BRAZIL - CARIOCA, SERIE B2
22:30Mon 9 Nov
SER
SM
Santa Cruz FC RJ vs Serra Macaense FC RJ
CLASS E
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Match details. Carioca, Serie B2, Semi-finals. Kick-off is Mon 9 Nov, 22:30 Lagos time.
What's at stake. It is one game, with penalties if it is level.
Form. Santa Cruz FC RJ have won six, drawn one and lost three of their last ten league games, 1.9 points a game. Their last five in the league, newest first: D W W W L. Serra Macaense FC RJ have won seven, drawn two and lost one of their last ten league games, 2.3 points a game. Their last five in the league, newest first: W W W D W.
The numbers. Santa Cruz FC RJ score 1.2 and concede one a game over their last ten, with four clean sheets and three games without a goal. Santa Cruz FC RJ average 5.2 corners and 3.0 cards a game. Serra Macaense FC RJ score 2.2 and concede 0.8 a game in their last six away, with three clean sheets. Serra Macaense FC RJ average 3.3 corners and 2.5 cards a game.
Where it pulls both ways. On goals, their goals for and against point to a tight game; their records put over 2.5 goals at 61%.
The case against. A knockout game (Semi-finals) with penalties if level, and Serra Macaense FC RJ are not clearly stronger. Santa Cruz FC RJ's record still gives them 32% to win.
The read. Serra Macaense FC RJ or the draw. Their goals for and against make Serra Macaense FC RJ the likelier winners; Serra Macaense FC RJ are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour Serra Macaense FC RJ.
The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Predicted score: Santa Cruz FC RJ 1-1 Serra Macaense FC RJ (13% chance).
The agreed story. Serra Macaense FC RJ or the draw, goals in between.
So. A close match: the safest pick that fits.
PICKSONE LIST
RESULT
Serra Macaense FC RJ or Under 2.5 GoalsTAKEN DOWNPAGE ONLY
no price yet
SER 5 of 6 (83%) · SAN 7 of 10 (70%)77.1%
Serra Macaense FC RJ: the bet landed in 5 of 6 away · Santa Cruz FC RJ: the bet landed in 7 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 75% · Serra Macaense FC RJ: only games against sides at Santa Cruz FC RJ's level · Santa Cruz FC RJ: only games against sides at Serra Macaense FC RJ's level · the call is Serra Macaense FC RJ or the draw: a knockout game (Semi-finals) with penalties if level, and
Santa Cruz FC RJ (2:0 handicap)PAGE ONLY
no price yet
SAN 8 of 10 (80%) · SER 4 of 6 (67%)72.2%
Santa Cruz FC RJ: the bet landed in 8 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Serra Macaense FC RJ: the bet landed in 4 of 6 away · both last 10: 70% · Santa Cruz FC RJ: only games against sides at Serra Macaense FC RJ's level · Serra Macaense FC RJ: only games against sides at Santa Cruz FC RJ's level
Serra Macaense FC RJ or Draw (1UP)PAGE ONLY
no price yet
SER 4 of 5 (80%) · SAN 4 of 5 (80%)71%
Serra Macaense FC RJ scored first 3 of last 5, led or was unbeaten in 4 · led or was unbeaten in 4 of 5 (last 10, all venues) · Santa Cruz FC RJ trailed or failed to win in 4 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · Serra Macaense FC RJ: only games against sides at Santa Cruz FC RJ's level · Santa Cruz FC RJ: only games against sides at Serra Macaense FC RJ's level
Double Chance: Santa Cruz FC RJ or Serra Macaense FC RJIN CODES
1.28
SAN 9 of 10 (90%) · SER 4 of 6 (67%)62.6%
Santa Cruz FC RJ: the bet landed in 9 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Serra Macaense FC RJ: the bet landed in 4 of 6 away · both last 10: 85% · Santa Cruz FC RJ: only games against sides at Serra Macaense FC RJ's level · Serra Macaense FC RJ: only games against sides at Santa Cruz FC RJ's level
Serra Macaense FC RJ (Draw No Bet)LEANPAGE ONLY
1.80
SER 7 of 8 (88%) · SAN 3 of 9 (33%)61.4%
Serra Macaense FC RJ won 7 of 8 (last 10, all venues) (draws left out) · Santa Cruz FC RJ lost 3 of 9 (last 10, all venues) (draws left out) · both last 10: 60% · Serra Macaense FC RJ: only games against sides at Santa Cruz FC RJ's level · Santa Cruz FC RJ: only games against sides at Serra Macaense FC RJ's level · won 4, refunded 2, lost 4
Serra Macaense FC RJ or Over 2.5 GoalsTAKEN DOWNPAGE ONLY
no price yet
SER 5 of 6 (83%) · SAN 6 of 10 (60%)54.8%
Serra Macaense FC RJ: the bet landed in 5 of 6 away · Santa Cruz FC RJ: the bet landed in 6 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 75% · Serra Macaense FC RJ: only games against sides at Santa Cruz FC RJ's level · Santa Cruz FC RJ: only games against sides at Serra Macaense FC RJ's level · the call is Serra Macaense FC RJ or the draw: a knockout game (Semi-finals) with penalties if level, and
Draw or Over 2.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
SAN 6 of 10 (60%) · SER 5 of 6 (83%)54.8%
Santa Cruz FC RJ: the bet landed in 6 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Serra Macaense FC RJ: the bet landed in 5 of 6 away · both last 10: 75% · Santa Cruz FC RJ: only games against sides at Serra Macaense FC RJ's level · Serra Macaense FC RJ: only games against sides at Santa Cruz FC RJ's level
Serra Macaense FC RJ 1UPTAKEN DOWNPAGE ONLY
no price yet
SER 3 of 5 (60%) · SAN 3 of 5 (60%)38.7%
Serra Macaense FC RJ scored first 3 of last 5, led in 3 · led in 3 of 5 (last 10, all venues) · Santa Cruz FC RJ trailed in 4 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · Serra Macaense FC RJ: only games against sides at Santa Cruz FC RJ's level · Santa Cruz FC RJ: only games against sides at Serra Macaense FC RJ's level · the call is Serra Macaense FC RJ or the draw: a knockout game (Semi-finals) with penalties
GOALS
Over 0.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
SAN 10 of 10 (100%) · SER 6 of 6 (100%)97%
Santa Cruz FC RJ: over 0.5 goals in 10 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Serra Macaense FC RJ: over 0.5 goals in 6 of 6 away · both last 10: 100% · Santa Cruz FC RJ: only games against sides at Serra Macaense FC RJ's level · Serra Macaense FC RJ: only games against sides at Santa Cruz FC RJ's level
Under 4.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
SAN 10 of 10 (100%) · SER 5 of 6 (83%)91.1%
Santa Cruz FC RJ: under 4.5 goals in 10 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Serra Macaense FC RJ: under 4.5 goals in 5 of 6 away · both last 10: 90% · Santa Cruz FC RJ: only games against sides at Serra Macaense FC RJ's level · Serra Macaense FC RJ: only games against sides at Santa Cruz FC RJ's level
Under 3.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
SAN 9 of 10 (90%) · SER 4 of 6 (67%)78.9%
Santa Cruz FC RJ: under 3.5 goals in 9 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Serra Macaense FC RJ: under 3.5 goals in 4 of 6 away · both last 10: 80% · Santa Cruz FC RJ: only games against sides at Serra Macaense FC RJ's level · Serra Macaense FC RJ: only games against sides at Santa Cruz FC RJ's level
Over 1.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
SAN 6 of 10 (60%) · SER 5 of 6 (83%)54.8%
Santa Cruz FC RJ: over 1.5 goals in 6 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Serra Macaense FC RJ: over 1.5 goals in 5 of 6 away · both last 10: 75% · Santa Cruz FC RJ: only games against sides at Serra Macaense FC RJ's level · Serra Macaense FC RJ: only games against sides at Santa Cruz FC RJ's level
SANTA CRUZ FC RJ GOALS
Santa Cruz FC RJ Over 0.5 GoalsLEANPAGE ONLY
no price yet
SAN 7 of 10 (70%) · SER 3 of 6 (50%)43.7%
Santa Cruz FC RJ scored in 7 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Serra Macaense FC RJ conceded in 3 of 6 away · both last 10: 65% · Santa Cruz FC RJ: only games against sides at Serra Macaense FC RJ's level · Serra Macaense FC RJ: only games against sides at Santa Cruz FC RJ's level
SERRA MACAENSE FC RJ GOALS
Serra Macaense FC RJ Over 0.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
SER 6 of 6 (100%) · SAN 6 of 10 (60%)80%
Serra Macaense FC RJ scored in 6 of 6 away · Santa Cruz FC RJ conceded in 6 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 80% · Serra Macaense FC RJ: only games against sides at Santa Cruz FC RJ's level · Santa Cruz FC RJ: only games against sides at Serra Macaense FC RJ's level
HALVES
1st Half Under 2.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
SAN 6 of 7 (86%) · SER 4 of 5 (80%)85.4%
Santa Cruz FC RJ: the bet landed in 6 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · Serra Macaense FC RJ: the bet landed in 4 of 5 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 83% · on half-time scores · Santa Cruz FC RJ: only games against sides at Serra Macaense FC RJ's level · Serra Macaense FC RJ: only games against sides at Santa Cruz FC RJ's level
1st Half Over 0.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
SAN 5 of 7 (71%) · SER 3 of 5 (60%)73.1%
Santa Cruz FC RJ: the bet landed in 5 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · Serra Macaense FC RJ: the bet landed in 3 of 5 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 66% · on half-time scores · Santa Cruz FC RJ: only games against sides at Serra Macaense FC RJ's level · Serra Macaense FC RJ: only games against sides at Santa Cruz FC RJ's level
SCORELINES
Predicted score
Predicted score 1–1 13.2%
Santa Cruz FC RJ goals →
Serra Macaense FC RJ goals ↓
0-09%
1-08%
2-05%
3-02%
4-00.4%
5-00.1%
0-111%
1-113%
2-17%
3-12%
4-10.6%
5-10.1%
0-29%
1-29%
2-25%
3-22%
4-20.5%
5-20.1%
0-34%
1-34%
2-32%
3-30.8%
4-30.2%
5-30.0%
0-42%
1-42%
2-40.8%
3-40.3%
4-40.1%
5-40.0%
0-50.4%
1-50.5%
2-50.2%
3-50.1%
4-50.0%
5-50.0%
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call).
FORM · LAST 10
SANTA CRUZ FC RJDWWWLLWWWL1.90 PPG
SERRA MACAENSE FC RJWWWDWWWWLD2.30 PPG
THE NUMBERS
SANTA CRUZ FC RJ HOMExSERRA MACAENSE FC RJ AWAY
1.27SCORED A GAME2.270.91CONCEDED A GAME1.0030%BOTH SCORED60%40%CLEAN SHEETS40%5.22CORNERS A GAME3.333.00CARDS A GAME2.50
TRENDS
Santa Cruz FC RJ have scored in 70% of their games.
Serra Macaense FC RJ have scored in 100% of their games.
Santa Cruz FC RJ kept a clean sheet in 40% of their games.
Serra Macaense FC RJ kept a clean sheet in 40% of their games.
BUILT FROM
form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againstclean sheetsleague tablecornerscards