ENGLAND AMATEUR - SOUTHERN LEAGUE PREMIER CENTRAL
20:45Tue 10 Nov
ALV
ALV
Stourbridge FC vs Alvechurch
CLASS E
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Match details. Southern League Premier Central. Kick-off is Tue 10 Nov, 20:45 Lagos time.
Form. Stourbridge FC have won six, drawn one and lost three of their last ten, 1.9 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L W W W L. Alvechurch have won three, drawn five and lost two of their last ten, 1.4 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L W D D W.
The numbers. Stourbridge FC score 1.6 and concede 1.1 a game over their last ten, with three clean sheets and three games without a goal. Stourbridge FC average 5.0 corners and 2.0 cards a game. Alvechurch score two and concede 2.2 a game in their last six away, with no clean sheets. Alvechurch average 4.0 corners and 1.7 cards a game.
The read. No side to back. A tight game. Nothing separates them clearly enough to back a side.
The bets. No best bet on this one: too close to call. Predicted score: Stourbridge FC 1-1 Alvechurch (13% chance).
The agreed story. No side to back (Alvechurch the favourite), a tight game.
The league run. Stourbridge FC: up and down in the league (L W W L W). Alvechurch: one defeat in their last five league games (W D D D L).
So. A close match: the safest pick that fits.
PICKSONE LIST
RESULT
Stourbridge FC (2:0 handicap)PAGE ONLY
no price yet
STO 6 of 8 (75%) · ALV 5 of 6 (83%)79.2%
Stourbridge FC: the bet landed in 6 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · Alvechurch: the bet landed in 5 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 79% · Stourbridge FC: only games against sides at Alvechurch's level · Alvechurch: only games against sides at Stourbridge FC's level
Draw or Over 2.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
STO 5 of 8 (62%) · ALV 5 of 6 (83%)54.9%
Stourbridge FC: the bet landed in 5 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · Alvechurch: the bet landed in 5 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 73% · Stourbridge FC: only games against sides at Alvechurch's level · Alvechurch: only games against sides at Stourbridge FC's level
Stourbridge FC or Both Teams ScorePAGE ONLY
no price yet
STO 5 of 8 (62%) · ALV 5 of 6 (83%)54%
Stourbridge FC: the bet landed in 5 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · Alvechurch: the bet landed in 5 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 73% · Stourbridge FC: only games against sides at Alvechurch's level · Alvechurch: only games against sides at Stourbridge FC's level
Stourbridge FC or Under 2.5 GoalsLEANPAGE ONLY
no price yet
STO 7 of 8 (88%) · ALV 3 of 6 (50%)50.8%
Stourbridge FC: the bet landed in 7 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · Alvechurch: the bet landed in 3 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 69% · Stourbridge FC: only games against sides at Alvechurch's level · Alvechurch: only games against sides at Stourbridge FC's level
Draw or Under 2.5 GoalsLEANPAGE ONLY
no price yet
STO 4 of 8 (50%) · ALV 5 of 6 (83%)48.7%
Stourbridge FC: the bet landed in 4 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · Alvechurch: the bet landed in 5 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 67% · Stourbridge FC: only games against sides at Alvechurch's level · Alvechurch: only games against sides at Stourbridge FC's level
Alvechurch or Under 2.5 GoalsLEANPAGE ONLY
no price yet
ALV 4 of 6 (67%) · STO 5 of 8 (62%)46.6%
Alvechurch: the bet landed in 4 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · Stourbridge FC: the bet landed in 5 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 65% · Alvechurch: only games against sides at Stourbridge FC's level · Stourbridge FC: only games against sides at Alvechurch's level
Alvechurch or Over 2.5 GoalsLEANPAGE ONLY
no price yet
ALV 3 of 6 (50%) · STO 6 of 8 (75%)44.5%
Alvechurch: the bet landed in 3 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · Stourbridge FC: the bet landed in 6 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 62% · Alvechurch: only games against sides at Stourbridge FC's level · Stourbridge FC: only games against sides at Alvechurch's level
GOALS
Under 5.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
STO 8 of 8 (100%) · ALV 5 of 6 (83%)95.4%
Stourbridge FC: under 5.5 goals in 8 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · Alvechurch: under 5.5 goals in 5 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 92% · Stourbridge FC: only games against sides at Alvechurch's level · Alvechurch: only games against sides at Stourbridge FC's level
Under 4.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
STO 6 of 8 (75%) · ALV 5 of 6 (83%)89.5%
Stourbridge FC: under 4.5 goals in 6 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · Alvechurch: under 4.5 goals in 5 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 79% · Stourbridge FC: only games against sides at Alvechurch's level · Alvechurch: only games against sides at Stourbridge FC's level
Over 0.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
STO 7 of 8 (88%) · ALV 5 of 6 (83%)74.6%
Stourbridge FC: over 0.5 goals in 7 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · Alvechurch: over 0.5 goals in 5 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 85% · Stourbridge FC: only games against sides at Alvechurch's level · Alvechurch: only games against sides at Stourbridge FC's level
Over 1.5 GoalsHELD · the odds board 83%
1.21
STO 5 of 8 (62%) · ALV 4 of 6 (67%)56.8%
Stourbridge FC: over 1.5 goals in 5 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · Alvechurch: over 1.5 goals in 4 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 65% · Stourbridge FC: only games against sides at Alvechurch's level · Alvechurch: only games against sides at Stourbridge FC's level
BOTH TEAMS SCORE
Both Teams to Score - YesLEANHELD · the odds board 65%
1.55
STO 4 of 8 (50%) · ALV 4 of 6 (67%)37.3%
Stourbridge FC: both scored in 4 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · Alvechurch: both scored in 4 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 58% · Stourbridge FC: only games against sides at Alvechurch's level · Alvechurch: only games against sides at Stourbridge FC's level
STOURBRIDGE FC GOALS
Stourbridge FC Over 0.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
STO 5 of 8 (62%) · ALV 5 of 6 (83%)56.8%
Stourbridge FC scored in 5 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · Alvechurch conceded in 5 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 73% · Stourbridge FC: only games against sides at Alvechurch's level · Alvechurch: only games against sides at Stourbridge FC's level
ALVECHURCH GOALS
Alvechurch Over 0.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
ALV 4 of 6 (67%) · STO 6 of 8 (75%)55%
Alvechurch scored in 4 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · Stourbridge FC conceded in 6 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 71% · Alvechurch: only games against sides at Stourbridge FC's level · Stourbridge FC: only games against sides at Alvechurch's level
OTHER
GG/NG 2+: NoIN CODES
1.17
STO 8 of 8 (100%) · ALV 4 of 6 (67%)84.3%
Stourbridge FC: the bet landed in 8 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · Alvechurch: the bet landed in 4 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 83% · Stourbridge FC: only games against sides at Alvechurch's level · Alvechurch: only games against sides at Stourbridge FC's level
SCORELINES
Predicted score
Predicted score 1–1 13%
Stourbridge FC goals →
Alvechurch goals ↓
0-08%
1-09%
2-06%
3-03%
4-01%
5-00.3%
0-18%
1-113%
2-18%
3-14%
4-11%
5-10.4%
0-26%
1-28%
2-26%
3-23%
4-20.9%
5-20.2%
0-33%
1-34%
2-32%
3-31%
4-30.4%
5-30.1%
0-40.8%
1-41%
2-40.8%
3-40.4%
4-40.1%
5-40.0%
0-50.2%
1-50.3%
2-50.2%
3-50.1%
4-50.0%
5-50.0%
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the Model's table).
FORM · LAST 10
STOURBRIDGE FCLWWWLWWLDW1.90 PPG
ALVECHURCHLWDDWDDLWD1.40 PPG
THE NUMBERS
STOURBRIDGE FC HOMExALVECHURCH AWAY
1.33SCORED A GAME1.931.40CONCEDED A GAME0.9350%BOTH SCORED60%30%CLEAN SHEETS20%5.00CORNERS A GAME4.002.00CARDS A GAME1.67
THE BANK
THE BANKER MENU
OVER 1.5 CARDS
–
543 OF 573
PRICE NOT KEPT
Both sides' last 5 games point to 5.2+ cards.
Other bets the bookie sells that won 9 times in 10 or more on games like this one, in each of three spells: 20-24 Oct, 25-29 Oct and 30 Oct-2 Nov. The price is low because the bookie expects it too. A bet with no price yet, or one under 1.09, is not in any code.
THE QUALITY READ
1.47POINTS A GAME1.86-0.07GOAL DIFFERENCE A GAME+1.00–SHOTS FOR MINUS AGAINST–1.8LAST 5: POINTS A GAME1.215LEAGUE GAMES14
Alvechurch: the quality side - a better goal difference.
Each club's own league games in the Bank: points, goal difference, shots for and against, the last 5. A side ahead on most of them is the quality side; its bets show what they won on games like this from 6 Oct to 2 Nov.
THE BANK'S READ
OVER 1.5 GOALS
74%
NO · 80/83
OVER 2.5 GOALS
40%
NO · 65/78
UNDER 4.5 GOALS
90%
VERY GOOD · 85/90
STOURBRIDGE FC OR DRAW
54%
NO · 80/85
ALVECHURCH OR DRAW
75%
NO · 80/85
Each line from both sides' own league games this season, set against their league (15 and 14 games). The two numbers after each read are the line's okay and very good marks.
STOURBRIDGE FCxALVECHURCH
7GAMES71.57SCORED A GAME2.001.57CONCEDED A GAME1.293.1GOALS IN THEIR GAMES3.386%OVER 1.5 GOALS71%57%OVER 2.5 GOALS57%57%BOTH SCORE57%–CARDS IN THEIR GAMES––CORNERS IN THEIR GAMES–
Each side's own league games in our bank before this game; "Home v Away" is the home side's home games and the away side's away games.
TRENDS
Stourbridge FC have scored in 70% of their games.
Alvechurch have scored in 70% of their games.
Stourbridge FC kept a clean sheet in 30% of their games.
Alvechurch kept a clean sheet in 20% of their games.
BUILT FROM
form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againstclean sheetsleague tablecornerscards