THE READ
Match details. UEFA Nations League, League C - 5. Kick-off is Thu 12 Nov, 20:45 Lagos time. It is played at Gradski Stadion, Podgorica. The referee is Jerome Brisard.
What's at stake. Montenegro are 1st on 10 points after 4 games, 3 points clear of Cyprus. Latvia are 4th on 1 point after 4 games, 3 points behind Armenia. A win would take them level on points with Armenia.
Form. Montenegro have won four, drawn one and lost five of their last ten, 1.3 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D W W W L. Latvia have won two, drawn two and lost six of their last ten, 0.8 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L L D L L.
The numbers. Montenegro score 1.1 and concede two a game over their last ten, with one clean sheet and five games without a goal. Montenegro average 10.5 shots (3.7 on target), 4.7 corners and 2.4 cards a game, with 56% of the ball. Latvia score 0.8 and concede 1.4 a game in their last five away, with one clean sheet. Latvia average 7.7 shots (2.2 on target), 4.2 corners and 1.9 cards a game, with 42% of the ball.
Head to head. In the last three meetings Montenegro have won two, drawn one and lost none. Two of the three went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in two. The last time they met, on 2 Oct 2026, it finished Montenegro 2-1 Latvia: Montenegro had 14 shots to 14, 49% of the ball, two yellow cards.
The case against. Latvia's record still gives them 28% to win.
The read. Montenegro to win. Their goals for and against make Montenegro the likelier winners; Montenegro are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour Montenegro; the meetings favour Montenegro.
The bets. No best bet: the strongest pick did not fit the read of this game. Predicted score: Montenegro 3-0 Latvia (10% chance).
The agreed story. Montenegro or the draw, goals in between.
Their internationals. National teams: read from their own internationals. Montenegro in their last internationals: drew 0-0 v Armenia, won 2-1 at Latvia, won 3-2 at Armenia. Latvia in their last internationals: lost 1-2 at Cyprus, lost 1-2 v Montenegro, drew 0-0 v Cyprus.
So. A banker match for Montenegro not to lose.
PICKSONE LIST
RESULT
Montenegro or Any Clean Sheet: YesIN CODES
1.11
MNE 9 of 10 (90%) · LVA 4 of 5 (80%)71.4%
Montenegro: the bet landed in 9 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Latvia: the bet landed in 4 of 5 away · both last 10: 90% · H2H 3 of 3 · each game weighed by who it was against
Montenegro 1UPMAININ CODES
1.16
MNE 4 of 5 (80%) · LVA 5 of 6 (83%)68.3%
Montenegro scored first 3 of last 5, led in 4 · led in 5 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · Latvia trailed in 4 of 5 away · each game weighed by who it was against
Draw or Over 2.5 GoalsIN CODES
1.44
MNE 8 of 10 (80%) · LVA 3 of 5 (60%)61.5%
Montenegro: the bet landed in 8 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Latvia: the bet landed in 3 of 5 away · both last 10: 77% · H2H 3 of 3 · each game weighed by who it was against
Montenegro or Over 2.5 GoalsHELD · the odds board 85%
1.17
MNE 7 of 10 (70%) · LVA 3 of 5 (60%)54.8%
Montenegro: the bet landed in 7 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Latvia: the bet landed in 3 of 5 away · both last 10: 74% · H2H 2 of 3 · each game weighed by who it was against
GOALS
1.16
MNE 8 of 10 (80%) · LVA 5 of 5 (100%)86.4%
Montenegro: under 4.5 goals in 8 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Latvia: under 4.5 goals in 5 of 5 away · both last 10: 76% · H2H 3 of 3 · each game weighed by who it was against
1.41
MNE 6 of 10 (60%) · LVA 5 of 5 (100%)71.5%
Montenegro: under 3.5 goals in 6 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Latvia: under 3.5 goals in 5 of 5 away · both last 10: 64% · H2H 3 of 3 · each game weighed by who it was against
Over 1.5 GoalsHELD · the odds board 79%
1.26
MNE 9 of 10 (90%) · LVA 4 of 5 (80%)57.5%
Montenegro: over 1.5 goals in 9 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Latvia: over 1.5 goals in 4 of 5 away · both last 10: 85% · H2H 2 of 3 · each game weighed by who it was against
MONTENEGRO GOALS
Montenegro Over 0.5 goalsPAGE ONLY
1.09
MNE 5 of 10 (50%) · LVA 4 of 5 (80%)87.4%
Montenegro scored in 5 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Latvia conceded in 4 of 5 away · both last 10: 65% · H2H 2 of 3 · each game weighed by who it was against
Montenegro Under 3.5 goalsIN CODES
1.19
MNE 10 of 10 (100%) · LVA 5 of 5 (100%)84.4%
Montenegro scored under 3.5 in 10 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Latvia conceded under 3.5 in 5 of 5 away · both last 10: 87% · H2H 3 of 3 · each game weighed by who it was against
Montenegro Under 2.5 goalsLEANPAGE ONLY
1.57
MNE 9 of 10 (90%) · LVA 5 of 5 (100%)47.7%
Montenegro scored under 2.5 in 9 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Latvia conceded under 2.5 in 5 of 5 away · both last 10: 83% · H2H 3 of 3 · each game weighed by who it was against
LATVIA GOALS
Latvia Under 1.5 goalsPAGE ONLY
1.09
LVA 5 of 5 (100%) · MNE 4 of 10 (40%)89%
Latvia scored under 1.5 in 5 of 5 away · Montenegro conceded under 1.5 in 4 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 64% · H2H 3 of 3 · each game weighed by who it was against
HALVES
Under 2.5 first-half goalsPAGE ONLY
1.13
MNE 7 of 10 (70%) · LVA 5 of 5 (100%)97%
Montenegro: the bet landed in 7 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Latvia: the bet landed in 5 of 5 away · both last 10: 74% · H2H 3 of 3 · on half-time scores · each game weighed by who it was against
2nd Half - Montenegro Over/Under: Under 2.5PAGE ONLY
1.10
MNE 10 of 10 (100%) · LVA 5 of 5 (100%)97%
Montenegro: the bet landed in 10 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Latvia: the bet landed in 5 of 5 away · both last 10: 100% · H2H 3 of 3 · on half-time scores · each game weighed by who it was against
Excluded Number of Goals - First Half: 2PAGE ONLY
1.23
MNE 9 of 10 (90%) · LVA 5 of 5 (100%)81.8%
Montenegro: the bet landed in 9 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Latvia: the bet landed in 5 of 5 away · both last 10: 95% · H2H 2 of 3 · on half-time scores · each game weighed by who it was against
2nd Half - Over/Under: Over 0.5PAGE ONLY
1.25
MNE 8 of 10 (80%) · LVA 5 of 5 (100%)74.1%
Montenegro: the bet landed in 8 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Latvia: the bet landed in 5 of 5 away · both last 10: 90% · H2H 2 of 3 · on half-time scores · each game weighed by who it was against
Under 1.5 first-half goalsPAGE ONLY
1.52
MNE 6 of 10 (60%) · LVA 5 of 5 (100%)73.9%
Montenegro: the bet landed in 6 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Latvia: the bet landed in 5 of 5 away · both last 10: 70% · H2H 2 of 3 · on half-time scores · each game weighed by who it was against
Over 0.5 first-half goalsLEANPAGE ONLY
1.35
MNE 8 of 10 (80%) · LVA 3 of 5 (60%)62.8%
Montenegro: the bet landed in 8 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Latvia: the bet landed in 3 of 5 away · both last 10: 77% · H2H 2 of 3 · on half-time scores · each game weighed by who it was against
CORNERS
Over 7.5 CornersPAGE ONLY
1.39
MNE 7 of 10 (70%) · LVA 4 of 5 (80%)64%
Montenegro's games: over 7.5 corners in 7 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Latvia's games: over 7.5 corners in 4 of 5 away · both last 10: 75% · each game weighed by who it was against
CARDS
no price yet
MNE 10 of 10 (100%) · LVA 4 of 5 (80%)90.8%
Montenegro's games: over 1.5 cards in 10 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Latvia's games: over 1.5 cards in 4 of 5 away · both last 10: 91% · each game weighed by who it was against
OTHER
Montenegro to lead by 1 Goal at any time: YesIN CODES
1.17
MNE 4 of 5 (80%) · LVA 5 of 6 (83%)88.3%
Montenegro scored first 3 of last 5, led by 1 in 4 · led by 1 in 5 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · Latvia trailed by 1 in 4 of 5 away · each game weighed by who it was against
Left off the list: Montenegro to lead by 2 Goals at any time: No (the numbers (49%) and the records (66%) are on opposite sides, and nothing settles it); Montenegro To Score 3 or More Goals in a Row: No (the numbers (72%) and the records (100%) are 28 points apart, and nothing settles it); Montenegro to lead by 3 Goals at any time: No (the numbers (74%) and the records (100%) are 26 points apart, and nothing settles it); Latvia or Over 2.5 Goals (the numbers (56%) and the records (78%) are 22 points apart, and nothing settles it); Latvia or Draw (1UP) (the numbers (37%) and the records (77%) are on opposite sides, and nothing settles it); Latvia win or both teams score (the numbers (46%) and the records (79%) are on opposite sides, and nothing settles it); Latvia (0:2 handicap) (the numbers (54%) and the records (90%) are 36 points apart, and nothing settles it); Any Team to lead by 3 Goals at any time: No (the numbers (73%) and the records (100%) are 27 points apart, and nothing settles it)