Singapore vs Paraguay
Match details. An international friendly. Kick-off is Fri 13 Nov, 13:00 Lagos time. It is played at National Stadium, Kallang.
What's at stake. It is a friendly, so no points ride on it.
Form. Singapore have won five, drawn two and lost three of their last ten, 1.7 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L W L W L. Paraguay have won four, drawn three and lost three of their last ten, 1.5 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L D W L W.
The numbers. Singapore score 1.2 and concede 0.8 a game in their last five at home, with three clean sheets. Singapore average 11.3 shots (3.7 on target), 2.7 corners and 3.0 cards a game, with 47% of the ball. Paraguay score one and concede 1.4 a game in their last five away, with two clean sheets. Paraguay average 7.4 shots (2.5 on target), 3.1 corners and 2.0 cards a game, with 33% of the ball.
Where it pulls both ways. The prices and the records disagree: the odds board makes it 93% against the records' 44%. On goals, their goals for and against point to an open game; their records put over 1.5 goals at 62%, over 2.5 at 42%, under 4.5 at 89%.
The read. No firm call: Paraguay are the better side, but not at this price. Their goals for and against make Paraguay the likelier winners; Paraguay are the stronger side on form and the table.
The bets. Best bet: Paraguay Over/Under: Under 5.5 at 1.10, rated 98% (Paraguay scored under 5.5 in 5 of 5 away; Singapore conceded under 5.5 in 5 of 5 at home). Backup: 1st half - Paraguay Over/Under: Under 2.5 at 1.19. It often rescues the bet, but it is no guarantee. Predicted score: Singapore 0-2 Paraguay (18% chance).
The agreed story. Paraguay or the draw, goals in between.
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the Model's table).