Match details. Northern Premier League Premier. Kick-off is Tue 10 Nov, 20:45 Lagos time.
Form. Workington AFC have won five, drawn two and lost three of their last ten, 1.7 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L W W W L. Alfreton Town FC have won five, drawn two and lost three of their last ten, 1.7 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L W W D D.
The numbers. Workington AFC score 1.8 and concede 1.6 a game in their last five at home, with no clean sheets. Workington AFC average 5.3 corners and 1.7 cards a game. Alfreton Town FC score 1.2 and concede 1.4 a game over their last ten, with three clean sheets and two games without a goal. Alfreton Town FC average 4.4 corners and 1.9 cards a game.
Where it pulls both ways. On goals, their goals for and against point to a tight game; their records put over 2.5 goals at 62%.
The case against. Alfreton Town FC's record still gives them 38% to win.
The read. Workington AFC to win. Their goals for and against make Workington AFC the likelier winners; Workington AFC are the stronger side on form and the table.
The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Predicted score: Workington AFC 1-0 Alfreton Town FC (11% chance).
The agreed story. No side to back (Workington AFC the favourite), goals in between.
The league run. Workington AFC: up and down in the league (L W W L L). Alfreton Town FC: up and down in the league (L W D D L). Not confident in Workington AFC: two defeats in their last five league games to sides outside the top third.
So. A close match: the safest pick that fits.
PICKSONE LIST
RESULT
Draw or Over 2.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
WOR 7 of 8 (88%) · ALF 6 of 8 (75%)63.3%
Workington AFC: the bet landed in 7 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · Alfreton Town FC: the bet landed in 6 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 81% · Workington AFC: only games against sides at Alfreton Town FC's level · Alfreton Town FC: only games against sides at Workington AFC's level
Workington AFC or Under 2.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
WOR 5 of 8 (62%) · ALF 7 of 8 (88%)57%
Workington AFC: the bet landed in 5 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · Alfreton Town FC: the bet landed in 7 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 75% · Workington AFC: only games against sides at Alfreton Town FC's level · Alfreton Town FC: only games against sides at Workington AFC's level
Workington AFC or Both Teams ScoreLEANPAGE ONLY
no price yet
WOR 6 of 8 (75%) · ALF 5 of 8 (62%)50.8%
Workington AFC: the bet landed in 6 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · Alfreton Town FC: the bet landed in 5 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 69% · Workington AFC: only games against sides at Alfreton Town FC's level · Alfreton Town FC: only games against sides at Workington AFC's level
GOALS
Over 0.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
WOR 8 of 8 (100%) · ALF 7 of 8 (88%)92.3%
Workington AFC: over 0.5 goals in 8 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · Alfreton Town FC: over 0.5 goals in 7 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 94% · Workington AFC: only games against sides at Alfreton Town FC's level · Alfreton Town FC: only games against sides at Workington AFC's level
Under 4.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
WOR 8 of 8 (100%) · ALF 7 of 8 (88%)87.8%
Workington AFC: under 4.5 goals in 8 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · Alfreton Town FC: under 4.5 goals in 7 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 94% · Workington AFC: only games against sides at Alfreton Town FC's level · Alfreton Town FC: only games against sides at Workington AFC's level
Under 3.5 GoalsIN CODES
1.50
WOR 6 of 8 (75%) · ALF 5 of 8 (62%)72.6%
Workington AFC: under 3.5 goals in 6 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · Alfreton Town FC: under 3.5 goals in 5 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 69% · Workington AFC: only games against sides at Alfreton Town FC's level · Alfreton Town FC: only games against sides at Workington AFC's level
Over 1.5 GoalsHELD · the odds board 85%
1.17
WOR 7 of 8 (88%) · ALF 5 of 8 (62%)60.2%
Workington AFC: over 1.5 goals in 7 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · Alfreton Town FC: over 1.5 goals in 5 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 75% · Workington AFC: only games against sides at Alfreton Town FC's level · Alfreton Town FC: only games against sides at Workington AFC's level
WORKINGTON AFC GOALS
Workington AFC Over 0.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
WOR 6 of 8 (75%) · ALF 5 of 8 (62%)61.6%
Workington AFC scored in 6 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · Alfreton Town FC conceded in 5 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 69% · Workington AFC: only games against sides at Alfreton Town FC's level · Alfreton Town FC: only games against sides at Workington AFC's level
ALFRETON TOWN FC GOALS
Alfreton Town FC Under 1.5 goalsIN CODES
1.64
ALF 6 of 8 (75%) · WOR 5 of 8 (62%)53.6%
Alfreton Town FC scored under 1.5 in 6 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · Workington AFC conceded under 1.5 in 5 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 69% · Alfreton Town FC: only games against sides at Workington AFC's level · Workington AFC: only games against sides at Alfreton Town FC's level
Alfreton Town FC Over 0.5 GoalsLEANPAGE ONLY
no price yet
ALF 6 of 8 (75%) · WOR 8 of 8 (100%)47.1%
Alfreton Town FC scored in 6 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · Workington AFC conceded in 8 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 88% · Alfreton Town FC: only games against sides at Workington AFC's level · Workington AFC: only games against sides at Alfreton Town FC's level
OTHER
GG/NG 2+: NoIN CODES
1.21
WOR 7 of 8 (88%) · ALF 7 of 8 (88%)87.5%
Workington AFC: the bet landed in 7 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · Alfreton Town FC: the bet landed in 7 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 88% · Workington AFC: only games against sides at Alfreton Town FC's level · Alfreton Town FC: only games against sides at Workington AFC's level
Left off the list: Alfreton Town FC or Over 2.5 Goals (the numbers (60%) and the records (81%) are 21 points apart, and nothing settles it); Workington AFC Clean Sheet: No (the numbers (65%) and the records (88%) are 22 points apart, and nothing settles it)
SCORELINES
Predicted score
Predicted score 1–010.6%
Workington AFC goals →
Alfreton Town FC goals ↓
0-08%
1-011%
2-09%
3-05%
4-02%
5-00.6%
0-17%
1-113%
2-19%
3-15%
4-12%
5-10.6%
0-24%
1-26%
2-25%
3-23%
4-21%
5-20.3%
0-31%
1-32%
2-32%
3-30.9%
4-30.4%
5-30.1%
0-40.4%
1-40.6%
2-40.5%
3-40.2%
4-40.1%
5-40.0%
0-50.1%
1-50.1%
2-50.1%
3-50.1%
4-50.0%
5-50.0%
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call).
FORM · LAST 10
WORKINGTON AFCLWWWLLDDWW1.70 PPG
ALFRETON TOWN FCLWWDDLWLWW1.70 PPG
THE NUMBERS
WORKINGTON AFC HOMExALFRETON TOWN FC AWAY
1.65SCORED A GAME1.351.59CONCEDED A GAME1.2980%BOTH SCORED60%0%CLEAN SHEETS30%5.33CORNERS A GAME4.431.67CARDS A GAME1.86
THE BANK
THE QUALITY READ
1.59POINTS A GAME1.35+0.06GOAL DIFFERENCE A GAME+0.06–SHOTS FOR MINUS AGAINST-3.01.2LAST 5: POINTS A GAME1.017LEAGUE GAMES17
No quality side: neither club is ahead on more of these.
Each club's own league games in the Bank: points, goal difference, shots for and against, the last 5. A side ahead on most of them is the quality side; its bets show what they won on games like this from 6 Oct to 2 Nov.
THE BANK'S READ
OVER 1.5 GOALS
82%
OKAY · 80/83
OVER 2.5 GOALS
71%
OKAY · 65/78
UNDER 4.5 GOALS
88%
OKAY · 85/90
WORKINGTON AFC OR DRAW
79%
NO · 80/85
ALFRETON TOWN FC OR DRAW
40%
NO · 80/85
Each line from both sides' own league games this season, set against their league (17 and 17 games). The two numbers after each read are the line's okay and very good marks.
WORKINGTON AFCxALFRETON TOWN FC
8GAMES81.62SCORED A GAME0.751.50CONCEDED A GAME1.753.1GOALS IN THEIR GAMES2.575%OVER 1.5 GOALS62%62%OVER 2.5 GOALS50%75%BOTH SCORE38%–CARDS IN THEIR GAMES––CORNERS IN THEIR GAMES–
Each side's own league games in our bank before this game; "Home v Away" is the home side's home games and the away side's away games.
TRENDS
Workington AFC have scored in 80% of their games.
Alfreton Town FC have scored in 80% of their games.
Workington AFC kept a clean sheet in 0% of their games.
Alfreton Town FC kept a clean sheet in 30% of their games.
BUILT FROM
form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againstclean sheetsleague tablecornerscards