SPAIN - COPA DEL REY
18:30Thu 12 Nov
ALB
AB
Calvo Sotelo Puertollano vs Albacete Balompie
CLASS A
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97
TEAM GOALS
Class A
Albacete Balompie Under 3.5 goals
Calvo Sotelo Puertollano v Albacete Balompie
1.14odds
88%book
+9edge
2/2angles
THE READ
Match details. Copa del Rey, Round of 128. Kick-off is Thu 12 Nov, 18:30 Lagos time. It is played at Estadio Ciudad de Puertollano.
What's at stake. It is one game, with penalties if it is level.
Form. Calvo Sotelo Puertollano have won one, drawn three and lost six of their last ten, 0.6 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L L D L D. Albacete Balompie have won three, drawn one and lost six of their last ten, 1.0 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W W W L L.
The numbers. Calvo Sotelo Puertollano score 0.4 and concede one a game in their last five at home, with three clean sheets and three games without a goal. Calvo Sotelo Puertollano average 9.9 shots (3.1 on target), 3.4 corners and 2.0 cards a game. Albacete Balompie score 0.8 and concede 2.2 a game in their last six away, with no clean sheets and three games without a goal. Albacete Balompie average 13.6 shots (3.5 on target), 5.9 corners and 3.6 cards a game, with 44% of the ball.
The read. No side to back. A tight game. Nothing separates them clearly enough to back a side.
The bets. Best bet: Albacete Balompie Under 3.5 Goals at 1.14, rated 98% (Albacete Balompie scored under 3.5 in 6 of 6 away; Calvo Sotelo Puertollano conceded under 3.5 in 5 of 5 at home). Full cover: Draw or Over 2.5 Goals at 1.32. Whenever the best bet loses, this one wins. Predicted score: Calvo Sotelo Puertollano 1-1 Albacete Balompie (14% chance).
The agreed story. Albacete Balompie or the draw, a tight game.
Cup and European games. A domestic cup: sides rotate, and the two can come from different divisions. Albacete Balompie play 2 divisions above Calvo Sotelo Puertollano. Too few cup games on either side to read.
So. A close match: the safest pick that fits.
PICKSONE LIST
RESULT
Albacete Balompie to Win Both Halves: NoPAGE ONLY
1.24
ALB 6 of 6 (100%) · CAL 4 of 5 (80%)88.5%
Albacete Balompie: the bet landed in 6 of 6 away · Calvo Sotelo Puertollano: the bet landed in 4 of 5 at home · both last 10: 85% · on half-time scores
Calvo Sotelo Puertollano (2:0 handicap)IN CODES
1.54
CAL 4 of 5 (80%) · ALB 5 of 6 (83%)79.4%
Calvo Sotelo Puertollano: the bet landed in 4 of 5 at home · Albacete Balompie: the bet landed in 5 of 6 away · both last 10: 75%
Draw or Over 2.5 GoalsFULL COVERIN CODES
1.32
CAL 4 of 5 (80%) · ALB 4 of 6 (67%)57.6%
Calvo Sotelo Puertollano: the bet landed in 4 of 5 at home · Albacete Balompie: the bet landed in 4 of 6 away · both last 10: 80%
Calvo Sotelo Puertollano or Over 2.5 GoalsIN CODES
1.49
CAL 3 of 5 (60%) · ALB 5 of 6 (83%)56.4%
Calvo Sotelo Puertollano: the bet landed in 3 of 5 at home · Albacete Balompie: the bet landed in 5 of 6 away · both last 10: 80%
Albacete Balompie or Under 2.5 GoalsHELD · the odds board 88%
1.14
ALB 4 of 6 (67%) · CAL 5 of 5 (100%)51.8%
Albacete Balompie: the bet landed in 4 of 6 away · Calvo Sotelo Puertollano: the bet landed in 5 of 5 at home · both last 10: 75%
GOALS
Under 4.5 GoalsIN CODES
1.18
CAL 5 of 5 (100%) · ALB 5 of 6 (83%)92.2%
Calvo Sotelo Puertollano: under 4.5 goals in 5 of 5 at home · Albacete Balompie: under 4.5 goals in 5 of 6 away · both last 10: 90%
Under 3.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
1.47
CAL 5 of 5 (100%) · ALB 4 of 6 (67%)81.6%
Calvo Sotelo Puertollano: under 3.5 goals in 5 of 5 at home · Albacete Balompie: under 3.5 goals in 4 of 6 away · both last 10: 75%
Over 1.5 GoalsLEANHELD · the odds board 83%
1.21
CAL 2 of 5 (40%) · ALB 6 of 6 (100%)60.5%
Calvo Sotelo Puertollano: over 1.5 goals in 2 of 5 at home · Albacete Balompie: over 1.5 goals in 6 of 6 away · both last 10: 85%
CALVO SOTELO PUERTOLLANO GOALS
Calvo Sotelo Puertollano Under 1.5 goalsLEANPAGE ONLY
1.26
CAL 5 of 5 (100%) · ALB 2 of 6 (33%)67.1%
Calvo Sotelo Puertollano scored under 1.5 in 5 of 5 at home · Albacete Balompie conceded under 1.5 in 2 of 6 away · both last 10: 65%
Calvo Sotelo Puertollano Over 0.5 goalsLEANPAGE ONLY
1.56
CAL 2 of 5 (40%) · ALB 6 of 6 (100%)51%
Calvo Sotelo Puertollano scored in 2 of 5 at home · Albacete Balompie conceded in 6 of 6 away · both last 10: 70%
ALBACETE BALOMPIE GOALS
Albacete Balompie Under 3.5 goalsMAININ CODES
1.14
ALB 6 of 6 (100%) · CAL 5 of 5 (100%)97%
Albacete Balompie scored under 3.5 in 6 of 6 away · Calvo Sotelo Puertollano conceded under 3.5 in 5 of 5 at home · both last 10: 95%
Albacete Balompie Under 2.5 goalsIN CODES
1.43
ALB 5 of 6 (83%) · CAL 4 of 5 (80%)82.1%
Albacete Balompie scored under 2.5 in 5 of 6 away · Calvo Sotelo Puertollano conceded under 2.5 in 4 of 5 at home · both last 10: 80%
HALVES
Under 2.5 first-half goalsPAGE ONLY
1.14
CAL 5 of 5 (100%) · ALB 5 of 6 (83%)91.4%
Calvo Sotelo Puertollano: the bet landed in 5 of 5 at home · Albacete Balompie: the bet landed in 5 of 6 away · both last 10: 95% · on half-time scores
Excluded Number of Goals - First Half: 3+PAGE ONLY
1.13
CAL 5 of 5 (100%) · ALB 5 of 6 (83%)91.4%
Calvo Sotelo Puertollano: the bet landed in 5 of 5 at home · Albacete Balompie: the bet landed in 5 of 6 away · both last 10: 95% · on half-time scores
Both Halves Over 1.5: NoPAGE ONLY
1.20
CAL 5 of 5 (100%) · ALB 5 of 6 (83%)87.6%
Calvo Sotelo Puertollano: the bet landed in 5 of 5 at home · Albacete Balompie: the bet landed in 5 of 6 away · both last 10: 90% · on half-time scores
1st Half - GG/NG: NoPAGE ONLY
1.22
CAL 5 of 5 (100%) · ALB 6 of 6 (100%)84.7%
Calvo Sotelo Puertollano: the bet landed in 5 of 5 at home · Albacete Balompie: the bet landed in 6 of 6 away · both last 10: 95% · on half-time scores
2nd Half - Over/Under: Under 2.5PAGE ONLY
1.25
CAL 5 of 5 (100%) · ALB 6 of 6 (100%)83.4%
Calvo Sotelo Puertollano: the bet landed in 5 of 5 at home · Albacete Balompie: the bet landed in 6 of 6 away · both last 10: 85% · on half-time scores
2nd Half - Over/Under: Over 0.5PAGE ONLY
1.20
CAL 3 of 5 (60%) · ALB 5 of 6 (83%)76.3%
Calvo Sotelo Puertollano: the bet landed in 3 of 5 at home · Albacete Balompie: the bet landed in 5 of 6 away · both last 10: 80% · on half-time scores
Under 1.5 first-half goalsPAGE ONLY
1.56
CAL 5 of 5 (100%) · ALB 3 of 6 (50%)71.6%
Calvo Sotelo Puertollano: the bet landed in 5 of 5 at home · Albacete Balompie: the bet landed in 3 of 6 away · both last 10: 60% · on half-time scores
OTHER
GG/NG 2+: NoIN CODES
1.12
CAL 5 of 5 (100%) · ALB 6 of 6 (100%)97%
Calvo Sotelo Puertollano: the bet landed in 5 of 5 at home · Albacete Balompie: the bet landed in 6 of 6 away · both last 10: 95%
Calvo Sotelo Puertollano To Score 2 or More Goals in a Row: NoIN CODES
1.15
CAL 5 of 5 (100%) · ALB 7 of 7 (100%)84.3%
Calvo Sotelo Puertollano scored first 2 of last 5, never scored 2 in a row in 5 · never scored 2 in a row in 7 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · Albacete Balompie never conceded 2 in a row in 3 of 6 away
Albacete Balompie To Score 3 or More Goals in a Row: NoIN CODES
1.29
ALB 4 of 5 (80%) · CAL 5 of 6 (83%)83%
Albacete Balompie scored first 1 of last 5, never scored 3 in a row in 4 · never scored 3 in a row in 5 of 6 away · Calvo Sotelo Puertollano never conceded 3 in a row in 6 of 7 (last 10, all venues)
Albacete Balompie to lead by 3 Goals at any time: NoIN CODES
1.23
ALB 4 of 5 (80%) · CAL 5 of 6 (83%)83%
Albacete Balompie scored first 1 of last 5, never led by 3 in 4 · never led by 3 in 5 of 6 away · Calvo Sotelo Puertollano never trailed by 3 in 6 of 7 (last 10, all venues)
Albacete Balompie to lead by 2 Goals at any time: NoHELD · the odds board 58%
1.72
ALB 4 of 5 (80%) · CAL 5 of 6 (83%)78.3%
Albacete Balompie scored first 1 of last 5, never led by 2 in 4 · never led by 2 in 5 of 6 away · Calvo Sotelo Puertollano never trailed by 2 in 5 of 7 (last 10, all venues)
Albacete Balompie To Score 2 or More Goals in a Row: NoLEANPAGE ONLY
2.01
ALB 4 of 5 (80%) · CAL 5 of 6 (83%)68.7%
Albacete Balompie scored first 1 of last 5, never scored 2 in a row in 4 · never scored 2 in a row in 5 of 6 away · Calvo Sotelo Puertollano never conceded 2 in a row in 3 of 7 (last 10, all venues)
Left off the list: Over 2.5 Goals (the numbers (39%) and the records (52%) are on opposite sides, and nothing settles it); Any Team To Score 2 or More Goals in a Row: Yes (the numbers (46%) and the records (61%) are on opposite sides, and nothing settles it)
SCORELINES
Predicted score
Predicted score 1–1 14%
Calvo Sotelo… goals →
Albacete Balompie goals ↓
0-011%
1-012%
2-08%
3-03%
4-01%
5-00.3%
0-110%
1-114%
2-18%
3-13%
4-11%
5-10.3%
0-25%
1-27%
2-24%
3-22%
4-20.5%
5-20.1%
0-32%
1-32%
2-31%
3-30.6%
4-30.2%
5-30.0%
0-40.5%
1-40.6%
2-40.4%
3-40.1%
4-40.0%
5-40.0%
0-50.1%
1-50.1%
2-50.1%
3-50.0%
4-50.0%
5-50.0%
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the Model's table).
FORM · LAST 10
CALVO SOTELO PUERTOLLANOLLDLDLWLDL0.60 PPG
ALBACETE BALOMPIEWWWLLLLLDL1.00 PPG
THE NUMBERS
CALVO SOTELO PUERTOLLANO HOMExALBACETE BALOMPIE AWAY
0.60SCORED A GAME1.102.00CONCEDED A GAME1.9030%CLEAN SHEETS10%50%FAILED TO SCORE31%3.43CORNERS A GAME5.882.00CARDS A GAME3.62
THE BANK
THE BANKER MENU
OVER 1.5 CARDS
–
543 OF 573
PRICE NOT KEPT
Both sides' last 5 games point to 5.2+ cards.
CALVO SOTELO PUERTOLLANO 3:0 HANDICAP
–
134 OF 142
PRICE NOT KEPT
The tips say a tight game and the Bank expects under 2.3 goals.
BOTH HALVES OVER 1.5: NO
–
138 OF 151
PRICE NOT KEPT
The tips say a tight game and the Bank expects under 2.3 goals.
NO TEAM SCORES 3 IN A ROW
–
85 OF 93
PRICE NOT KEPT
The tips say a tight or mixed game, the Bank expects under 2.3 goals, and the favourite fails to score in 1 game in 4 or more.
Other bets the bookie sells that won 9 times in 10 or more on games like this one, in each of three spells: 20-24 Oct, 25-29 Oct and 30 Oct-2 Nov. The price is low because the bookie expects it too. A bet with no price yet, or one under 1.09, is not in any code.
THE QUALITY READ
0.33POINTS A GAME0.91-1.67GOAL DIFFERENCE A GAME-0.82+0.2SHOTS FOR MINUS AGAINST-1.70.4LAST 5: POINTS A GAME1.89LEAGUE GAMES11
Albacete Balompie: the quality side - a better goal difference, better form (last 5).
Each club's own league games in the Bank: points, goal difference, shots for and against, the last 5. A side ahead on most of them is the quality side; its bets show what they won on games like this from 6 Oct to 2 Nov.
THE BANK'S READ
OVER 1.5 GOALS
88%
VERY GOOD · 80/83
OVER 2.5 GOALS
71%
OKAY · 65/78
UNDER 4.5 GOALS
91%
VERY GOOD · 85/90
Each line from both sides' own league games this season, set against their league (9 and 11 games). The two numbers after each read are the line's okay and very good marks.
CALVO SOTELO PUERTOLLANOxALBACETE BALOMPIE
5GAMES50.80SCORED A GAME1.602.40CONCEDED A GAME1.803.2GOALS IN THEIR GAMES3.480%OVER 1.5 GOALS100%80%OVER 2.5 GOALS80%60%BOTH SCORE60%–CARDS IN THEIR GAMES7.2–CORNERS IN THEIR GAMES12.2
Each side's own league games in our bank before this game; "Home v Away" is the home side's home games and the away side's away games.
TRENDS
Calvo Sotelo Puertollano have scored in 50% of their games.
Albacete Balompie have scored in 70% of their games.
Calvo Sotelo Puertollano kept a clean sheet in 30% of their games.
Albacete Balompie kept a clean sheet in 10% of their games.
BUILT FROM
form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againstclean sheetscornerscards