INTERNATIONAL - UEFA NATIONS LEAGUE
20:45Thu 12 Nov
FIN
FIN
Albania vs Finland
CLASS A
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83
TOTAL GOALS
Class A
Under 3.5 Goals
Albania v Finland
1.16odds
86%book
-3edge
3/3angles
THE READ
Match details. UEFA Nations League, League C - 5. Kick-off is Thu 12 Nov, 20:45 Lagos time. It is played at Arena Kombëtare, Tirana. The referee is Joao Pinheiro.
What's at stake. Albania are 1st on 9 points after 4 games, 2 points clear of Belarus. Finland are 3rd on 7 points after 4 games, level on points with Belarus, 7 points clear of San Marino. A win would take them above Belarus.
Form. Albania have won six, drawn one and lost three of their last ten, 1.9 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W L W W L. Finland have won four, drawn two and lost four of their last ten, 1.4 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L W D W D.
The numbers. Albania score 1.3 and concede 0.8 a game over their last ten, with five clean sheets. Albania average 11.5 shots (3.9 on target), 5.0 corners and 1.9 cards a game, with 59% of the ball. Finland score 1.8 and concede 1.5 a game in their last six away, with two clean sheets and two games without a goal. Finland average 9.9 shots (3.9 on target), 5.1 corners and 1.4 cards a game, with 68% of the ball.
Head to head. The last time they met, on 3 Oct 2026, it finished Albania 1-2 Finland: Albania had 14 shots to 11, 40% of the ball, five yellow cards.
Where it pulls both ways. It pulls both ways: their goals for and against make Albania the likelier winners, but Albania are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour Finland.
The read. No side to back. A tight game. Nothing separates them clearly enough to back a side. Their goals for and against point to a tight game. Their records put over 1.5 goals at 71%, over 2.5 at 33%, under 4.5 at 100%.
The bets. Best bet: Under 3.5 Goals at 1.16, rated 81% (Albania: under 3.5 goals in 10 of 10; Finland: under 3.5 goals in 5 of 6). The safer one: Albania Under 2.5 Goals at 1.13 (83%). Full cover: Any Team to lead by 1 Goal at any time: Yes at 1.11. Whenever the best bet loses, this one wins. Predicted score: Albania 1-0 Finland (15% chance).
The agreed story. Albania or the draw, a tight game.
Their internationals. National teams: read from their own internationals. Albania in their last internationals: won 2-1 v San Marino, lost 1-2 at Finland, won 3-0 at San Marino. Finland in their last internationals: lost 0-1 at Belarus, won 2-1 v Albania, drew 0-0 v Belarus.
So. A close match: the safest pick that fits.
PICKSONE LIST
RESULT
Albania to Win Both Halves: NoPAGE ONLY
1.11
ALB 9 of 10 (90%) · FIN 6 of 6 (100%)93.1%
Albania: the bet landed in 9 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Finland: the bet landed in 6 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 100% · on half-time scores · Finland: only games against sides at Albania's level · each game weighed by who it was against
Albania or Draw (1UP)IN CODES
1.19
ALB 5 of 5 (100%) · FIN 6 of 7 (86%)89.1%
Albania scored first 5 of last 5, led or was unbeaten in 5 · led or was unbeaten in 6 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · Finland trailed or failed to win in 4 of 5 (last 10, all venues) · each game weighed by who it was against
Albania or Under 2.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
1.10
ALB 8 of 10 (80%) · FIN 5 of 6 (83%)76.8%
Albania: the bet landed in 8 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Finland: the bet landed in 5 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 76% · Finland: only games against sides at Albania's level · each game weighed by who it was against
1st Half - Draw No Bet: AlbaniaPAGE ONLY
1.46
ALB 6 of 6 (100%) · FIN 3 of 6 (50%)76%
Albania: the bet landed in 6 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · Finland: the bet landed in 3 of 6 away · both last 10: 85% · on half-time scores · each game weighed by who it was against · won 6, refunded 1, lost 3
Albania 1UPIN CODES
1.59
ALB 5 of 5 (100%) · FIN 6 of 7 (86%)60.9%
Albania scored first 5 of last 5, led in 5 · led in 6 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · Finland trailed in 3 of 5 (last 10, all venues) · each game weighed by who it was against
Albania or Both Teams ScoreHELD · the odds board 75%
1.33
ALB 9 of 10 (90%) · FIN 4 of 6 (67%)52.6%
Albania: the bet landed in 9 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Finland: the bet landed in 4 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 71% · Finland: only games against sides at Albania's level · each game weighed by who it was against
Draw or Under 2.5 GoalsLEANHELD · the odds board 74%
1.35
ALB 6 of 10 (60%) · FIN 4 of 6 (67%)49.1%
Albania: the bet landed in 6 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Finland: the bet landed in 4 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 67% · Finland: only games against sides at Albania's level · each game weighed by who it was against
GOALS
Under 5.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
ALB 10 of 10 (100%) · FIN 6 of 6 (100%)97%
Albania: under 5.5 goals in 10 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Finland: under 5.5 goals in 6 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 100% · Finland: only games against sides at Albania's level · each game weighed by who it was against
Under 3.5 GoalsMAININ CODES
1.16
ALB 10 of 10 (100%) · FIN 5 of 6 (83%)83.3%
Albania: under 3.5 goals in 10 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Finland: under 3.5 goals in 5 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 92% · Finland: only games against sides at Albania's level · each game weighed by who it was against
Over 0.5 GoalsIN CODES
1.12
ALB 10 of 10 (100%) · FIN 5 of 6 (83%)70.6%
Albania: over 0.5 goals in 10 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Finland: over 0.5 goals in 5 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 92% · Finland: only games against sides at Albania's level · each game weighed by who it was against
Over 1.5 GoalsLEANPAGE ONLY
1.58
ALB 7 of 10 (70%) · FIN 4 of 6 (67%)47.9%
Albania: over 1.5 goals in 7 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Finland: over 1.5 goals in 4 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 71% · Finland: only games against sides at Albania's level · each game weighed by who it was against
Under 2.5 GoalsLEANHELD · the odds board 68%
1.47
ALB 6 of 10 (60%) · FIN 4 of 6 (67%)43.5%
Albania: under 2.5 goals in 6 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Finland: under 2.5 goals in 4 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 67% · Finland: only games against sides at Albania's level · each game weighed by who it was against
ALBANIA GOALS
Albania Under 2.5 goalsSAFERIN CODES
1.13
ALB 9 of 10 (90%) · FIN 5 of 6 (83%)84.7%
Albania scored under 2.5 in 9 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Finland conceded under 2.5 in 5 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 91% · Finland: only games against sides at Albania's level · each game weighed by who it was against
Albania Over 0.5 goalsIN CODES
1.35
ALB 9 of 10 (90%) · FIN 4 of 6 (67%)58%
Albania scored in 9 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Finland conceded in 4 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 71% · Finland: only games against sides at Albania's level · each game weighed by who it was against
Albania Under 1.5 goalsLEANHELD · the odds board 66%
1.51
ALB 7 of 10 (70%) · FIN 5 of 6 (83%)40.3%
Albania scored under 1.5 in 7 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Finland conceded under 1.5 in 5 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 85% · Finland: only games against sides at Albania's level · each game weighed by who it was against
HALVES
2nd Half - Over/Under: Under 2.5PAGE ONLY
1.09
ALB 10 of 10 (100%) · FIN 6 of 6 (100%)97%
Albania: the bet landed in 10 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Finland: the bet landed in 6 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 100% · on half-time scores · Finland: only games against sides at Albania's level · each game weighed by who it was against
2nd Half - Albania Over/Under: Under 1.5PAGE ONLY
1.14
ALB 10 of 10 (100%) · FIN 6 of 6 (100%)97%
Albania: the bet landed in 10 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Finland: the bet landed in 6 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 100% · on half-time scores · Finland: only games against sides at Albania's level · each game weighed by who it was against
2nd Half - GG/NG: NoPAGE ONLY
1.17
ALB 9 of 10 (90%) · FIN 5 of 6 (83%)92.3%
Albania: the bet landed in 9 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Finland: the bet landed in 5 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 91% · on half-time scores · Finland: only games against sides at Albania's level · each game weighed by who it was against
Albania to Score In Both Halves: NoPAGE ONLY
1.22
ALB 8 of 10 (80%) · FIN 5 of 6 (83%)88.9%
Albania: the bet landed in 8 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Finland: the bet landed in 5 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 91% · on half-time scores · Finland: only games against sides at Albania's level · each game weighed by who it was against
1st half - Albania Over/Under: Under 1.5PAGE ONLY
1.09
ALB 8 of 10 (80%) · FIN 5 of 6 (83%)84.7%
Albania: the bet landed in 8 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Finland: the bet landed in 5 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 85% · on half-time scores · Finland: only games against sides at Albania's level · each game weighed by who it was against
Under 1.5 first-half goalsPAGE ONLY
1.26
ALB 6 of 10 (60%) · FIN 4 of 6 (67%)73.2%
Albania: the bet landed in 6 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Finland: the bet landed in 4 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 68% · on half-time scores · Finland: only games against sides at Albania's level · each game weighed by who it was against
Over 0.5 first-half goalsLEANPAGE ONLY
1.65
ALB 8 of 10 (80%) · FIN 5 of 6 (83%)65.5%
Albania: the bet landed in 8 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Finland: the bet landed in 5 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 78% · on half-time scores · Finland: only games against sides at Albania's level · each game weighed by who it was against
CORNERS
Under 10.5 cornersLEANPAGE ONLY
1.33
ALB 6 of 10 (60%) · FIN 6 of 8 (75%)68%
Albania's games: under 10.5 corners in 6 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Finland's games: under 10.5 corners in 6 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 68% · each game weighed by who it was against
Over 7.5 CornersPAGE ONLY
1.53
ALB 6 of 10 (60%) · FIN 5 of 8 (62%)54.4%
Albania's games: over 7.5 corners in 6 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Finland's games: over 7.5 corners in 5 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 72% · each game weighed by who it was against
CARDS
Over 1.5 CardsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
ALB 10 of 10 (100%) · FIN 6 of 7 (86%)89.7%
Albania's games: over 1.5 cards in 10 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Finland's games: over 1.5 cards in 6 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 90% · each game weighed by who it was against
OTHER
Any Team To Score 3 or More Goals in a Row: NoIN CODES
1.11
ALB 4 of 5 (80%) · FIN 6 of 7 (86%)97%
Albania scored first 5 of last 5, no side scored 3 in a row in 4 · no side scored 3 in a row in 6 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · Finland no side scored 3 in a row in 4 of 5 (last 10, all venues) · each game weighed by who it was against
Any Team to lead by 3 Goals at any time: NoIN CODES
1.09
ALB 4 of 5 (80%) · FIN 6 of 7 (86%)97%
Albania scored first 5 of last 5, no side led by 3 in 4 · no side led by 3 in 6 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · Finland no side led by 3 in 4 of 5 (last 10, all venues) · each game weighed by who it was against
Any Team to lead by 1 Goal at any time: YesFULL COVERIN CODES
1.11
ALB 5 of 5 (100%) · FIN 7 of 7 (100%)90.7%
Albania scored first 5 of last 5, a side led by 1 in 5 · a side led by 1 in 7 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · Finland a side led by 1 in 4 of 5 (last 10, all venues) · each game weighed by who it was against
Albania To Score 2 or More Goals in a Row: NoIN CODES
1.40
ALB 3 of 5 (60%) · FIN 5 of 7 (71%)85.7%
Albania scored first 5 of last 5, never scored 2 in a row in 3 · never scored 2 in a row in 5 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · Finland never conceded 2 in a row in 5 of 5 (last 10, all venues) · each game weighed by who it was against
Albania to lead by 2 Goals at any time: NoIN CODES
1.30
ALB 3 of 5 (60%) · FIN 5 of 7 (71%)83.7%
Albania scored first 5 of last 5, never led by 2 in 3 · never led by 2 in 5 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · Finland never trailed by 2 in 5 of 5 (last 10, all venues) · each game weighed by who it was against
Any Team to lead by 2 Goals at any time: NoLEANPAGE ONLY
1.48
ALB 3 of 5 (60%) · FIN 4 of 7 (57%)71%
Albania scored first 5 of last 5, no side led by 2 in 3 · no side led by 2 in 4 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · Finland no side led by 2 in 4 of 5 (last 10, all venues) · each game weighed by who it was against
Left off the list: Finland or Under 2.5 Goals (the numbers (70%) and the records (91%) are 21 points apart, and nothing settles it)
SCORELINES
Predicted score
Predicted score 1–0 14.6%
Albania goals →
Finland goals ↓
0-011%
1-015%
2-011%
3-05%
4-02%
5-00.5%
0-18%
1-113%
2-19%
3-14%
4-11%
5-10.4%
0-23%
1-25%
2-24%
3-22%
4-20.6%
5-20.2%
0-30.9%
1-31%
2-30.9%
3-30.4%
4-30.2%
5-30.0%
0-40.2%
1-40.3%
2-40.2%
3-40.1%
4-40.0%
5-40.0%
0-50.0%
1-50.0%
2-50.0%
3-50.0%
4-50.0%
5-50.0%
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (a tight game).
FORM · LAST 10
ALBANIADWWWLLWWLW1.90 PPG
FINLANDLWLLWDWDWL1.40 PPG
THE NUMBERS
ALBANIA HOMExFINLAND AWAY
1.30SCORED A GAME1.500.80CONCEDED A GAME1.2050%CLEAN SHEETS30%0%FAILED TO SCORE50%5.00CORNERS A GAME5.121.90CARDS A GAME1.432.12xG1.690.56xG AGAINST0.53
HEAD TO HEAD · LAST 1
ALBANIA 0 · 0%DRAW 0FINLAND 1 · 100%
2026-10-03Albania 1 – 2 Finland
TRENDS
Albania have scored in 90% of their games.
Finland have scored in 60% of their games.
Albania kept a clean sheet in 50% of their games.
Finland kept a clean sheet in 30% of their games.
BUILT FROM
form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againstxG & xGAclean sheetshead to headleague tableteam newscornerscards