QATQAT

15:45Fri 13 Nov

AUS

AUS

Qatar vs Australia

CLASS A

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THE READ

Match details. An international friendly. Kick-off is Fri 13 Nov, 15:45 Lagos time. It is played at Jassim Bin Hamad Stadium, Doha.

What's at stake. It is a friendly, so no points ride on it.

Form. Qatar have won three, drawn three and lost four of their last ten, 1.2 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D W W L L. Australia have won seven, drawn two and lost one of their last ten, 2.3 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D D L W W.

The numbers. Qatar score one and concede 1.2 a game in their last five at home, with one clean sheet and two games without a goal. Qatar average 5.7 shots (2.0 on target), 3.0 corners and 2.7 cards a game, with 33% of the ball. Australia score 1.9 and concede 0.6 a game over their last ten, with five clean sheets and two games without a goal. Australia average 8.9 shots (3.6 on target), 3.4 corners and 1.0 cards a game, with 39% of the ball.

The read. Australia to win. A draw is live. A tight game. Their goals for and against make Australia the likelier winners; Australia are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour Australia. Their goals for and against point to a tight game. Their records put over 1.5 goals at 76%, over 2.5 at 29%, under 4.5 at 91%.

The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Predicted score: Qatar 0-1 Australia (14% chance).

The agreed story. Australia or the draw, a tight game.

PICKSONE LIST

RESULT

1st Half - Double Chance: Draw or AustraliaPAGE ONLY

1.22

AUS 8 of 10 (80%) · QAT 5 of 5 (100%)89.4%

Australia: the bet landed in 8 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Qatar: the bet landed in 5 of 5 at home · both last 10: 88% · on half-time scores · each game weighed by who it was against

Double Chance: Draw or AustraliaIN CODES

1.29

AUS 9 of 10 (90%) · QAT 3 of 5 (60%)84.3%

Australia unbeaten in 9 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Qatar failed to win 3 of 5 at home · both last 10: 88% · each game weighed by who it was against

Australia or Draw (1UP)IN CODES

1.22

AUS 4 of 5 (80%) · QAT 5 of 6 (83%)78.9%

Australia scored first 2 of last 5, led or was unbeaten in 4 · led or was unbeaten in 5 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · Qatar trailed or failed to win in 5 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · each game weighed by who it was against

Australia (Draw No Bet)IN CODES

1.51

AUS 7 of 8 (88%) · QAT 4 of 7 (57%)77.8%

Australia won 7 of 8 (last 10, all venues) (draws left out) · Qatar lost 4 of 7 (last 10, all venues) (draws left out) · both last 10: 81% · each game weighed by who it was against · won 4, refunded 2, lost 3

Qatar (2:0 handicap)IN CODES

1.22

QAT 4 of 5 (80%) · AUS 6 of 10 (60%)74.7%

Qatar: the bet landed in 4 of 5 at home · Australia: the bet landed in 6 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 67% · each game weighed by who it was against

Australia to Win Either Half: YesLEANPAGE ONLY

1.57

AUS 8 of 10 (80%) · QAT 3 of 5 (60%)71.1%

Australia: the bet landed in 8 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Qatar: the bet landed in 3 of 5 at home · both last 10: 74% · on half-time scores · each game weighed by who it was against

Australia or Under 2.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

1.18

AUS 10 of 10 (100%) · QAT 4 of 5 (80%)68%

Australia: the bet landed in 10 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Qatar: the bet landed in 4 of 5 at home · both last 10: 96% · each game weighed by who it was against

1st Half Result or Match Result: AustraliaLEANPAGE ONLY

1.70

AUS 7 of 10 (70%) · QAT 3 of 5 (60%)67.2%

Australia: the bet landed in 7 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Qatar: the bet landed in 3 of 5 at home · both last 10: 68% · on half-time scores · each game weighed by who it was against

Australia win or both teams scoreIN CODES

1.25

AUS 8 of 10 (80%) · QAT 4 of 5 (80%)67.2%

Australia: the bet landed in 8 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Qatar: the bet landed in 4 of 5 at home · both last 10: 85% · each game weighed by who it was against

Australia or draw and under 3.5 goalsIN CODES

1.61

QAT 3 of 5 (60%) · AUS 7 of 10 (70%)66.2%

Qatar: the bet landed in 3 of 5 at home · Australia: the bet landed in 7 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 66% · each game weighed by who it was against

Qatar to Win to Nil: NoHELD · the odds board 88%

1.13

QAT 4 of 5 (80%) · AUS 9 of 10 (90%)65%

Qatar: the bet landed in 4 of 5 at home · Australia: the bet landed in 9 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 92% · each game weighed by who it was against

Draw or Under 2.5 GoalsIN CODES

1.51

QAT 3 of 5 (60%) · AUS 7 of 10 (70%)51.6%

Qatar: the bet landed in 3 of 5 at home · Australia: the bet landed in 7 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 66% · each game weighed by who it was against

Draw or Over 2.5 GoalsLEANHELD · the odds board 70%

1.42

QAT 3 of 5 (60%) · AUS 5 of 10 (50%)48.2%

Qatar: the bet landed in 3 of 5 at home · Australia: the bet landed in 5 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 68% · each game weighed by who it was against

Australia to WinLEANPAGE ONLY

2.10

AUS 7 of 10 (70%) · QAT 2 of 5 (40%)37.7%

Australia won 7 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Qatar lost 2 of 5 at home · both last 10: 54% · each game weighed by who it was against

GOALS

Under 3.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

1.25

QAT 5 of 5 (100%) · AUS 8 of 10 (80%)81.1%

Qatar: under 3.5 goals in 5 of 5 at home · Australia: under 3.5 goals in 8 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 79% · each game weighed by who it was against

Over 1.5 GoalsLEANHELD · the odds board 73%

1.37

QAT 4 of 5 (80%) · AUS 7 of 10 (70%)50.4%

Qatar: over 1.5 goals in 4 of 5 at home · Australia: over 1.5 goals in 7 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 78% · each game weighed by who it was against

Under 2.5 GoalsLEANPAGE ONLY

1.69

QAT 3 of 5 (60%) · AUS 7 of 10 (70%)40.6%

Qatar: under 2.5 goals in 3 of 5 at home · Australia: under 2.5 goals in 7 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 66% · each game weighed by who it was against

QATAR GOALS

Qatar Under 1.5 goalsIN CODES

1.31

QAT 3 of 5 (60%) · AUS 9 of 10 (90%)83.9%

Qatar scored under 1.5 in 3 of 5 at home · Australia conceded under 1.5 in 9 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 88% · each game weighed by who it was against

Qatar Over 0.5 goalsLEANHELD · the odds board 68%

1.48

QAT 3 of 5 (60%) · AUS 5 of 10 (50%)35.8%

Qatar scored in 3 of 5 at home · Australia conceded in 5 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 58% · each game weighed by who it was against

AUSTRALIA GOALS

Australia Under 2.5 goalsIN CODES

1.16

AUS 8 of 10 (80%) · QAT 4 of 5 (80%)81.2%

Australia scored under 2.5 in 8 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Qatar conceded under 2.5 in 4 of 5 at home · both last 10: 75% · each game weighed by who it was against

Australia Over 0.5 goalsIN CODES

1.27

AUS 8 of 10 (80%) · QAT 4 of 5 (80%)61.2%

Australia scored in 8 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Qatar conceded in 4 of 5 at home · both last 10: 85% · each game weighed by who it was against

Australia Under 1.5 goalsLEANHELD · the odds board 62%

1.61

AUS 5 of 10 (50%) · QAT 4 of 5 (80%)35.5%

Australia scored under 1.5 in 5 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Qatar conceded under 1.5 in 4 of 5 at home · both last 10: 61% · each game weighed by who it was against

HALVES

Qatar to Score In Both Halves: NoPAGE ONLY

1.13

QAT 5 of 5 (100%) · AUS 10 of 10 (100%)94.1%

Qatar: the bet landed in 5 of 5 at home · Australia: the bet landed in 10 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 100% · on half-time scores · each game weighed by who it was against

Both Halves Over 1.5: NoPAGE ONLY

1.09

QAT 5 of 5 (100%) · AUS 9 of 10 (90%)90.2%

Qatar: the bet landed in 5 of 5 at home · Australia: the bet landed in 9 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 89% · on half-time scores · each game weighed by who it was against

1st Half - GG/NG: NoPAGE ONLY

1.16

QAT 5 of 5 (100%) · AUS 9 of 10 (90%)89.9%

Qatar: the bet landed in 5 of 5 at home · Australia: the bet landed in 9 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 84% · on half-time scores · each game weighed by who it was against

1st half - Australia Over/Under: Under 1.5PAGE ONLY

1.10

AUS 8 of 10 (80%) · QAT 5 of 5 (100%)85.7%

Australia: the bet landed in 8 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Qatar: the bet landed in 5 of 5 at home · both last 10: 80% · on half-time scores · each game weighed by who it was against

Under 1.5 first-half goalsPAGE ONLY

1.35

QAT 5 of 5 (100%) · AUS 6 of 10 (60%)75.9%

Qatar: the bet landed in 5 of 5 at home · Australia: the bet landed in 6 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 65% · on half-time scores · each game weighed by who it was against

Over 0.5 first-half goalsLEANPAGE ONLY

1.46

QAT 2 of 5 (40%) · AUS 7 of 10 (70%)62.8%

Qatar: the bet landed in 2 of 5 at home · Australia: the bet landed in 7 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 69% · on half-time scores · each game weighed by who it was against

OTHER

Any Team To Score 3 or More Goals in a Row: NoIN CODES

1.16

QAT 5 of 5 (100%) · AUS 6 of 7 (86%)93.4%

Qatar scored first 3 of last 5, no side scored 3 in a row in 5 · no side scored 3 in a row in 6 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · Australia no side scored 3 in a row in 5 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · each game weighed by who it was against

Any Team to lead by 3 Goals at any time: NoIN CODES

1.12

QAT 5 of 5 (100%) · AUS 6 of 7 (86%)93.4%

Qatar scored first 3 of last 5, no side led by 3 in 5 · no side led by 3 in 6 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · Australia no side led by 3 in 5 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · each game weighed by who it was against

Qatar To Score 2 or More Goals in a Row: NoIN CODES

1.22

QAT 4 of 5 (80%) · AUS 6 of 7 (86%)84.4%

Qatar scored first 3 of last 5, never scored 2 in a row in 4 · never scored 2 in a row in 6 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · Australia never conceded 2 in a row in 5 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · each game weighed by who it was against

Qatar to lead by 2 Goals at any time: NoIN CODES

1.13

QAT 4 of 5 (80%) · AUS 6 of 7 (86%)84.4%

Qatar scored first 3 of last 5, never led by 2 in 4 · never led by 2 in 6 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · Australia never trailed by 2 in 5 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · each game weighed by who it was against

Qatar to lead by 1 Goal at any time: NoLEANPAGE ONLY

1.66

QAT 2 of 5 (40%) · AUS 4 of 7 (57%)55.7%

Qatar scored first 3 of last 5, never led by 1 in 2 · never led by 1 in 4 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · Australia never trailed by 1 in 4 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · each game weighed by who it was against

SCORELINES

Predicted score

Predicted score 0–1 14.4%

Qatar goals →

Australia goals ↓

0-010%

1-07%

2-03%

3-00.7%

4-00.1%

5-00.0%

0-114%

1-112%

2-14%

3-11%

4-10.2%

5-10.0%

0-212%

1-29%

2-24%

3-20.9%

4-20.2%

5-20.0%

0-36%

1-35%

2-32%

3-30.5%

4-30.1%

5-30.0%

0-42%

1-42%

2-40.7%

3-40.2%

4-40.0%

5-40.0%

0-50.8%

1-50.6%

2-50.2%

3-50.1%

4-50.0%

5-50.0%

Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and a tight game).

FORM · LAST 10

QATARWLDLDLLWWD1.20 PPG

AUSTRALIAWWWWWWWLDD2.30 PPG

THE NUMBERS

QATAR HOMExAUSTRALIA AWAY

0.90SCORED A GAME1.901.70CONCEDED A GAME0.6030%CLEAN SHEETS50%3.00CORNERS A GAME3.402.67CARDS A GAME1.000.53xG0.692.83xG AGAINST0.89

TRENDS

Qatar have scored in 60% of their games.

Australia have scored in 80% of their games.

Qatar kept a clean sheet in 30% of their games.

Australia kept a clean sheet in 50% of their games.

BUILT FROM

form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againstxG & xGAclean sheetsteam newscornerscards