THE READ
Match details. UEFA Europa Cup, Women, Round of 16. Kick-off is Tue 10 Nov, 19:00 Lagos time. It is played at Stadion Feijenoord, Rotterdam.
What's at stake. It is one game, with penalties if it is level.
Form. Feyenoord Rotterdam have won three, drawn none and lost seven of their last ten, 0.9 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W L L L L. VfL Wolfsburg W have won nine, drawn none and lost one of their last ten, 2.7 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W W W W W.
The numbers. Feyenoord Rotterdam score 1.2 and concede 2.8 a game over their last ten, with two clean sheets and four games without a goal. Feyenoord Rotterdam average 9.6 shots (3.9 on target), 3.0 corners and 1.1 cards a game. VfL Wolfsburg W score 3.4 and concede 0.6 a game in their last five away, with three clean sheets. VfL Wolfsburg W average 18.2 shots (8.3 on target), 8.1 corners and 1.2 cards a game.
Where it pulls both ways. The prices and the records disagree: the odds board makes it 98% against the records' 77%.
The read. No firm call: VfL Wolfsburg W are the better side, but not at this price. An open game. Their goals for and against make VfL Wolfsburg W the likelier winners; VfL Wolfsburg W are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour VfL Wolfsburg W. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 82%.
The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Predicted score: Feyenoord Rotterdam 0-3 VfL Wolfsburg W (8% chance).
The agreed story. No side to back (VfL Wolfsburg W the favourite), an open game.
Cup and European games. A European night: sides from different leagues, and the two league tables cannot be compared. Too few European games on either side to read.
So. A close match: the safest pick that fits.
PICKSONE LIST
RESULT
Draw or Over 2.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
FEY 8 of 10 (80%) · VFL 4 of 5 (80%)82.7%
Feyenoord Rotterdam: the bet landed in 8 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · VfL Wolfsburg W: the bet landed in 4 of 5 away · both last 10: 85%
VfL Wolfsburg W or Over 2.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
VFL 5 of 5 (100%) · FEY 9 of 10 (90%)77%
VfL Wolfsburg W: the bet landed in 5 of 5 away · Feyenoord Rotterdam: the bet landed in 9 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 95%
VfL Wolfsburg W or Draw (1UP)PAGE ONLY
no price yet
VFL 5 of 5 (100%) · FEY 8 of 9 (89%)74.1%
VfL Wolfsburg W scored first 5 of last 5, led or was unbeaten in 5 · led or was unbeaten in 8 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · Feyenoord Rotterdam trailed or failed to win in 7 of 8 (last 10, all venues)
VfL Wolfsburg W 1UPPAGE ONLY
no price yet
VFL 5 of 5 (100%) · FEY 8 of 9 (89%)74.1%
VfL Wolfsburg W scored first 5 of last 5, led in 5 · led in 8 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · Feyenoord Rotterdam trailed in 7 of 8 (last 10, all venues)
Feyenoord Rotterdam or Over 2.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
FEY 9 of 10 (90%) · VFL 4 of 5 (80%)68.7%
Feyenoord Rotterdam: the bet landed in 9 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · VfL Wolfsburg W: the bet landed in 4 of 5 away · both last 10: 90%
VfL Wolfsburg W (Draw No Bet)PAGE ONLY
no price yet
VFL 4 of 5 (80%) · FEY 7 of 10 (70%)58.7%
VfL Wolfsburg W won 4 of 5 away (draws left out) · Feyenoord Rotterdam lost 7 of 10 (last 10, all venues) (draws left out) · both last 10: 80% · won 7, refunded 0, lost 2
VfL Wolfsburg W Win & Over 1.5PAGE ONLY
no price yet
VFL 4 of 5 (80%) · FEY 6 of 10 (60%)53.7%
VfL Wolfsburg W: the bet landed in 4 of 5 away · Feyenoord Rotterdam: the bet landed in 6 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 75%
2nd Half - 1X2: VfL Wolfsburg WLEANHELD · the odds board 88%
1.14
VFL 4 of 5 (80%) · FEY 7 of 10 (70%)49.7%
VfL Wolfsburg W: the bet landed in 4 of 5 away · Feyenoord Rotterdam: the bet landed in 7 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 75% · on half-time scores
GOALS
no price yet
FEY 10 of 10 (100%) · VFL 5 of 5 (100%)97%
Feyenoord Rotterdam: over 0.5 goals in 10 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · VfL Wolfsburg W: over 0.5 goals in 5 of 5 away · both last 10: 100%
no price yet
FEY 8 of 10 (80%) · VFL 5 of 5 (100%)91%
Feyenoord Rotterdam: over 1.5 goals in 8 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · VfL Wolfsburg W: over 1.5 goals in 5 of 5 away · both last 10: 90%
1.21
FEY 8 of 10 (80%) · VFL 4 of 5 (80%)82.7%
Feyenoord Rotterdam: over 2.5 goals in 8 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · VfL Wolfsburg W: over 2.5 goals in 4 of 5 away · both last 10: 85%
VFL WOLFSBURG W GOALS
VfL Wolfsburg W Over 0.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
VFL 5 of 5 (100%) · FEY 8 of 10 (80%)90%
VfL Wolfsburg W scored in 5 of 5 away · Feyenoord Rotterdam conceded in 8 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 90%
VfL Wolfsburg W Over 1.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
VFL 4 of 5 (80%) · FEY 6 of 10 (60%)53.7%
VfL Wolfsburg W scored over 1.5 in 4 of 5 away · Feyenoord Rotterdam conceded over 1.5 in 6 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 75%
HALVES
1st Half Over 0.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
FEY 7 of 10 (70%) · VFL 5 of 5 (100%)87.1%
Feyenoord Rotterdam: the bet landed in 7 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · VfL Wolfsburg W: the bet landed in 5 of 5 away · both last 10: 85% · on half-time scores
2nd Half - Exact Goals: 2+LEANPAGE ONLY
1.28
FEY 7 of 10 (70%) · VFL 4 of 5 (80%)69%
Feyenoord Rotterdam: the bet landed in 7 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · VfL Wolfsburg W: the bet landed in 4 of 5 away · both last 10: 80% · on half-time scores
CORNERS
Over 5.5 CornersPAGE ONLY
no price yet
FEY 6 of 8 (75%) · VFL 7 of 9 (78%)76.4%
Feyenoord Rotterdam's games: over 5.5 corners in 6 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · VfL Wolfsburg W's games: over 5.5 corners in 7 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 76%
CARDS
no price yet
FEY 6 of 8 (75%) · VFL 6 of 9 (67%)70.8%
Feyenoord Rotterdam's games: over 1.5 cards in 6 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · VfL Wolfsburg W's games: over 1.5 cards in 6 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 71%
TRENDS
Feyenoord Rotterdam have scored in 60% of their games.
VfL Wolfsburg W have scored in 100% of their games.
Feyenoord Rotterdam kept a clean sheet in 20% of their games.
VfL Wolfsburg W kept a clean sheet in 60% of their games.