ENGLAND AMATEUR - SOUTHERN LEAGUE PREMIER CENTRAL
20:45Tue 10 Nov
REA
RB
Leiston FC vs Real Bedford
CLASS E
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Match details. Southern League Premier Central. Kick-off is Tue 10 Nov, 20:45 Lagos time.
Form. Leiston FC have won two, drawn one and lost seven of their last ten, 0.7 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L L W L L. Real Bedford have won four, drawn two and lost four of their last ten, 1.4 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W W L L L.
The numbers. Leiston FC score 0.8 and concede 2.4 a game in their last five at home, with no clean sheets and three games without a goal. Leiston FC average 7.0 corners and 1.5 cards a game. Real Bedford score 2.2 and concede 2.4 a game in their last five away, with one clean sheet. Real Bedford average 5.2 corners and 1.5 cards a game.
The case against. Leiston FC's record still gives them 24% to win.
The read. Real Bedford to win. An open game. Real Bedford are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour Real Bedford. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 75%.
The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Predicted score: Leiston FC 1-2 Real Bedford (8% chance).
The agreed story. Real Bedford or the draw, an open game.
The league run. Leiston FC: lost their last two league games (L L W L D). Real Bedford: coming out of a defeat with two wins (W W L L L).
So. A close match: the safest pick that fits.
PICKSONE LIST
RESULT
Draw or Over 2.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
LEI 6 of 7 (86%) · REA 8 of 9 (89%)88.7%
Leiston FC: the bet landed in 6 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · Real Bedford: the bet landed in 8 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 87% · Leiston FC: only games against sides at Real Bedford's level · Real Bedford: only games against sides at Leiston FC's level
Real Bedford or Over 2.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
REA 7 of 9 (78%) · LEI 6 of 7 (86%)76.4%
Real Bedford: the bet landed in 7 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · Leiston FC: the bet landed in 6 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 82% · Real Bedford: only games against sides at Leiston FC's level · Leiston FC: only games against sides at Real Bedford's level
Double Chance: Draw or Real BedfordLEANPAGE ONLY
1.26
REA 6 of 9 (67%) · LEI 6 of 7 (86%)67.6%
Real Bedford unbeaten in 6 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · Leiston FC failed to win 6 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 76% · Real Bedford: only games against sides at Leiston FC's level · Leiston FC: only games against sides at Real Bedford's level
Leiston FC (2:0 handicap)LEANPAGE ONLY
no price yet
LEI 4 of 7 (57%) · REA 7 of 9 (78%)67.5%
Leiston FC: the bet landed in 4 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · Real Bedford: the bet landed in 7 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 67% · Leiston FC: only games against sides at Real Bedford's level · Real Bedford: only games against sides at Leiston FC's level
Double Chance: Leiston FC or Real BedfordHELD · the odds board 84%
1.19
LEI 6 of 7 (86%) · REA 7 of 9 (78%)55%
Leiston FC: the bet landed in 6 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · Real Bedford: the bet landed in 7 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 82% · Leiston FC: only games against sides at Real Bedford's level · Real Bedford: only games against sides at Leiston FC's level
GOALS
Over 0.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
LEI 6 of 7 (86%) · REA 9 of 9 (100%)92.7%
Leiston FC: over 0.5 goals in 6 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · Real Bedford: over 0.5 goals in 9 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 93% · Leiston FC: only games against sides at Real Bedford's level · Real Bedford: only games against sides at Leiston FC's level
Over 1.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
LEI 6 of 7 (86%) · REA 8 of 9 (89%)88%
Leiston FC: over 1.5 goals in 6 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · Real Bedford: over 1.5 goals in 8 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 87% · Leiston FC: only games against sides at Real Bedford's level · Real Bedford: only games against sides at Leiston FC's level
Over 2.5 GoalsLEANPAGE ONLY
1.29
LEI 5 of 7 (71%) · REA 7 of 9 (78%)70.8%
Leiston FC: over 2.5 goals in 5 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · Real Bedford: over 2.5 goals in 7 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 75% · Leiston FC: only games against sides at Real Bedford's level · Real Bedford: only games against sides at Leiston FC's level
LEISTON FC GOALS
Leiston FC Over 0.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
LEI 4 of 7 (57%) · REA 7 of 9 (78%)56.4%
Leiston FC scored in 4 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · Real Bedford conceded in 7 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 67% · Leiston FC: only games against sides at Real Bedford's level · Real Bedford: only games against sides at Leiston FC's level
Leiston FC Under 1.5 goalsLEANHELD · the odds board 66%
1.52
LEI 4 of 7 (57%) · REA 5 of 9 (56%)42.4%
Leiston FC scored under 1.5 in 4 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · Real Bedford conceded under 1.5 in 5 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 56% · Leiston FC: only games against sides at Real Bedford's level · Real Bedford: only games against sides at Leiston FC's level
REAL BEDFORD GOALS
Real Bedford Over 0.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
REA 8 of 9 (89%) · LEI 6 of 7 (86%)73.9%
Real Bedford scored in 8 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · Leiston FC conceded in 6 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 87% · Real Bedford: only games against sides at Leiston FC's level · Leiston FC: only games against sides at Real Bedford's level
Left off the list: Real Bedford Win & Over 1.5 (the numbers (28%) and the records (58%) are on opposite sides, and nothing settles it)
SCORELINES
Predicted score
Predicted score 1–2 8.2%
Leiston FC goals →
Real Bedford goals ↓
0-07%
1-08%
2-06%
3-03%
4-01.0%
5-00.3%
0-18%
1-113%
2-18%
3-14%
4-11%
5-10.4%
0-26%
1-28%
2-26%
3-23%
4-20.9%
5-20.2%
0-33%
1-34%
2-33%
3-31%
4-30.4%
5-30.1%
0-40.9%
1-41%
2-40.8%
3-40.4%
4-40.1%
5-40.0%
0-50.2%
1-50.3%
2-50.2%
3-50.1%
4-50.0%
5-50.0%
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and an open game).
FORM · LAST 10
LEISTON FCLLWLLDWLLL0.70 PPG
REAL BEDFORDWWLLLDWDLW1.40 PPG
THE NUMBERS
LEISTON FC HOMExREAL BEDFORD AWAY
1.79SCORED A GAME2.532.07CONCEDED A GAME1.2950%BOTH SCORED70%10%CLEAN SHEETS20%7.00CORNERS A GAME5.251.50CARDS A GAME1.50
THE BANK
THE QUALITY READ
1.07POINTS A GAME2.06-0.29GOAL DIFFERENCE A GAME+1.12–SHOTS FOR MINUS AGAINST–0.8LAST 5: POINTS A GAME1.214LEAGUE GAMES17
Real Bedford: the quality side - more points a game, a better goal difference.
Each club's own league games in the Bank: points, goal difference, shots for and against, the last 5. A side ahead on most of them is the quality side; its bets show what they won on games like this from 6 Oct to 2 Nov.
THE BANK'S READ
OVER 1.5 GOALS
96%
VERY GOOD · 80/83
OVER 2.5 GOALS
87%
VERY GOOD · 65/78
UNDER 4.5 GOALS
62%
NO · 85/90
LEISTON FC OR DRAW
26%
NO · 80/85
REAL BEDFORD OR DRAW
70%
NO · 80/85
Each line from both sides' own league games this season, set against their league (14 and 17 games). The two numbers after each read are the line's okay and very good marks.
LEISTON FCxREAL BEDFORD
5GAMES81.60SCORED A GAME2.501.80CONCEDED A GAME1.383.4GOALS IN THEIR GAMES3.9100%OVER 1.5 GOALS100%80%OVER 2.5 GOALS88%80%BOTH SCORE75%–CARDS IN THEIR GAMES––CORNERS IN THEIR GAMES–
Each side's own league games in our bank before this game; "Home v Away" is the home side's home games and the away side's away games.
TRENDS
Leiston FC have scored in 50% of their games.
Real Bedford have scored in 90% of their games.
Leiston FC kept a clean sheet in 10% of their games.
Real Bedford kept a clean sheet in 20% of their games.
BUILT FROM
form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againstclean sheetsleague tablecornerscards