INTERNATIONAL - AFRICA CUP OF NATIONS QUALIFICATION

BENBEN

20:00Thu 12 Nov

CTA

Benin vs Central African Republic

CLASS A

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TEAM GOALS

Class A

BENv

Central African Republic Under 1.5…

Benin v Central African Republic

International - Africa… · 20:00

1.13odds

88%book

+2edge

2/2angles

THE READ

Match details. Africa Cup of Nations Qualification, Group Stage - 3. Kick-off is Thu 12 Nov, 20:00 Lagos time.

What's at stake. Benin are 1st on 4 points after 2 games, level on points with Burkina Faso. Central African Republic are 4th on 0 points after 2 games, 3 points behind Mauritania. A win would take them level on points with Mauritania.

Form. Benin have won five, drawn one and lost four of their last ten, 1.6 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W D L W L. In this competition Benin have gone W D. Central African Republic have won one, drawn one and lost eight of their last ten, 0.4 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L L W L L. In this competition Central African Republic have gone L L.

The numbers. Benin score 1.3 and concede one a game in their last six at home, with three clean sheets and two games without a goal. Benin average 9.8 shots (4.2 on target), 3.6 corners and 2.9 cards a game, with 49% of the ball. Central African Republic score 1.2 and concede 2.6 a game in their last five away, with no clean sheets and two games without a goal. Central African Republic average 9.6 shots (3.1 on target), 5.5 corners and 4.2 cards a game.

The case against. Central African Republic's record still gives them 22% to win.

The read. Benin to win. A draw is live. A tight game. Their goals for and against make Benin the likelier winners; Benin are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour Benin.

The bets. Best bet: Central African Republic Under 1.5 Goals at 1.13, rated 88% (Central African Republic scored under 1.5 in 7 of 8; Benin conceded under 1.5 in 4 of 6 at home). Full cover: Over 1.5 Goals at 1.39. Whenever the best bet loses, this one wins. Predicted score: Benin 2-0 Central African Republic (15% chance).

The agreed story. Benin or the draw, a tight game.

Their internationals. National teams: read from their own internationals. Benin in their last internationals: lost 0-3 at Argentina (rated above them), won 2-1 v Mauritania, drew 1-1 at Burkina Faso. Central African Republic in their last internationals: lost 0-1 v Burkina Faso, lost 1-3 at Mauritania. Too few internationals to judge the side from.

So. A close match: the safest pick that fits.

PICKSONE LIST

RESULT

Double Chance: Benin or DrawIN CODES

1.13

BEN 4 of 6 (67%) · CTA 8 of 8 (100%)94.8%

Benin unbeaten in 4 of 6 at home · Central African Republic failed to win 8 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 76% · Central African Republic: only games against sides at Benin's level · each game weighed by who it was against

Benin (Draw No Bet)IN CODES

1.19

BEN 4 of 6 (67%) · CTA 8 of 8 (100%)93.4%

Benin won 4 of 6 at home (draws left out) · Central African Republic lost 8 of 8 (last 10, all venues) (draws left out) · both last 10: 73% · Central African Republic: only games against sides at Benin's level · each game weighed by who it was against · won 8, refunded 0, lost 3

1st Half - Double Chance: Benin or DrawPAGE ONLY

1.12

BEN 5 of 6 (83%) · CTA 8 of 8 (100%)87.7%

Benin: the bet landed in 5 of 6 at home · Central African Republic: the bet landed in 8 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 76% · on half-time scores · Central African Republic: only games against sides at Benin's level · each game weighed by who it was against

Benin or Any Clean Sheet: YesIN CODES

1.18

BEN 6 of 6 (100%) · CTA 8 of 8 (100%)80.2%

Benin: the bet landed in 6 of 6 at home · Central African Republic: the bet landed in 8 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 95% · Central African Republic: only games against sides at Benin's level · each game weighed by who it was against

Central African Republic No Bet: BeninIN CODES

1.30

BEN 5 of 6 (83%) · CTA 8 of 8 (100%)71.5%

Benin: the bet landed in 5 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · Central African Republic: the bet landed in 8 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 90% · Central African Republic: only games against sides at Benin's level · each game weighed by who it was against · won 8, refunded 3, lost 0

Benin or Over 2.5 GoalsIN CODES

1.33

BEN 5 of 6 (83%) · CTA 8 of 8 (100%)69.4%

Benin: the bet landed in 5 of 6 at home · Central African Republic: the bet landed in 8 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 83% · Central African Republic: only games against sides at Benin's level · each game weighed by who it was against

Benin to Win Either Half: YesLEANPAGE ONLY

1.32

BEN 4 of 6 (67%) · CTA 8 of 8 (100%)69.3%

Benin: the bet landed in 4 of 6 at home · Central African Republic: the bet landed in 8 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 76% · on half-time scores · Central African Republic: only games against sides at Benin's level · each game weighed by who it was against

Double Chance & Over/Under 4.5: Benin/Central African Republic & Under 4.5IN CODES

1.36

BEN 6 of 6 (100%) · CTA 6 of 8 (75%)66.8%

Benin: the bet landed in 6 of 6 at home · Central African Republic: the bet landed in 6 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 82% · Central African Republic: only games against sides at Benin's level · each game weighed by who it was against

1st Half Result or Match Result: BeninLEANPAGE ONLY

1.34

BEN 4 of 6 (67%) · CTA 8 of 8 (100%)64.8%

Benin: the bet landed in 4 of 6 at home · Central African Republic: the bet landed in 8 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 71% · on half-time scores · Central African Republic: only games against sides at Benin's level · each game weighed by who it was against

Benin or Both Teams ScoreHELD · the odds board 85%

1.17

BEN 4 of 6 (67%) · CTA 8 of 8 (100%)59.7%

Benin: the bet landed in 4 of 6 at home · Central African Republic: the bet landed in 8 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 76% · Central African Republic: only games against sides at Benin's level · each game weighed by who it was against

Benin to WinIN CODES

1.55

BEN 4 of 6 (67%) · CTA 8 of 8 (100%)58.3%

Benin won 4 of 6 at home · Central African Republic lost 8 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 71% · Central African Republic: only games against sides at Benin's level · each game weighed by who it was against

Benin or draw and under 3.5 goalsLEANPAGE ONLY

1.42

BEN 3 of 6 (50%) · CTA 5 of 8 (62%)55.4%

Benin: the bet landed in 3 of 6 at home · Central African Republic: the bet landed in 5 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 54% · Central African Republic: only games against sides at Benin's level · each game weighed by who it was against

GOALS

Under 3.5 GoalsLEANPAGE ONLY

1.24

BEN 5 of 6 (83%) · CTA 5 of 8 (62%)67.8%

Benin: under 3.5 goals in 5 of 6 at home · Central African Republic: under 3.5 goals in 5 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 72% · Central African Republic: only games against sides at Benin's level · each game weighed by who it was against

Over 1.5 GoalsFULL COVERPAGE ONLY

1.39

BEN 4 of 6 (67%) · CTA 6 of 8 (75%)61.1%

Benin: over 1.5 goals in 4 of 6 at home · Central African Republic: over 1.5 goals in 6 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 68% · Central African Republic: only games against sides at Benin's level · each game weighed by who it was against

BOTH TEAMS SCORE

Both Teams to Score - NoLEANHELD · the odds board 63%

1.59

BEN 5 of 6 (83%) · CTA 6 of 8 (75%)41.9%

Benin: not both scored in 5 of 6 at home · Central African Republic: not both scored in 6 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 78% · Central African Republic: only games against sides at Benin's level · each game weighed by who it was against

BENIN GOALS

Benin Over 0.5 goalsIN CODES

1.17

BEN 4 of 6 (67%) · CTA 8 of 8 (100%)72.2%

Benin scored in 4 of 6 at home · Central African Republic conceded in 8 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 76% · Central African Republic: only games against sides at Benin's level · each game weighed by who it was against

Benin Under 2.5 goalsLEANPAGE ONLY

1.28

BEN 5 of 6 (83%) · CTA 5 of 8 (62%)59.9%

Benin scored under 2.5 in 5 of 6 at home · Central African Republic conceded under 2.5 in 5 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 78% · Central African Republic: only games against sides at Benin's level · each game weighed by who it was against

CENTRAL AFRICAN REPUBLIC GOALS

Central African Republic Under 1.5 goalsMAININ CODES

1.13

CTA 7 of 8 (88%) · BEN 4 of 6 (67%)90.4%

Central African Republic scored under 1.5 in 7 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · Benin conceded under 1.5 in 4 of 6 at home · both last 10: 76% · Central African Republic: only games against sides at Benin's level · each game weighed by who it was against

HALVES

Both Halves Over 1.5: NoPAGE ONLY

1.10

BEN 6 of 6 (100%) · CTA 7 of 8 (88%)90.8%

Benin: the bet landed in 6 of 6 at home · Central African Republic: the bet landed in 7 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 88% · on half-time scores · Central African Republic: only games against sides at Benin's level · each game weighed by who it was against

1st Half - GG/NG: NoPAGE ONLY

1.13

BEN 6 of 6 (100%) · CTA 7 of 8 (88%)89.7%

Benin: the bet landed in 6 of 6 at home · Central African Republic: the bet landed in 7 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 94% · on half-time scores · Central African Republic: only games against sides at Benin's level · each game weighed by who it was against

1st half - Benin Over/Under: Under 1.5PAGE ONLY

1.18

BEN 5 of 6 (83%) · CTA 7 of 8 (88%)88.2%

Benin: the bet landed in 5 of 6 at home · Central African Republic: the bet landed in 7 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 91% · on half-time scores · Central African Republic: only games against sides at Benin's level · each game weighed by who it was against

Excluded Number of Goals - First Half: 2PAGE ONLY

1.19

BEN 6 of 6 (100%) · CTA 6 of 8 (75%)84.5%

Benin: the bet landed in 6 of 6 at home · Central African Republic: the bet landed in 6 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 81% · on half-time scores · Central African Republic: only games against sides at Benin's level · each game weighed by who it was against

Under 1.5 first-half goalsPAGE ONLY

1.36

BEN 5 of 6 (83%) · CTA 6 of 8 (75%)78.2%

Benin: the bet landed in 5 of 6 at home · Central African Republic: the bet landed in 6 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 78% · on half-time scores · Central African Republic: only games against sides at Benin's level · each game weighed by who it was against

Over 0.5 first-half goalsLEANPAGE ONLY

1.44

BEN 4 of 6 (67%) · CTA 6 of 8 (75%)59.3%

Benin: the bet landed in 4 of 6 at home · Central African Republic: the bet landed in 6 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 72% · on half-time scores · Central African Republic: only games against sides at Benin's level · each game weighed by who it was against

Left off the list: Benin win and under 3.5 goals (the numbers (47%) and the records (53%) are on opposite sides, and nothing settles it); Central African Republic or Under 2.5 Goals (the numbers (48%) and the records (70%) are on opposite sides, and nothing settles it)

SCORELINES

Predicted score

Predicted score 2–0 14.8%

Benin goals →

Central African… goals ↓

0-06%

1-012%

2-015%

3-011%

4-07%

5-03%

0-13%

1-18%

2-19%

3-17%

4-14%

5-12%

0-20.9%

1-22%

2-22%

3-22%

4-21%

5-20.5%

0-30.2%

1-30.4%

2-30.5%

3-30.4%

4-30.2%

5-30.1%

0-40.0%

1-40.1%

2-40.1%

3-40.1%

4-40.0%

5-40.0%

0-50.0%

1-50.0%

2-50.0%

3-50.0%

4-50.0%

5-50.0%

Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call).

FORM · LAST 10

BENINLWWWLLWLDW1.60 PPG

CENTRAL AFRICAN REPUBLICLLLDLLLWLL0.40 PPG

THE NUMBERS

BENIN HOMExCENTRAL AFRICAN REPUBLIC AWAY

1.00SCORED A GAME0.601.20CONCEDED A GAME2.2040%CLEAN SHEETS10%3.60CORNERS A GAME5.502.88CARDS A GAME4.25

TRENDS

Benin have scored in 70% of their games.

Central African Republic have scored in 30% of their games.

Benin kept a clean sheet in 40% of their games.

Central African Republic kept a clean sheet in 10% of their games.

BUILT FROM

form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againstclean sheetsleague tablecornerscards