THE READ
Match details. UEFA Champions League Women, League Stage - 4. Kick-off is Tue 10 Nov, 18:45 Lagos time. It is played at Nordic Wellness Arena, Gothenburg.
What's at stake. Hacken Gothenburg W are 16th on 1 point after 3 games, level on points with Austria Wien W, level on points with Roma W. A win would take them above Austria Wien W. Chelsea FC W are 4th on 7 points after 3 games, level on points with Arsenal W, 1 point clear of Juventus W. A win would take them above Arsenal W.
Form. Hacken Gothenburg W have won six, drawn two and lost two of their last ten, 2.0 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D W D W W. Chelsea FC W have won eight, drawn two and lost none of their last ten, 2.6 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D W W W W.
The numbers. Hacken Gothenburg W score 2.9 and concede 0.8 a game over their last ten, with four clean sheets and two games without a goal. Hacken Gothenburg W average 16.9 shots (6.7 on target), 1.7 corners and 1.3 cards a game, with 38% of the ball. Chelsea FC W score 2.5 and concede 0.4 a game over their last ten, with seven clean sheets. Chelsea FC W average 16.8 shots (7.1 on target), 4.8 corners and 1.0 cards a game, with 62% of the ball.
Head to head. In the last two meetings Hacken Gothenburg W have won none, drawn one and lost one. One of the two went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in one. The last time they met, on 20 Dec 2023, it finished Hacken Gothenburg W 1-3 Chelsea FC W: Hacken Gothenburg W had 9 shots to 22, 34% of the ball, one yellow card.
Where it pulls both ways. The prices and the records disagree: the odds board makes it 82% against the records' 50%.
The read. No firm call: Chelsea FC W are the better side, but not at this price. An open game. Chelsea FC W are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour Chelsea FC W. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 55%.
The bets. Best bet: Over 1.5 Goals at 1.14, rated 80% (Hacken Gothenburg W: over 1.5 goals in 9 of 10; Chelsea FC W: over 1.5 goals in 7 of 10). Full cover: GG/NG 2+: No at 1.10. Whenever the best bet loses, this one wins. Predicted score: Hacken Gothenburg W 1-2 Chelsea FC W (9% chance).
The agreed story. Chelsea FC W or the draw, an open game.
Cup and European games. The Champions League: the best against the best, and the two league tables cannot be compared. Too few European games on either side to read.
So. A close match: the safest pick that fits.
PICKSONE LIST
RESULT
Draw or Over 2.5 GoalsIN CODES
1.25
HAC 9 of 10 (90%) · CHE 6 of 10 (60%)74.6%
Hacken Gothenburg W: the bet landed in 9 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Chelsea FC W: the bet landed in 6 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 75%
Chelsea FC W or Over 2.5 GoalsHELD · the odds board 92%
1.09
CHE 8 of 10 (80%) · HAC 8 of 10 (80%)71.5%
Chelsea FC W: the bet landed in 8 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Hacken Gothenburg W: the bet landed in 8 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 80%
Hacken Gothenburg W (2:0 handicap)LEANPAGE ONLY
2.10
HAC 9 of 10 (90%) · CHE 4 of 10 (40%)65%
Hacken Gothenburg W: the bet landed in 9 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Chelsea FC W: the bet landed in 4 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 65%
Double Chance: Hacken Gothenburg W or Chelsea FC WHELD · the odds board 91%
1.10
HAC 8 of 10 (80%) · CHE 8 of 10 (80%)62%
Hacken Gothenburg W: the bet landed in 8 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Chelsea FC W: the bet landed in 8 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 80%
Chelsea FC W 1UPLEANHELD · the odds board 88%
1.13
CHE 5 of 5 (100%) · HAC 9 of 10 (90%)51%
Chelsea FC W scored first 4 of last 5, led in 5 · led in 9 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Hacken Gothenburg W trailed in 3 of 10 (last 10, all venues)
GOALS
no price yet
HAC 10 of 10 (100%) · CHE 9 of 10 (90%)95%
Hacken Gothenburg W: over 0.5 goals in 10 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Chelsea FC W: over 0.5 goals in 9 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 95%
Over 1.5 GoalsMAININ CODES
1.14
HAC 9 of 10 (90%) · CHE 7 of 10 (70%)81%
Hacken Gothenburg W: over 1.5 goals in 9 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Chelsea FC W: over 1.5 goals in 7 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 80%
Over 2.5 GoalsLEANPAGE ONLY
1.44
HAC 7 of 10 (70%) · CHE 4 of 10 (40%)56%
Hacken Gothenburg W: over 2.5 goals in 7 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Chelsea FC W: over 2.5 goals in 4 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 55%
HACKEN GOTHENBURG W GOALS
Hacken Gothenburg W Under 1.5 goalsLEANHELD · the odds board 87%
1.15
HAC 4 of 10 (40%) · CHE 9 of 10 (90%)47%
Hacken Gothenburg W scored under 1.5 in 4 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Chelsea FC W conceded under 1.5 in 9 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 65%
CHELSEA FC W GOALS
Chelsea FC W Over 0.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
CHE 9 of 10 (90%) · HAC 6 of 10 (60%)75%
Chelsea FC W scored in 9 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Hacken Gothenburg W conceded in 6 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 75%
HALVES
2nd Half - Over/Under: Over 0.5PAGE ONLY
1.13
HAC 8 of 10 (80%) · CHE 6 of 10 (60%)81.7%
Hacken Gothenburg W: the bet landed in 8 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Chelsea FC W: the bet landed in 6 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 70% · on half-time scores
Excluded Number of Goals - First Half: 0PAGE ONLY
1.21
HAC 9 of 10 (90%) · CHE 8 of 10 (80%)80.8%
Hacken Gothenburg W: the bet landed in 9 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Chelsea FC W: the bet landed in 8 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 85% · on half-time scores
Over 0.5 first-half goalsPAGE ONLY
1.20
HAC 9 of 10 (90%) · CHE 8 of 10 (80%)79.8%
Hacken Gothenburg W: the bet landed in 9 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Chelsea FC W: the bet landed in 8 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 85% · on half-time scores
1st Half - GG/NG: NoPAGE ONLY
1.18
HAC 9 of 10 (90%) · CHE 8 of 10 (80%)70.7%
Hacken Gothenburg W: the bet landed in 9 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Chelsea FC W: the bet landed in 8 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 85% · on half-time scores
2nd Half - GG/NG: NoLEANPAGE ONLY
1.26
HAC 8 of 10 (80%) · CHE 9 of 10 (90%)68.2%
Hacken Gothenburg W: the bet landed in 8 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Chelsea FC W: the bet landed in 9 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 85% · on half-time scores
Excluded Number of Goals - First Half: 3+HELD · the odds board 84%
1.19
HAC 8 of 10 (80%) · CHE 9 of 10 (90%)60.3%
Hacken Gothenburg W: the bet landed in 8 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Chelsea FC W: the bet landed in 9 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 85% · on half-time scores
CARDS
Over 1.5 CardsLEANPAGE ONLY
no price yet
HAC 7 of 10 (70%) · CHE 6 of 10 (60%)65%
Hacken Gothenburg W's games: over 1.5 cards in 7 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Chelsea FC W's games: over 1.5 cards in 6 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 65%
OTHER
GG/NG 2+: NoFULL COVERIN CODES
1.10
HAC 10 of 10 (100%) · CHE 9 of 10 (90%)77%
Hacken Gothenburg W: the bet landed in 10 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Chelsea FC W: the bet landed in 9 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 95%
Chelsea FC W to lead by 3 Goals at any time: NoIN CODES
1.53
CHE 3 of 5 (60%) · HAC 7 of 10 (70%)73.3%
Chelsea FC W scored first 4 of last 5, never led by 3 in 3 · never led by 3 in 7 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Hacken Gothenburg W never trailed by 3 in 9 of 10 (last 10, all venues)
Any Team To Score 2 or More Goals in a Row: YesLEANHELD · the odds board 75%
1.33
HAC 2 of 5 (40%) · CHE 6 of 10 (60%)54.3%
Hacken Gothenburg W scored first 4 of last 5, a side scored 2 in a row in 2 · a side scored 2 in a row in 6 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Chelsea FC W a side scored 2 in a row in 6 of 10 (last 10, all venues)
Left off the list: Chelsea FC W To Score 3 or More Goals in a Row: No (the numbers (87%) and the records (63%) are 24 points apart, and nothing settles it); Any Team to lead by 2 Goals at any time: Yes (the numbers (48%) and the records (53%) are on opposite sides, and nothing settles it); Over 7.5 Corners (the numbers (1%) and the records (70%) are on opposite sides, and nothing settles it); Both Teams to Score - No (the numbers (41%) and the records (65%) are on opposite sides, and nothing settles it)