THE READ
Match details. Liga MX, Women. Kick-off is Thu 12 Nov, 02:00 Lagos time.
Form. Club America have won eight, drawn one and lost one of their last ten, 2.5 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W W W W L. Deportivo Toluca FC have won five, drawn two and lost three of their last ten, 1.7 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D L W D W.
The numbers. Club America score 3.6 and concede 1.2 a game in their last five at home, with one clean sheet. Club America average 9.6 corners and 2.0 cards a game. Deportivo Toluca FC score two and concede 1.6 a game in their last five away, with one clean sheet. Deportivo Toluca FC average 4.2 corners and 1.7 cards a game.
Where it pulls both ways. The prices and the records disagree: the odds board makes it 88% against the records' 52%.
The read. No firm call: Club America are the better side, but not at this price. An open game. Their goals for and against make Club America the likelier winners; Club America are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour Club America. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 1.5 goals at 97%, over 2.5 at 88%, under 4.5 at 65%.
The bets. Best bet: Over 2.5 Goals at 1.19, rated 88% (Club America: over 2.5 goals in 5 of 5 at home; Deportivo Toluca FC: over 2.5 goals in 4 of 5 away). Full cover: Over/Under: Under 6.5 at 1.13. Whenever the best bet loses, this one wins. Predicted score: Club America 2-1 Deportivo Toluca FC (9% chance).
The agreed story. No side to back (Club America the favourite), an open game.
Cup and European games. A domestic cup: sides rotate, and the two can come from different divisions. Too few cup games on either side to read.
So. A close match: the safest pick that fits.
PICKSONE LIST
RESULT
Draw or Over 2.5 GoalsIN CODES
1.11
CLU 5 of 5 (100%) · DEP 5 of 5 (100%)96.7%
Club America: the bet landed in 5 of 5 at home · Deportivo Toluca FC: the bet landed in 5 of 5 away · both last 10: 95% · Club America: only games against sides at Deportivo Toluca FC's level · Deportivo Toluca FC: only games against sides at Club America's level
Deportivo Toluca FC or Over 2.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
1.16
DEP 4 of 5 (80%) · CLU 5 of 5 (100%)72%
Deportivo Toluca FC: the bet landed in 4 of 5 away · Club America: the bet landed in 5 of 5 at home · both last 10: 90% · Deportivo Toluca FC: only games against sides at Club America's level · Club America: only games against sides at Deportivo Toluca FC's level
Deportivo Toluca FC win or both teams scoreIN CODES
1.57
DEP 5 of 5 (100%) · CLU 4 of 5 (80%)68.7%
Deportivo Toluca FC: the bet landed in 5 of 5 away · Club America: the bet landed in 4 of 5 at home · both last 10: 80% · Deportivo Toluca FC: only games against sides at Club America's level · Club America: only games against sides at Deportivo Toluca FC's level
Double Chance & Over/Under 1.5: Club America/Deportivo Toluca FC & Over 1.5HELD · the odds board 92%
1.09
CLU 4 of 5 (80%) · DEP 4 of 5 (80%)62%
Club America: the bet landed in 4 of 5 at home · Deportivo Toluca FC: the bet landed in 4 of 5 away · both last 10: 80% · Club America: only games against sides at Deportivo Toluca FC's level · Deportivo Toluca FC: only games against sides at Club America's level
Double Chance & Over/Under 2.5: Club America/Deportivo Toluca FC & Over 2.5HELD · the odds board 83%
1.20
CLU 4 of 5 (80%) · DEP 4 of 5 (80%)62%
Club America: the bet landed in 4 of 5 at home · Deportivo Toluca FC: the bet landed in 4 of 5 away · both last 10: 80% · Club America: only games against sides at Deportivo Toluca FC's level · Deportivo Toluca FC: only games against sides at Club America's level
Deportivo Toluca FC or Draw (1UP)LEANPAGE ONLY
2.26
DEP 5 of 5 (100%) · CLU 8 of 9 (89%)51%
Deportivo Toluca FC scored first 3 of last 5, led or was unbeaten in 5 · led or was unbeaten in 8 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · Club America trailed or failed to win in 1 of 5 at home · Deportivo Toluca FC: only games against sides at Club America's level · Club America: only games against sides at Deportivo Toluca FC's level
GOALS
no price yet
CLU 5 of 5 (100%) · DEP 5 of 5 (100%)97%
Club America: over 1.5 goals in 5 of 5 at home · Deportivo Toluca FC: over 1.5 goals in 5 of 5 away · both last 10: 90% · Club America: only games against sides at Deportivo Toluca FC's level · Deportivo Toluca FC: only games against sides at Club America's level
no price yet
CLU 5 of 5 (100%) · DEP 5 of 5 (100%)97%
Club America: over 0.5 goals in 5 of 5 at home · Deportivo Toluca FC: over 0.5 goals in 5 of 5 away · both last 10: 95% · Club America: only games against sides at Deportivo Toluca FC's level · Deportivo Toluca FC: only games against sides at Club America's level
Over 2.5 GoalsMAININ CODES
1.19
CLU 5 of 5 (100%) · DEP 4 of 5 (80%)89.3%
Club America: over 2.5 goals in 5 of 5 at home · Deportivo Toluca FC: over 2.5 goals in 4 of 5 away · both last 10: 85% · Club America: only games against sides at Deportivo Toluca FC's level · Deportivo Toluca FC: only games against sides at Club America's level
BOTH TEAMS SCORE
Both Teams to Score - YesIN CODES
1.61
CLU 4 of 5 (80%) · DEP 4 of 5 (80%)76%
Club America: both scored in 4 of 5 at home · Deportivo Toluca FC: both scored in 4 of 5 away · both last 10: 65% · Club America: only games against sides at Deportivo Toluca FC's level · Deportivo Toluca FC: only games against sides at Club America's level
CLUB AMERICA GOALS
Club America Over 0.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
CLU 5 of 5 (100%) · DEP 4 of 5 (80%)86.7%
Club America scored in 5 of 5 at home · Deportivo Toluca FC conceded in 4 of 5 away · both last 10: 80% · Club America: only games against sides at Deportivo Toluca FC's level · Deportivo Toluca FC: only games against sides at Club America's level
Club America Over 1.5 GoalsLEANPAGE ONLY
no price yet
CLU 5 of 5 (100%) · DEP 1 of 5 (20%)43.7%
Club America scored over 1.5 in 5 of 5 at home · Deportivo Toluca FC conceded over 1.5 in 1 of 5 away · both last 10: 65% · Club America: only games against sides at Deportivo Toluca FC's level · Deportivo Toluca FC: only games against sides at Club America's level
DEPORTIVO TOLUCA FC GOALS
Deportivo Toluca FC Over 0.5 goalsHELD · the odds board 63%
1.59
DEP 5 of 5 (100%) · CLU 4 of 5 (80%)86.7%
Deportivo Toluca FC scored in 5 of 5 away · Club America conceded in 4 of 5 at home · both last 10: 80% · Deportivo Toluca FC: only games against sides at Club America's level · Club America: only games against sides at Deportivo Toluca FC's level
HALVES
Excluded Number of Goals - First Half: 0PAGE ONLY
1.11
CLU 5 of 5 (100%) · DEP 4 of 5 (80%)88.8%
Club America: the bet landed in 5 of 5 at home · Deportivo Toluca FC: the bet landed in 4 of 5 away · both last 10: 85% · on half-time scores · Club America: only games against sides at Deportivo Toluca FC's level · Deportivo Toluca FC: only games against sides at Club America's level
1st Half Over 0.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
1.11
CLU 5 of 5 (100%) · DEP 4 of 5 (80%)87.8%
Club America: the bet landed in 5 of 5 at home · Deportivo Toluca FC: the bet landed in 4 of 5 away · both last 10: 85% · on half-time scores · Club America: only games against sides at Deportivo Toluca FC's level · Deportivo Toluca FC: only games against sides at Club America's level
Both Halves Under 1.5: NoPAGE ONLY
1.12
CLU 5 of 5 (100%) · DEP 5 of 5 (100%)85.6%
Club America: the bet landed in 5 of 5 at home · Deportivo Toluca FC: the bet landed in 5 of 5 away · both last 10: 90% · on half-time scores · Club America: only games against sides at Deportivo Toluca FC's level · Deportivo Toluca FC: only games against sides at Club America's level
Excluded Number of Goals - First Half: 1PAGE ONLY
1.32
CLU 5 of 5 (100%) · DEP 3 of 5 (60%)74.3%
Club America: the bet landed in 5 of 5 at home · Deportivo Toluca FC: the bet landed in 3 of 5 away · both last 10: 80% · on half-time scores · Club America: only games against sides at Deportivo Toluca FC's level · Deportivo Toluca FC: only games against sides at Club America's level
OTHER
Any Team To Score 2 or More Goals in a Row: YesIN CODES
1.16
CLU 5 of 5 (100%) · DEP 5 of 5 (100%)86.2%
Club America scored first 5 of last 5, a side scored 2 in a row in 5 · a side scored 2 in a row in 5 of 5 at home · Deportivo Toluca FC a side scored 2 in a row in 5 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · Club America: only games against sides at Deportivo Toluca FC's level · Deportivo Toluca FC: only games against sides at Club America's level
Any Team to lead by 2 Goals at any time: YesIN CODES
1.24
CLU 4 of 5 (80%) · DEP 4 of 5 (80%)72.9%
Club America scored first 5 of last 5, a side led by 2 in 4 · a side led by 2 in 4 of 5 at home · Deportivo Toluca FC a side led by 2 in 5 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · Club America: only games against sides at Deportivo Toluca FC's level · Deportivo Toluca FC: only games against sides at Club America's level
Deportivo Toluca FC To Score 2 or More Goals in a Row: NoLEANHELD · the odds board 91%
1.10
DEP 3 of 5 (60%) · CLU 6 of 9 (67%)62.2%
Deportivo Toluca FC scored first 3 of last 5, never scored 2 in a row in 3 · never scored 2 in a row in 6 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · Club America never conceded 2 in a row in 3 of 5 at home · Deportivo Toluca FC: only games against sides at Club America's level · Club America: only games against sides at Deportivo Toluca FC's level
Deportivo Toluca FC to lead by 1 Goal at any time: NoLEANHELD · the odds board 79%
1.26
DEP 2 of 5 (40%) · CLU 3 of 9 (33%)51.1%
Deportivo Toluca FC scored first 3 of last 5, never led by 1 in 2 · never led by 1 in 3 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · Club America never trailed by 1 in 4 of 5 at home · Deportivo Toluca FC: only games against sides at Club America's level · Club America: only games against sides at Deportivo Toluca FC's level
Left off the list: Any Team To Score 3 or More Goals in a Row: Yes (the numbers (36%) and the records (58%) are on opposite sides, and nothing settles it); Any Team to lead by 3 Goals at any time: Yes (the numbers (30%) and the records (55%) are on opposite sides, and nothing settles it); Club America to lead by 3 Goals at any time: No (the numbers (76%) and the records (53%) are 24 points apart, and nothing settles it)