MEXICO - LIGA DE EXPANSION MX
03:00Thu 12 Nov
CLU
CA
Piratas Veracruz vs Club Atletico La Paz
CLASS E
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85
TOTAL GOALS
Class E
Over 1.5 Goals
Piratas Veracruz v Club Atletico La Paz
1.20odds
83%book
+2edge
2/2angles
THE READ
Match details. Liga de Expansion MX, Semi-finals. Kick-off is Thu 12 Nov, 03:00 Lagos time.
What's at stake. It is one game, with penalties if it is level.
Form. Piratas Veracruz have won four, drawn four and lost two of their last ten, 1.6 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D D D W W. Club Atletico La Paz have won six, drawn three and lost one of their last ten, 2.1 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D W W W D.
The numbers. Piratas Veracruz score 2.2 and concede 0.6 a game in their last five at home, with two clean sheets. Piratas Veracruz average 6.6 corners and 2.4 cards a game. Club Atletico La Paz score 2.6 and concede 1.2 a game in their last five away, with one clean sheet. Club Atletico La Paz average 4.6 corners and 2.9 cards a game.
The read. No side to back. An open game. Nothing separates them clearly enough to back a side. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 1.5 goals at 92%, over 2.5 at 72%, under 4.5 at 87%.
The bets. Best bet: Over 1.5 Goals at 1.20, rated 76% (Piratas Veracruz: over 1.5 goals in 5 of 5 at home; Club Atletico La Paz: over 1.5 goals in 4 of 5 away). Full cover: Under 4.5 Goals at 1.18. Whenever the best bet loses, this one wins. Predicted score: Piratas Veracruz 2-1 Club Atletico La Paz (8% chance).
The agreed story. No side to back (Club Atletico La Paz the favourite), an open game. The app, the Bank and the tipsters together.
The league run. Piratas Veracruz: unbeaten in their last five league games but drawing, the last three all draws (D D D W W). Club Atletico La Paz: unbeaten in their last five league games (D W W D W).
So. A close match: the safest pick that fits.
PICKSONE LIST
RESULT
Piratas Veracruz to Win Both Halves: NoPAGE ONLY
1.16
PIR 3 of 5 (60%) · CLU 5 of 5 (100%)87.6%
Piratas Veracruz: the bet landed in 3 of 5 at home · Club Atletico La Paz: the bet landed in 5 of 5 away · both last 10: 85% · on half-time scores · Piratas Veracruz: only games against sides at Club Atletico La Paz's level · Club Atletico La Paz: only games against sides at Piratas Veracruz's level
Piratas Veracruz to Win to Nil: NoIN CODES
1.29
PIR 3 of 5 (60%) · CLU 5 of 5 (100%)81.7%
Piratas Veracruz: the bet landed in 3 of 5 at home · Club Atletico La Paz: the bet landed in 5 of 5 away · both last 10: 85% · Piratas Veracruz: only games against sides at Club Atletico La Paz's level · Club Atletico La Paz: only games against sides at Piratas Veracruz's level
Piratas Veracruz or Both Teams ScoreIN CODES
1.13
PIR 5 of 5 (100%) · CLU 4 of 5 (80%)70.3%
Piratas Veracruz: the bet landed in 5 of 5 at home · Club Atletico La Paz: the bet landed in 4 of 5 away · both last 10: 85% · Piratas Veracruz: only games against sides at Club Atletico La Paz's level · Club Atletico La Paz: only games against sides at Piratas Veracruz's level
Piratas Veracruz (2:0 handicap)LEANPAGE ONLY
no price yet
PIR 5 of 5 (100%) · CLU 2 of 5 (40%)68.3%
Piratas Veracruz: the bet landed in 5 of 5 at home · Club Atletico La Paz: the bet landed in 2 of 5 away · both last 10: 65% · Piratas Veracruz: only games against sides at Club Atletico La Paz's level · Club Atletico La Paz: only games against sides at Piratas Veracruz's level
Club Atletico La Paz win or both teams scoreIN CODES
1.38
CLU 5 of 5 (100%) · PIR 3 of 5 (60%)63.7%
Club Atletico La Paz: the bet landed in 5 of 5 away · Piratas Veracruz: the bet landed in 3 of 5 at home · both last 10: 85% · Club Atletico La Paz: only games against sides at Piratas Veracruz's level · Piratas Veracruz: only games against sides at Club Atletico La Paz's level
Club Atletico La Paz or Over 2.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
1.42
CLU 5 of 5 (100%) · PIR 3 of 5 (60%)62%
Club Atletico La Paz: the bet landed in 5 of 5 away · Piratas Veracruz: the bet landed in 3 of 5 at home · both last 10: 80% · Club Atletico La Paz: only games against sides at Piratas Veracruz's level · Piratas Veracruz: only games against sides at Club Atletico La Paz's level
Piratas Veracruz or Over 2.5 GoalsHELD · the odds board 79%
1.26
PIR 3 of 5 (60%) · CLU 4 of 5 (80%)53.7%
Piratas Veracruz: the bet landed in 3 of 5 at home · Club Atletico La Paz: the bet landed in 4 of 5 away · both last 10: 75% · Piratas Veracruz: only games against sides at Club Atletico La Paz's level · Club Atletico La Paz: only games against sides at Piratas Veracruz's level
Club Atletico La Paz 1UPLEANPAGE ONLY
no price yet
CLU 5 of 5 (100%) · PIR 5 of 5 (100%)51%
Club Atletico La Paz scored first 3 of last 5, led in 5 · led in 5 of 5 away · Piratas Veracruz trailed in 1 of 5 at home · Club Atletico La Paz: only games against sides at Piratas Veracruz's level · Piratas Veracruz: only games against sides at Club Atletico La Paz's level
Piratas Veracruz or Draw (1UP)LEANPAGE ONLY
no price yet
PIR 5 of 5 (100%) · CLU 5 of 5 (100%)51%
Piratas Veracruz scored first 4 of last 5, led or was unbeaten in 5 · led or was unbeaten in 5 of 5 at home · Club Atletico La Paz trailed or failed to win in 2 of 5 away · Piratas Veracruz: only games against sides at Club Atletico La Paz's level · Club Atletico La Paz: only games against sides at Piratas Veracruz's level
Club Atletico La Paz or Draw (1UP)LEANPAGE ONLY
no price yet
CLU 5 of 5 (100%) · PIR 5 of 5 (100%)51%
Club Atletico La Paz scored first 3 of last 5, led or was unbeaten in 5 · led or was unbeaten in 5 of 5 away · Piratas Veracruz trailed or failed to win in 2 of 5 at home · Club Atletico La Paz: only games against sides at Piratas Veracruz's level · Piratas Veracruz: only games against sides at Club Atletico La Paz's level
Piratas Veracruz 1UPLEANPAGE ONLY
no price yet
PIR 4 of 5 (80%) · CLU 4 of 5 (80%)48.7%
Piratas Veracruz scored first 4 of last 5, led in 4 · led in 4 of 5 at home · Club Atletico La Paz trailed in 2 of 5 away · Piratas Veracruz: only games against sides at Club Atletico La Paz's level · Club Atletico La Paz: only games against sides at Piratas Veracruz's level
GOALS
Over 1.5 GoalsMAININ CODES
1.20
PIR 5 of 5 (100%) · CLU 4 of 5 (80%)84.8%
Piratas Veracruz: over 1.5 goals in 5 of 5 at home · Club Atletico La Paz: over 1.5 goals in 4 of 5 away · both last 10: 95% · Piratas Veracruz: only games against sides at Club Atletico La Paz's level · Club Atletico La Paz: only games against sides at Piratas Veracruz's level
Over 2.5 GoalsLEANPAGE ONLY
1.64
PIR 3 of 5 (60%) · CLU 4 of 5 (80%)59.5%
Piratas Veracruz: over 2.5 goals in 3 of 5 at home · Club Atletico La Paz: over 2.5 goals in 4 of 5 away · both last 10: 75% · Piratas Veracruz: only games against sides at Club Atletico La Paz's level · Club Atletico La Paz: only games against sides at Piratas Veracruz's level
BOTH TEAMS SCORE
Both Teams to Score - YesLEANPAGE ONLY
1.59
PIR 3 of 5 (60%) · CLU 4 of 5 (80%)57.9%
Piratas Veracruz: both scored in 3 of 5 at home · Club Atletico La Paz: both scored in 4 of 5 away · both last 10: 70% · Piratas Veracruz: only games against sides at Club Atletico La Paz's level · Club Atletico La Paz: only games against sides at Piratas Veracruz's level
PIRATAS VERACRUZ GOALS
Piratas Veracruz Over 0.5 goalsIN CODES
1.14
PIR 5 of 5 (100%) · CLU 4 of 5 (80%)75.4%
Piratas Veracruz scored in 5 of 5 at home · Club Atletico La Paz conceded in 4 of 5 away · both last 10: 85% · Piratas Veracruz: only games against sides at Club Atletico La Paz's level · Club Atletico La Paz: only games against sides at Piratas Veracruz's level
CLUB ATLETICO LA PAZ GOALS
Club Atletico La Paz Over 0.5 goalsIN CODES
1.39
CLU 5 of 5 (100%) · PIR 3 of 5 (60%)73.2%
Club Atletico La Paz scored in 5 of 5 away · Piratas Veracruz conceded in 3 of 5 at home · both last 10: 85% · Club Atletico La Paz: only games against sides at Piratas Veracruz's level · Piratas Veracruz: only games against sides at Club Atletico La Paz's level
HALVES
Excluded Number of Goals - First Half: 0PAGE ONLY
1.30
PIR 4 of 5 (80%) · CLU 5 of 5 (100%)80.6%
Piratas Veracruz: the bet landed in 4 of 5 at home · Club Atletico La Paz: the bet landed in 5 of 5 away · both last 10: 95% · on half-time scores · Piratas Veracruz: only games against sides at Club Atletico La Paz's level · Club Atletico La Paz: only games against sides at Piratas Veracruz's level
1st Half Over 0.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
1.29
PIR 4 of 5 (80%) · CLU 5 of 5 (100%)78.6%
Piratas Veracruz: the bet landed in 4 of 5 at home · Club Atletico La Paz: the bet landed in 5 of 5 away · both last 10: 95% · on half-time scores · Piratas Veracruz: only games against sides at Club Atletico La Paz's level · Club Atletico La Paz: only games against sides at Piratas Veracruz's level
Excluded Number of Goals - First Half: 3+HELD · the odds board 88%
1.13
PIR 5 of 5 (100%) · CLU 4 of 5 (80%)61.9%
Piratas Veracruz: the bet landed in 5 of 5 at home · Club Atletico La Paz: the bet landed in 4 of 5 away · both last 10: 80% · on half-time scores · Piratas Veracruz: only games against sides at Club Atletico La Paz's level · Club Atletico La Paz: only games against sides at Piratas Veracruz's level
Left off the list: Draw or Over 2.5 Goals (the numbers (71%) and the records (92%) are 20 points apart, and nothing settles it)
SCORELINES
Predicted score
Predicted score 2–1 8.5%
Piratas Veracruz goals →
Club Atletico La Paz goals ↓
0-07%
1-09%
2-06%
3-03%
4-01%
5-00.3%
0-18%
1-113%
2-19%
3-14%
4-11%
5-10.4%
0-26%
1-28%
2-26%
3-23%
4-20.9%
5-20.3%
0-33%
1-34%
2-32%
3-31%
4-30.4%
5-30.1%
0-40.8%
1-41%
2-40.8%
3-40.4%
4-40.1%
5-40.0%
0-50.2%
1-50.3%
2-50.2%
3-50.1%
4-50.0%
5-50.0%
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (an open game).
FORM · LAST 10
PIRATAS VERACRUZDDDWWLWLWD1.60 PPG
CLUB ATLETICO LA PAZDWWWDWLWWD2.10 PPG
THE NUMBERS
PIRATAS VERACRUZ HOMExCLUB ATLETICO LA PAZ AWAY
1.80SCORED A GAME2.401.00CONCEDED A GAME1.2030%CLEAN SHEETS20%6.59CORNERS A GAME4.592.41CARDS A GAME2.94
THE BANK
THE BANKER MENU
OVER 1.5 CARDS
–
649 OF 684
PRICE NOT KEPT
The league averages 5.0+ cards a game.
OVER 2.5 CARDS
–
258 OF 280
PRICE NOT KEPT
The league averages 5.0+ cards a game and the Bank expects 4.5+ cards.
Other bets the bookie sells that won 9 times in 10 or more on games like this one, in each of three spells: 20-24 Oct, 25-29 Oct and 30 Oct-2 Nov. The price is low because the bookie expects it too. A bet with no price yet, or one under 1.09, is not in any code.
THE QUALITY READ
1.62POINTS A GAME1.94+0.75GOAL DIFFERENCE A GAME+1.06+8.0SHOTS FOR MINUS AGAINST+3.31.8LAST 5: POINTS A GAME2.216LEAGUE GAMES16
Piratas Veracruz: the quality side - more shots than it allows.
Each club's own league games in the Bank: points, goal difference, shots for and against, the last 5. A side ahead on most of them is the quality side; its bets show what they won on games like this from 6 Oct to 2 Nov.
THE BANK'S READ
OVER 1.5 GOALS
89%
VERY GOOD · 80/83
OVER 2.5 GOALS
64%
NO · 65/78
UNDER 4.5 GOALS
80%
NO · 85/90
PIRATAS VERACRUZ OR DRAW
60%
NO · 80/85
CLUB ATLETICO LA PAZ OR DRAW
65%
NO · 80/85
Each line from both sides' own league games this season, set against their league (16 and 16 games). The two numbers after each read are the line's okay and very good marks.
PIRATAS VERACRUZxCLUB ATLETICO LA PAZ
8GAMES72.00SCORED A GAME2.710.62CONCEDED A GAME1.432.6GOALS IN THEIR GAMES4.175%OVER 1.5 GOALS86%50%OVER 2.5 GOALS86%50%BOTH SCORE71%5.3CARDS IN THEIR GAMES7.09.3CORNERS IN THEIR GAMES10.6
Each side's own league games in our bank before this game; "Home v Away" is the home side's home games and the away side's away games.
TRENDS
Piratas Veracruz have scored in 90% of their games.
Club Atletico La Paz have scored in 100% of their games.
Piratas Veracruz kept a clean sheet in 30% of their games.
Club Atletico La Paz kept a clean sheet in 20% of their games.
BUILT FROM
form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againstclean sheetsleague tablecornerscards