THE READ
Match details. UEFA Nations League, League A - 5. Kick-off is Thu 12 Nov, 20:45 Lagos time. It is played at Wembley Stadium, London. The referee is Morten Krogh.
What's at stake. England are 2nd on 9 points after 4 games, 3 points behind Spain, 6 points clear of Croatia. A win would take them level on points with Spain. Croatia are 3rd on 3 points after 4 games, 6 points behind England, 3 points clear of Czechia.
Form. England have won seven, drawn one and lost two of their last ten, 2.2 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W W W L W. Croatia have won five, drawn none and lost five of their last ten, 1.5 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L L L W L.
The numbers. England score 2.9 and concede 1.3 a game over their last ten, with four clean sheets. England average 13.5 shots (6.5 on target), 4.7 corners and 1.4 cards a game, with 60% of the ball. Croatia score 1.7 and concede 2.2 a game in their last six away, with one clean sheet. Croatia average 10.9 shots (4.4 on target), 3.8 corners and 1.5 cards a game, with 39% of the ball.
Head to head. In the last five meetings England have won four, drawn one and lost none. Three of the five went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in two. In the last four, England won four. The last time they met, on 3 Oct 2026, it finished England 7-0 Croatia: England had 19 shots to 12, 64% of the ball, one yellow card.
The read. England to win. An open game. Their goals for and against make England the likelier winners; England are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour England; the meetings favour England. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 1.5 goals at 89%, over 2.5 at 81%, under 4.5 at 45%. Three of the last five meetings went over 2.5.
The bets. Best bet: England 1UP at 1.13, rated 94% (England scored first 4 of last 5, led in 5; led in 9 of 10). Backup: Under 10.5 corners at 1.56. It often rescues the bet, but it is no guarantee. Predicted score: England 3-0 Croatia (12% chance).
The agreed story. England to win, an open game.
Their internationals. National teams: read from their own internationals. England in their last internationals: won 3-0 v Czechia, won 7-0 at Croatia, won 2-0 at Czechia. Croatia in their last internationals: lost 1-2 v Spain, lost 0-7 v England, lost 1-4 at Spain.
So. A banker match for England to win.
PICKSONE LIST
RESULT
1.13
ENG 5 of 5 (100%) · CRO 9 of 10 (90%)96.2%
England scored first 4 of last 5, led in 5 · led in 9 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Croatia trailed in 4 of 6 away · each game weighed by who it was against
Double Chance: England or CroatiaIN CODES
1.12
ENG 9 of 10 (90%) · CRO 6 of 6 (100%)93.5%
England: the bet landed in 9 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Croatia: the bet landed in 6 of 6 away · both last 10: 95% · H2H 4 of 5 · each game weighed by who it was against
England or Over 2.5 GoalsIN CODES
1.11
ENG 9 of 10 (90%) · CRO 5 of 6 (83%)91.8%
England: the bet landed in 9 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Croatia: the bet landed in 5 of 6 away · both last 10: 94% · H2H 4 of 5 · each game weighed by who it was against
Croatia No Bet: EnglandIN CODES
1.13
ENG 7 of 8 (88%) · CRO 5 of 5 (100%)90.7%
England: the bet landed in 7 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · Croatia: the bet landed in 5 of 5 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 92% · H2H 4 of 5 · each game weighed by who it was against · won 5, refunded 5, lost 0
1.27
ENG 7 of 10 (70%) · CRO 3 of 6 (50%)90.2%
England won 7 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Croatia lost 3 of 6 away · both last 10: 74% · H2H 4 of 5 · each game weighed by who it was against
1st Half - Double Chance: England or DrawPAGE ONLY
1.10
ENG 9 of 10 (90%) · CRO 6 of 6 (100%)86.3%
England: the bet landed in 9 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Croatia: the bet landed in 6 of 6 away · both last 10: 85% · H2H 5 of 5 · on half-time scores · each game weighed by who it was against
1X2 - 2UP: EnglandIN CODES
1.25
ENG 4 of 5 (80%) · CRO 7 of 10 (70%)85%
England scored first 4 of last 5, led by 2 or won in 4 · led by 2 or won in 7 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Croatia trailed by 2 or lost in 4 of 6 away · each game weighed by who it was against
England to Win Either Half: YesPAGE ONLY
1.13
ENG 8 of 10 (80%) · CRO 4 of 6 (67%)85%
England: the bet landed in 8 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Croatia: the bet landed in 4 of 6 away · both last 10: 84% · H2H 4 of 5 · on half-time scores · each game weighed by who it was against
Draw or Over 2.5 GoalsIN CODES
1.25
ENG 8 of 10 (80%) · CRO 5 of 6 (83%)83.7%
England: the bet landed in 8 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Croatia: the bet landed in 5 of 6 away · both last 10: 94% · H2H 4 of 5 · each game weighed by who it was against
England or Draw & Over 1.5IN CODES
1.18
ENG 8 of 10 (80%) · CRO 3 of 6 (50%)76.3%
England: the bet landed in 8 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Croatia: the bet landed in 3 of 6 away · both last 10: 80% · H2H 3 of 5 · each game weighed by who it was against
1st Half Result or Match Result: EnglandPAGE ONLY
1.13
ENG 8 of 10 (80%) · CRO 4 of 6 (67%)73.9%
England: the bet landed in 8 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Croatia: the bet landed in 4 of 6 away · both last 10: 84% · H2H 4 of 5 · on half-time scores · each game weighed by who it was against
England Win & Over 1.5IN CODES
1.34
ENG 7 of 10 (70%) · CRO 3 of 6 (50%)72.2%
England: the bet landed in 7 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Croatia: the bet landed in 3 of 6 away · both last 10: 74% · H2H 3 of 5 · each game weighed by who it was against
England win and over 2.5 goalsLEANPAGE ONLY
1.59
ENG 5 of 10 (50%) · CRO 3 of 6 (50%)68.8%
England: the bet landed in 5 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Croatia: the bet landed in 3 of 6 away · both last 10: 70% · H2H 3 of 5 · each game weighed by who it was against
England or draw and over 2.5 goalsLEANPAGE ONLY
1.49
ENG 5 of 10 (50%) · CRO 3 of 6 (50%)68.8%
England: the bet landed in 5 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Croatia: the bet landed in 3 of 6 away · both last 10: 70% · H2H 3 of 5 · each game weighed by who it was against
GOALS
1.13
ENG 10 of 10 (100%) · CRO 5 of 6 (83%)92.7%
England: over 1.5 goals in 10 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Croatia: over 1.5 goals in 5 of 6 away · both last 10: 99% · H2H 3 of 5 · each game weighed by who it was against
1.43
ENG 7 of 10 (70%) · CRO 5 of 6 (83%)77.5%
England: over 2.5 goals in 7 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Croatia: over 2.5 goals in 5 of 6 away · both last 10: 89% · H2H 3 of 5 · each game weighed by who it was against
ENGLAND GOALS
England Over 1.5 goalsIN CODES
1.30
ENG 8 of 10 (80%) · CRO 4 of 6 (67%)86.9%
England scored over 1.5 in 8 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Croatia conceded over 1.5 in 4 of 6 away · both last 10: 84% · H2H 3 of 5 · each game weighed by who it was against
HALVES
2nd Half - Over/Under: Over 0.5PAGE ONLY
1.16
ENG 9 of 10 (90%) · CRO 6 of 6 (100%)89.5%
England: the bet landed in 9 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Croatia: the bet landed in 6 of 6 away · both last 10: 95% · H2H 4 of 5 · on half-time scores · each game weighed by who it was against
Over 0.5 first-half goalsPAGE ONLY
1.23
ENG 7 of 10 (70%) · CRO 3 of 6 (50%)89.3%
England: the bet landed in 7 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Croatia: the bet landed in 3 of 6 away · both last 10: 79% · H2H 2 of 5 · on half-time scores · each game weighed by who it was against
Both Halves Under 1.5: NoPAGE ONLY
1.27
ENG 10 of 10 (100%) · CRO 5 of 6 (83%)84.6%
England: the bet landed in 10 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Croatia: the bet landed in 5 of 6 away · both last 10: 99% · H2H 3 of 5 · on half-time scores · each game weighed by who it was against
2nd Half - England Over/Under: Over 0.5PAGE ONLY
1.26
ENG 8 of 10 (80%) · CRO 4 of 6 (67%)74.1%
England: the bet landed in 8 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Croatia: the bet landed in 4 of 6 away · both last 10: 84% · H2H 4 of 5 · on half-time scores · each game weighed by who it was against
Excluded Number of Goals - First Half: 2HELD · the odds board 78%
1.28
ENG 8 of 10 (80%) · CRO 6 of 6 (100%)55.1%
England: the bet landed in 8 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Croatia: the bet landed in 6 of 6 away · both last 10: 92% · H2H 5 of 5 · on half-time scores · each game weighed by who it was against
CORNERS
Under 10.5 cornersBACKUPIN CODES
1.56
ENG 8 of 10 (80%) · CRO 5 of 6 (83%)80%
England's games: under 10.5 corners in 8 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Croatia's games: under 10.5 corners in 5 of 6 away · both last 10: 83% · each game weighed by who it was against
1.32
ENG 6 of 10 (60%) · CRO 5 of 6 (83%)72.3%
England's games: over 7.5 corners in 6 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Croatia's games: over 7.5 corners in 5 of 6 away · both last 10: 67% · each game weighed by who it was against
CARDS
Over 1.5 CardsLEANHELD · the odds board 89%
1.12
ENG 7 of 10 (70%) · CRO 5 of 6 (83%)66.4%
England's games: over 1.5 cards in 7 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Croatia's games: over 1.5 cards in 5 of 6 away · both last 10: 65% · each game weighed by who it was against
OTHER
Any Team To Score 2 or More Goals in a Row: YesHELD · the odds board 76%
1.32
ENG 5 of 5 (100%) · CRO 9 of 10 (90%)96.2%
England scored first 4 of last 5, a side scored 2 in a row in 5 · a side scored 2 in a row in 9 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Croatia a side scored 2 in a row in 4 of 6 away · each game weighed by who it was against
England to lead by 1 Goal at any time: YesIN CODES
1.13
ENG 5 of 5 (100%) · CRO 9 of 10 (90%)96.2%
England scored first 4 of last 5, led by 1 in 5 · led by 1 in 9 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Croatia trailed by 1 in 4 of 6 away · each game weighed by who it was against
England To Score 2 or More Goals in a Row: YesHELD · the odds board 70%
1.42
ENG 5 of 5 (100%) · CRO 8 of 10 (80%)90.6%
England scored first 4 of last 5, scored 2 in a row in 5 · scored 2 in a row in 8 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Croatia conceded 2 in a row in 4 of 6 away · each game weighed by who it was against
Any Team to lead by 2 Goals at any time: YesLEANPAGE ONLY
1.42
ENG 4 of 5 (80%) · CRO 6 of 10 (60%)64.2%
England scored first 4 of last 5, a side led by 2 in 4 · a side led by 2 in 6 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Croatia a side led by 2 in 3 of 6 away · each game weighed by who it was against
England to lead by 2 Goals at any time: YesLEANPAGE ONLY
1.53
ENG 4 of 5 (80%) · CRO 6 of 10 (60%)64.2%
England scored first 4 of last 5, led by 2 in 4 · led by 2 in 6 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Croatia trailed by 2 in 3 of 6 away · each game weighed by who it was against
Left off the list: Croatia to lead by 1 Goal at any time: No (the numbers (84%) and the records (64%) are 20 points apart, and nothing settles it); Croatia To Score 2 or More Goals in a Row: No (the numbers (94%) and the records (69%) are 25 points apart, and nothing settles it); Croatia win or both teams score (the numbers (45%) and the records (69%) are on opposite sides, and nothing settles it)