goals at 1.21, rated 100% (FC Fleury: over 1.5 goals in 5 of 5 at home; Toulouse FC: over 1.5 goals in 7 of 7). Backup: Toulouse FC Clean Sheet: No at 1.10. It often rescues the bet, but it is no guarantee. Predicted score: FC Fleury 2-1 Toulouse FC (8% chance).
The agreed story. No side to back (FC Fleury the favourite), an open game.
Cup and European games. A domestic cup: sides rotate, and the two can come from different divisions. Too few cup games on either side to read.
So. A close match: the safest pick that fits.
PICKSONE LIST
RESULT
Draw or Over 2.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
FCF 4 of 5 (80%) · TOU 7 of 7 (100%)89.3%
FC Fleury: the bet landed in 4 of 5 at home · Toulouse FC: the bet landed in 7 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 90% · FC Fleury: only games against sides at Toulouse FC's level · Toulouse FC: only games against sides at FC Fleury's level
FC Fleury or Both Teams ScorePAGE ONLY
no price yet
FCF 4 of 5 (80%) · TOU 7 of 7 (100%)73.7%
FC Fleury: the bet landed in 4 of 5 at home · Toulouse FC: the bet landed in 7 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 95% · FC Fleury: only games against sides at Toulouse FC's level · Toulouse FC: only games against sides at FC Fleury's level
Toulouse FC or Over 2.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
TOU 6 of 7 (86%) · FCF 5 of 5 (100%)68.2%
Toulouse FC: the bet landed in 6 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · FC Fleury: the bet landed in 5 of 5 at home · both last 10: 73% · Toulouse FC: only games against sides at FC Fleury's level · FC Fleury: only games against sides at Toulouse FC's level
FC Fleury or Over 2.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
FCF 4 of 5 (80%) · TOU 6 of 7 (86%)61.5%
FC Fleury: the bet landed in 4 of 5 at home · Toulouse FC: the bet landed in 6 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 73% · FC Fleury: only games against sides at Toulouse FC's level · Toulouse FC: only games against sides at FC Fleury's level
Double Chance: FC Fleury or Toulouse FCHELD · the odds board 83%
1.20
FCF 5 of 5 (100%) · TOU 5 of 7 (71%)61%
FC Fleury: the bet landed in 5 of 5 at home · Toulouse FC: the bet landed in 5 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 66% · FC Fleury: only games against sides at Toulouse FC's level · Toulouse FC: only games against sides at FC Fleury's level
FC Fleury or Draw & Over 1.5LEANPAGE ONLY
no price yet
FCF 2 of 5 (40%) · TOU 6 of 7 (86%)49.9%
FC Fleury: the bet landed in 2 of 5 at home · Toulouse FC: the bet landed in 6 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 78% · FC Fleury: only games against sides at Toulouse FC's level · Toulouse FC: only games against sides at FC Fleury's level
GOALS
no price yet
FCF 5 of 5 (100%) · TOU 7 of 7 (100%)97%
FC Fleury: over 0.5 goals in 5 of 5 at home · Toulouse FC: over 0.5 goals in 7 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 100% · FC Fleury: only games against sides at Toulouse FC's level · Toulouse FC: only games against sides at FC Fleury's level
Over 1.5 GoalsMAININ CODES
1.21
FCF 5 of 5 (100%) · TOU 7 of 7 (100%)97%
FC Fleury: over 1.5 goals in 5 of 5 at home · Toulouse FC: over 1.5 goals in 7 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 100% · FC Fleury: only games against sides at Toulouse FC's level · Toulouse FC: only games against sides at FC Fleury's level
1.67
FCF 4 of 5 (80%) · TOU 6 of 7 (86%)78.9%
FC Fleury: over 2.5 goals in 4 of 5 at home · Toulouse FC: over 2.5 goals in 6 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 68% · FC Fleury: only games against sides at Toulouse FC's level · Toulouse FC: only games against sides at FC Fleury's level
BOTH TEAMS SCORE
Both Teams to Score - YesIN CODES
1.76
FCF 4 of 5 (80%) · TOU 5 of 7 (71%)76.7%
FC Fleury: both scored in 4 of 5 at home · Toulouse FC: both scored in 5 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 76% · FC Fleury: only games against sides at Toulouse FC's level · Toulouse FC: only games against sides at FC Fleury's level
FC FLEURY GOALS
FC Fleury Over 0.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
FCF 4 of 5 (80%) · TOU 7 of 7 (100%)91.7%
FC Fleury scored in 4 of 5 at home · Toulouse FC conceded in 7 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 95% · FC Fleury: only games against sides at Toulouse FC's level · Toulouse FC: only games against sides at FC Fleury's level
TOULOUSE FC GOALS
Toulouse FC Over 0.5 GoalsIN CODES
1.43
TOU 5 of 7 (71%) · FCF 5 of 5 (100%)84%
Toulouse FC scored in 5 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · FC Fleury conceded in 5 of 5 at home · both last 10: 81% · Toulouse FC: only games against sides at FC Fleury's level · FC Fleury: only games against sides at Toulouse FC's level
HALVES
Excluded Number of Goals - First Half: 0PAGE ONLY
1.30
FCF 4 of 5 (80%) · TOU 7 of 7 (100%)84.5%
FC Fleury: the bet landed in 4 of 5 at home · Toulouse FC: the bet landed in 7 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 85% · on half-time scores · FC Fleury: only games against sides at Toulouse FC's level · Toulouse FC: only games against sides at FC Fleury's level
1st Half Over 0.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
FCF 4 of 5 (80%) · TOU 7 of 7 (100%)83.5%
FC Fleury: the bet landed in 4 of 5 at home · Toulouse FC: the bet landed in 7 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 85% · on half-time scores · FC Fleury: only games against sides at Toulouse FC's level · Toulouse FC: only games against sides at FC Fleury's level
Excluded Number of Goals - First Half: 1PAGE ONLY
1.46
FCF 3 of 5 (60%) · TOU 7 of 7 (100%)70.2%
FC Fleury: the bet landed in 3 of 5 at home · Toulouse FC: the bet landed in 7 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 75% · on half-time scores · FC Fleury: only games against sides at Toulouse FC's level · Toulouse FC: only games against sides at FC Fleury's level
CARDS
no price yet
FCF 4 of 5 (80%) · TOU 7 of 7 (100%)89.6%
FC Fleury's games: over 1.5 cards in 4 of 5 at home · Toulouse FC's games: over 1.5 cards in 7 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 89% · FC Fleury: only games against sides at Toulouse FC's level · Toulouse FC: only games against sides at FC Fleury's level
OTHER
Toulouse FC Clean Sheet: NoBACKUPIN CODES
1.10
TOU 7 of 7 (100%) · FCF 4 of 5 (80%)91.7%
Toulouse FC: the bet landed in 7 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · FC Fleury: the bet landed in 4 of 5 at home · both last 10: 95% · Toulouse FC: only games against sides at FC Fleury's level · FC Fleury: only games against sides at Toulouse FC's level
Left off the list: GG/NG 2+: No (the numbers (67%) and the records (91%) are 24 points apart, and nothing settles it)