Match details. Northern Premier League Premier, Regular Season - 16. Kick-off is Wed 11 Nov, 20:45 Lagos time.
What's at stake. Avro FC are 10th on 29 points after 17 games, level on points with Warrington Town, 6 points clear of Alfreton Town. A win would take them above Warrington Town. Whitby Town are 15th on 19 points after 17 games, 2 points behind Lancaster City, 1 point clear of Stockton Town. A win would take them above Lancaster City.
Form. Avro FC have won four, drawn one and lost five of their last ten league games, 1.3 points a game. Their last five in the league, newest first: L D L W L. In this competition Avro FC have gone L D L W L L. Whitby Town have won three, drawn one and lost six of their last ten league games, 1.0 points a game. Their last five in the league, newest first: L L L W W. In this competition Whitby Town have gone L L L W W D.
The numbers. Avro FC score 1.7 and concede two a game over their last ten, with one clean sheet and four games without a goal. Avro FC average 4.4 corners and 1.2 cards a game. Whitby Town score 1.3 and concede 2.5 a game over their last ten, with two clean sheets and two games without a goal. Whitby Town average 10.0 corners and 1.0 cards a game.
The case against. Whitby Town's record still gives them 40% to win.
The read. Avro FC to win. An open game. Their goals for and against make Avro FC the likelier winners; Avro FC are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour Avro FC. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 1.5 goals at 80%, over 2.5 at 70%, under 4.5 at 65%.
The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Predicted score: Avro FC 2-1 Whitby Town (10% chance).
The agreed story. No side to back (Avro FC the favourite), an open game.
The league run. Avro FC: no win in their last three league games (L D L W L). Whitby Town: lost their last two league games (L L L W W). Not confident in Avro FC: no win in their last three league games.
So. A close match: the safest pick that fits.
PICKSONE LIST
RESULT
Draw or Over 2.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
AVR 6 of 10 (60%) · WHI 9 of 10 (90%)76%
Avro FC: the bet landed in 6 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Whitby Town: the bet landed in 9 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 75% · Avro FC: only games against sides at Whitby Town's level · Whitby Town: only games against sides at Avro FC's level
Whitby Town (0:2 handicap)PAGE ONLY
no price yet
WHI 6 of 10 (60%) · AVR 8 of 10 (80%)70%
Whitby Town: the bet landed in 6 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Avro FC: the bet landed in 8 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 70% · Whitby Town: only games against sides at Avro FC's level · Avro FC: only games against sides at Whitby Town's level
Double Chance: Avro FC or Whitby TownHELD · the odds board 86%
1.16
AVR 9 of 10 (90%) · WHI 9 of 10 (90%)57.4%
Avro FC: the bet landed in 9 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Whitby Town: the bet landed in 9 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 90% · Avro FC: only games against sides at Whitby Town's level · Whitby Town: only games against sides at Avro FC's level
Avro FC or Over 2.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
AVR 7 of 10 (70%) · WHI 8 of 10 (80%)57%
Avro FC: the bet landed in 7 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Whitby Town: the bet landed in 8 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 75% · Avro FC: only games against sides at Whitby Town's level · Whitby Town: only games against sides at Avro FC's level
Avro FC or Both Teams ScorePAGE ONLY
no price yet
AVR 6 of 10 (60%) · WHI 8 of 10 (80%)52%
Avro FC: the bet landed in 6 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Whitby Town: the bet landed in 8 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 70% · Avro FC: only games against sides at Whitby Town's level · Whitby Town: only games against sides at Avro FC's level
GOALS
Over 0.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
AVR 10 of 10 (100%) · WHI 9 of 10 (90%)93.5%
Avro FC: over 0.5 goals in 10 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Whitby Town: over 0.5 goals in 9 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 95% · Avro FC: only games against sides at Whitby Town's level · Whitby Town: only games against sides at Avro FC's level
Over 1.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
AVR 8 of 10 (80%) · WHI 8 of 10 (80%)82.1%
Avro FC: over 1.5 goals in 8 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Whitby Town: over 1.5 goals in 8 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 80% · Avro FC: only games against sides at Whitby Town's level · Whitby Town: only games against sides at Avro FC's level
Over 2.5 GoalsLEANPAGE ONLY
1.42
AVR 6 of 10 (60%) · WHI 8 of 10 (80%)63.2%
Avro FC: over 2.5 goals in 6 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Whitby Town: over 2.5 goals in 8 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 70% · Avro FC: only games against sides at Whitby Town's level · Whitby Town: only games against sides at Avro FC's level
BOTH TEAMS SCORE
Both Teams to Score - YesLEANPAGE ONLY
1.55
AVR 5 of 10 (50%) · WHI 7 of 10 (70%)55.7%
Avro FC: both scored in 5 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Whitby Town: both scored in 7 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 60% · Avro FC: only games against sides at Whitby Town's level · Whitby Town: only games against sides at Avro FC's level
AVRO FC GOALS
Avro FC Over 0.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
AVR 6 of 10 (60%) · WHI 8 of 10 (80%)82.8%
Avro FC scored in 6 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Whitby Town conceded in 8 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 70% · Avro FC: only games against sides at Whitby Town's level · Whitby Town: only games against sides at Avro FC's level
Avro FC Over 1.5 GoalsLEANPAGE ONLY
no price yet
AVR 5 of 10 (50%) · WHI 6 of 10 (60%)34.5%
Avro FC scored over 1.5 in 5 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Whitby Town conceded over 1.5 in 6 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 55% · Avro FC: only games against sides at Whitby Town's level · Whitby Town: only games against sides at Avro FC's level
WHITBY TOWN GOALS
Whitby Town Over 0.5 goalsLEANPAGE ONLY
1.41
WHI 8 of 10 (80%) · AVR 9 of 10 (90%)65.4%
Whitby Town scored in 8 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Avro FC conceded in 9 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 85% · Whitby Town: only games against sides at Avro FC's level · Avro FC: only games against sides at Whitby Town's level
HALVES
1st Half Whitby Town to Win to Nil: NoPAGE ONLY
1.11
AVR 8 of 10 (80%) · WHI 8 of 10 (80%)86.7%
Avro FC: the bet landed in 8 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Whitby Town: the bet landed in 8 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 80% · on half-time scores · Avro FC: only games against sides at Whitby Town's level · Whitby Town: only games against sides at Avro FC's level
1st Half Over 0.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
AVR 6 of 10 (60%) · WHI 9 of 10 (90%)76.5%
Avro FC: the bet landed in 6 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Whitby Town: the bet landed in 9 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 75% · on half-time scores · Avro FC: only games against sides at Whitby Town's level · Whitby Town: only games against sides at Avro FC's level
OTHER
GG/NG 2+: NoHELD · the odds board 84%
1.19
AVR 6 of 10 (60%) · WHI 8 of 10 (80%)52%
Avro FC: the bet landed in 6 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Whitby Town: the bet landed in 8 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 70% · Avro FC: only games against sides at Whitby Town's level · Whitby Town: only games against sides at Avro FC's level
Left off the list: Whitby Town or Over 2.5 Goals (the numbers (63%) and the records (90%) are 27 points apart, and nothing settles it)
SCORELINES
Predicted score
Predicted score 2–19.8%
Avro FC goals →
Whitby Town goals ↓
0-07%
1-010%
2-09%
3-05%
4-02%
5-00.8%
0-16%
1-112%
2-110%
3-16%
4-13%
5-10.9%
0-23%
1-26%
2-25%
3-23%
4-21%
5-20.5%
0-31%
1-32%
2-32%
3-31%
4-30.5%
5-30.2%
0-40.3%
1-40.6%
2-40.5%
3-40.3%
4-40.1%
5-40.0%
0-50.1%
1-50.1%
2-50.1%
3-50.1%
4-50.0%
5-50.0%
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and an open game).
FORM · LAST 10
AVRO FCWWWLLLWLDL1.30 PPG
WHITBY TOWNLWLLDWWLLL1.00 PPG
THE NUMBERS
AVRO FC HOMExWHITBY TOWN AWAY
1.70SCORED A GAME1.302.00CONCEDED A GAME2.5010%CLEAN SHEETS20%29%FAILED TO SCORE35%4.44CORNERS A GAME10.001.22CARDS A GAME1.00
THE BANK
THE QUALITY READ
1.71POINTS A GAME1.00+0.35GOAL DIFFERENCE A GAME-1.24+0.9SHOTS FOR MINUS AGAINST–0.8LAST 5: POINTS A GAME1.217LEAGUE GAMES17
Avro FC: the quality side - more points a game, a better goal difference.
Each club's own league games in the Bank: points, goal difference, shots for and against, the last 5. A side ahead on most of them is the quality side; its bets show what they won on games like this from 6 Oct to 2 Nov.
THE BANK'S READ
OVER 1.5 GOALS
84%
VERY GOOD · 80/83
OVER 2.5 GOALS
71%
OKAY · 65/78
UNDER 4.5 GOALS
48%
NO · 85/90
AVRO FC OR DRAW
70%
NO · 80/85
WHITBY TOWN OR DRAW
40%
NO · 80/85
Each line from both sides' own league games this season, set against their league (17 and 17 games). The two numbers after each read are the line's okay and very good marks.
AVRO FCxWHITBY TOWN
8GAMES82.88SCORED A GAME1.622.25CONCEDED A GAME2.125.1GOALS IN THEIR GAMES3.888%OVER 1.5 GOALS88%88%OVER 2.5 GOALS75%75%BOTH SCORE62%1.0CARDS IN THEIR GAMES–7.4CORNERS IN THEIR GAMES–
Each side's own league games in our bank before this game; "Home v Away" is the home side's home games and the away side's away games.
TRENDS
Avro FC have scored in 60% of their games.
Whitby Town have scored in 70% of their games.
Avro FC kept a clean sheet in 10% of their games.
Whitby Town kept a clean sheet in 20% of their games.
BUILT FROM
form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againstclean sheetsleague tablecornerscards