FC Midtjylland vs Odense Q

Match details. A Liga, Women. Kick-off is Tue 10 Nov, 19:00 Lagos time.

Form. FC Midtjylland have won six, drawn one and lost three of their last ten league games, 1.9 points a game. Their last five in the league, newest first: W W D L W. Odense Q have won two, drawn one and lost seven of their last ten league games, 0.7 points a game. Their last five in the league, newest first: L L W L W.

The numbers. FC Midtjylland score 1.5 and concede 1.2 a game over their last ten, with four clean sheets and three games without a goal. Odense Q score 0.8 and concede 2.2 a game in their last five away, with no clean sheets and two games without a goal.

Where it pulls both ways. The prices and the records disagree: the odds board makes it 85% against the records' 62%.

The read. No firm call: FC Midtjylland are the better side, but not at this price. An open game. Their goals for and against make FC Midtjylland the likelier winners; FC Midtjylland are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour FC Midtjylland. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 53%.

The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Predicted score: FC Midtjylland 2-1 Odense Q (10% chance).

The agreed story. No side to back (FC Midtjylland the favourite), an open game.

Cup and European games. A domestic cup: sides rotate, and the two can come from different divisions. FC Midtjylland in their last cup games: won 2-1 v Odense Boldklub, won 7-0 at Sundby BK (3 divisions below). Too few cup games to judge the side from.

So. A close match: the safest pick that fits.