THE READ
Match details. Moldova face Kazakhstan in UEFA Nations League, League C - 5. Kick-off is Fri 13 Nov at 18:00 Lagos time at Zimbru, Chisinau. Andrea Colombo is the referee for this match.
What's at stake. Moldova are 3rd on 4 points after 4 games, level on points with Faroe Islands and 2 points clear of Kazakhstan. A win would take them above Faroe Islands. Kazakhstan are 4th on 2 points after 4 games, 2 points behind Moldova, and a win takes them above Moldova.
Form. Moldova have won one, drawn two and lost seven of their last ten, taking 0.5 points a game. Their last five reads L W D L L. Kazakhstan have won three, drawn four and lost three of their last ten, averaging 1.3 points a game, with a recent run of D L L D W.
The numbers. Moldova score 0.6 and concede 3.2 a game over their last ten, with no clean sheets and five games without a goal. They average 9.6 shots (3.3 on target), 5.5 corners and 1.5 cards with 46% of the ball. Kazakhstan score 1.4 and concede 1.5 a game over their last ten, with three clean sheets. They average 10.8 shots (4.0 on target), 5.5 corners and 3.2 cards with 54% of the ball.
Head to head. In the last two meetings Moldova have won one and lost one. Both games went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in two. The last time they met, on 2 Oct 2026, it finished Moldova 2-1 Kazakhstan, with Moldova having 16 shots to 19, 34% of the ball and two yellow cards.
The case against. Moldova's record still gives them 21% to win.
The read. Kazakhstan to win. A draw is live. A tight game. Kazakhstan are the stronger side on form and the table, with both teams' records favouring them. Their goals for and against point to a tight game. Their records put over 1.5 goals at 95%, over 2.5 at 49% and under 4.5 at 81%.
The bets. Best bet: Under 3.5 Goals at 1.21, rated 77% (Moldova: under 3.5 goals in 6 of 10; Kazakhstan: under 3.5 goals in 7 of 10). The safer one: Moldova Under 2.5 Goals at 1.09 (88%). Full cover: Any Team to lead by 1 Goal at any time: Yes at 1.09. Whenever the best bet loses, this one wins. Predicted score: Moldova 0-1 Kazakhstan (10% chance).
The agreed story. No side to back (Kazakhstan the favourite), a tight game.
Their internationals. National teams: read from their own internationals. Moldova in their last internationals: lost 0-4 v Slovakia (rated above them), won 2-1 at Kazakhstan, drew 1-1 v Faroe Islands (rated above them). Kazakhstan in their last internationals: drew 2-2 v Faroe Islands, lost 1-2 v Moldova, lost 1-2 at Slovakia (rated above them).
So. A close match: the safest pick that fits.
PICKSONE LIST
RESULT
Moldova to Win to Nil: NoIN CODES
1.24
MDA 10 of 10 (100%) · KAZ 9 of 10 (90%)74.7%
Moldova: the bet landed in 10 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Kazakhstan: the bet landed in 9 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 93% · each game weighed by who it was against
1st Half - Double Chance: Draw or KazakhstanPAGE ONLY
1.31
KAZ 7 of 10 (70%) · MDA 9 of 10 (90%)68.8%
Kazakhstan: the bet landed in 7 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Moldova: the bet landed in 9 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 81% · on half-time scores · each game weighed by who it was against
Kazakhstan or Over 2.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
1.70
KAZ 7 of 10 (70%) · MDA 8 of 10 (80%)57.1%
Kazakhstan: the bet landed in 7 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Moldova: the bet landed in 8 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 75% · each game weighed by who it was against
Kazakhstan or Under 2.5 GoalsHELD · the odds board 81%
1.23
KAZ 6 of 10 (60%) · MDA 9 of 10 (90%)56.1%
Kazakhstan: the bet landed in 6 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Moldova: the bet landed in 9 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 74% · each game weighed by who it was against
Draw or Over 2.5 GoalsIN CODES
1.48
MDA 7 of 10 (70%) · KAZ 8 of 10 (80%)55.5%
Moldova: the bet landed in 7 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Kazakhstan: the bet landed in 8 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 73% · each game weighed by who it was against
Kazakhstan or Draw (1UP)IN CODES
1.36
KAZ 3 of 5 (60%) · MDA 5 of 7 (71%)54.5%
Kazakhstan scored first 1 of last 5, led or was unbeaten in 3 · led or was unbeaten in 5 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · Moldova trailed or failed to win in 5 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · each game weighed by who it was against
Moldova or Under 2.5 GoalsHELD · the odds board 83%
1.21
MDA 6 of 10 (60%) · KAZ 8 of 10 (80%)54.4%
Moldova: the bet landed in 6 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Kazakhstan: the bet landed in 8 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 72% · each game weighed by who it was against
Double Chance: Draw or KazakhstanLEANHELD · the odds board 68%
1.46
KAZ 7 of 10 (70%) · MDA 9 of 10 (90%)48.2%
Kazakhstan unbeaten in 7 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Moldova failed to win 9 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 79% · each game weighed by who it was against
Kazakhstan (Draw No Bet)LEANPAGE ONLY
1.97
KAZ 3 of 6 (50%) · MDA 7 of 8 (88%)34.4%
Kazakhstan won 3 of 6 (last 10, all venues) (draws left out) · Moldova lost 7 of 8 (last 10, all venues) (draws left out) · both last 10: 63% · each game weighed by who it was against · won 3, refunded 3, lost 2
Kazakhstan or draw and under 3.5 goalsLEANHELD · the odds board 58%
1.71
MDA 5 of 10 (50%) · KAZ 5 of 10 (50%)33.4%
Moldova: the bet landed in 5 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Kazakhstan: the bet landed in 5 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 51% · each game weighed by who it was against
Kazakhstan 1UPLEANPAGE ONLY
1.92
KAZ 1 of 5 (20%) · MDA 3 of 7 (43%)32.5%
Kazakhstan scored first 1 of last 5, led in 1 · led in 3 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · Moldova trailed in 5 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · each game weighed by who it was against
GOALS
Under 3.5 GoalsMAININ CODES
1.21
MDA 6 of 10 (60%) · KAZ 7 of 10 (70%)79.4%
Moldova: under 3.5 goals in 6 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Kazakhstan: under 3.5 goals in 7 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 65% · each game weighed by who it was against
1.10
MDA 10 of 10 (100%) · KAZ 10 of 10 (100%)72.5%
Moldova: over 0.5 goals in 10 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Kazakhstan: over 0.5 goals in 10 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 100% · each game weighed by who it was against
1.47
MDA 10 of 10 (100%) · KAZ 9 of 10 (90%)52.3%
Moldova: over 1.5 goals in 10 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Kazakhstan: over 1.5 goals in 9 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 95% · each game weighed by who it was against
Under 2.5 GoalsLEANHELD · the odds board 63%
1.58
MDA 5 of 10 (50%) · KAZ 5 of 10 (50%)38.4%
Moldova: under 2.5 goals in 5 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Kazakhstan: under 2.5 goals in 5 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 51% · each game weighed by who it was against
MOLDOVA GOALS
Moldova Under 2.5 goalsSAFERIN CODES
1.09
MDA 10 of 10 (100%) · KAZ 9 of 10 (90%)90.5%
Moldova scored under 2.5 in 10 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Kazakhstan conceded under 2.5 in 9 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 93% · each game weighed by who it was against
Moldova Under 1.5 goalsLEANHELD · the odds board 71%
1.40
MDA 9 of 10 (90%) · KAZ 6 of 10 (60%)49.2%
Moldova scored under 1.5 in 9 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Kazakhstan conceded under 1.5 in 6 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 74% · each game weighed by who it was against
KAZAKHSTAN GOALS
Kazakhstan Over 0.5 goalsIN CODES
1.46
KAZ 9 of 10 (90%) · MDA 10 of 10 (100%)53.3%
Kazakhstan scored in 9 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Moldova conceded in 10 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 93% · each game weighed by who it was against
HALVES
2nd Half - Moldova Over/Under: Under 1.5PAGE ONLY
1.11
MDA 10 of 10 (100%) · KAZ 9 of 10 (90%)90.3%
Moldova: the bet landed in 10 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Kazakhstan: the bet landed in 9 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 93% · on half-time scores · each game weighed by who it was against
1st Half - GG/NG: NoPAGE ONLY
1.15
MDA 9 of 10 (90%) · KAZ 8 of 10 (80%)83%
Moldova: the bet landed in 9 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Kazakhstan: the bet landed in 8 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 83% · on half-time scores · each game weighed by who it was against
2nd Half - Over/Under: Over 0.5PAGE ONLY
1.36
MDA 9 of 10 (90%) · KAZ 8 of 10 (80%)81.1%
Moldova: the bet landed in 9 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Kazakhstan: the bet landed in 8 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 85% · on half-time scores · each game weighed by who it was against
Over 0.5 first-half goalsPAGE ONLY
1.57
MDA 9 of 10 (90%) · KAZ 9 of 10 (90%)74.1%
Moldova: the bet landed in 9 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Kazakhstan: the bet landed in 9 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 88% · on half-time scores · each game weighed by who it was against
OTHER
Any Team to lead by 1 Goal at any time: YesFULL COVERIN CODES
1.09
MDA 5 of 5 (100%) · KAZ 6 of 6 (100%)97%
Moldova scored first 1 of last 5, a side led by 1 in 5 · a side led by 1 in 6 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · Kazakhstan a side led by 1 in 7 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · each game weighed by who it was against
Moldova To Score 2 or More Goals in a Row: NoIN CODES
1.29
MDA 4 of 5 (80%) · KAZ 5 of 6 (83%)85.5%
Moldova scored first 1 of last 5, never scored 2 in a row in 4 · never scored 2 in a row in 5 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · Kazakhstan never conceded 2 in a row in 5 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · each game weighed by who it was against
Moldova to lead by 2 Goals at any time: NoIN CODES
1.19
MDA 4 of 5 (80%) · KAZ 5 of 6 (83%)83.5%
Moldova scored first 1 of last 5, never led by 2 in 4 · never led by 2 in 5 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · Kazakhstan never trailed by 2 in 5 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · each game weighed by who it was against
Kazakhstan to lead by 1 Goal at any time: YesLEANPAGE ONLY
1.91
KAZ 1 of 5 (20%) · MDA 3 of 7 (43%)32.5%
Kazakhstan scored first 1 of last 5, led by 1 in 1 · led by 1 in 3 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · Moldova trailed by 1 in 5 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · each game weighed by who it was against
Left off the list: Moldova to lead by 1 Goal at any time: No (the numbers (50%) and the records (73%) are 22 points apart, and nothing settles it); Any Team To Score 2 or More Goals in a Row: Yes (the numbers (49%) and the records (69%) are on opposite sides, and nothing settles it); Any Team to lead by 2 Goals at any time: Yes (the numbers (41%) and the records (69%) are on opposite sides, and nothing settles it); Kazakhstan or draw and under 2.5 goals (the numbers (41%) and the records (51%) are on opposite sides, and nothing settles it); Kazakhstan win or both teams score (the numbers (71%) and the records (93%) are 21 points apart, and nothing settles it)