Match details. Africa Cup of Nations Qualification, Group Stage - 3. Kick-off is Thu 12 Nov, 17:00 Lagos time. It is played at Stade des Martyrs, Kinshasa.
What's at stake. Congo DR are 1st on 6 points after 2 games, 3 points clear of Zimbabwe. Sierra Leone are 4th on 0 points after 2 games, 3 points behind Equatorial Guinea. A win would take them level on points with Equatorial Guinea.
Form. Congo DR have won six, drawn two and lost two of their last ten, 2.0 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W W L W L. In this competition Congo DR have gone W W. Sierra Leone have won three, drawn two and lost five of their last ten, 1.1 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L L W L W. In this competition Sierra Leone have gone L L L D.
The numbers. Congo DR score 1.5 and concede 0.7 a game over their last ten, with four clean sheets. Congo DR average 13.1 shots (3.4 on target), 2.9 corners and 1.1 cards a game, with 45% of the ball. Sierra Leone score 0.8 and concede one a game in their last five away, with no clean sheets and two games without a goal. Sierra Leone average 8.4 shots (2.4 on target), 1.5 corners and 0.8 cards a game.
The read. Congo DR to win. A draw is live. A tight game. Their goals for and against make Congo DR the likelier winners; Congo DR are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour Congo DR.
The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Predicted score: Congo DR 2-0 Sierra Leone (16% chance).
The agreed story. Congo DR or the draw, a tight game.
Their internationals. National teams: read from their own internationals. Congo DR in their last internationals: drew 1-1 at Uganda, lost 0-2 v Uganda, won 2-1 at Zimbabwe. Sierra Leone in their last internationals: lost 0-1 at Equatorial Guinea, lost 2-3 v Zimbabwe. Too few internationals to judge the side from.
So. A close match: the safest pick that fits.
PICKSONE LIST
RESULT
Congo DR to WinIN CODES
1.22
COD 6 of 10 (60%) · SLE 2 of 5 (40%)69.5%
Congo DR won 6 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Sierra Leone lost 2 of 5 away · both last 10: 64% · each game weighed by who it was against
GOALS
Under 4.5 GoalsIN CODES
1.11
COD 10 of 10 (100%) · SLE 5 of 5 (100%)77.7%
Congo DR: under 4.5 goals in 10 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Sierra Leone: under 4.5 goals in 5 of 5 away · both last 10: 96% · each game weighed by who it was against
Under 3.5 GoalsLEANPAGE ONLY
1.32
COD 9 of 10 (90%) · SLE 5 of 5 (100%)59.5%
Congo DR: under 3.5 goals in 9 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Sierra Leone: under 3.5 goals in 5 of 5 away · both last 10: 86% · each game weighed by who it was against
CONGO DR GOALS
Congo DR Under 3.5 goalsLEANPAGE ONLY
1.18
COD 10 of 10 (100%) · SLE 5 of 5 (100%)68.2%
Congo DR scored under 3.5 in 10 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Sierra Leone conceded under 3.5 in 5 of 5 away · both last 10: 100% · each game weighed by who it was against
HALVES
2nd Half - Congo DR Over/Under: Under 2.5PAGE ONLY
1.10
COD 9 of 10 (90%) · SLE 5 of 5 (100%)97%
Congo DR: the bet landed in 9 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Sierra Leone: the bet landed in 5 of 5 away · both last 10: 90% · on half-time scores · each game weighed by who it was against
Under 2.5 first-half goalsPAGE ONLY
1.10
COD 10 of 10 (100%) · SLE 5 of 5 (100%)97%
Congo DR: the bet landed in 10 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Sierra Leone: the bet landed in 5 of 5 away · both last 10: 100% · on half-time scores · each game weighed by who it was against
Excluded Number of Goals - First Half: 3+PAGE ONLY
1.09
COD 10 of 10 (100%) · SLE 5 of 5 (100%)93.2%
Congo DR: the bet landed in 10 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Sierra Leone: the bet landed in 5 of 5 away · both last 10: 100% · on half-time scores · each game weighed by who it was against
Both Halves Over 1.5: NoPAGE ONLY
1.14
COD 10 of 10 (100%) · SLE 5 of 5 (100%)92.8%
Congo DR: the bet landed in 10 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Sierra Leone: the bet landed in 5 of 5 away · both last 10: 96% · on half-time scores · each game weighed by who it was against
2nd Half - Over/Under: Under 2.5PAGE ONLY
1.17
COD 9 of 10 (90%) · SLE 5 of 5 (100%)92.3%
Congo DR: the bet landed in 9 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Sierra Leone: the bet landed in 5 of 5 away · both last 10: 86% · on half-time scores · each game weighed by who it was against
1st Half - GG/NG: NoPAGE ONLY
1.10
COD 9 of 10 (90%) · SLE 3 of 5 (60%)86.3%
Congo DR: the bet landed in 9 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Sierra Leone: the bet landed in 3 of 5 away · both last 10: 93% · on half-time scores · each game weighed by who it was against
2nd Half - GG/NG: NoPAGE ONLY
1.13
COD 9 of 10 (90%) · SLE 5 of 5 (100%)85.4%
Congo DR: the bet landed in 9 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Sierra Leone: the bet landed in 5 of 5 away · both last 10: 90% · on half-time scores · each game weighed by who it was against
Over 0.5 first-half goalsLEANPAGE ONLY
1.36
COD 7 of 10 (70%) · SLE 5 of 5 (100%)62.8%
Congo DR: the bet landed in 7 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Sierra Leone: the bet landed in 5 of 5 away · both last 10: 78% · on half-time scores · each game weighed by who it was against
Left off the list: Over 1.5 Cards (the numbers (57%) and the records (83%) are 26 points apart, and nothing settles it); 1st Half Result or Match Result: Congo DR (the numbers (89%) and the records (51%) are 38 points apart, and nothing settles it); Congo DR to Win Either Half: Yes (the numbers (91%) and the records (56%) are 34 points apart, and nothing settles it); Congo DR win and under 3.5 goals (the numbers (48%) and the records (58%) are on opposite sides, and nothing settles it); Congo DR win and under 2.5 goals (the numbers (26%) and the records (52%) are on opposite sides, and nothing settles it); Under 1.5 first-half goals (the numbers (52%) and the records (74%) are 22 points apart, and nothing settles it); Sierra Leone or Under 2.5 Goals (the numbers (38%) and the records (86%) are on opposite sides, and nothing settles it); Draw or Under 2.5 Goals (the numbers (38%) and the records (78%) are on opposite sides, and nothing settles it)
SCORELINES
Predicted score
Predicted score 2–015.7%
Congo DR goals →
Sierra Leone goals ↓
0-04%
1-011%
2-016%
3-015%
4-011%
5-06%
0-11%
1-15%
2-16%
3-16%
4-14%
5-12%
0-20.3%
1-20.8%
2-21%
3-21%
4-20.8%
5-20.5%
0-30.0%
1-30.1%
2-30.2%
3-30.1%
4-30.1%
5-30.1%
0-40.0%
1-40.0%
2-40.0%
3-40.0%
4-40.0%
5-40.0%
0-50.0%
1-50.0%
2-50.0%
3-50.0%
4-50.0%
5-50.0%
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call).
FORM · LAST 10
CONGO DRWWDWDLWLWW2.00 PPG
SIERRA LEONEDLWLDWLWLL1.10 PPG
THE NUMBERS
CONGO DR HOMExSIERRA LEONE AWAY
1.50SCORED A GAME1.100.70CONCEDED A GAME1.2040%CLEAN SHEETS10%2.88CORNERS A GAME1.501.12CARDS A GAME0.80
TRENDS
Congo DR have scored in 70% of their games.
Sierra Leone have scored in 60% of their games.
Congo DR kept a clean sheet in 40% of their games.
Sierra Leone kept a clean sheet in 10% of their games.
BUILT FROM
form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againstxG & xGAclean sheetsleague tableteam newscornerscards