ENGLAND AMATEUR - SOUTHERN LEAGUE PREMIER SOUTH
20:45Tue 10 Nov
MAL
MT
Gloucester City vs Malvern Town
CLASS E
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63
DOUBLE CHANCE
Class E
Double Chance: Gloucester City or…
Gloucester City v Malvern Town
1.15odds
87%book
-24edge
1/1angles
EDGE PICKMalvern Town Over 0.5 goals · 68.2% · @1.40
Book 71% · Us 68% -3 price too short
Backed by
· main loses on: 0-1, 0-2, 1-2, 0-3, 1-3, 0-4, 2-3, 1-4, 0-5, 2-4, 1-5, 0-6 and 43 more up to 10-10 | hedge wins on all of themMalvern Town scored in 3 of 5 away · Gloucester City conceded in 5 of 5 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 89% · Malvern Town: only games against sides at Gloucester City's level · Gloucester City: only games against sides at Malvern Town's level
THE READ
Match details. Southern League Premier South. Kick-off is Tue 10 Nov, 20:45 Lagos time.
Form. Gloucester City have won three, drawn five and lost two of their last ten, 1.4 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D D L D L. Malvern Town have won four, drawn one and lost five of their last ten, 1.3 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W L L W W.
The numbers. Gloucester City score 1.5 and concede 1.1 a game over their last ten, with two clean sheets and three games without a goal. Gloucester City average 5.0 corners and 1.3 cards a game. Malvern Town score 0.8 and concede 3.2 a game in their last six away, with no clean sheets and two games without a goal. Malvern Town average 5.0 corners and 3.0 cards a game.
The read. Gloucester City to win. An open game. Their goals for and against make Gloucester City the likelier winners; both teams' records favour Gloucester City. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 66%.
The bets. No best bet: the strongest pick did not fit the read of this game. Predicted score: Gloucester City 2-1 Malvern Town (9% chance).
The agreed story. No side to back (Gloucester City the favourite), an open game.
The league run. Gloucester City: no win in their last three league games (D D L W D). Malvern Town: up and down in the league (W L L W W). Not confident in Gloucester City: no win in their last three league games.
So. A close match: the safest pick that fits.
PICKSONE LIST
RESULT
Draw or Over 2.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
GLO 4 of 5 (80%) · MAL 5 of 5 (100%)79%
Gloucester City: the bet landed in 4 of 5 (last 10, all venues) · Malvern Town: the bet landed in 5 of 5 away · both last 10: 79% · Gloucester City: only games against sides at Malvern Town's level · Malvern Town: only games against sides at Gloucester City's level
Gloucester City or Both Teams ScorePAGE ONLY
no price yet
GLO 4 of 5 (80%) · MAL 5 of 5 (100%)68.3%
Gloucester City: the bet landed in 4 of 5 (last 10, all venues) · Malvern Town: the bet landed in 5 of 5 away · both last 10: 79% · Gloucester City: only games against sides at Malvern Town's level · Malvern Town: only games against sides at Gloucester City's level
Double Chance: Gloucester City or DrawMAINHELD · the odds board 87%
1.15
GLO 4 of 5 (80%) · MAL 5 of 5 (100%)63.2%
Gloucester City unbeaten in 4 of 5 (last 10, all venues) · Malvern Town failed to win 5 of 5 away · both last 10: 68% · Gloucester City: only games against sides at Malvern Town's level · Malvern Town: only games against sides at Gloucester City's level
Malvern Town or Over 2.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
MAL 5 of 5 (100%) · GLO 3 of 5 (60%)60.9%
Malvern Town: the bet landed in 5 of 5 away · Gloucester City: the bet landed in 3 of 5 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 80% · Malvern Town: only games against sides at Gloucester City's level · Gloucester City: only games against sides at Malvern Town's level
Double Chance: Gloucester City or Malvern TownHELD · the odds board 85%
1.17
GLO 2 of 5 (40%) · MAL 5 of 5 (100%)55.8%
Gloucester City: the bet landed in 2 of 5 (last 10, all venues) · Malvern Town: the bet landed in 5 of 5 away · both last 10: 70% · Gloucester City: only games against sides at Malvern Town's level · Malvern Town: only games against sides at Gloucester City's level
Gloucester City or Over 2.5 GoalsLEANPAGE ONLY
no price yet
GLO 2 of 5 (40%) · MAL 5 of 5 (100%)48.8%
Gloucester City: the bet landed in 2 of 5 (last 10, all venues) · Malvern Town: the bet landed in 5 of 5 away · both last 10: 59% · Gloucester City: only games against sides at Malvern Town's level · Malvern Town: only games against sides at Gloucester City's level
Gloucester City (Draw No Bet)LEANHELD · the odds board 84%
1.19
GLO 3 of 5 (60%) · MAL 5 of 5 (100%)45.4%
Gloucester City won 3 of 5 (last 10, all venues) (draws left out) · Malvern Town lost 5 of 5 away (draws left out) · both last 10: 58% · Malvern Town: only games against sides at Gloucester City's level · won 6, refunded 3, lost 1
GOALS
Over 0.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
GLO 5 of 5 (100%) · MAL 5 of 5 (100%)92.9%
Gloucester City: over 0.5 goals in 5 of 5 (last 10, all venues) · Malvern Town: over 0.5 goals in 5 of 5 away · both last 10: 100% · Gloucester City: only games against sides at Malvern Town's level · Malvern Town: only games against sides at Gloucester City's level
Over 1.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
GLO 4 of 5 (80%) · MAL 5 of 5 (100%)77.6%
Gloucester City: over 1.5 goals in 4 of 5 (last 10, all venues) · Malvern Town: over 1.5 goals in 5 of 5 away · both last 10: 84% · Gloucester City: only games against sides at Malvern Town's level · Malvern Town: only games against sides at Gloucester City's level
Over 2.5 GoalsLEANPAGE ONLY
1.43
GLO 2 of 5 (40%) · MAL 5 of 5 (100%)60.2%
Gloucester City: over 2.5 goals in 2 of 5 (last 10, all venues) · Malvern Town: over 2.5 goals in 5 of 5 away · both last 10: 59% · Gloucester City: only games against sides at Malvern Town's level · Malvern Town: only games against sides at Gloucester City's level
BOTH TEAMS SCORE
Both Teams to Score - YesLEANPAGE ONLY
1.53
GLO 4 of 5 (80%) · MAL 3 of 5 (60%)55.8%
Gloucester City: both scored in 4 of 5 (last 10, all venues) · Malvern Town: both scored in 3 of 5 away · both last 10: 68% · Gloucester City: only games against sides at Malvern Town's level · Malvern Town: only games against sides at Gloucester City's level
GLOUCESTER CITY GOALS
Gloucester City Over 0.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
GLO 4 of 5 (80%) · MAL 5 of 5 (100%)79.5%
Gloucester City scored in 4 of 5 (last 10, all venues) · Malvern Town conceded in 5 of 5 away · both last 10: 79% · Gloucester City: only games against sides at Malvern Town's level · Malvern Town: only games against sides at Gloucester City's level
MALVERN TOWN GOALS
Malvern Town Over 0.5 goalsLEANPAGE ONLY
1.40
MAL 3 of 5 (60%) · GLO 5 of 5 (100%)68.2%
Malvern Town scored in 3 of 5 away · Gloucester City conceded in 5 of 5 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 89% · Malvern Town: only games against sides at Gloucester City's level · Gloucester City: only games against sides at Malvern Town's level
OTHER
GG/NG 2+: NoHELD · the odds board 84%
1.19
GLO 4 of 5 (80%) · MAL 4 of 5 (80%)59.8%
Gloucester City: the bet landed in 4 of 5 (last 10, all venues) · Malvern Town: the bet landed in 4 of 5 away · both last 10: 73% · Gloucester City: only games against sides at Malvern Town's level · Malvern Town: only games against sides at Gloucester City's level
SCORELINES
Predicted score
Predicted score 2–1 9.4%
Gloucester City goals →
Malvern Town goals ↓
0-07%
1-010%
2-08%
3-04%
4-02%
5-00.5%
0-17%
1-113%
2-19%
3-15%
4-12%
5-10.6%
0-24%
1-27%
2-25%
3-23%
4-21%
5-20.4%
0-32%
1-33%
2-32%
3-31%
4-30.4%
5-30.1%
0-40.5%
1-40.7%
2-40.6%
3-40.3%
4-40.1%
5-40.0%
0-50.1%
1-50.2%
2-50.1%
3-50.1%
4-50.0%
5-50.0%
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and an open game).
FORM · LAST 10
GLOUCESTER CITYDDLDLDWWDW1.40 PPG
MALVERN TOWNWLLWWLLDWL1.30 PPG
THE NUMBERS
GLOUCESTER CITY HOMExMALVERN TOWN AWAY
1.38SCORED A GAME1.471.69CONCEDED A GAME2.5360%BOTH SCORED60%20%CLEAN SHEETS20%5.00CORNERS A GAME5.001.33CARDS A GAME3.00
THE BANK
THE QUALITY READ
1.08POINTS A GAME1.00-0.08GOAL DIFFERENCE A GAME-0.73–SHOTS FOR MINUS AGAINST–1.2LAST 5: POINTS A GAME1.813LEAGUE GAMES15
No quality side: neither club is ahead on more of these.
Each club's own league games in the Bank: points, goal difference, shots for and against, the last 5. A side ahead on most of them is the quality side; its bets show what they won on games like this from 6 Oct to 2 Nov.
THE BANK'S READ
OVER 1.5 GOALS
77%
NO · 80/83
OVER 2.5 GOALS
67%
OKAY · 65/78
UNDER 4.5 GOALS
62%
NO · 85/90
GLOUCESTER CITY OR DRAW
89%
VERY GOOD · 80/85
MALVERN TOWN OR DRAW
43%
NO · 80/85
Each line from both sides' own league games this season, set against their league (13 and 15 games). The two numbers after each read are the line's okay and very good marks.
GLOUCESTER CITYxMALVERN TOWN
6GAMES81.50SCORED A GAME1.001.00CONCEDED A GAME2.752.5GOALS IN THEIR GAMES3.867%OVER 1.5 GOALS75%50%OVER 2.5 GOALS75%50%BOTH SCORE62%–CARDS IN THEIR GAMES––CORNERS IN THEIR GAMES–
Each side's own league games in our bank before this game; "Home v Away" is the home side's home games and the away side's away games.
TRENDS
Gloucester City have scored in 70% of their games.
Malvern Town have scored in 80% of their games.
Gloucester City kept a clean sheet in 20% of their games.
Malvern Town kept a clean sheet in 20% of their games.
BUILT FROM
form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againstclean sheetsleague tablecornerscards