Al Mokawloon Al Arab vs We SC

Match details. Egypt Cup. Kick-off is Tue 10 Nov, 16:00 Lagos time.

Form. Al Mokawloon Al Arab have won four, drawn two and lost four of their last ten, 1.4 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L L W D W. We SC have won six, drawn one and lost three of their last ten, 1.9 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L D W L W.

The numbers. Al Mokawloon Al Arab score 1.3 and concede 0.9 a game over their last ten, with four clean sheets and two games without a goal. Al Mokawloon Al Arab average 7.6 shots (3.7 on target), 3.6 corners and 2.0 cards a game. We SC score 1.8 and concede 1.2 a game in their last five away, with two clean sheets. We SC average 8.3 shots (3.4 on target), 4.3 corners and 2.3 cards a game.

Where it pulls both ways. The prices and the records disagree: the odds board makes it 21% against the records' 50%.

The read. No firm call: We SC are the better side, but not at this price. A tight game. We SC are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour We SC. Their goals for and against point to a tight game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 43%.

The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Predicted score: Al Mokawloon Al Arab 1-1 We SC (14% chance).

The agreed story. No side to back (We SC the favourite), a tight game.

Cup and European games. A domestic cup: sides rotate, and the two can come from different divisions. Al Mokawloon Al Arab in their last cup games: lost 0-1 at AL Ahly SC (EGY). Too few cup games to judge the side from.

So. A close match: the safest pick that fits.