THE READ
Match details. Taca Fares Lopes. Kick-off is Mon 9 Nov, 23:00 Lagos time.
Form. Vila Real FC CE have won six, drawn four and lost none of their last ten, 2.2 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W D W D W. Ceara SC CE have won three, drawn three and lost four of their last ten, 1.2 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L L L D L.
The numbers. Vila Real FC CE score 1.4 and concede 0.7 a game over their last ten, with four clean sheets. Vila Real FC CE average 13.4 shots (5.4 on target), 6.0 corners and 4.1 cards a game. Ceara SC CE score one and concede 1.2 a game in their last five away, with one clean sheet. Ceara SC CE average 12.2 shots (4.5 on target), 4.6 corners and 2.7 cards a game.
The read. Vila Real FC CE to win. A tight game. Their goals for and against make Vila Real FC CE the likelier winners; Vila Real FC CE are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour Vila Real FC CE. Their goals for and against point to a tight game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 35%.
The bets. Best bet: Vila Real FC CE or Draw at 1.31, rated 88% (Vila Real FC CE unbeaten in 10 of 10; Ceara SC CE failed to win 4 of 5 away). Predicted score: Vila Real FC CE 1-0 Ceara SC CE (14% chance).
The agreed story. Vila Real FC CE or the draw, a tight game.
Cup and European games. A domestic cup: sides rotate, and the two can come from different divisions. Vila Real FC CE in their last cup games: won 2-0 at FC Atletico Cearense CE. Too few cup games to judge the side from.
So. A close match: the safest pick that fits.
PICKSONE LIST
RESULT
Vila Real FC CE or Draw (1UP)PAGE ONLY
no price yet
VIL 5 of 5 (100%) · CEA 7 of 7 (100%)94.3%
Vila Real FC CE scored first 4 of last 5, led or was unbeaten in 5 · led or was unbeaten in 7 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · Ceara SC CE trailed or failed to win in 4 of 5 away
Ceara SC CE (0:2 handicap)PAGE ONLY
no price yet
CEA 5 of 5 (100%) · VIL 9 of 10 (90%)93.3%
Ceara SC CE: the bet landed in 5 of 5 away · Vila Real FC CE: the bet landed in 9 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 90%
Double Chance: Vila Real FC CE or DrawMAININ CODES
1.31
VIL 10 of 10 (100%) · CEA 4 of 5 (80%)89.3%
Vila Real FC CE unbeaten in 10 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Ceara SC CE failed to win 4 of 5 away · both last 10: 85%
Vila Real FC CE (Draw No Bet)IN CODES
1.55
VIL 6 of 6 (100%) · CEA 4 of 7 (57%)79.6%
Vila Real FC CE won 6 of 6 (last 10, all venues) (draws left out) · Ceara SC CE lost 4 of 7 (last 10, all venues) (draws left out) · both last 10: 79% · won 5, refunded 3, lost 1
Vila Real FC CE or Under 2.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
VIL 10 of 10 (100%) · CEA 4 of 5 (80%)76.2%
Vila Real FC CE: the bet landed in 10 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Ceara SC CE: the bet landed in 4 of 5 away · both last 10: 85%
Vila Real FC CE or Both Teams ScorePAGE ONLY
no price yet
VIL 9 of 10 (90%) · CEA 4 of 5 (80%)67%
Vila Real FC CE: the bet landed in 9 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Ceara SC CE: the bet landed in 4 of 5 away · both last 10: 85%
Draw or Under 2.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
VIL 7 of 10 (70%) · CEA 4 of 5 (80%)57%
Vila Real FC CE: the bet landed in 7 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Ceara SC CE: the bet landed in 4 of 5 away · both last 10: 75%
GOALS
no price yet
VIL 10 of 10 (100%) · CEA 5 of 5 (100%)97%
Vila Real FC CE: under 5.5 goals in 10 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Ceara SC CE: under 5.5 goals in 5 of 5 away · both last 10: 100%
no price yet
VIL 9 of 10 (90%) · CEA 5 of 5 (100%)96%
Vila Real FC CE: under 4.5 goals in 9 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Ceara SC CE: under 4.5 goals in 5 of 5 away · both last 10: 95%
1.28
VIL 9 of 10 (90%) · CEA 4 of 5 (80%)86%
Vila Real FC CE: under 3.5 goals in 9 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Ceara SC CE: under 3.5 goals in 4 of 5 away · both last 10: 85%
no price yet
VIL 9 of 10 (90%) · CEA 5 of 5 (100%)77%
Vila Real FC CE: over 0.5 goals in 9 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Ceara SC CE: over 0.5 goals in 5 of 5 away · both last 10: 95%
Under 2.5 GoalsLEANPAGE ONLY
1.76
VIL 7 of 10 (70%) · CEA 3 of 5 (60%)47%
Vila Real FC CE: under 2.5 goals in 7 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Ceara SC CE: under 2.5 goals in 3 of 5 away · both last 10: 65%
Over 1.5 GoalsLEANHELD · the odds board 78%
1.29
VIL 7 of 10 (70%) · CEA 3 of 5 (60%)47%
Vila Real FC CE: over 1.5 goals in 7 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Ceara SC CE: over 1.5 goals in 3 of 5 away · both last 10: 65%
VILA REAL FC CE GOALS
Vila Real FC CE Over 0.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
VIL 9 of 10 (90%) · CEA 4 of 5 (80%)67%
Vila Real FC CE scored in 9 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Ceara SC CE conceded in 4 of 5 away · both last 10: 85%
CEARA SC CE GOALS
Ceara SC CE Over 0.5 GoalsLEANHELD · the odds board 72%
1.38
CEA 4 of 5 (80%) · VIL 6 of 10 (60%)50.3%
Ceara SC CE scored in 4 of 5 away · Vila Real FC CE conceded in 6 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 65%
CORNERS
Over 7.5 CornersPAGE ONLY
no price yet
VIL 6 of 7 (86%) · CEA 3 of 5 (60%)76.2%
Vila Real FC CE's games: over 7.5 corners in 6 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · Ceara SC CE's games: over 7.5 corners in 3 of 5 away · both last 10: 83%
CARDS
no price yet
VIL 7 of 7 (100%) · CEA 3 of 5 (60%)83.3%
Vila Real FC CE's games: over 3.5 cards in 7 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · Ceara SC CE's games: over 3.5 cards in 3 of 5 away · both last 10: 90%
Left off the list: Vila Real FC CE 1UP (the numbers (59%) and the records (89%) are 30 points apart, and nothing settles it)
TRENDS
Vila Real FC CE have scored in 90% of their games.
Ceara SC CE have scored in 70% of their games.
Vila Real FC CE kept a clean sheet in 40% of their games.
Ceara SC CE kept a clean sheet in 20% of their games.