THE READ
Match details. UEFA Nations League, League C - 5. Kick-off is Thu 12 Nov, 18:00 Lagos time. It is played at Vazgen Sargsyan Republican Stadium, Yerevan. The referee is Orel Grinfeld.
What's at stake. Armenia are 3rd on 4 points after 4 games, 3 points behind Cyprus, 3 points clear of Latvia. A win would take them level on points with Cyprus. Cyprus are 2nd on 7 points after 4 games, 3 points behind Montenegro, 3 points clear of Armenia. A win would take them level on points with Montenegro.
Form. Armenia have won two, drawn one and lost seven of their last ten, 0.7 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D L L W L. Cyprus have won three, drawn three and lost four of their last ten, 1.2 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W W D L L.
The numbers. Armenia score 1.2 and concede two a game in their last five at home, with one clean sheet and two games without a goal. Armenia average 9.2 shots (3.2 on target), 3.2 corners and 1.4 cards a game, with 54% of the ball. Cyprus score one and concede one a game in their last five away, with two clean sheets and three games without a goal. Cyprus average 10.7 shots (4.3 on target), 4.7 corners and 2.7 cards a game, with 49% of the ball.
Head to head. The last time they met, on 2 Oct 2026, it finished Armenia 0-2 Cyprus: Armenia had 17 shots to 8, 68% of the ball, three yellow cards.
The read. No side to back. A draw is live. A tight game. Nothing separates them clearly enough to back a side.
The bets. No best bet on this one: too close to call. Predicted score: Armenia 1-1 Cyprus (14% chance).
The agreed story. No side to back (Armenia the favourite), a tight game.
Their internationals. National teams: read from their own internationals. Armenia in their last internationals: drew 0-0 at Montenegro (rated above them), lost 0-2 at Cyprus, lost 2-3 v Montenegro (rated above them). Cyprus in their last internationals: won 2-1 v Latvia, won 2-0 v Armenia, drew 0-0 at Latvia.
So. A close match: the safest pick that fits.
PICKSONE LIST
RESULT
Armenia or Over 2.5 GoalsIN CODES
1.70
ARM 4 of 5 (80%) · CYP 4 of 5 (80%)59.4%
Armenia: the bet landed in 4 of 5 at home · Cyprus: the bet landed in 4 of 5 away · both last 10: 68% · each game weighed by who it was against
Cyprus or Under 2.5 GoalsHELD · the odds board 83%
1.20
CYP 4 of 5 (80%) · ARM 4 of 5 (80%)57.9%
Cyprus: the bet landed in 4 of 5 away · Armenia: the bet landed in 4 of 5 at home · both last 10: 76% · each game weighed by who it was against
Cyprus or Draw (1UP)HELD · the odds board 78%
1.28
CYP 4 of 5 (80%) · ARM 4 of 5 (80%)56.9%
Cyprus scored first 2 of last 5, led or was unbeaten in 4 · led or was unbeaten in 4 of 5 (last 10, all venues) · Armenia trailed or failed to win in 5 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · each game weighed by who it was against
Armenia or Under 2.5 GoalsHELD · the odds board 78%
1.28
ARM 3 of 5 (60%) · CYP 4 of 5 (80%)55.7%
Armenia: the bet landed in 3 of 5 at home · Cyprus: the bet landed in 4 of 5 away · both last 10: 67% · each game weighed by who it was against
Double Chance: Armenia or CyprusHELD · the odds board 73%
1.37
ARM 5 of 5 (100%) · CYP 4 of 5 (80%)52.4%
Armenia: the bet landed in 5 of 5 at home · Cyprus: the bet landed in 4 of 5 away · both last 10: 80% · each game weighed by who it was against
Armenia or Both Teams ScoreLEANHELD · the odds board 68%
1.46
ARM 3 of 5 (60%) · CYP 3 of 5 (60%)48.1%
Armenia: the bet landed in 3 of 5 at home · Cyprus: the bet landed in 3 of 5 away · both last 10: 62% · each game weighed by who it was against
GOALS
1.24
ARM 3 of 5 (60%) · CYP 4 of 5 (80%)82%
Armenia: under 3.5 goals in 3 of 5 at home · Cyprus: under 3.5 goals in 4 of 5 away · both last 10: 69% · each game weighed by who it was against
Over 0.5 GoalsHELD · the odds board 92%
1.09
ARM 5 of 5 (100%) · CYP 4 of 5 (80%)70.7%
Armenia: over 0.5 goals in 5 of 5 at home · Cyprus: over 0.5 goals in 4 of 5 away · both last 10: 93% · each game weighed by who it was against
Over 1.5 GoalsLEANHELD · the odds board 70%
1.43
ARM 4 of 5 (80%) · CYP 3 of 5 (60%)48.3%
Armenia: over 1.5 goals in 4 of 5 at home · Cyprus: over 1.5 goals in 3 of 5 away · both last 10: 74% · each game weighed by who it was against
BOTH TEAMS SCORE
Both Teams to Score - NoLEANPAGE ONLY
1.81
ARM 3 of 5 (60%) · CYP 4 of 5 (80%)36.7%
Armenia: not both scored in 3 of 5 at home · Cyprus: not both scored in 4 of 5 away · both last 10: 62% · each game weighed by who it was against
ARMENIA GOALS
Armenia Over 0.5 goalsIN CODES
1.48
ARM 3 of 5 (60%) · CYP 3 of 5 (60%)54.5%
Armenia scored in 3 of 5 at home · Cyprus conceded in 3 of 5 away · both last 10: 62% · each game weighed by who it was against
CYPRUS GOALS
Cyprus Under 2.5 goalsIN CODES
1.12
CYP 4 of 5 (80%) · ARM 3 of 5 (60%)93.7%
Cyprus scored under 2.5 in 4 of 5 away · Armenia conceded under 2.5 in 3 of 5 at home · both last 10: 83% · each game weighed by who it was against
Cyprus Under 1.5 goalsIN CODES
1.49
CYP 4 of 5 (80%) · ARM 3 of 5 (60%)57.2%
Cyprus scored under 1.5 in 4 of 5 away · Armenia conceded under 1.5 in 3 of 5 at home · both last 10: 54% · each game weighed by who it was against
HALVES
2nd Half - Armenia Over/Under: Under 1.5PAGE ONLY
1.10
ARM 5 of 5 (100%) · CYP 4 of 5 (80%)95.9%
Armenia: the bet landed in 5 of 5 at home · Cyprus: the bet landed in 4 of 5 away · both last 10: 94% · on half-time scores · each game weighed by who it was against
2nd Half - Over/Under: Under 2.5PAGE ONLY
1.13
ARM 5 of 5 (100%) · CYP 3 of 5 (60%)88.6%
Armenia: the bet landed in 5 of 5 at home · Cyprus: the bet landed in 3 of 5 away · both last 10: 85% · on half-time scores · each game weighed by who it was against
2nd Half - Cyprus Over/Under: Under 1.5PAGE ONLY
1.14
CYP 4 of 5 (80%) · ARM 4 of 5 (80%)79.9%
Cyprus: the bet landed in 4 of 5 away · Armenia: the bet landed in 4 of 5 at home · both last 10: 78% · on half-time scores · each game weighed by who it was against
1st Half - GG/NG: NoPAGE ONLY
1.15
ARM 4 of 5 (80%) · CYP 5 of 5 (100%)79.3%
Armenia: the bet landed in 4 of 5 at home · Cyprus: the bet landed in 5 of 5 away · both last 10: 76% · on half-time scores · each game weighed by who it was against
Excluded Number of Goals - First Half: 2PAGE ONLY
1.17
ARM 5 of 5 (100%) · CYP 4 of 5 (80%)77.9%
Armenia: the bet landed in 5 of 5 at home · Cyprus: the bet landed in 4 of 5 away · both last 10: 87% · on half-time scores · each game weighed by who it was against
CORNERS
Under 10.5 cornersIN CODES
1.42
ARM 4 of 5 (80%) · CYP 3 of 5 (60%)75.5%
Armenia's games: under 10.5 corners in 4 of 5 at home · Cyprus's games: under 10.5 corners in 3 of 5 away · both last 10: 76% · each game weighed by who it was against
Over 5.5 CornersPAGE ONLY
no price yet
ARM 4 of 5 (80%) · CYP 5 of 5 (100%)72.3%
Armenia's games: over 5.5 corners in 4 of 5 at home · Cyprus's games: over 5.5 corners in 5 of 5 away · both last 10: 94% · each game weighed by who it was against
CARDS
no price yet
ARM 3 of 5 (60%) · CYP 5 of 5 (100%)81.4%
Armenia's games: over 1.5 cards in 3 of 5 at home · Cyprus's games: over 1.5 cards in 5 of 5 away · both last 10: 79% · each game weighed by who it was against
OTHER
Any Team To Score 3 or More Goals in a Row: NoIN CODES
1.13
ARM 4 of 5 (80%) · CYP 5 of 6 (83%)82.9%
Armenia scored first 1 of last 5, no side scored 3 in a row in 4 · no side scored 3 in a row in 5 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · Cyprus no side scored 3 in a row in 5 of 5 (last 10, all venues) · each game weighed by who it was against
Armenia to lead by 2 Goals at any time: NoIN CODES
1.15
ARM 4 of 5 (80%) · CYP 5 of 6 (83%)82.3%
Armenia scored first 1 of last 5, never led by 2 in 4 · never led by 2 in 5 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · Cyprus never trailed by 2 in 4 of 5 (last 10, all venues) · each game weighed by who it was against
Cyprus to lead by 2 Goals at any time: NoIN CODES
1.24
CYP 4 of 5 (80%) · ARM 4 of 5 (80%)76.3%
Cyprus scored first 2 of last 5, never led by 2 in 4 · never led by 2 in 4 of 5 (last 10, all venues) · Armenia never trailed by 2 in 4 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · each game weighed by who it was against
Armenia To Score 2 or More Goals in a Row: NoIN CODES
1.24
ARM 4 of 5 (80%) · CYP 5 of 6 (83%)75.2%
Armenia scored first 1 of last 5, never scored 2 in a row in 4 · never scored 2 in a row in 5 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · Cyprus never conceded 2 in a row in 3 of 5 (last 10, all venues) · each game weighed by who it was against
Cyprus To Score 2 or More Goals in a Row: NoLEANPAGE ONLY
1.36
CYP 3 of 5 (60%) · ARM 3 of 5 (60%)68%
Cyprus scored first 2 of last 5, never scored 2 in a row in 3 · never scored 2 in a row in 3 of 5 (last 10, all venues) · Armenia never conceded 2 in a row in 4 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · each game weighed by who it was against
Left off the list: Armenia to lead by 1 Goal at any time: No (the numbers (43%) and the records (69%) are on opposite sides, and nothing settles it)