COLOMBIA - COPA DIMAYOR
02:30Wed 11 Nov
ATL
AN
CD Once Caldas vs Atletico Nacional
CLASS D
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63
DOUBLE CHANCE
Class D
Double Chance: Draw or Atletico…
CD Once Caldas v Atletico Nacional
1.53odds
65%book
-2edge
1/1angles
THE READ
Match details. Copa DIMAYOR, Semi-finals. Kick-off is Wed 11 Nov, 02:30 Lagos time. It is played at Estadio Palogrande, Manizales.
What's at stake. It is one game, with penalties if it is level.
Form. CD Once Caldas have won five, drawn three and lost two of their last ten, 1.8 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W W W D D. Atletico Nacional have won seven, drawn two and lost one of their last ten, 2.3 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W D W W W.
The numbers. CD Once Caldas score one and concede 0.8 a game in their last five at home, with three clean sheets. CD Once Caldas average 14.8 shots (6.6 on target), 6.3 corners and 2.6 cards a game. Atletico Nacional score 2.2 and concede one a game over their last ten, with three clean sheets and two games without a goal. Atletico Nacional average 13.7 shots (6.7 on target), 5.1 corners and 2.7 cards a game.
Head to head. In the last ten meetings CD Once Caldas have won two, drawn three and lost five. Three of the ten went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in four. In the last four, CD Once Caldas won one and Atletico Nacional won three. The last time they met, on 1 May 2026, it finished CD Once Caldas 1-0 Atletico Nacional: CD Once Caldas had 17 shots to 13, 45% of the ball, five yellow cards.
The case against. A knockout game (Semi-finals) with penalties if level, and Atletico Nacional are not clearly stronger. CD Once Caldas's record still gives them 29% to win.
The read. Atletico Nacional or the draw. A tight game. Their goals for and against make Atletico Nacional the likelier winners; Atletico Nacional are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour Atletico Nacional; the meetings favour Atletico Nacional. Their goals for and against point to a tight game. Their records put over 1.5 goals at 59%, over 2.5 at 36%, under 4.5 at 92%. Seven of the last ten meetings went under 2.5.
The bets. Best bet: Draw or Atletico Nacional at 1.53, rated 71% (Atletico Nacional unbeaten in 8 of 9; CD Once Caldas failed to win 2 of 5 at home). The safer one: CD Once Caldas Under 2.5 Goals at 1.13 (96%). Full cover: CD Once Caldas or Both Teams Score at 1.28. Whenever the best bet loses, this one wins. Predicted score: CD Once Caldas 1-1 Atletico Nacional (13% chance).
The agreed story. Atletico Nacional or the draw, a tight game.
Cup and European games. A domestic cup: sides rotate, and the two can come from different divisions. CD Once Caldas in their last cup games: won 2-0 at Independiente Santa Fe, won 1-0 v Alianza FC Valledupar. Atletico Nacional in their last cup games: won 3-2 v Independiente Medellin, won 3-0 v Deportivo Cali. Too few cup games to judge the side from.
So. A close match: the safest pick that fits.
PICKSONE LIST
RESULT
Atletico Nacional or Under 2.5 GoalsTAKEN DOWNPAGE ONLY
1.32
ATL 9 of 9 (100%) · CDO 5 of 5 (100%)80.5%
Atletico Nacional: the bet landed in 9 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · CD Once Caldas: the bet landed in 5 of 5 at home · both last 10: 100% · H2H 6 of 6 · Atletico Nacional: only games against sides at CD Once Caldas's level · CD Once Caldas: only games against sides at Atletico Nacional's level · the call is Atletico Nacional or the draw: a knockout game (Semi-finals) with penalties if level, and A
Atletico Nacional or Draw (1UP)LEANPAGE ONLY
1.39
ATL 5 of 5 (100%) · CDO 8 of 9 (89%)70%
Atletico Nacional scored first 3 of last 5, led or was unbeaten in 5 · led or was unbeaten in 8 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · CD Once Caldas trailed or failed to win in 2 of 5 at home · Atletico Nacional: only games against sides at CD Once Caldas's level · CD Once Caldas: only games against sides at Atletico Nacional's level
CD Once Caldas (2:0 handicap)LEANPAGE ONLY
1.15
CDO 4 of 5 (80%) · ATL 5 of 9 (56%)68.6%
CD Once Caldas: the bet landed in 4 of 5 at home · Atletico Nacional: the bet landed in 5 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 72% · H2H 4 of 6 · CD Once Caldas: only games against sides at Atletico Nacional's level · Atletico Nacional: only games against sides at CD Once Caldas's level
Double Chance: Draw or Atletico NacionalMAININ CODES
1.53
ATL 8 of 9 (89%) · CDO 2 of 5 (40%)63.1%
Atletico Nacional unbeaten in 8 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · CD Once Caldas failed to win 2 of 5 at home · both last 10: 72% · H2H 5 of 6 · Atletico Nacional: only games against sides at CD Once Caldas's level · CD Once Caldas: only games against sides at Atletico Nacional's level
Atletico Nacional 1UPTAKEN DOWNPAGE ONLY
1.97
ATL 5 of 5 (100%) · CDO 7 of 9 (78%)47.9%
Atletico Nacional scored first 3 of last 5, led in 5 · led in 7 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · CD Once Caldas trailed in 1 of 5 at home · Atletico Nacional: only games against sides at CD Once Caldas's level · CD Once Caldas: only games against sides at Atletico Nacional's level · the call is Atletico Nacional or the draw: a knockout game (Semi-finals) with penalties if level, and Atletico Nacional
Atletico Nacional win or both teams scoreTAKEN DOWNHELD · the odds board 72%
1.39
ATL 7 of 9 (78%) · CDO 2 of 5 (40%)44.8%
Atletico Nacional: the bet landed in 7 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · CD Once Caldas: the bet landed in 2 of 5 at home · both last 10: 67% · H2H 4 of 6 · Atletico Nacional: only games against sides at CD Once Caldas's level · CD Once Caldas: only games against sides at Atletico Nacional's level · the call is Atletico Nacional or the draw: a knockout game (Semi-finals) with penalties if level, and At
GOALS
Under 5.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
CDO 5 of 5 (100%) · ATL 8 of 9 (89%)96.8%
CD Once Caldas: under 5.5 goals in 5 of 5 at home · Atletico Nacional: under 5.5 goals in 8 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 94% · H2H 6 of 6 · CD Once Caldas: only games against sides at Atletico Nacional's level · Atletico Nacional: only games against sides at CD Once Caldas's level
Under 3.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
1.26
CDO 4 of 5 (80%) · ATL 6 of 9 (67%)77.9%
CD Once Caldas: under 3.5 goals in 4 of 5 at home · Atletico Nacional: under 3.5 goals in 6 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 78% · H2H 5 of 6 · CD Once Caldas: only games against sides at Atletico Nacional's level · Atletico Nacional: only games against sides at CD Once Caldas's level
CD ONCE CALDAS GOALS
CD Once Caldas Under 2.5 goalsSAFERIN CODES
1.13
CDO 5 of 5 (100%) · ATL 8 of 9 (89%)96.8%
CD Once Caldas scored under 2.5 in 5 of 5 at home · Atletico Nacional conceded under 2.5 in 8 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 94% · H2H 6 of 6 · CD Once Caldas: only games against sides at Atletico Nacional's level · Atletico Nacional: only games against sides at CD Once Caldas's level
CD Once Caldas Under 1.5 goalsSETTLEDHELD · the odds board 65%
1.53
CDO 5 of 5 (100%) · ATL 8 of 9 (89%)95.4%
CD Once Caldas scored under 1.5 in 5 of 5 at home · Atletico Nacional conceded under 1.5 in 8 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 89% · H2H 6 of 6 · CD Once Caldas: only games against sides at Atletico Nacional's level · Atletico Nacional: only games against sides at CD Once Caldas's level · rule 1: it landed in 9 of the last 10 meetings
CD Once Caldas Over 0.5 goalsHELD · the odds board 78%
1.29
CDO 5 of 5 (100%) · ATL 6 of 9 (67%)55.6%
CD Once Caldas scored in 5 of 5 at home · Atletico Nacional conceded in 6 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 78% · H2H 3 of 6 · CD Once Caldas: only games against sides at Atletico Nacional's level · Atletico Nacional: only games against sides at CD Once Caldas's level
ATLETICO NACIONAL GOALS
Atletico Nacional Over 0.5 goalsLEANHELD · the odds board 71%
1.40
ATL 7 of 9 (78%) · CDO 2 of 5 (40%)44.8%
Atletico Nacional scored in 7 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · CD Once Caldas conceded in 2 of 5 at home · both last 10: 67% · H2H 4 of 6 · Atletico Nacional: only games against sides at CD Once Caldas's level · CD Once Caldas: only games against sides at Atletico Nacional's level
HALVES
1st Half CD Once Caldas to Win to Nil: NoPAGE ONLY
1.29
CDO 5 of 5 (100%) · ATL 7 of 9 (78%)91.1%
CD Once Caldas: the bet landed in 5 of 5 at home · Atletico Nacional: the bet landed in 7 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 83% · H2H 6 of 6 · on half-time scores · CD Once Caldas: only games against sides at Atletico Nacional's level · Atletico Nacional: only games against sides at CD Once Caldas's level
1st Half - GG/NG: NoPAGE ONLY
1.17
CDO 5 of 5 (100%) · ATL 7 of 9 (78%)91%
CD Once Caldas: the bet landed in 5 of 5 at home · Atletico Nacional: the bet landed in 7 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 83% · H2H 6 of 6 · on half-time scores · CD Once Caldas: only games against sides at Atletico Nacional's level · Atletico Nacional: only games against sides at CD Once Caldas's level
CD Once Caldas to Score In Both Halves: NoPAGE ONLY
1.23
CDO 5 of 5 (100%) · ATL 8 of 9 (89%)90.8%
CD Once Caldas: the bet landed in 5 of 5 at home · Atletico Nacional: the bet landed in 8 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 89% · H2H 6 of 6 · on half-time scores · CD Once Caldas: only games against sides at Atletico Nacional's level · Atletico Nacional: only games against sides at CD Once Caldas's level
Both Halves Over 1.5: NoPAGE ONLY
1.10
CDO 4 of 5 (80%) · ATL 8 of 9 (89%)89.8%
CD Once Caldas: the bet landed in 4 of 5 at home · Atletico Nacional: the bet landed in 8 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 89% · H2H 6 of 6 · on half-time scores · CD Once Caldas: only games against sides at Atletico Nacional's level · Atletico Nacional: only games against sides at CD Once Caldas's level
Excluded Number of Goals - First Half: 2PAGE ONLY
1.19
CDO 4 of 5 (80%) · ATL 8 of 9 (89%)84.1%
CD Once Caldas: the bet landed in 4 of 5 at home · Atletico Nacional: the bet landed in 8 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 83% · H2H 6 of 6 · on half-time scores · CD Once Caldas: only games against sides at Atletico Nacional's level · Atletico Nacional: only games against sides at CD Once Caldas's level
2nd Half - Over/Under: Under 2.5PAGE ONLY
1.13
CDO 5 of 5 (100%) · ATL 7 of 9 (78%)82.4%
CD Once Caldas: the bet landed in 5 of 5 at home · Atletico Nacional: the bet landed in 7 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 89% · H2H 5 of 6 · on half-time scores · CD Once Caldas: only games against sides at Atletico Nacional's level · Atletico Nacional: only games against sides at CD Once Caldas's level
Under 1.5 first-half goalsPAGE ONLY
1.34
CDO 4 of 5 (80%) · ATL 6 of 9 (67%)77.4%
CD Once Caldas: the bet landed in 4 of 5 at home · Atletico Nacional: the bet landed in 6 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 72% · H2H 6 of 6 · on half-time scores · CD Once Caldas: only games against sides at Atletico Nacional's level · Atletico Nacional: only games against sides at CD Once Caldas's level
2nd Half - Over/Under: Over 0.5PAGE ONLY
1.26
CDO 5 of 5 (100%) · ATL 6 of 9 (67%)77.2%
CD Once Caldas: the bet landed in 5 of 5 at home · Atletico Nacional: the bet landed in 6 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 78% · H2H 5 of 6 · on half-time scores · CD Once Caldas: only games against sides at Atletico Nacional's level · Atletico Nacional: only games against sides at CD Once Caldas's level
Over 0.5 first-half goalsLEANPAGE ONLY
1.43
CDO 1 of 5 (20%) · ATL 8 of 9 (89%)60.2%
CD Once Caldas: the bet landed in 1 of 5 at home · Atletico Nacional: the bet landed in 8 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 61% · H2H 3 of 6 · on half-time scores · CD Once Caldas: only games against sides at Atletico Nacional's level · Atletico Nacional: only games against sides at CD Once Caldas's level
CARDS
Over 3.5 CardsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
CDO 5 of 5 (100%) · ATL 7 of 9 (78%)87%
CD Once Caldas's games: over 3.5 cards in 5 of 5 at home · Atletico Nacional's games: over 3.5 cards in 7 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 83% · CD Once Caldas: only games against sides at Atletico Nacional's level · Atletico Nacional: only games against sides at CD Once Caldas's level
OTHER
CD Once Caldas To Score 2 or More Goals in a Row: NoHELD · the odds board 71%
1.41
CDO 5 of 5 (100%) · ATL 5 of 5 (100%)97%
CD Once Caldas scored first 4 of last 5, never scored 2 in a row in 5 · never scored 2 in a row in 5 of 5 at home · Atletico Nacional never conceded 2 in a row in 8 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · CD Once Caldas: only games against sides at Atletico Nacional's level · Atletico Nacional: only games against sides at CD Once Caldas's level
CD Once Caldas To Score 3 or More Goals in a Row: NoIN CODES
1.09
CDO 5 of 5 (100%) · ATL 5 of 5 (100%)97%
CD Once Caldas scored first 4 of last 5, never scored 3 in a row in 5 · never scored 3 in a row in 5 of 5 at home · Atletico Nacional never conceded 3 in a row in 9 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · CD Once Caldas: only games against sides at Atletico Nacional's level · Atletico Nacional: only games against sides at CD Once Caldas's level
CD Once Caldas to lead by 2 Goals at any time: NoIN CODES
1.27
CDO 5 of 5 (100%) · ATL 5 of 5 (100%)97%
CD Once Caldas scored first 4 of last 5, never led by 2 in 5 · never led by 2 in 5 of 5 at home · Atletico Nacional never trailed by 2 in 9 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · CD Once Caldas: only games against sides at Atletico Nacional's level · Atletico Nacional: only games against sides at CD Once Caldas's level
GG/NG 2+: NoIN CODES
1.09
CDO 5 of 5 (100%) · ATL 8 of 9 (89%)96.8%
CD Once Caldas: the bet landed in 5 of 5 at home · Atletico Nacional: the bet landed in 8 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 94% · H2H 6 of 6 · CD Once Caldas: only games against sides at Atletico Nacional's level · Atletico Nacional: only games against sides at CD Once Caldas's level
Any Team To Score 3 or More Goals in a Row: NoIN CODES
1.16
CDO 4 of 5 (80%) · ATL 4 of 5 (80%)84%
CD Once Caldas scored first 4 of last 5, no side scored 3 in a row in 4 · no side scored 3 in a row in 4 of 5 at home · Atletico Nacional no side scored 3 in a row in 8 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · CD Once Caldas: only games against sides at Atletico Nacional's level · Atletico Nacional: only games against sides at CD Once Caldas's level
Atletico Nacional to lead by 1 Goal at any time: YesLEANPAGE ONLY
1.97
ATL 5 of 5 (100%) · CDO 7 of 9 (78%)65%
Atletico Nacional scored first 3 of last 5, led by 1 in 5 · led by 1 in 7 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · CD Once Caldas trailed by 1 in 1 of 5 at home · Atletico Nacional: only games against sides at CD Once Caldas's level · CD Once Caldas: only games against sides at Atletico Nacional's level
Left off the list: 1X2 - 2UP: Atletico Nacional (the numbers (49%) and the records (56%) are on opposite sides, and nothing settles it); Atletico Nacional To Score 2 or More Goals in a Row: Yes (the numbers (38%) and the records (56%) are on opposite sides, and nothing settles it); Over 8.5 Corners (the numbers (60%) and the records (83%) are 24 points apart, and nothing settles it)
SCORELINES
Predicted score
Predicted score 1–1 12.9%
CD Once Caldas goals →
Atletico Nacional goals ↓
0-08%
1-07%
2-04%
3-01%
4-00.4%
5-00.1%
0-111%
1-113%
2-16%
3-12%
4-10.6%
5-10.1%
0-29%
1-29%
2-25%
3-22%
4-20.4%
5-20.1%
0-35%
1-35%
2-32%
3-30.9%
4-30.2%
5-30.0%
0-42%
1-42%
2-41.0%
3-40.3%
4-40.1%
5-40.0%
0-50.5%
1-50.6%
2-50.3%
3-50.1%
4-50.0%
5-50.0%
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and a tight game).
FORM · LAST 10
CD ONCE CALDASLLDWWDDWWW1.80 PPG
ATLETICO NACIONALWDWWLWWWDW2.30 PPG
THE NUMBERS
CD ONCE CALDAS HOMExATLETICO NACIONAL AWAY
1.10SCORED A GAME2.200.70CONCEDED A GAME1.0050%CLEAN SHEETS30%0%FAILED TO SCORE0%6.30CORNERS A GAME5.102.60CARDS A GAME2.70
THE BANK
THE BANKER MENU
OVER 1.5 CARDS
–
543 OF 573
PRICE NOT KEPT
Both sides' last 5 games point to 5.2+ cards.
Other bets the bookie sells that won 9 times in 10 or more on games like this one, in each of three spells: 20-24 Oct, 25-29 Oct and 30 Oct-2 Nov. The price is low because the bookie expects it too. A bet with no price yet, or one under 1.09, is not in any code.
THE QUALITY READ
1.79POINTS A GAME2.12+0.50GOAL DIFFERENCE A GAME+1.00+6.5SHOTS FOR MINUS AGAINST+5.32.2LAST 5: POINTS A GAME2.614LEAGUE GAMES17
No quality side: neither club is ahead on more of these.
Each club's own league games in the Bank: points, goal difference, shots for and against, the last 5. A side ahead on most of them is the quality side; its bets show what they won on games like this from 6 Oct to 2 Nov.
THE BANK'S READ
OVER 1.5 GOALS
74%
NO · 80/83
OVER 2.5 GOALS
36%
NO · 65/78
UNDER 4.5 GOALS
83%
NO · 85/90
CD ONCE CALDAS OR DRAW
51%
NO · 80/85
ATLETICO NACIONAL OR DRAW
53%
NO · 80/85
Each line from both sides' own league games this season, set against their league (14 and 17 games). The two numbers after each read are the line's okay and very good marks.
CD ONCE CALDASxATLETICO NACIONAL
9GAMES81.33SCORED A GAME1.880.89CONCEDED A GAME1.252.2GOALS IN THEIR GAMES3.144%OVER 1.5 GOALS75%33%OVER 2.5 GOALS50%44%BOTH SCORE62%5.9CARDS IN THEIR GAMES5.39.7CORNERS IN THEIR GAMES10.7
Each side's own league games in our bank before this game; "Home v Away" is the home side's home games and the away side's away games.
HEAD TO HEAD · LAST 10
CD ONCE CALDAS 2 · 20%DRAW 3ATLETICO NACIONAL 5 · 50%
4 of 10BOTH TEAMS SCORED
7 of 10OVER 1.5 GOALS
3 of 10OVER 2.5 GOALS
2 of 10OVER 3.5 GOALS
2023-07-17CD Once Caldas 1 – 1 Atletico Nacional
2024-02-01CD Once Caldas 1 – 1 Atletico Nacional
2024-07-27CD Once Caldas 2 – 0 Atletico Nacional
2025-01-26CD Once Caldas 0 – 4 Atletico Nacional
2025-06-02CD Once Caldas 0 – 0 Atletico Nacional
2025-06-19CD Once Caldas 1 – 2 Atletico Nacional
2025-07-12CD Once Caldas 1 – 3 Atletico Nacional
2025-10-10CD Once Caldas 0 – 1 Atletico Nacional
TRENDS
CD Once Caldas have scored in 90% of their games.
Atletico Nacional have scored in 80% of their games.
CD Once Caldas kept a clean sheet in 50% of their games.
Atletico Nacional kept a clean sheet in 30% of their games.
BUILT FROM
form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againstclean sheetshead to headcornerscards