INTERNATIONAL - AFRICA CUP OF NATIONS QUALIFICATION

BFBFA

17:00Fri 13 Nov

MTN

MAU

Burkina Faso vs Mauritania

CLASS A

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THE BETLIVELY · 10-ODDS · 100-ODDS ·…

TOTAL GOALS

Class A

BFv

MAU

Under 3.5 Goals

Burkina Faso v Mauritania

International - Africa… · 17:00

1.20odds

83%book

-4edge

5/5angles

THE READ

Match details. Africa Cup of Nations Qualification, Group Stage - 3. Kick-off is Fri 13 Nov, 17:00 Lagos time. It is played at Stade du 4 Aout, Ouagadougou.

What's at stake. Burkina Faso are 2nd on 4 points after 2 games, 3 points behind Benin, 1 point clear of Mauritania. A win would take them level on points with Benin. Mauritania are 3rd on 3 points after 2 games, 1 point behind Burkina Faso, 3 points clear of Central African Republic. A win would take them above Burkina Faso.

Form. Burkina Faso have won six, drawn two and lost two of their last ten, 2.0 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W D L W L. In this competition Burkina Faso have gone W D. Mauritania have won four, drawn two and lost four of their last ten, 1.4 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L W L L D. In this competition Mauritania have gone L W.

The numbers. Burkina Faso score 1.6 and concede 0.7 a game over their last ten, with five clean sheets and three games without a goal. Burkina Faso average 11.5 shots (2.7 on target), 6.0 corners and 1.6 cards a game, with 56% of the ball. Mauritania score 0.8 and concede one a game over their last ten, with five clean sheets and five games without a goal. Mauritania average 11.0 shots (3.5 on target), 3.0 corners and 1.0 cards a game.

Head to head. In the last four meetings Burkina Faso have won two, drawn none and lost two. None of the four went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in none. The last time they met, on 13 Aug 2025, it finished Burkina Faso 0-1 Mauritania.

The case against. Mauritania's record still gives them 36% to win.

The read. Burkina Faso to win. A tight game. Their goals for and against make Burkina Faso the likelier winners; Burkina Faso are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour Burkina Faso. Their goals for and against point to a tight game. Their records put over 1.5 goals at 54%, over 2.5 at 34%, under 4.5 at 99%. Four of the last four meetings went under 2.5.

The bets. Best bet: Under 3.5 Goals at 1.20, rated 77% (Burkina Faso: under 3.5 goals in 8 of 10; Mauritania: under 3.5 goals in 8 of 10). The safer one: Mauritania Under 1.5 Goals at 1.12 (88%). Full cover: Over 0.5 Goals at 1.09. Whenever the best bet loses, this one wins. Predicted score: Burkina Faso 1-0 Mauritania (16% chance).

The agreed story. Burkina Faso or the draw, a tight game.

Their internationals. National teams: read from their own internationals. Burkina Faso in their last internationals: lost 0-7 at Argentina (rated above them), won 1-0 at Central African Republic, drew 1-1 v Benin. Mauritania in their last internationals: lost 1-2 at Benin, won 3-1 v Central African Republic. Too few internationals to judge the side from.

So. A close match: the safest pick that fits.

PICKSONE LIST

RESULT

Mauritania (0:2 handicap)IN CODES

1.44

MTN 8 of 10 (80%) · BFA 7 of 10 (70%)77.7%

Mauritania: the bet landed in 8 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Burkina Faso: the bet landed in 7 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 74% · H2H 4 of 4 · each game weighed by who it was against

Burkina Faso or Any Clean Sheet: YesIN CODES

1.17

BFA 9 of 10 (90%) · MTN 9 of 10 (90%)75.2%

Burkina Faso: the bet landed in 9 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Mauritania: the bet landed in 9 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 92% · H2H 4 of 4 · each game weighed by who it was against

Draw or Under 2.5 GoalsLEANPAGE ONLY

1.50

BFA 6 of 10 (60%) · MTN 7 of 10 (70%)47.2%

Burkina Faso: the bet landed in 6 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Mauritania: the bet landed in 7 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 60% · H2H 4 of 4 · each game weighed by who it was against

GOALS

Under 3.5 GoalsMAININ CODES

1.20

BFA 8 of 10 (80%) · MTN 8 of 10 (80%)79.1%

Burkina Faso: under 3.5 goals in 8 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Mauritania: under 3.5 goals in 8 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 80% · H2H 4 of 4 · each game weighed by who it was against

Over 0.5 GoalsFULL COVERIN CODES

1.09

BFA 9 of 10 (90%) · MTN 8 of 10 (80%)72.8%

Burkina Faso: over 0.5 goals in 9 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Mauritania: over 0.5 goals in 8 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 87% · H2H 4 of 4 · each game weighed by who it was against

Under 2.5 GoalsLEANHELD · the odds board 63%

1.58

BFA 6 of 10 (60%) · MTN 7 of 10 (70%)38%

Burkina Faso: under 2.5 goals in 6 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Mauritania: under 2.5 goals in 7 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 60% · H2H 4 of 4 · each game weighed by who it was against

BOTH TEAMS SCORE

Both Teams to Score - NoLEANHELD · the odds board 65%

1.53

BFA 7 of 10 (70%) · MTN 8 of 10 (80%)44.1%

Burkina Faso: not both scored in 7 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Mauritania: not both scored in 8 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 77% · H2H 4 of 4 · each game weighed by who it was against

BURKINA FASO GOALS

Burkina Faso Under 2.5 goalsIN CODES

1.24

BFA 8 of 10 (80%) · MTN 9 of 10 (90%)73.8%

Burkina Faso scored under 2.5 in 8 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Mauritania conceded under 2.5 in 9 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 82% · H2H 4 of 4 · each game weighed by who it was against

MAURITANIA GOALS

Mauritania Under 1.5 goalsSAFERIN CODES

1.12

MTN 8 of 10 (80%) · BFA 9 of 10 (90%)90.2%

Mauritania scored under 1.5 in 8 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Burkina Faso conceded under 1.5 in 9 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 85% · H2H 3 of 4 · each game weighed by who it was against

HALVES

1st half - Burkina Faso Over/Under: Under 1.5PAGE ONLY

1.16

BFA 9 of 10 (90%) · MTN 9 of 10 (90%)93.1%

Burkina Faso: the bet landed in 9 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Mauritania: the bet landed in 9 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 96% · H2H 3 of 3 · on half-time scores · each game weighed by who it was against

1st Half - GG/NG: NoPAGE ONLY

1.12

BFA 10 of 10 (100%) · MTN 10 of 10 (100%)91.5%

Burkina Faso: the bet landed in 10 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Mauritania: the bet landed in 10 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 100% · H2H 3 of 3 · on half-time scores · each game weighed by who it was against

Excluded Number of Goals - First Half: 2PAGE ONLY

1.18

BFA 9 of 10 (90%) · MTN 9 of 10 (90%)87.4%

Burkina Faso: the bet landed in 9 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Mauritania: the bet landed in 9 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 89% · H2H 3 of 3 · on half-time scores · each game weighed by who it was against

2nd Half - GG/NG: NoPAGE ONLY

1.17

BFA 8 of 10 (80%) · MTN 8 of 10 (80%)87.2%

Burkina Faso: the bet landed in 8 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Mauritania: the bet landed in 8 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 83% · H2H 3 of 3 · on half-time scores · each game weighed by who it was against

Under 1.5 first-half goalsPAGE ONLY

1.33

BFA 8 of 10 (80%) · MTN 9 of 10 (90%)82.5%

Burkina Faso: the bet landed in 8 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Mauritania: the bet landed in 9 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 88% · H2H 3 of 3 · on half-time scores · each game weighed by who it was against

1st/2nd Half GG/NG: No/NoPAGE ONLY

1.28

BFA 8 of 10 (80%) · MTN 8 of 10 (80%)78.2%

Over 0.5 first-half goalsLEANPAGE ONLY

1.49

BFA 6 of 10 (60%) · MTN 7 of 10 (70%)55.5%

Burkina Faso: the bet landed in 6 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Mauritania: the bet landed in 7 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 72% · H2H 2 of 3 · on half-time scores · each game weighed by who it was against

Left off the list: Over 1.5 Cards (the numbers (74%) and the records (100%) are 26 points apart, and nothing settles it)

SCORELINES

Predicted score

Predicted score 1–0 15.6%

Burkina Faso goals →

Mauritania goals ↓

0-09%

1-016%

2-015%

3-09%

4-04%

5-02%

0-15%

1-110%

2-19%

3-15%

4-13%

5-10.9%

0-22%

1-23%

2-23%

3-22%

4-20.7%

5-20.3%

0-30.3%

1-30.5%

2-30.5%

3-30.3%

4-30.1%

5-30.1%

0-40.0%

1-40.1%

2-40.1%

3-40.0%

4-40.0%

5-40.0%

0-50.0%

1-50.0%

2-50.0%

3-50.0%

4-50.0%

5-50.0%

Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and a tight game).

FORM · LAST 10

BURKINA FASOWDWWWLWLDW2.00 PPG

MAURITANIALWWWDDLLWL1.40 PPG

THE NUMBERS

BURKINA FASO HOMExMAURITANIA AWAY

1.60SCORED A GAME0.800.70CONCEDED A GAME1.0050%CLEAN SHEETS50%6.00CORNERS A GAME3.001.62CARDS A GAME1.00

HEAD TO HEAD · LAST 4

BURKINA FASO 2 · 50%DRAW 0MAURITANIA 2 · 50%

0 of 4BOTH TEAMS SCORED

1 of 4OVER 1.5 GOALS

0 of 4OVER 2.5 GOALS

0 of 4OVER 3.5 GOALS

2018-09-08Burkina Faso 0 – 2 Mauritania

2019-03-22Burkina Faso 1 – 0 Mauritania

2024-01-16Burkina Faso 1 – 0 Mauritania

2025-08-13Burkina Faso 0 – 1 Mauritania

TRENDS

Burkina Faso have scored in 70% of their games.

Mauritania have scored in 50% of their games.

Burkina Faso kept a clean sheet in 50% of their games.

Mauritania kept a clean sheet in 50% of their games.

BUILT FROM

form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againstclean sheetshead to headleague tableteam newscornerscards