Match details. Liga Al, Women. Kick-off is Mon 9 Nov, 15:50 Lagos time.
Form. Maccabi Holon FC have won three, drawn none and lost three of their last six league games, 1.5 points a game. Their last five in the league, newest first: L W W L W. Hapoel Raanana have won two, drawn one and lost three of their last six league games, 1.2 points a game. Their last five in the league, newest first: D W L W L.
The numbers. Maccabi Holon FC score one and concede two a game over their last six, with one clean sheet and two games without a goal. Maccabi Holon FC average 8.3 shots (3.3 on target), 6.0 corners and 1.7 cards a game, with 43% of the ball. Hapoel Raanana score 1.2 and concede 1.3 a game over their last six, with two clean sheets and two games without a goal. Hapoel Raanana average 13.7 shots (9.7 on target), 4.0 corners and 2.3 cards a game, with 57% of the ball.
The case against. Maccabi Holon FC's record still gives them 35% to win.
The read. Hapoel Raanana to win. An open game. Their goals for and against make Hapoel Raanana the likelier winners; both teams' records favour Hapoel Raanana. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 70%.
The bets. Best bet: Over 2.5 Goals at 1.54, rated 70% (Maccabi Holon FC: over 2.5 goals in 7 of 10; Hapoel Raanana: over 2.5 goals in 7 of 10). The safer one: Maccabi Holon FC or Hapoel Raanana at 1.24 (90%). Predicted score: Maccabi Holon FC 1-2 Hapoel Raanana (10% chance).
The agreed story. Hapoel Raanana or the draw, an open game.
Cup and European games. A domestic cup: sides rotate, and the two can come from different divisions. Too few cup games on either side to read.
So. A close match: the safest pick that fits.
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and an open game).