THE READ
Match details. Liga Femenina. Kick-off is Mon 9 Nov, 21:00 Lagos time.
Form. Universitario de Deportes have won five, drawn none and lost five of their last ten, 1.5 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L L L L W. FC Melgar have won eight, drawn none and lost two of their last ten, 2.4 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W W L W W.
The numbers. Universitario de Deportes score 3.5 and concede two a game over their last ten, with three clean sheets and two games without a goal. Universitario de Deportes average 5.4 corners and 1.4 cards a game. FC Melgar score 3.5 and concede 0.6 a game over their last ten, with five clean sheets and two games without a goal. FC Melgar average 3.5 corners and 1.9 cards a game.
Where it pulls both ways. The prices and the records disagree: the odds board makes it 7% against the records' 65%.
The read. No firm call: FC Melgar are the better side, but not at this price. An open game. Their goals for and against make FC Melgar the likelier winners; both teams' records favour FC Melgar. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 80%.
The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Predicted score: Universitario de Deportes 1-3 FC Melgar (7% chance).
The agreed story. No side to back (FC Melgar the favourite), an open game.
PICKSONE LIST
RESULT
Draw or Over 2.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
UNI 9 of 10 (90%) · FCM 7 of 10 (70%)81%
Universitario de Deportes: the bet landed in 9 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · FC Melgar: the bet landed in 7 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 80%
Universitario de Deportes or Over 2.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
UNI 9 of 10 (90%) · FCM 9 of 10 (90%)72%
Universitario de Deportes: the bet landed in 9 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · FC Melgar: the bet landed in 9 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 90%
FC Melgar or Over 2.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
FCM 8 of 10 (80%) · UNI 10 of 10 (100%)72%
FC Melgar: the bet landed in 8 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Universitario de Deportes: the bet landed in 10 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 90%
FC Melgar or Draw (1UP)PAGE ONLY
no price yet
FCM 4 of 5 (80%) · UNI 4 of 5 (80%)57.6%
FC Melgar scored first 3 of last 5, led or was unbeaten in 4 · led or was unbeaten in 4 of 5 (last 10, all venues) · Universitario de Deportes trailed or failed to win in 4 of 6 (last 10, all venues)
no price yet
FCM 4 of 5 (80%) · UNI 4 of 5 (80%)57.6%
FC Melgar scored first 3 of last 5, led in 4 · led in 4 of 5 (last 10, all venues) · Universitario de Deportes trailed in 4 of 6 (last 10, all venues)
Universitario de Deportes or Both Teams ScoreLEANPAGE ONLY
no price yet
UNI 8 of 10 (80%) · FCM 5 of 10 (50%)47%
Universitario de Deportes: the bet landed in 8 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · FC Melgar: the bet landed in 5 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 65%
FC Melgar (Draw No Bet)LEANHELD · the odds board 13%
7.75
FCM 8 of 10 (80%) · UNI 5 of 10 (50%)47%
FC Melgar won 8 of 10 (last 10, all venues) (draws left out) · Universitario de Deportes lost 5 of 10 (last 10, all venues) (draws left out) · both last 10: 65% · won 4, refunded 0, lost 4
FC Melgar to WinLEANHELD · the odds board 7%
13.50
FCM 8 of 10 (80%) · UNI 5 of 10 (50%)47%
FC Melgar won 8 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Universitario de Deportes lost 5 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 65%
GOALS
no price yet
UNI 10 of 10 (100%) · FCM 10 of 10 (100%)97%
Universitario de Deportes: over 0.5 goals in 10 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · FC Melgar: over 0.5 goals in 10 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 100%
no price yet
UNI 9 of 10 (90%) · FCM 8 of 10 (80%)86%
Universitario de Deportes: over 1.5 goals in 9 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · FC Melgar: over 1.5 goals in 8 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 85%
no price yet
UNI 9 of 10 (90%) · FCM 7 of 10 (70%)81%
Universitario de Deportes: over 2.5 goals in 9 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · FC Melgar: over 2.5 goals in 7 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 80%
Over 3.5 GoalsLEANPAGE ONLY
1.79
UNI 8 of 10 (80%) · FCM 5 of 10 (50%)47%
Universitario de Deportes: over 3.5 goals in 8 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · FC Melgar: over 3.5 goals in 5 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 65%
UNIVERSITARIO DE DEPORTES GOALS
Universitario de Deportes Over 0.5 GoalsLEANPAGE ONLY
no price yet
UNI 8 of 10 (80%) · FCM 5 of 10 (50%)65%
Universitario de Deportes scored in 8 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · FC Melgar conceded in 5 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 65%
FC MELGAR GOALS
FC Melgar Over 1.5 GoalsLEANPAGE ONLY
no price yet
FCM 7 of 10 (70%) · UNI 6 of 10 (60%)47%
FC Melgar scored over 1.5 in 7 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Universitario de Deportes conceded over 1.5 in 6 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 65%
Left off the list: FC Melgar Over 0.5 Goals (the numbers (96%) and the records (75%) are 21 points apart, and nothing settles it)
TRENDS
Universitario de Deportes have scored in 80% of their games.
FC Melgar have scored in 80% of their games.
Universitario de Deportes kept a clean sheet in 30% of their games.
FC Melgar kept a clean sheet in 50% of their games.