MEXICO - LIGA DE EXPANSION MX
03:00Fri 13 Nov
LEO
LN
Atletico Morelia vs Leones Negros UDEG
CLASS E
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72
TOTAL GOALS
Class E
Under 3.5 Goals
Atletico Morelia v Leones Negros UDEG
1.30odds
77%book
-5edge
2/2angles
EDGE PICKAtletico Morelia or Over 2.5 Goals · 55.3% · @1.34
Book 75% · Us 55% -20 price too short
Backed by
· main loses on: 2-2, 3-1, 1-3, 4-0, 0-4, 3-2, 2-3, 4-1, 1-4, 5-0, 0-5, 3-3 and 99 more up to 10-10 | hedge wins on all of themAtletico Morelia: the bet landed in 8 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Leones Negros UDEG: the bet landed in 3 of 5 away · both last 10: 80% · Atletico Morelia: only games against sides at Leones Negros UDEG's level · Leones Negros UDEG: only games against sides at Atletico Morelia's level
THE READ
Match details. Liga de Expansion MX. Kick-off is Fri 13 Nov, 03:00 Lagos time.
Form. Atletico Morelia have won five, drawn two and lost three of their last ten, 1.7 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W W L W L. Leones Negros UDEG have won five, drawn two and lost three of their last ten, 1.7 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W L W W L.
The numbers. Atletico Morelia score 1.4 and concede 1.2 a game over their last ten, with two clean sheets. Atletico Morelia average 7.1 corners and 2.8 cards a game. Leones Negros UDEG score one and concede one a game in their last five away, with one clean sheet and two games without a goal. Leones Negros UDEG average 4.3 corners and 2.7 cards a game.
The read. No side to back. Nothing separates them clearly enough to back a side.
The bets. Best bet: Under 3.5 Goals at 1.30, rated 72% (Atletico Morelia: under 3.5 goals in 9 of 10; Leones Negros UDEG: under 3.5 goals in 5 of 5 away). The safer one: Atletico Morelia Under 2.5 Goals at 1.24 (81%). Full cover: Over 1.5 Goals at 1.31. Whenever the best bet loses, this one wins. Predicted score: Atletico Morelia 1-1 Leones Negros UDEG (13% chance).
The agreed story. No side to back (Atletico Morelia the favourite), goals in between.
The league run. Atletico Morelia: coming out of a defeat with two wins (W W L W D). Leones Negros UDEG: up and down in the league (W L W W L).
So. A close match: the safest pick that fits.
PICKSONE LIST
RESULT
Atletico Morelia to Win Both Halves: NoPAGE ONLY
1.15
ATL 9 of 10 (90%) · LEO 4 of 5 (80%)90.3%
Atletico Morelia: the bet landed in 9 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Leones Negros UDEG: the bet landed in 4 of 5 away · both last 10: 90% · on half-time scores · Atletico Morelia: only games against sides at Leones Negros UDEG's level · Leones Negros UDEG: only games against sides at Atletico Morelia's level
Atletico Morelia (2:0 handicap)PAGE ONLY
no price yet
ATL 9 of 10 (90%) · LEO 4 of 5 (80%)83.3%
Atletico Morelia: the bet landed in 9 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Leones Negros UDEG: the bet landed in 4 of 5 away · both last 10: 80% · Atletico Morelia: only games against sides at Leones Negros UDEG's level · Leones Negros UDEG: only games against sides at Atletico Morelia's level
Atletico Morelia or Both Teams ScoreIN CODES
1.18
ATL 10 of 10 (100%) · LEO 4 of 5 (80%)66.5%
Atletico Morelia: the bet landed in 10 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Leones Negros UDEG: the bet landed in 4 of 5 away · both last 10: 95% · Atletico Morelia: only games against sides at Leones Negros UDEG's level · Leones Negros UDEG: only games against sides at Atletico Morelia's level
Atletico Morelia or Draw (1UP)PAGE ONLY
no price yet
ATL 4 of 5 (80%) · LEO 8 of 10 (80%)62%
Atletico Morelia scored first 3 of last 5, led or was unbeaten in 4 · led or was unbeaten in 8 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Leones Negros UDEG trailed or failed to win in 4 of 5 away · Atletico Morelia: only games against sides at Leones Negros UDEG's level · Leones Negros UDEG: only games against sides at Atletico Morelia's level
Atletico Morelia 1UPPAGE ONLY
no price yet
ATL 4 of 5 (80%) · LEO 7 of 10 (70%)58.7%
Atletico Morelia scored first 3 of last 5, led in 4 · led in 7 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Leones Negros UDEG trailed in 4 of 5 away · Atletico Morelia: only games against sides at Leones Negros UDEG's level · Leones Negros UDEG: only games against sides at Atletico Morelia's level
Leones Negros UDEG or Under 2.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
1.49
LEO 5 of 5 (100%) · ATL 7 of 10 (70%)56.4%
Leones Negros UDEG: the bet landed in 5 of 5 away · Atletico Morelia: the bet landed in 7 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 75% · Leones Negros UDEG: only games against sides at Atletico Morelia's level · Atletico Morelia: only games against sides at Leones Negros UDEG's level
Atletico Morelia or Over 2.5 GoalsIN CODES
1.34
ATL 8 of 10 (80%) · LEO 3 of 5 (60%)55.3%
Atletico Morelia: the bet landed in 8 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Leones Negros UDEG: the bet landed in 3 of 5 away · both last 10: 80% · Atletico Morelia: only games against sides at Leones Negros UDEG's level · Leones Negros UDEG: only games against sides at Atletico Morelia's level
Leones Negros UDEG win or both teams scoreIN CODES
1.54
LEO 3 of 5 (60%) · ATL 8 of 10 (80%)54.8%
Leones Negros UDEG: the bet landed in 3 of 5 away · Atletico Morelia: the bet landed in 8 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 80% · Leones Negros UDEG: only games against sides at Atletico Morelia's level · Atletico Morelia: only games against sides at Leones Negros UDEG's level
Atletico Morelia or Under 2.5 GoalsHELD · the odds board 88%
1.14
ATL 7 of 10 (70%) · LEO 4 of 5 (80%)52%
Atletico Morelia: the bet landed in 7 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Leones Negros UDEG: the bet landed in 4 of 5 away · both last 10: 60% · Atletico Morelia: only games against sides at Leones Negros UDEG's level · Leones Negros UDEG: only games against sides at Atletico Morelia's level
Draw or Over 2.5 GoalsLEANHELD · the odds board 72%
1.39
ATL 8 of 10 (80%) · LEO 2 of 5 (40%)47%
Atletico Morelia: the bet landed in 8 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Leones Negros UDEG: the bet landed in 2 of 5 away · both last 10: 75% · Atletico Morelia: only games against sides at Leones Negros UDEG's level · Leones Negros UDEG: only games against sides at Atletico Morelia's level
Leones Negros UDEG or Draw (1UP)LEANPAGE ONLY
no price yet
LEO 3 of 5 (60%) · ATL 3 of 5 (60%)42%
Leones Negros UDEG scored first 1 of last 5, led or was unbeaten in 3 · led or was unbeaten in 3 of 5 away · Atletico Morelia trailed or failed to win in 6 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Leones Negros UDEG: only games against sides at Atletico Morelia's level · Atletico Morelia: only games against sides at Leones Negros UDEG's level
Leones Negros UDEG or Over 2.5 GoalsLEANHELD · the odds board 62%
1.61
LEO 2 of 5 (40%) · ATL 6 of 10 (60%)41%
Leones Negros UDEG: the bet landed in 2 of 5 away · Atletico Morelia: the bet landed in 6 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 65% · Leones Negros UDEG: only games against sides at Atletico Morelia's level · Atletico Morelia: only games against sides at Leones Negros UDEG's level
GOALS
Under 4.5 GoalsIN CODES
1.10
ATL 10 of 10 (100%) · LEO 5 of 5 (100%)87.5%
Atletico Morelia: under 4.5 goals in 10 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Leones Negros UDEG: under 4.5 goals in 5 of 5 away · both last 10: 95% · Atletico Morelia: only games against sides at Leones Negros UDEG's level · Leones Negros UDEG: only games against sides at Atletico Morelia's level
Under 3.5 GoalsMAININ CODES
1.30
ATL 9 of 10 (90%) · LEO 5 of 5 (100%)72.5%
Atletico Morelia: under 3.5 goals in 9 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Leones Negros UDEG: under 3.5 goals in 5 of 5 away · both last 10: 80% · Atletico Morelia: only games against sides at Leones Negros UDEG's level · Leones Negros UDEG: only games against sides at Atletico Morelia's level
Over 1.5 GoalsFULL COVERIN CODES
1.31
ATL 9 of 10 (90%) · LEO 4 of 5 (80%)64.8%
Atletico Morelia: over 1.5 goals in 9 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Leones Negros UDEG: over 1.5 goals in 4 of 5 away · both last 10: 90% · Atletico Morelia: only games against sides at Leones Negros UDEG's level · Leones Negros UDEG: only games against sides at Atletico Morelia's level
BOTH TEAMS SCORE
Both Teams to Score - YesLEANPAGE ONLY
1.84
ATL 8 of 10 (80%) · LEO 2 of 5 (40%)35.7%
Atletico Morelia: both scored in 8 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Leones Negros UDEG: both scored in 2 of 5 away · both last 10: 75% · Atletico Morelia: only games against sides at Leones Negros UDEG's level · Leones Negros UDEG: only games against sides at Atletico Morelia's level
ATLETICO MORELIA GOALS
Atletico Morelia Under 2.5 goalsSAFERIN CODES
1.24
ATL 10 of 10 (100%) · LEO 5 of 5 (100%)80.8%
Atletico Morelia scored under 2.5 in 10 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Leones Negros UDEG conceded under 2.5 in 5 of 5 away · both last 10: 95% · Atletico Morelia: only games against sides at Leones Negros UDEG's level · Leones Negros UDEG: only games against sides at Atletico Morelia's level
Atletico Morelia Over 0.5 goalsHELD · the odds board 85%
1.18
ATL 10 of 10 (100%) · LEO 4 of 5 (80%)59.7%
Atletico Morelia scored in 10 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Leones Negros UDEG conceded in 4 of 5 away · both last 10: 95% · Atletico Morelia: only games against sides at Leones Negros UDEG's level · Leones Negros UDEG: only games against sides at Atletico Morelia's level
Atletico Morelia Under 1.5 goalsLEANPAGE ONLY
1.83
ATL 6 of 10 (60%) · LEO 4 of 5 (80%)37.7%
Atletico Morelia scored under 1.5 in 6 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Leones Negros UDEG conceded under 1.5 in 4 of 5 away · both last 10: 60% · Atletico Morelia: only games against sides at Leones Negros UDEG's level · Leones Negros UDEG: only games against sides at Atletico Morelia's level
LEONES NEGROS UDEG GOALS
Leones Negros UDEG Over 0.5 goalsLEANPAGE ONLY
1.55
LEO 3 of 5 (60%) · ATL 8 of 10 (80%)50.3%
Leones Negros UDEG scored in 3 of 5 away · Atletico Morelia conceded in 8 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 80% · Leones Negros UDEG: only games against sides at Atletico Morelia's level · Atletico Morelia: only games against sides at Leones Negros UDEG's level
HALVES
Both Halves Over 1.5: NoPAGE ONLY
1.11
ATL 9 of 10 (90%) · LEO 5 of 5 (100%)88.1%
Atletico Morelia: the bet landed in 9 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Leones Negros UDEG: the bet landed in 5 of 5 away · both last 10: 90% · on half-time scores · Atletico Morelia: only games against sides at Leones Negros UDEG's level · Leones Negros UDEG: only games against sides at Atletico Morelia's level
1st Half - GG/NG: NoPAGE ONLY
1.16
ATL 8 of 10 (80%) · LEO 5 of 5 (100%)84.9%
Atletico Morelia: the bet landed in 8 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Leones Negros UDEG: the bet landed in 5 of 5 away · both last 10: 80% · on half-time scores · Atletico Morelia: only games against sides at Leones Negros UDEG's level · Leones Negros UDEG: only games against sides at Atletico Morelia's level
2nd Half - Over/Under: Under 2.5PAGE ONLY
1.15
ATL 10 of 10 (100%) · LEO 5 of 5 (100%)79.9%
Atletico Morelia: the bet landed in 10 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Leones Negros UDEG: the bet landed in 5 of 5 away · both last 10: 90% · on half-time scores · Atletico Morelia: only games against sides at Leones Negros UDEG's level · Leones Negros UDEG: only games against sides at Atletico Morelia's level
1st Half Under 1.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
1.39
ATL 7 of 10 (70%) · LEO 5 of 5 (100%)73.9%
Atletico Morelia: the bet landed in 7 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Leones Negros UDEG: the bet landed in 5 of 5 away · both last 10: 65% · on half-time scores · Atletico Morelia: only games against sides at Leones Negros UDEG's level · Leones Negros UDEG: only games against sides at Atletico Morelia's level
1st Half Over 0.5 GoalsLEANPAGE ONLY
1.38
ATL 9 of 10 (90%) · LEO 3 of 5 (60%)62.8%
Atletico Morelia: the bet landed in 9 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Leones Negros UDEG: the bet landed in 3 of 5 away · both last 10: 85% · on half-time scores · Atletico Morelia: only games against sides at Leones Negros UDEG's level · Leones Negros UDEG: only games against sides at Atletico Morelia's level
OTHER
GG/NG 2+: NoIN CODES
1.09
ATL 10 of 10 (100%) · LEO 5 of 5 (100%)96.7%
Atletico Morelia: the bet landed in 10 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Leones Negros UDEG: the bet landed in 5 of 5 away · both last 10: 90% · Atletico Morelia: only games against sides at Leones Negros UDEG's level · Leones Negros UDEG: only games against sides at Atletico Morelia's level
SCORELINES
Predicted score
Predicted score 1–1 12.9%
Atletico Morelia goals →
Leones Negros UDEG goals ↓
0-08%
1-010%
2-08%
3-04%
4-01%
5-00.5%
0-17%
1-113%
2-19%
3-15%
4-12%
5-10.5%
0-25%
1-27%
2-25%
3-23%
4-21.0%
5-20.3%
0-32%
1-33%
2-32%
3-31%
4-30.4%
5-30.1%
0-40.5%
1-40.8%
2-40.6%
3-40.3%
4-40.1%
5-40.0%
0-50.1%
1-50.2%
2-50.1%
3-50.1%
4-50.0%
5-50.0%
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (a tight game).
FORM · LAST 10
ATLETICO MORELIAWWLWLDDLWW1.70 PPG
LEONES NEGROS UDEGWLWWLDWWLD1.70 PPG
THE NUMBERS
ATLETICO MORELIA HOMExLEONES NEGROS UDEG AWAY
1.73SCORED A GAME2.271.27CONCEDED A GAME1.3380%BOTH SCORED70%20%CLEAN SHEETS10%7.12CORNERS A GAME4.292.76CARDS A GAME2.71
THE BANK
THE BANKER MENU
OVER 1.5 CARDS
–
543 OF 573
PRICE NOT KEPT
Both sides' last 5 games point to 5.2+ cards.
Other bets the bookie sells that won 9 times in 10 or more on games like this one, in each of three spells: 20-24 Oct, 25-29 Oct and 30 Oct-2 Nov. The price is low because the bookie expects it too. A bet with no price yet, or one under 1.09, is not in any code.
THE QUALITY READ
2.00POINTS A GAME1.88+0.62GOAL DIFFERENCE A GAME+0.62+3.7SHOTS FOR MINUS AGAINST-1.82.0LAST 5: POINTS A GAME1.816LEAGUE GAMES16
Atletico Morelia: the quality side - more shots than it allows.
Each club's own league games in the Bank: points, goal difference, shots for and against, the last 5. A side ahead on most of them is the quality side; its bets show what they won on games like this from 6 Oct to 2 Nov.
THE BANK'S READ
OVER 1.5 GOALS
91%
VERY GOOD · 80/83
OVER 2.5 GOALS
63%
NO · 65/78
UNDER 4.5 GOALS
88%
OKAY · 85/90
ATLETICO MORELIA OR DRAW
58%
NO · 80/85
LEONES NEGROS UDEG OR DRAW
56%
NO · 80/85
Each line from both sides' own league games this season, set against their league (16 and 16 games). The two numbers after each read are the line's okay and very good marks.
ATLETICO MORELIAxLEONES NEGROS UDEG
7GAMES92.57SCORED A GAME1.781.29CONCEDED A GAME1.003.9GOALS IN THEIR GAMES2.8100%OVER 1.5 GOALS89%71%OVER 2.5 GOALS44%86%BOTH SCORE56%–CARDS IN THEIR GAMES4.4–CORNERS IN THEIR GAMES7.6
Each side's own league games in our bank before this game; "Home v Away" is the home side's home games and the away side's away games.
TRENDS
Atletico Morelia have scored in 100% of their games.
Leones Negros UDEG have scored in 80% of their games.
Atletico Morelia kept a clean sheet in 20% of their games.
Leones Negros UDEG kept a clean sheet in 10% of their games.
BUILT FROM
form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againstclean sheetsleague tablecornerscards