COSTA RICA - LIGA DE ASCENSO
02:00Tue 10 Nov
PIT
PS
AD Rosario vs Pitbulls Santa Barbara FC
CLASS E
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77
DOUBLE CHANCE
Class E
Double Chance: AD Rosario or Draw
AD Rosario v Pitbulls Santa Barbara FC
1.27odds
79%book
-2edge
1/1angles
EDGE PICKPitbulls Santa Barbara FC Over 0.5 goals · 50.1% · @1.41
Book 71% · Us 50% -21 price too short
Backed by
· main loses on: 0-1, 0-2, 1-2, 0-3, 1-3, 0-4, 2-3, 1-4, 0-5, 2-4, 1-5, 0-6 and 43 more up to 10-10 | hedge wins on all of themPitbulls Santa Barbara FC scored in 5 of 6 away · AD Rosario conceded in 4 of 5 at home · both last 10: 90% · Pitbulls Santa Barbara FC: only games against sides at AD Rosario's level · AD Rosario: only games against sides at Pitbulls Santa Barbara FC's level
THE READ
Match details. Liga de Ascenso, Quarter-finals. Kick-off is Tue 10 Nov, 02:00 Lagos time.
What's at stake. It is one game, with penalties if it is level.
Form. AD Rosario have won six, drawn two and lost two of their last ten, 2.0 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W L W D W. Pitbulls Santa Barbara FC have won four, drawn three and lost three of their last ten, 1.5 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L W L D D.
The numbers. AD Rosario score 1.8 and concede 1.4 a game in their last five at home, with one clean sheet. AD Rosario average 5.7 corners and 2.7 cards a game. Pitbulls Santa Barbara FC score 1.3 and concede 2.2 a game in their last six away, with no clean sheets. Pitbulls Santa Barbara FC average 3.9 corners and 2.0 cards a game.
The case against. A knockout game (Quarter-finals) with penalties if level, and AD Rosario are not clearly stronger. Pitbulls Santa Barbara FC's record still gives them 22% to win.
The read. AD Rosario or the draw. An open game. Their goals for and against make AD Rosario the likelier winners; AD Rosario are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour AD Rosario. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 88%.
The bets. Best bet: AD Rosario or Draw at 1.27, rated 74% (AD Rosario unbeaten in 4 of 5 at home; Pitbulls Santa Barbara FC failed to win 5 of 6 away). The safer one: Pitbulls Santa Barbara FC (0:2 handicap) at 1.25 (91%). Predicted score: AD Rosario 2-1 Pitbulls Santa Barbara FC (10% chance).
The agreed story. AD Rosario or the draw, an open game.
The league run. AD Rosario: one defeat in their last five league games (W L W D W). Pitbulls Santa Barbara FC: one defeat in their last five league games (W L D D D).
So. A close match: the safest pick that fits.
PICKSONE LIST
RESULT
Pitbulls Santa Barbara FC to Win to Nil: NoIN CODES
1.10
PIT 6 of 6 (100%) · ADR 5 of 5 (100%)97%
Pitbulls Santa Barbara FC: the bet landed in 6 of 6 away · AD Rosario: the bet landed in 5 of 5 at home · both last 10: 95% · Pitbulls Santa Barbara FC: only games against sides at AD Rosario's level · AD Rosario: only games against sides at Pitbulls Santa Barbara FC's level
AD Rosario or Draw (1UP)PAGE ONLY
no price yet
ADR 5 of 5 (100%) · PIT 5 of 5 (100%)94.3%
AD Rosario scored first 3 of last 5, led or was unbeaten in 5 · led or was unbeaten in 5 of 5 at home · Pitbulls Santa Barbara FC trailed or failed to win in 4 of 5 away · AD Rosario: only games against sides at Pitbulls Santa Barbara FC's level · Pitbulls Santa Barbara FC: only games against sides at AD Rosario's level
Pitbulls Santa Barbara FC (0:2 handicap)SAFERIN CODES
1.25
PIT 5 of 6 (83%) · ADR 5 of 5 (100%)91.1%
Pitbulls Santa Barbara FC: the bet landed in 5 of 6 away · AD Rosario: the bet landed in 5 of 5 at home · both last 10: 90% · Pitbulls Santa Barbara FC: only games against sides at AD Rosario's level · AD Rosario: only games against sides at Pitbulls Santa Barbara FC's level
AD Rosario or Both Teams ScoreTAKEN DOWNPAGE ONLY
1.19
ADR 5 of 5 (100%) · PIT 6 of 6 (100%)80.6%
AD Rosario: the bet landed in 5 of 5 at home · Pitbulls Santa Barbara FC: the bet landed in 6 of 6 away · both last 10: 95% · AD Rosario: only games against sides at Pitbulls Santa Barbara FC's level · Pitbulls Santa Barbara FC: only games against sides at AD Rosario's level · the call is AD Rosario or the draw: a knockout game (Quarter-finals) with penalties if level, and AD Rosario are not clear
Double Chance: AD Rosario or DrawMAININ CODES
1.27
ADR 4 of 5 (80%) · PIT 5 of 6 (83%)76.9%
AD Rosario unbeaten in 4 of 5 at home · Pitbulls Santa Barbara FC failed to win 5 of 6 away · both last 10: 70% · AD Rosario: only games against sides at Pitbulls Santa Barbara FC's level · Pitbulls Santa Barbara FC: only games against sides at AD Rosario's level
Draw or Over 2.5 GoalsTAKEN DOWNPAGE ONLY
1.34
ADR 4 of 5 (80%) · PIT 6 of 6 (100%)72.8%
AD Rosario: the bet landed in 4 of 5 at home · Pitbulls Santa Barbara FC: the bet landed in 6 of 6 away · both last 10: 90% · AD Rosario: only games against sides at Pitbulls Santa Barbara FC's level · Pitbulls Santa Barbara FC: only games against sides at AD Rosario's level · the call is AD Rosario or the draw: a knockout game (Quarter-finals) with penalties if level, and AD Rosario are not clear
AD Rosario to Win to Nil: NoTAKEN DOWNPAGE ONLY
1.27
ADR 4 of 5 (80%) · PIT 5 of 6 (83%)66.4%
AD Rosario: the bet landed in 4 of 5 at home · Pitbulls Santa Barbara FC: the bet landed in 5 of 6 away · both last 10: 90% · AD Rosario: only games against sides at Pitbulls Santa Barbara FC's level · Pitbulls Santa Barbara FC: only games against sides at AD Rosario's level · the call is AD Rosario or the draw: a knockout game (Quarter-finals) with penalties if level, and AD Rosario are not clear
AD Rosario (Draw No Bet)LEANPAGE ONLY
1.45
ADR 4 of 5 (80%) · PIT 3 of 7 (43%)66.1%
AD Rosario won 4 of 5 at home (draws left out) · Pitbulls Santa Barbara FC lost 3 of 7 (last 10, all venues) (draws left out) · both last 10: 59% · AD Rosario: only games against sides at Pitbulls Santa Barbara FC's level · Pitbulls Santa Barbara FC: only games against sides at AD Rosario's level · won 7, refunded 2, lost 2
AD Rosario or Draw & Over 1.5LEANPAGE ONLY
1.56
ADR 3 of 5 (60%) · PIT 5 of 6 (83%)65.9%
AD Rosario: the bet landed in 3 of 5 at home · Pitbulls Santa Barbara FC: the bet landed in 5 of 6 away · both last 10: 65% · AD Rosario: only games against sides at Pitbulls Santa Barbara FC's level · Pitbulls Santa Barbara FC: only games against sides at AD Rosario's level
Double Chance: AD Rosario or Pitbulls Santa Barbara FCHELD · the odds board 78%
1.28
ADR 5 of 5 (100%) · PIT 4 of 6 (67%)56.3%
AD Rosario: the bet landed in 5 of 5 at home · Pitbulls Santa Barbara FC: the bet landed in 4 of 6 away · both last 10: 75% · AD Rosario: only games against sides at Pitbulls Santa Barbara FC's level · Pitbulls Santa Barbara FC: only games against sides at AD Rosario's level
Double Chance & Over/Under 1.5: AD Rosario/Pitbulls Santa Barbara FC & Over 1.5LEANIN CODES
1.58
ADR 4 of 5 (80%) · PIT 4 of 6 (67%)48.6%
AD Rosario: the bet landed in 4 of 5 at home · Pitbulls Santa Barbara FC: the bet landed in 4 of 6 away · both last 10: 65% · AD Rosario: only games against sides at Pitbulls Santa Barbara FC's level · Pitbulls Santa Barbara FC: only games against sides at AD Rosario's level
GOALS
Over 1.5 GoalsLEANIN CODES
1.27
ADR 4 of 5 (80%) · PIT 6 of 6 (100%)85.8%
AD Rosario: over 1.5 goals in 4 of 5 at home · Pitbulls Santa Barbara FC: over 1.5 goals in 6 of 6 away · both last 10: 90% · AD Rosario: only games against sides at Pitbulls Santa Barbara FC's level · Pitbulls Santa Barbara FC: only games against sides at AD Rosario's level
AD ROSARIO GOALS
AD Rosario Over 0.5 goalsIN CODES
1.20
ADR 5 of 5 (100%) · PIT 6 of 6 (100%)80.6%
AD Rosario scored in 5 of 5 at home · Pitbulls Santa Barbara FC conceded in 6 of 6 away · both last 10: 95% · AD Rosario: only games against sides at Pitbulls Santa Barbara FC's level · Pitbulls Santa Barbara FC: only games against sides at AD Rosario's level
PITBULLS SANTA BARBARA FC GOALS
Pitbulls Santa Barbara FC Under 1.5 goalsHELD · the odds board 74%
1.36
PIT 3 of 6 (50%) · ADR 3 of 5 (60%)50.4%
Pitbulls Santa Barbara FC scored under 1.5 in 3 of 6 away · AD Rosario conceded under 1.5 in 3 of 5 at home · both last 10: 50% · Pitbulls Santa Barbara FC: only games against sides at AD Rosario's level · AD Rosario: only games against sides at Pitbulls Santa Barbara FC's level
Pitbulls Santa Barbara FC Over 0.5 goalsLEANHELD · the odds board 71%
1.41
PIT 5 of 6 (83%) · ADR 4 of 5 (80%)50.1%
Pitbulls Santa Barbara FC scored in 5 of 6 away · AD Rosario conceded in 4 of 5 at home · both last 10: 90% · Pitbulls Santa Barbara FC: only games against sides at AD Rosario's level · AD Rosario: only games against sides at Pitbulls Santa Barbara FC's level
OTHER
GG/NG 2+: NoHELD · the odds board 89%
1.12
ADR 4 of 5 (80%) · PIT 4 of 6 (67%)54.2%
AD Rosario: the bet landed in 4 of 5 at home · Pitbulls Santa Barbara FC: the bet landed in 4 of 6 away · both last 10: 70% · AD Rosario: only games against sides at Pitbulls Santa Barbara FC's level · Pitbulls Santa Barbara FC: only games against sides at AD Rosario's level
Left off the list: AD Rosario 1UP (the numbers (64%) and the records (93%) are 30 points apart, and nothing settles it); AD Rosario or Over 2.5 Goals (the numbers (70%) and the records (97%) are 26 points apart, and nothing settles it); Pitbulls Santa Barbara FC or Over 2.5 Goals (the numbers (63%) and the records (90%) are 27 points apart, and nothing settles it); AD Rosario or draw and over 2.5 goals (the numbers (37%) and the records (68%) are on opposite sides, and nothing settles it)
SCORELINES
Predicted score
Predicted score 2–1 9.5%
AD Rosario goals →
Pitbulls Santa… goals ↓
0-07%
1-09%
2-08%
3-05%
4-02%
5-00.6%
0-16%
1-112%
2-110%
3-15%
4-12%
5-10.7%
0-24%
1-27%
2-25%
3-23%
4-21%
5-20.4%
0-32%
1-33%
2-32%
3-31%
4-30.5%
5-30.2%
0-40.4%
1-40.7%
2-40.6%
3-40.3%
4-40.1%
5-40.0%
0-50.1%
1-50.2%
2-50.1%
3-50.1%
4-50.0%
5-50.0%
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and an open game).
FORM · LAST 10
AD ROSARIOWLWDWDWLWW2.00 PPG
PITBULLS SANTA BARBARA FCLWLDDDLWWW1.50 PPG
THE NUMBERS
AD ROSARIO HOMExPITBULLS SANTA BARBARA FC AWAY
1.75SCORED A GAME1.641.42CONCEDED A GAME1.5790%BOTH SCORED80%10%CLEAN SHEETS10%5.70CORNERS A GAME3.852.70CARDS A GAME2.00
THE BANK
THE BANKER MENU
OVER 1.5 CARDS
–
649 OF 684
PRICE NOT KEPT
The league averages 5.0+ cards a game.
OVER 2.5 CARDS
–
258 OF 280
PRICE NOT KEPT
The league averages 5.0+ cards a game and the Bank expects 4.5+ cards.
Other bets the bookie sells that won 9 times in 10 or more on games like this one, in each of three spells: 20-24 Oct, 25-29 Oct and 30 Oct-2 Nov. The price is low because the bookie expects it too. A bet with no price yet, or one under 1.09, is not in any code.
THE QUALITY READ
2.00POINTS A GAME1.90+0.60GOAL DIFFERENCE A GAME+0.50-1.8SHOTS FOR MINUS AGAINST+1.92.0LAST 5: POINTS A GAME1.210LEAGUE GAMES10
AD Rosario: the quality side - better form (last 5).
Each club's own league games in the Bank: points, goal difference, shots for and against, the last 5. A side ahead on most of them is the quality side; its bets show what they won on games like this from 6 Oct to 2 Nov.
THE BANK'S READ
OVER 1.5 GOALS
92%
VERY GOOD · 80/83
OVER 2.5 GOALS
85%
VERY GOOD · 65/78
UNDER 4.5 GOALS
95%
VERY GOOD · 85/90
AD ROSARIO OR DRAW
78%
NO · 80/85
PITBULLS SANTA BARBARA FC OR DRAW
46%
NO · 80/85
Each line from both sides' own league games this season, set against their league (10 and 10 games). The two numbers after each read are the line's okay and very good marks.
AD ROSARIOxPITBULLS SANTA BARBARA FC
5GAMES52.20SCORED A GAME1.801.40CONCEDED A GAME1.803.6GOALS IN THEIR GAMES3.680%OVER 1.5 GOALS100%80%OVER 2.5 GOALS100%80%BOTH SCORE100%7.0CARDS IN THEIR GAMES5.211.2CORNERS IN THEIR GAMES9.8
Each side's own league games in our bank before this game; "Home v Away" is the home side's home games and the away side's away games.
TRENDS
AD Rosario have scored in 100% of their games.
Pitbulls Santa Barbara FC have scored in 90% of their games.
AD Rosario kept a clean sheet in 10% of their games.
Pitbulls Santa Barbara FC kept a clean sheet in 10% of their games.
BUILT FROM
form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againstclean sheetsleague tablecornerscards